MA is below 200MAMA is showing a peak and likely to stay bearish toward the 430 level. It's currently below the 200 MA, indicating a loss of momentum.
MA trade ideas
MASTERCARD: One more dip possible but long term target is $620.Mastercard is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.317, MACD = -0.060, ADX = 29.709) having just recovered its 1D MA50 following the March 13th rebound. The pattern here is a Channel Up and March's bearish wave already hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level much like the previous one did on May 1st 2024. That however went on to extend the decline to close to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and hit the 1D MA200. Consequently there is a chance of one more month of slow decline to the 1D MA200 but overall, this is a good enough level to buy again for the long term and aim for the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 620.00).
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MA Stock: Support at $500-$510 after short-term pullbackMA stock's short-term momentum has weakened after pulling back from its all-time high of $582.23. However, its long-term and intermediate trends are still intact. The $500–$510 range, supported by the 200-day moving average, is an important support level for keeping the intermediate uptrend. If this level holds, MA stock could reach $630–$680 by the end of 2025.
Buy Overall trend is bullish.
Recent selloff from all time highs around 490 resulted in bearish channel which was pullback
Seller failed to push prices past previous support area of 430.
Bearish channel broke by upside gap due to postive earnings release
Earnings release : positive earnings and revenue growth beating analysts forecast by 2.29% and 1.59% respectively.
Channel resistance retested, by selloff after earnings release, close above 50 day moving average indicating buying pressure
buying pressure pushes prices past previous high indicating buyers are in control.
MASTERCARD: Despite the CRASH!, good graph!! Attention!!
On January 30, the American payment services provider Mastercard presented results that far exceeded forecasts.
It earned 12,874 million dollars (12,351 million euros) in 2024, 15% more than the previous year. Net income reached 28,167 million dollars (27,023 million euros), 12.2% more.
Meanwhile, operating costs reached 12,585 million dollars (12,074 million euros), 13.5% more.
Mastercard CEO Michael Miebach commented on the results: “This quarter we have achieved good results, with net income growth of 14%, or 16% without taking into account currencies.”
He continued: “Our diverse capabilities in payments and services and solutions, including the acquisition of Recorded Future this quarter, set us apart and position us well for long-term growth, as we outlined at our investor day.”
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---> What does it look like technically?
DESPITE THE STOCK MARKET CRASH we are immersed in due to the TRADE WAR, if we look at the chart, the trend is still clearly bullish and has not yet broken ANY important support that would put it in danger, therefore, EVERYTHING INDICATES THAT WE ARE FOUND WITH A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO GO LONG, since the market has fallen a lot and it is logical to expect an upward correction in the next few days of the SP500 index, which will logically support the rise in the price of Mastercard.
Furthermore, the price today touched the 61.8% Fibonacci and respected it (DESPITE THE CRASH), which gives us another clue that the area is respected and is possibly the floor of the next bullish impulse.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 553
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 575 area (+4%)
--> Stop Loss at 530 (-4%).
--> Ratio 1:1
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with the 530 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (575).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
Mastercard Doing a 180. MAI called tops too early last time I looked at Mastercard. That's why you have stop losses.
It is a common feature I found when using Elliott, that there is frequently one subwave that is left unaccounted for, causing one to call pivot prematurily.
But calling pivot is never easy no matter, which tactic you use. Similarly, vWAP derived reversal to mean strategies often fail, as well as many of Jurik (and others -not singling anyone out) indicators that can be used for this purpose.
In my experience, it almost does not matter what you use, as long as you are the master of your system. Reading an indicator is easy, but reading what is between the lines is what creates real profit. Mechanical interpretation of squiggly lines does not lead to profits in the long run.
The End of Visa and Mastercard: A New Era for Payments in EuropeBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
The payments landscape in Europe could change dramatically if the project for a payments platform independent of Visa and Mastercard takes hold. The interconnection between Bizum and Wero, with the backing of the European Central Bank (ECB), paves the way for a sovereign alternative that could displace the US giants. But how would this impact European consumers, merchants and banks?
