PLTRD trade ideas
PLTR if it breaks trend it will be an interesting junctureIf PLTR breaks the trend will reach 45. But at that point it
1) Fills the gap of Nov 24
2) will be 2021 high
When a (strong) trendline is broken, the market will fall equal distance or more from the trendline as from the peak to the breakpoint. I have shown multiple example on Nasdaq from the past.
PLTR) Approaching Critical Resistance – Will Bulls Push Through?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook
📌 Current Price: $87.00
📌 Trend: Bullish Momentum with Key Resistance Zone
📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour
Price Action & Market Structure
1. Bullish Trend Holding – PLTR has maintained higher lows and is now testing a critical resistance zone near $88–$90.
2. Breakout Setup Forming – Price is pressing against a descending trendline. A clean breakout above $88–$89 could trigger a sharp move higher.
3. Potential Pullback Before Breakout – If PLTR fails to hold above $86, expect a retest of the $84 support zone before another attempt.
4. MACD & Stoch RSI – Indicating bullish momentum, but nearing overbought conditions, which could lead to consolidation before continuation.
Key Levels to Watch
📍 Immediate Resistance:
🔹 $88 – First breakout level
🔹 $90 – Major CALL Resistance & Gamma Wall (60.92%)
🔹 $93.62 – Final breakout confirmation zone
📍 Immediate Support:
🔻 $84 – Breakout Retest Zone
🔻 $80 – Strongest PUT Support (-42.56%)
🔻 $75 – Secondary PUT Wall (-27.48%)
Options Flow & GEX Sentiment
* IVR: 61.8 (High Implied Volatility, favoring larger moves)
* IVx: 73.5 (-7.21%) (Volatility cooling down, setting up for a breakout)
* GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bullish Setup Forming ✅ ✅ ✅
* CALL Walls: $90 & $93.62 (Upside resistance zones)
* PUT Walls: $80 & $75 (High liquidity areas for demand)
📌 Options Insight:
* Above $88, expect a gamma squeeze toward $90–$93.62 if momentum holds.
* Below $86, risk increases for a pullback to $84–$80, where liquidity is highest.
My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation
🚀 Bullish Case: If PLTR breaks and holds above $88, expect a push to $90–$93.62.
⚠️ Bearish Case: If PLTR fails at $88, a pullback to $84 or even $80 is likely before another move up.
Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes)
📌 Bullish Play:
🔹 Entry: Breakout above $88
🔹 Target: $90–$93.62
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $86
📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
🔻 Entry: Rejection at $88
🔻 Target: $84–$80 PUT Wall
🔻 Stop Loss: Above $89
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Final Thoughts
PLTR is at a major breakout level near $88. A successful breakout could push it to $90+, while failure could lead to a pullback toward $84 or $80. Watch price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
POTENTION MOVE FOR PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INCHi everyone, this is Palantir analysis as we can see that there is a potential move to the upside, from one day time frame we see a good market structure in bull perspective just like yesterday can in one daily time we see a hummer candlestick though there is a gap in downside so be carefully
Palantir - learning to fly (wave & fib analysis)Just a quick lock at PLTR price development.
This fits quite well into a 5-wave move and the fibonacci extensions.
After earnings price hit the 4.0 extension with astonishing precision, but this can be seen quite often with other stocks like AMD as well.
Price is currently trading around the 3.764 extension and at a P/E (ttm) of just 534.
This will probably last for some time, but buying here is obviously not a good idea.
A retracement back to the trendline in the 70$ area wouldn't surprise me.
What goes up must come down.
PLTR Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels
* Current Price: $90.60
* Support: $84.40, $78.58
* Resistance: $95, $100
PLTR is showing bullish momentum after bouncing off key support near $84.40. The price action has shifted, breaking multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) levels to the upside, signaling a potential reversal.
Reversal Zone Analysis
PLTR has rebounded from the liquidity zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $90 - $95. If price holds above $90, a move toward $95 and possibly $100 is likely.
Options & GEX Analysis
* IVR: 77.2
* IVx Avg: 82.5
* GEX: Green (indicating bullish positioning)
* Put Walls: $80, $75, $70
* Call Walls: $95, $100
Options flow suggests that PLTR has strong put support at $80, while gamma resistance lies at $95-$100, making it a key area to watch for rejection or breakout.
