MSFTD trade ideas
MSFT Analysis and Price Projections for 2025 Analysis and Price Projections for 2025 (3-to-5-Month Outlook)
Below is my analysis for each chart with a focus on Elliott Wave patterns, Fibonacci levels, and potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)
Current Price: $421.50
Key Levels:
Resistance: $456.16 (0.853 Fibonacci extension).
Support: $332.24 (1.618 retracement).
Outlook: MSFT has completed a potential Wave 5 and may enter a corrective phase. A deeper pullback towards $332.24 (1.618 Fibonacci) is possible, with $360.00 acting as intermediate support.
Projection:
After the correction, MSFT could rebound and target $440.00-$450.00 by Q2 2025 and maybe $475.00 by year end.
MSFT Testing Resistance! Prepare for a Critical MoveAnalysis:
Microsoft (MSFT) has rebounded strongly from $410.80 support and is now testing resistance near $432.50-$435. The price is consolidating near the top of its recent range, forming a potential base for further upside or signaling exhaustion before a pullback. The MACD is positive but showing early signs of weakening momentum, while the Stochastic RSI is neutral, suggesting indecision.
Volume has increased during the uptrend, supporting bullish momentum, but significant resistance at $435 and a call wall at $440 may cap gains in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $432.50-$435: Current resistance zone with positive GEX positioning.
* $440: Major resistance at the second call wall.
* $445: Extended upside target if bullish momentum persists.
* Support Levels:
* $429: Immediate support near the current price level.
* $415: Strong support aligning with GEX and previous consolidation.
* $410: Critical downside support zone.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX levels peak at $435-$440, creating significant resistance.
* Strong negative GEX support is visible at $415-$410, stabilizing the downside.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Moderate at 36.8, reflecting steady implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Leaning bullish but approaching resistance zones.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $435 with strong volume.
* Target: $440 (first target), $445 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $429.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $435 with bearish price action.
* Target: $429 (first target), $415 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $436.
Directional Bias:
The bias is cautiously bullish as MSFT consolidates near resistance. A breakout above $435 would signal strength, while a failure to hold $429 could lead to a retest of lower support zones.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
MSFT – Potential Buy Opportunity at Support LevelThe MSFT stock price is approaching a key demand zone, which has served as strong support in the past. This zone has witnessed significant buyer interest during previous tests, making it a critical area to watch for a potential reversal.
The current downtrend could find support in this demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. If the price shows clear reversal signals, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, buyers could push the price higher. The first potential target for this move would be around the $433.25 level.
What do you think about this analysis? Feel free to share your insights or alternative perspectives in the comments!
$MSFT Iron Condor Trade Idea for the Pre-Earnings NoiseNASDAQ:MSFT Iron Condor, PRE-EARNINGS
1.5:1 Risk:Reward (i.e.: $150:$100)
+1 BUY $435 Call 1/24
-1 SELL $432.5 Call 1/24
-{CURRENT PRICE $423.61}-
-1 SELL $417.5 Put 1/24
+1 $415 Put 1/24
If the trade goes south this one is totally rollable to a $5 spread IC down the road, especially on the day of expiration.
How I Stopped Missing The Best Trade Entries!!I’ll be honest—when I started trading, I had no idea what I was doing. I’d open a 15-minute chart, see what looked like a good setup, and jump in. Sometimes I got lucky, but more often than not, the market turned against me.
I remember one trade in particular that still stings when I think about it. I was trading EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart, and I spotted what I thought was the perfect breakout. Without hesitating, I entered.
An hour later, the market completely reversed, and I was stopped out. Frustrated, I zoomed out to the daily chart, and there it was: I’d entered a buy trade right into a major resistance zone during a long-term downtrend.
That trade taught me a hard truth: if you don’t look at the bigger picture, you’re setting yourself up for failure.
How I Changed My Approach
After that trade, I knew I had to change how I looked at the market. I started using multiple timeframes, and it made all the difference. Here’s how I do it:
1️⃣ Start Big (Monthly and Weekly Charts):
I always start with the monthly or weekly chart to get the big picture. Is the market trending up, down, or just moving sideways? Are we approaching any major levels that could cause a reversal?
For example, if the monthly chart shows a strong downtrend, I know I’ll only be looking for sell setups. That keeps me from fighting the overall momentum.