Towards European Financial Sovereignty
For years, the ECB has been pushing for a unified payments system to reduce dependence on foreign providers. The growing concern for financial sovereignty intensified after the sanctions on Russia and the exclusion of banks from the SWIFT system, demonstrating how payment infrastructure can become a geopolitical tool. In the current situation with a US government rather reluctant to collaborate with a Europe with a mostly center-left government team, this situation looks like another scenario that the European commission would like to avoid, a scenario of a foreign country imposing tariffs on high-need banking services. With the alliance between Bizum, Bancomat Pay (Italy) and SIBS (Portugal), and the integration with Wero, Europe could finally have a pan-European system for digital payments, reducing costs and ensuring greater security.
Consumer and Merchant Impact
If Visa and Mastercard were to disappear from the European payments ecosystem, consumers would have to migrate to European cards and digital wallets. This could initially create friction for international merchants that rely on global payment networks, but in the long term would offer more competitive rates and smoother transactions within the EU. The challenge would be global acceptance of these new solutions. While European platforms could dominate the domestic market, the lack of agreements with merchants outside the region could limit their functionality for international travel or purchases. So, although it is a long-term European solution, at this stage it does not appear to have much depth at the moment in the eyes of Visa or Mastercard, the two largest service providers in the West. Another plausible paradigm would be for the Brics environment, in Latin America, Africa and the Middle East, to adopt this new European service, which could facilitate the diversification and competitiveness of this new ecosystem.
Implications for Banks and the Financial Industry
For European banks, the elimination or reduction of cards from Visa and Mastercard providers could result in greater independence and control over transaction fees. However, banks will have to invest significantly in adopting this infrastructure and ensuring its compatibility with other payment systems. On the other hand, fintechs and neobanks could take advantage of the transition to capture customers with innovative payment services, accelerating the digitization of the sector. Companies that pivot between the UK and Europe and are of this nature will probably have to adopt this service, so the UK will have to end up linking this service if it wants its customers to use cards in this region if this happens.
Is a Blocking of North American Services Viable?
Although the possibility of a blocking of US payment services by European banks is speculative, it is not impossible. The creation of a fully independent European payments ecosystem could be seen as an economic protection measure, but it could also generate trade tensions with the US.
Europe faces a crucial decision: remain dependent on global payment leaders or build its own financial giant. The outcome of these negotiations could redefine the way millions of people manage their money in the future.
Technical Analysis VISA(Ticker AT: V.US) /Mastercard (Ticker AT: MA.US)
If we look at both companies they have performed quite similarly. Both have had a very strong upward momentum since January 13 with the new Trump administration, causing them to break out of the sideways range of late November last year with a boost from annual earnings expectations. And following the earnings release the share price of both companies has soared with similar “hype”. At the moment with a pessimistic market there has been a relatively strong correction of -4.80% for Visa and -5.31% for Mastercard placing them at 352.54 and 558.30 respectively. At this moment they are located in a similar price consolidation zone, the crosses of averages continue to indicate price expansion, RSI has reduced its overbought to 56.72% and 50.15% respectively. Although the former has its bell shaped triple and the strongest demand is located in the previous sideways range between $290 and lows of $252 and its control point (POC) around $276. The second has a double bell configuration with its POC around $527 above the previous range. So the outlook for Visa on a technical level looks slightly lower than Mastercard, although in both cases it currently looks like one of the winners in the market on a long term perspective.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
I Am Sorry! Here Is a LessonI usually put out a single trade every day prior to markets opening. I do it because it is a fun way for me to share my trading knowledge with others for free. It is also a great way of journaling my thoughts. But I should have been better for all of my followers. The truth is markets have been kicking my ass since late December.
In a normal bull market, my trading strategy is to shoot first and react fast. I enter trades on price action after the Keltner channel is hit and pullback occurs. This can be on first entries, second entries, inside bars or even a complex pullback. Once in a trade I reduce risk quickly or exit a bad trade swiftly. Hence, "shoot first and react fast".