Trading Plan & Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
* Entry: Above $90 with volume confirmation
* Target: $95, then $100
* Stop-Loss: Below $88
Bearish Scenario (Less Likely)
* Entry: If price rejects at $95
* Target: $85
* Stop-Loss: Above $95
Options Trade Idea
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $90 Calls, Sell $100 Calls (April Expiry)
* Credit Put Spread: Sell $85 Puts, Buy $80 Puts
Final Thoughts
PLTR appears to be regaining momentum, but $95 is a key test level. If price sustains above it, expect continuation toward $100. Otherwise, a rejection may bring a retrace toward $85. Watch volume and option flow to confirm direction.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Go Long on PLTR: Strong Fundamentals and Strategic Growth
-Key Insights: Palantir Technologies is capitalizing on its AI capabilities and
strategic partnerships to strengthen its market position, especially through
government contracts and expansions in the healthcare sector. These moves ensure
its resilience amidst defense budget scrutiny and market volatility.
-Price Targets: For next week, considering the bullish sentiment, here are the
suggested targets and stop levels:
- T1: $90.00
- T2: $92.00
- S1: $84.80
- S2: $83.17
-Recent Performance: PLTR has shown robust performance, benefiting from new
partnerships and increased investor confidence. Its stock has appreciated
significantly, cementing its status among leading AI-driven tech firms.
-Expert Analysis: Market analysts view Palantir's potential positively. Despite
its high P/E ratio, the company's strategic growth in AI and defense-related
sectors portrays it as a promising long-term investment, aided by strong
alliances with firms like Booz Allen Hamilton and AWS.
-News Impact: The partnership with R1 in the healthcare sector reflects
Palantir's strategic diversification. This development not only mitigates
potential risks from defense budget cuts but also showcases the company's
ability to drive operational improvements across various industries, further
strengthening its growth outlook.
PLTR at Major Resistance! Breakout or Pullback Ahead? Mar17Quick look at PLTR’s current setup on the 4-hour chart.
📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
* PLTR is testing critical resistance within a descending channel around $86-$90; important decision point here.
* Recent Change of Character (CHoCh) hints bullish momentum might be picking up.
* Watch carefully the $90.94 level for breakout confirmation.
* Strong support clearly established at recent BOS level around $71.81–$78.45. Crucial floor if price retraces.
* Significant overhead resistance near $125 if a strong breakout occurs.
📊 GEX & Options Insights:
* Strong positive NET GEX and CALL resistance at $100; key gamma level to watch for potential moves.
* Robust PUT support clearly marked at $70; strong floor for downside protection.
* IV Rank extremely high at 74.2%; premiums rich and ideal for selling options or using defined-risk spreads.
* CALL ratio at 44.3%, suggesting mixed sentiment, slightly leaning bearish.
💡 Trade Recommendations:
* Bullish Play: Confirm breakout above $90.94 before entering calls, targeting up toward $100 gamma wall initially. Keep stops just under $85.
* Bearish Play: Watch for a strong rejection at current resistance levels; consider puts back toward $78 and potentially lower.
* Neutral setups: High IV makes Iron Condors or premium collection strategies attractive between clear levels ($70–$100).
🛑 Risk Management: With elevated volatility, tight stop-losses and careful position sizing are essential.
Stay sharp, traders!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
A Bounce For Palantir?Granted that tech stocks are clearly hostage to macro at present (Trump v. Powell), a few are poised to rebound strongly should events permit. Palantir is one of them.
With support above the 50% of the move from the 8/5 low to the ATH, with good fundamentals, and a narrative that remains compelling (AI), Palantir may well continue its run if the results of next week's FOMC meeting are at all tolerable to equities markets.
Palantir has today broken the regression from the ATH to the Lower Low 3/10. Where stochastics stand, I can see a brief pullback to the low 80s Monday followed by a strong end of week. A daily close above 91--or, better yet, 98--would confirm for me Palantir's return to price discovery.
Any buys in the low 80's, I'd stop just under the 50% (at about 72).
PLTR market favourite- price prediction based on VP $45Everybody loves PLTR and wants a bite of it. I dont love any stocks. I only love market profile tool which keeps me sane. Good news is, you maybe able to buy PLTR at 45. No, this is not me saying, I am just an interpreter of Volume profile. Act at your own risk
PLTR Testing Key Levels! Is This the Reversal We've Been WaitingMarket Structure Overview
* Downtrend continuation observed with rejection at the Reversal Zone.
