BABA IS A SELL SELL SELL!!Too far too fast, needs to retest $119 and possibly $112. Definitely would not be buying here, sell calls or buy puts will correct within the next week to two tops
BABAB trade ideas
Alibaba Stock Surges 10% as Earnings Beat Expectations Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) are soaring after the Chinese tech and e-commerce giant reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations. Alibaba’s latest financial results reflect strong growth in its cloud computing division, which includes artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives, and the broader market optimism surrounding its strategic moves.
Beating Estimates with Strong Revenue Growth
Alibaba posted revenue of 280.15 billion Chinese yuan ($38.5 billion) for the December quarter, marking a 7.6% increase year-over-year. The company’s earnings per share per ADS came in at $2.93, surpassing analyst expectations tracked by Visible Alpha. CEO Eddie Wu emphasized that Alibaba’s strategic focus on "user-first, AI-driven" operations has contributed significantly to its reaccelerated growth.
One of the standout aspects of Alibaba’s performance is its cloud computing segment, which saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. Notably, AI-related product revenue surged at a triple-digit rate for the sixth consecutive quarter, underscoring Alibaba’s position as a dominant player in China’s AI landscape.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is speculation that Alibaba may be collaborating with Apple (AAPL) to integrate AI-powered features into iPhones in China. Moreover, reports suggest that co-founder Jack Ma has re-established ties with Beijing, a development that could ease regulatory pressures and pave the way for smoother business operations.
Technical Outlook: Bullish Breakout with Strong Momentum
From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA shares have been on an impressive run, climbing over 80% in the past year. At the time of writing, the stock is up 8.09% in intraday trading, signaling strong bullish momentum.
The breakout from a falling wedge pattern—a classic bullish reversal setup—has been a key catalyst in Alibaba’s upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 84, indicating that the stock is in overbought territory. However, with momentum building, further upside potential remains, particularly if BABA clears its recent one-month high.
In the event of a pullback, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as a solid support zone, providing traders with a potential re-entry point. A decisive breakout above resistance could trigger another leg up, reinforcing the stock’s bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
With cloud computing and AI revenues expanding at a rapid pace, alongside renewed investor confidence, the stock remains in a strong uptrend. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, a breakout above resistance could unlock further gains.
Alibaba Analysis: Profitable Structure! 2/11/2025One of the most profitable trading structures is currently in progress!
The targets of the uptrend swing (wave C) are displayed on the chart, and it has the potential to exceed the projected levels.
Start point of wave c= $80.06
Targets:
T1=$174
T2=$232
T3=$326
*It's the same structure used in the Netflix price chart!
NYSE:BABA #BABA
Latest news: Apple partners with Alibaba to offer artificial intelligence features for iPhone users in China!
Good Luck!
The reduction target is $70-73According to the Butterfly pattern, the Fibo perfectly converges the decline to the target of $ 70-73. The timing is not clear when we will get there, but according to the schedule of the decline of #HSI1, we should reach it by October 2023, there will be an excellent point for going to long to new heights.
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $89.00
Target #2 = $94.00
Target #3 = $107.00
Target #4 = $116.00
Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
Alibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings Report
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is set to release its quarterly earnings report on 20 February. The Wall Street Journal cites optimistic analyst estimates, projecting gross revenue of 279.03 billion yuan (approximately $38 billion), up from 260.35 billion yuan a year ago and 236.50 billion yuan in the previous quarter.
Investor sentiment has been buoyed by Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma’s presence at an event with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to Barron’s, this signals government efforts to restore confidence in the private sector, particularly in technology. At present, such factors may be having a greater impact on the stock market than geopolitical headlines or Trump’s tariff policies.
These and other drivers—including a recent partnership between Alibaba and Apple to integrate AI features into the iPhone 16 series—have fuelled bullish momentum. As a result, Alibaba shares (BABA) have surged nearly 20% in February, reaching their highest level since February last year.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba Shares (BABA)
In our previous analysis on 29 January, we noted that BABA’s price movements were forming key levels for an Andrews' Pitchfork pattern, indicating a bullish outlook.