2️⃣ Zoom In (Daily and 4-Hour Charts):
Once I’ve got the big picture, I move to the daily or 4-hour chart. This is where I refine my plan. I look for key levels like support and resistance or patterns like consolidations and pullbacks.
These timeframes help me figure out where the market is likely to go next, and they’re where I start building my trade idea.
3️⃣ Precision Entries (30-Minute and 5-Minute Charts):
Finally, I drop to the lower timeframes—30-minute and 5-minute charts—to time my entry. This is where I wait for confirmation. Maybe it’s a candlestick pattern, a breakout with volume, or a pullback to a key level I spotted earlier.
This part takes patience. There have been so many times I’ve almost jumped the gun, but waiting for that confirmation has saved me more times than I can count.
My Secret Sauce
Here’s the approach I stick to every single time:
1. Align with the bigger picture. If the monthly and weekly charts are trending down, I only look for sell setups. I don’t care what the smaller timeframes say—sticking to the big picture keeps me disciplined.
2.Identify key levels. On the daily and 4-hour charts, I mark the major support and resistance zones where the market is likely to react.
3.Wait for confirmation. When the price reaches one of my levels, I don’t jump in right away. I wait for the 30-minute or 5-minute chart to give me a clear entry signal.
Here’s the real kicker: I’ve learned to walk away if nothing aligns. No trade is better than a bad trade, and patience has become my best tool.
Switching to multiple timeframes has completely changed the way I trade. It taught me to be patient, to respect the market, and to stop forcing trades that don’t make sense.
If you’ve been struggling with timing your entries or feel like you’re always one step behind, I get it—I’ve been there. Try this approach. Start with the bigger picture, work your way down, and let the market come to you.
And if you’ve got questions or want to know more about how I trade, send me a DM or check out my profile. I’m happy to help—you don’t have to figure it all out alone.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
MsftWhen I look at this I have to fight my Bearish Bias of the market to lol..
What I mean by that is that I expect NASDAQ and Qqq to go lower but this looks like a good setup for a long.
A good setup doesn't necessarily mean bullish, just means the stock is at strong support and approaching oversold.
Msft is showing a falling wedge here at support ..
4 hour oscillators (RSI,Stoch,MFI) is saying a bounce is coming..
The strongest support here is 414
Below that and this heads straight to 400.
Next over the next two weeks I think Msft has a 80% chance of closing gap at 430... But I don't like V shape recoveries and neither does Msft as u can see with the 3 green circles.. the pullbacks made a double bottom
So I'm looking for a move up to 430 then a pullback for a move to 441-450
What's crazy is their next earning date coincides with the Fed rate Decision Jan 29th
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): Consolidation Before Breakout or Breakdo🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $426.64, targeting $435 and $440. Momentum needs to align with strong volume for confirmation.
🩸 Short: Below $417.78, aiming for $410 and $400. Weak MACD and declining sentiment suggest downside risks.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $426.64. Clearing this level may signal a recovery.
🩸 Support: $417.78. A break below could open doors for further declines.
Microsoft is trading within a tight range, with investors eyeing upcoming levels to determine the next trend. MACD remains weak, urging caution for bulls.
👑 "In trading, patience isn’t passive; it’s strategic." — LucanInvestor
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): Approaching Key Resistance in a Consolid🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $427.18, targeting $430 and $440. A breakout with strong volume may signal a bullish continuation.
🩸 Short: Below $417.72, aiming for $410 and $400. Weakening momentum increases the risk of further declines.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $427.18. A breakout could set the stage for a push toward $440.
🩸 Support: $417.72. A breakdown risks testing $410 and lower levels.
Microsoft is navigating a consolidation phase, with MACD suggesting subdued momentum. Traders should monitor key levels closely as the next move could define the medium-term trend.
👑 "In every consolidation lies the seed of the next decisive move." — LucanInvestor
Microsoft LONG Play is NOW!!! NASDAQ:MSFT There is a 2 week bullish time at mode trend active with targets of $475 and $545 by April.
Price has retraced to the 0.5 Fib of the latest impulse and just printed a hammer candle on the 2 week chart which is extremely bullish as it implies higher timeframe bullish momentum behind.
As long as the price remains above $400’s this is a great risk reward entry to dollar cost average sit back and relax!
Microsoft preparing for Q4 earnings - positive outcome?Hi guys , we are looking into one of the Magnificent 7 - and one of the biggest TECH giants - MSFT.
Microsoft had a fantastic 2024 growth wise and stability / expansion wise.