Markets were changing and I saw it, a repeatable pattern. I wanted to write an article before the market changed up but, never got the chance. More and more stocks were entering complex pullbacks. I believe I mentioned it in passing in some videos but never explicitly logged it anywhere. When we are seeing a lot of complex pullbacks in the broader markets it means that something is changing, pullbacks are going deeper. What was once strong is now weakening and that was happening before our eyes. I will link the complex pullback video and articles to this article for your viewing pleasure.
Today, I just went through all of my losing trades for last month and all of them had one thing in common. Not waiting for the right entry. The cycle low entry. In a pure bull market getting in on price action alone is completely sufficient but, with so much uncertainty everywhere, now more than ever we need to be selective. In steps the stochastics indicator...
The apology is a simple reminder to me that markets are tough, and real money is on the line. While I am providing the best information I can with the information I have at the time, it may not always be correct. That is why I don't offer signals and instead opt for trading ideas. Funny thing is, I think a lot more of my one good trade ideas beat out my other personal trades. Regardless, I hope you take this article and learn something from it. I know I have. The last thing I will leave you all with is this MA chart with annotation that is currently playing out. These will be the types of trades that I look for until further notice.
Good Luck and Good Trading.
~ JoeRodTrades
Mastercard Curving Back Down. MAAnalyzing price action here for a suspect pivot on Mastercard. A 5 wave impulse is done, a part of a much larger structure, now crossing MIDAS curve after a tight trading range.
Tight trading ranges inevitably lead to squeezes, and this might be a breakout to the downside in the last two candles. Ehlers is especially telling here, as it clearly indicates a divergence all the way through the tight trading range, which is a bearish sign on its own.
Fourier smoothed VZO plus offset trigger is generally bearish but less revealing otherwise. Bollinger Band %PCT just flipped and is expected to go lower with the most recent bearish price action
$MA Triangle BreakoutNYSE:MA breaking to the upside of the triangle pattern. If you are swing trading this setup, the technical stop loss and trade support sits around the $550/$551 area. With MA at ATH, the opportunity exists for a 2:1 reward (or better) if this momentum to the upside continues. Plenty of time before earnings for this swing trade to work out.
Mastercard outperforming the US markets with more upsideMastercard is definitely one of the outperformers in 2025,
Strong Financial Performance: Mastercard exceeded earnings and revenue expectations due to robust holiday consumer spending.
Growth in Payment Volumes: Increased transaction volumes, especially cross-border, boosted revenue growth.
Strategic Acquisitions: The acquisition of cybersecurity firm Recorded Future enhances its digital security offerings and services.
Positive Market Sentiment: Analysts raised price targets, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Technicals are also looking super.
Price>20 and 200
Rev Cup and Handle
Target $610.86
Bullish upside comingThe formation of the larger falling wedge is pointing toward a potential reversal pattern ahead and though MACD is showing a downtrend, the price chart selling was rather weak hence, I would think that the upside is coming. Price action-wise, the bullish engulfing on Tuesday was followed through with higher prices on Wednesday itself before the market closed for its Trading holiday. This signals confidence in the bullish pressure for the stock.
Indicator wise, stochastic oscillator is showing crosses above the 20-level, indicating momentum building up. ROC has broken above the zero line.
Maintain buy at spot at 448.18 or pullback to 439.87.
Long MA at 511.38 - pullback in an uptrendMA has been an excellent stock to trade with my system, producing one of the highest returns per day held of any megacap stock at .23%/day held (58% annualized) spanning over 400 real and backtested trades. The average holding period is 7 days and the max lots held at any time in the last 17 years would have been 10. It tends to pay off well and pay off quickly.
It is currently trading just off its 6 month high, set on 12/26 and in the middle of a solidly uptrending regression channel. None of those things guarantee success, but trading is about putting the odds in your favor, and this setup is about as good as it gets in that regard.
Initial lot was purchased just before the close today at 511.38
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
MASTERCARD Huge sell signal emerged, hit 1D MA50 after 4 months.Mastercard (MA) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up that has given us very accurate trades. Our previous signal (April 02, see chart below), was a sell right on the pattern's top that easily hit our $440 Target:
Once more we see a long-term Top on this stock as the price almost priced a Higher High and on yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, it hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since August 06).