Currently, the price has:
→ Surpassed the October high near $118.
→ Gained bullish momentum after consolidating around the psychological $100 level.
The RSI indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential correction. However, given the strong news flow, any pullback may be shallow.
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecasts
According to BarChart, after years of underperformance, many investors are looking at China with renewed optimism for 2025. Hedge fund Appaloosa Management’s founder and president, David Tepper—whose net worth stands at $21.5 billion—recently acquired Alibaba shares, as per the latest 13F filings.
He may believe that the Chinese stock market is significantly undervalued, based on the “Warren Buffett Indicator,” which compares a country's total market capitalisation to its GDP. A ratio below 100 suggests undervaluation, while a higher figure indicates overvaluation. Currently, China’s market cap-to-GDP ratio stands below 70%, compared to over 200% for the US.
Tepper is not alone in his bullish stance. According to TipRanks:
→ 7 out of 8 analysts surveyed recommend buying BABA shares.
→ The average 12-month price target for BABA is $129.13.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BABA - The company is so back!Partnership with Apple?Hi guys, we would be looking into BABA as a structure and a future proof company, which will give us a neccesary boost towars the price increasing!
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) has recently demonstrated remarkable growth and resilience, positioning itself as a compelling investment opportunity.
As of February 18, 2025, Alibaba's stock is trading at $127.58, reflecting a significant upward trajectory. Over the past month, the stock has surged over 55%, indicating strong market confidence.
A pivotal factor contributing to this momentum is Alibaba's strategic partnership with Apple. Announced on February 13, 2025, this collaboration aims to integrate Alibaba's advanced AI capabilities into iPhones sold in the Chinese market. This alliance not only enhances the user experience but also solidifies Alibaba's position in the AI sector.
Furthermore, Alibaba's commitment to innovation is evident in its restructuring efforts. The company's "1+6+N" plan, unveiled in March 2023, reorganized its operations into six independently managed entities. This strategic move has empowered each unit to pursue growth autonomously, fostering agility and responsiveness in a dynamic market.
Analysts remain optimistic about Alibaba's future. The average 12-month price target stands at $129.13, with projections reaching as high as $151.00. This optimism is underpinned by Alibaba's robust earnings growth forecast of 11.1% per annum and a revenue growth rate of 6.3% per annum.
TIPRANKS.COM
In summary, Alibaba's strategic initiatives, innovative partnerships, and strong financial outlook underscore its potential for sustained growth, making it an attractive prospect for investors.
Alibaba Wave Analysis – 17 February 2025
- Alibaba broke daily up channel
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 130.00
Alibaba Group recently broke the resistance trendline of the narrow up channel from January – which accelerated the active impulse wave 5. The breakout of this up channel was preceded by the breakout of the key resistance level 117.60 (former multi-month high from October).
The active impulse wave 5 belongs to the sharp intermediate impulse wave (C) – enclosed by the aforementioned up channel.
Alibaba Group can be expected to rise in the active impulse waves 5 and (C) to the next resistance level 130.00.
I'm GAGA for BABA!NYSE:BABA
🎯134🎯150🎯171
Five weeks of green candles for over 55%!
Road this one higher from the beginning and fully exited. Now that we are pretty extended and broke out of the Inverse H&S Pattern I'd like to see a pullback to retest the breakout at $115-118 for an entry back in.
- Green H5
- Volume GAP
- Wr% Up trending
- Inverse H&S breakout
- China has momentum (look for tariff news or earnings this week to provide a dip buying opp.)
Not financial advice
BABA - 34 months SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
═════════════════════════════
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BABA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Bias upside for Alibaba but safer if enter after pullbackAlibaba has broken out strongly on the weekly chart, with the next resistance levels at $140 and $160.
However, we are watching for a potential retracement in the coming week for a better entry point. Alternatively, waiting until after the earnings report may be a safer approach.