The stock remains a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model, consistent revenue growth, and leadership in key sectors like cloud computing (Azure), enterprise software, and AI innovation. With its robust balance sheet, steady dividend payouts, and adaptability in evolving markets, Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term growth, appealing to both growth and income-focused investors.
I am expecting some great numbers from their Q4 earnings which would lead towards us reaching our targets.
Entry: 429
Target: 456
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Msft H4 Hi traders msft it's still bullish it just breakout bullish pennant n retest for possible buys with the first target 440,you can use 415 as your stop looses however trading is risky n you might loose all your money take responsibility in your hands,I wish all the best I toom the trade aswell yesterday thanks.
- Key Insights: Microsoft currently reflects a cautious longMicrosoft: Cautious Approach Recommended Next Week
characterized by volatility. The company's strategic $80 billion AI
investment signifies long-term growth potential. Watch for potential
movement within resistance at $440 and support around $400 to $410 as market
sentiment adjusts.
- Price Targets: For next week:
- T1 = 435.00
- T2 = 440.00
- S1 = 410.00
- S2 = 405.00
- Recent Performance: Microsoft has faced difficulty in sustaining recent
breakout levels, indicating bearish tendencies consistent with trends among
major tech stocks. While some tech leaders excel, Microsoft fluctuates
within a cautious trading range.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts view Microsoft's AI initiatives positively, yet
caution surrounds existing market dynamics. The sentiment remains guarded
amidst volatility with expected price corrections, suggesting a wait-and-see
approach for potential buying opportunities.
- News Impact: Microsoft is actively pursuing growth strategies, particularly in
AI, strengthening its position in the tech sector despite current price
pressures. Ongoing discussions with industry peers signal an awareness of
market sensitivities and aim to consolidate its competitive edge.
MICROSOFT Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 010525Trading idea - Entry point > 420/61.80%
Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 420/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% Resistance
C) 61.80% Support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Looking for a nice bounce on a trendline with MSFT!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - MSFT Major Trend TestI have not been very interested in MSFT for the past several months, but it's coming into a major area so there could be a big move soon. It has been somewhat weak compared to the rest of the mag 7 and has a major support from the November 2023 uptrend.
Looks kind of bearish to me right now after having that failed breakout that almost retraced the entire move already. Will be very important for bulls to maintain the uptrend. I'm neutral on it for now until we see how it reacts from here.
MSFT Fib CirclesNASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft Fib Circles are showing a good high in this current range and then some consolidation.
In the last zone we did see some consolidation before touching that Fib Circle line, which then led to new highs in the new range.
Looks like we are going to enter into a new range.
Comment what you think about this chart.
Comment any tips or suggestions.
NASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft IDEAL ENTRY IS NOW!NASDAQ:MSFT
There is a 2 week time at mode bullish trend active with bullish targets of up to $550 by March.
Price is currently at the perfect entry.
As long as $406 is respected price will trend higher.
On the other hand, lets do keep in mind that the monthly chart might be telling a different story as RSI keeps making lower lows and the December monthly candle closed with a HUGE selling wick. Lots of indecision in price action. But hey, worth the RR
Microsoft earningsMicrosoft earnings is on Wednesday, 1/29/25 at 4:05pm. MSFT is showing 3x buy signals. MSFT touched it's SMA200 at $417 yesterday. Also, it's trading inside it's green support zone area of a 1 year uptrend channel. Plus, there's a bullish reversal printing on the stochastic indicator.
Q2 Dec 2024 Consensus:
P/E = 34.8
EPS = 3.14
Revenue = 68.90 B
Trade idea:
Long = 417
Stop = 407
Profit = 447
1) buy 100 shares
2) buy 417.5 call
or OTM call
3) long call spread
buy 417.5 call
sell 447.5 call
4) long put spread
sell 447.5 put
buy 417.5 put
Options data:
1/10/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 15,109
Call Volume Total 32,380
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.47
Put Open Interest Total 18,841
Call Open Interest Total 35,261
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.53
1/17/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 39,224
Call Volume Total 30,158
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.30
Put Open Interest Total 361,384
Call Open Interest Total 345,132
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.05
1/24/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 3,565
Call Volume Total 4,740
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.75
Put Open Interest Total 29,823
Call Open Interest Total 30,947
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.96
1/31/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 2,671
Call Volume Total 4,105
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65
Put Open Interest Total 16,197
Call Open Interest Total 13,347
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21