Apart from that, the 1D RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence of Lower Highs (against the Higher Highs of the Bullish Leg/ dotted Channel Up) since October 18. All such previous Bearish Divergences within this 2-year Channel Up, have started the Bearish Legs (red ellipses) of the pattern, which hit at least their 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels.
As a result, we have a high probability short signal at our hands, targeting $495.00 (Fib 0.382).
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The Rocket Booster Strategy Boosted Part 2Trying to find a pattern to trade
has been a challenge..and so in this video
i show you the rocket booster
strategy boosted.
-
First, you need to make sure you
do not trade flat markets..
This is a mistake I have made a lot.
-
Second, you need to increase the amount
of volume you are trading because in the
stock market the traffic can get stuck.
-
Third try your best not to trade low-volume stocks
this is also something I was very fond of doing
Because I was so good at technical analysis
I never understand the power of volume
-
Lastly, you need to create
a combination of trading systems
That will help you identify the best swing trading
Opportunities
In this video we are using the following
indicators:
1-Volume
2-Rate Of Change
3-Moving Averages
Creating a system with a combination of these indicators
should help you build a strong trading system
-
And trading strategy
Watch this video to learn more.
-
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money wether you
like it or not please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies.
Daily ATR 2 and 10 Percent Values indicator for stop lossThis indicator displays three values: the ATR value, a 2% value and a 10% value of the Daily ATR.
After adding the indicator to your chart, follow these steps to view the values and labels on the right:
1. Right-click on the price level bar or click the gear icon at the bottom of the price bar.
2. Select "LABELS."
3. Check mark the boxes for the following options:
- "INDICATORS AND FINANCIAL NAME LABELS"
- "INDICATORS AND FINANCIAL VALUE LABELS."
4. Look for D-ATR % Value, click on the gear icon and verify these settings
D-ATR Lenght = 14
ATR Lenght = 14
Smoothing = RMA
Timeframe = 1 Day
5. Select Wait for timeframe closes
6. Click on Defaults, Save as default, and click ok.
You can move the indicator to the top of your chart if preferred, by clicking on Move pane up.
Please keep the following in mind: when you scroll to the left of the chart if the indicator appears transparent, as shown in this image, it means you are not viewing
the most recent values, likely because you are not at the end of the chart.
To obtain the latest data, either click this button or this other one to reset the chart view or scroll to the end of the chart.
Mastercard: Set to Climb on Back of Good EarningsMastercard NYSE:MA reported its Q3 2024 earnings with several good highlights:
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Mastercard reported an adjusted EPS of $3.89, which surpassed the Wall Street expectations of $3.73. This indicates a strong performance in earnings per share, beating estimates by $0.16.
Revenue: The company's revenue was $7.4 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $7.27 billion. This 13% year-over-year increase in revenue reflects robust growth, driven by increased consumer spending and demand for value-added services.
Cross-Border Volumes: There was a significant increase in cross-border volumes by 17%, which was above the estimated growth of 16.2%. This suggests a strong recovery or growth in international transactions, possibly indicating recovery or growth in global travel and commerce.
Total Purchase Volume: Mastercard reported a total purchase volume of $2.06 trillion, which was slightly above the expected $2.05 trillion, showing a solid 11% year-over-year increase. This metric underscores the company's widespread use and the health of transaction volumes processed through its network.
Stock Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, Mastercard's stock saw positive movement in pre-market trading, indicating investor approval of the better-than-expected results.
Strategic Insights: The earnings reflect Mastercard's successful execution of its strategy focusing on digital payment innovations, like tap on phone and contactless payments, which contribute to the growth in transaction volumes and revenue.
Market Sentiment: Following the earnings release, there was a positive pre-market reaction, with MA's stock price increasing by 1.66%
Future Outlook: The positive earnings and the mention of low-teens net revenue growth for Q4 suggest confidence in continued growth, driven by ongoing digital transformation trends in payment solutions globally.
Stock Price Prediction: The combination of beating earnings expectations, positive market reactions, and generally favorable analyst ratings suggest that MA might continue its upward trajectory in the short term.