Alibaba - with Eyes on $200–$230 by end of 2025Alibaba (BABA): Entering a Bullish Phase
Alibaba (BABA) has officially entered a bullish phase after successfully holding the $80 support level at the beginning of 2024. This strong rejection set the stage for a rally to $127, confirming the start of an uptrend.
Key Resistance Battle: Breaking $130 with Ease?
The next critical price level to watch is $130, last seen in November 2018.
If Alibaba breaks through $130 without effort, this will confirm strong bullish momentum, allowing the stock to continue climbing.
However, if BABA initially fails to break $130, it could trigger a pullback to $108, offering a new entry opportunity before the next leg up.
Long-Term Target: $200–$230 by Late 2025
Phase 1: If Alibaba retests $108 and successfully holds, it will make another attempt to break $130.
Phase 2: Once $130 is broken, BABA will gradually climb to $200 by the end of 2025, following a steady growth pattern without rapid acceleration.
Bullish Catalyst Scenario: If news flow remains favorable, Alibaba could push even higher, targeting $230 by the end of 2025.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Support: $108 (potential pullback zone if $130 is rejected).
Resistance 1: $130 (major breakout level).
Resistance 2: $200 (main target by year-end 2025).
Bullish Extension: $230 (if market sentiment remains strong).
Summary: Strong Bullish Structure with Potential Upside
Alibaba’s price action suggests a clear uptrend, with $130 being the next major battle zone. If it breaks with ease, expect a smooth climb toward $200 by 2025. If it faces rejection, a pullback to $108 will offer a new buying opportunity before resuming the uptrend.
Should favorable news emerge, Alibaba could even hit $230 by the end of 2025, reinforcing its long-term bullish outlook.
BABA at Resistant Zone - Ready to break ? Daily and Weekly chart is now Uptrend and Bullish.
Up 40% since FiFT BoD signal
Entering resistant zone and closing above 120 for the first time since early 2022
FiFT +Ve, MCDX Buying Volume very strong.
Look for BoD opportunity around support at 100. Next Support zone at 85
Or look for buy at retest/pullback after breakout resistant zone 120-130
Stock Of The Day / 02.14.25 / BABA02.14.2025 / NYSE:BABA #BABA
Fundamentals. Positive news about the planned meeting of Xi Jinping with top private sector leaders, including Alibaba.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: The price is near the upper limit of the wide range of 60-120.
Premarket: The price is trading in range on increased volume after the Gap Up. We mark the premarket low of 125.30.
Trading session: The price goes below 125.30 after an unsuccessful attempt to update the premarket high. Then we observe retest the level from the opposite side around 10:00 am. We consider a short trade to continue the downward movement in case the level of 125.30 is hold.
Trading scenario: #pullback along the trend to level 125.30
Entry: 124.80 when the level is held and the exit down from the trading range under the level.
Stop: 125.43 we hide it behind the level with a small reserve.
Exit: The trade is opened against the global trend, so we fix the profit at the first signs of weakness of the downward movement. Close part of the position at a price of 121.76 when a reversal candlestick pattern with an increase in volume appears. Close the remaining part of the position near the 122.70 when the higher high is updated and the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
What could be the possible target for BABA?If you check my previous post, BABA was 84 dollars 4 weeks ago when I wrote an article about it "Fasten your seat belt".
Today it is +50% in just a month and Qwen ai outperformed DeepSeek and we have the news of the collaboration with AAPL.
But the most important news is that BABA is among the top 10 tickers with the highest daily value of trades after a few years! which means New money flooded the ticker!
Now let us see what could be the potential targets for BABA:
Case1: 12 months
Case 2:18-24 months
Case 3:5 years
BABA is overheated and may slide down back to the rangeAlibaba stock price was moving in a sharp rally within the last two weeks period, having reached the psychological level of $117 and a strong resistance area. If this level holds, it’s possible to witness a wide “cup-and-handle” pattern, which might serve as a trigger to an intermediate-term reversal. Otherwise, price may plummet following profit-taking that might follow.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do you own research and never forget to manage your risk!