Botom line Mastercard is not only recovering from any previous economic downturns but is also capitalizing on the shift towards digital and contactless payments, enhancing its position in the financial technology sector. The earnings beat and the positive market reaction highlight investor confidence in Mastercard's current business model and future prospects in a rapidly evolving financial landscape.
Disclaimer: All content provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
Mastercard’s Support Zone: Waiting for Buyers to Step Back InIf Mastercard’s price retraces to the green support zone, it could signal a renewed interest from buyers eager to push the price back up. This zone has previously served as a level where buyers stepped in, and if the price approaches it again, we may see a similar reaction. My strategy is to wait for signs of a bounce in this area, as it could provide a strong entry point for a long position. By observing price action and looking for bullish confirmation in the green zone, this setup could offer a promising opportunity for a move to the upside. Patience is key here, as I’ll only consider entry once there’s clear evidence of buyers returning.
Mastercard May Rise to 519.00 - 526.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Mastercard May Rise to 519.00 - 526.00
Pivot Point: 482
The pivot point at 482 is a crucial support level for Mastercard. As long as the stock price remains above this level, the outlook is bullish, indicating potential for upward movement. A drop below this level would signify a change in sentiment and a potential shift toward bearish pressure.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Look for long positions as long as the price holds above the pivot point of 482.
Target Levels:
519.00: This target indicates a significant potential gain, suggesting that bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices higher. Achieving this target would reflect positive market sentiment towards Mastercard.
526.00: The next target represents further upside potential, reinforcing the bullish outlook if the stock can sustain its momentum.
Alternative Scenario:
If the stock falls below the pivot point at 482, traders should consider short positions.
Entry Point: Initiate short positions if the price breaks and remains below 482.
Target Levels:
470.00: This level marks the first downside target, indicating potential bearish momentum if selling pressure increases.
464.00: The next target level suggests a further decline, highlighting risks if the stock continues to trend downward.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is above its neutral level at 50, indicating that bullish momentum is in play, as buying pressure exceeds selling pressure.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is positive but below its signal line, suggesting that while the current trend is bullish, there may be a potential retracement or consolidation in the short term.
Moving Averages: Mastercard is trading above both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages (respectively at 493.93 and 477.84), further confirming the positive outlook and suggesting the stock is in a bullish trend.
Market Dynamics:
As long as Mastercard holds above the pivot point of 482, there is significant potential for upward movement toward the target levels of 519.00 and 526.00.
If the price falls below the pivot, market sentiment could shift, leading to potential declines toward support levels of 470.00 and 464.00.
The pivot point at 482 is critical for maintaining a bullish outlook for Mastercard. Holding above this level opens the possibility for price increases toward 519.00 and 526.00.
Current technical indicators support the bullish sentiment, but traders should remain cautious for any signs of retracement, especially if the price breaches the pivot support.
MASTERCARD short-term weakness is a buy opportunity. Target $515Mastercard (MA) gave us an excellent sell signal on our last call (April 02, see chart below), reaching our exact Target ($440.00) before turning sideways and reach this way a Higher Low:
That Higher Low was a bottom on the 2-year Channel Up pattern that has been dominating the long-term price action of the stock. As you can see it hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and has rebounded since, which is similar to the March 16 2023 Low.
The similarities are evident on this chart between the Bullish and Bearish Legs of the Channel Up and the Sine Waves help at giving us a sense of Highs and Lows. The 1D RSI sequences between the two main fractals are also similar and this shows that probably we are at a similar symmetrical level as on July 14 2023.
As a result, we expect a short-term pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then final rally towards the elections for a Higher High around $515.00, which will be just below the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (similar to the September 14 2023 High). Then we expect the stock to yet again seek the bottom of the Channel Up near the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at $460.00.
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Looking Bullish Immediately on Mastercard!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
MA Ready for Bull RunDaily Chart of MA
MA was consolidating for four months since April.
In end-July, MA tried to break off this consolidation with a big gap after earnings. However, the overall weak market brought it down.
After filling the gap on 5 August, MA made another attempt to break off the consolidation.
On 15 Aug, MA made a continuation gap to break above the resistance.
MA is now ready to move higher.