* Price is currently consolidating just below the downward trendline, struggling to break out.
* Volume suggests buyers are stepping in, but not convincingly enough for a strong reversal.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
* Support Zones:
* $78.00 – Psychological support and highest negative NETGEX level.
* $75.00 - $70.00 – Put wall zone, potential last strong support before further downside.
* Resistance Levels:
* $80.00 - $82.00 – Key breakout zone from the current wedge.
* $88.00 - $90.00 – Major resistance from the 2nd CALL Wall.
* $95.00 - $100.00 – Strong Gamma Wall and CALL resistance.
Indicators & Momentum
* MACD: Trying to cross bullish but lacks momentum—still in negative territory.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold and pointing upwards—short-term bullish impulse possible.
* Volume: Increased slightly, but not confirming a breakout yet.
GEX & Options Insights
* PUT Support: Strongest negative NETGEX level near $78.00, showing that options market expects support here.
* CALL Resistance: Highest concentration between $88.00 - $100.00, suggesting a tough breakout level.
* IVR: 99.4, indicating high implied volatility.
* Options Flow: Calls at 18.1%, slightly bullish but still mixed sentiment.
Potential Trade Setups
* Bullish Case:
* Entry: Above $82.00 with confirmation of strength.
* Target: $88.00 - $90.00 for the first target, $100.00 for aggressive move.
* Stop Loss: Below $78.00 to cut losses early.
* Bearish Case:
* Entry: Rejection at $80.00 - $82.00 and failure to break trendline.
* Target: $75.00, then $70.00 if downside continues.
* Stop Loss: Above $85.00 if momentum shifts bullish.
📌 Final Thoughts:
PLTR is at a critical juncture—a breakout above $82.00 could trigger a bullish reversal, but failure to hold $78.00 might bring further downside. Keep an eye on volume and momentum shifts for confirmation.
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk before trading.
PALANTIR I Liquidity below 78 and OB. Target 160The liquidity cycle is not on, so I expect another pump will form soon.
Palantir Fundamentals in Brief
📍Innovative Tech & Diversified Base:
Palantir’s platforms—Foundry and Gotham—enable organizations to integrate and analyze large datasets, offering actionable insights. Their services span both government agencies and commercial enterprises, helping balance revenue risks.
📍Solid Financial Momentum:
The company’s consistent growth and its focus on long-term contracts highlight a path toward greater operational efficiency and profitability. Their commitment to multi-year engagements builds a reliable foundation for future expansion.
📍Investment Thesis:
In an era where data drives decision-making, Palantir’s cutting-edge technology positions it as a key player in digital transformation. Its resilience in adapting to market changes and a steady stream of contracts make it an attractive option for investors looking for a forward-thinking tech play.
This analysis underscores why many consider Palantir a compelling long-term investment, blending technological innovation with a strategic approach to market challenges.
Its ecosystem withing Ecosystem
What they are doing is unique, so now we might ask why other big tech companies are not doing the same. Well, here is my thesis, they nailed the specific sector.
Can Ford or Rivian be like NASDAQ:TSLA in EVs and FSD? No
Can Linux be like NASDAQ:MSFT Windows and Office? No
Can Microsoft Edge be like NASDAQ:GOOGL Chrome? No
Can AMD be like NASDAQ:NVDA ? No
Can Walmart be like NASDAQ:AMZN in E-commerce and Fulfillment? Nope
But that's not all
Peter Thiel, Palantir &PayPal co-founder, has been a mentor and major financial supporter of J.D Vance. Their relationship began around 2011 when Vance attended a talk by Thiel at Yale Law School, which inspired Vance to pivot his career away from law. Vance joined Thiel's global investment firm in 2017 and later worked at Thiel's venture capital firm, Mithril Capital. Thiel played a crucial role in Vance's political rise by donating $15 million to Vance's 2022 Senate campaign. This financial support helped Vance secure his victory. Thiel introduced Vance to former President Donald Trump, leading to Trump's endorsement of Vance for the Senate
His web of power is huge
Clark Minor, a 13-year Palantir veteran, is now RFK Jr.’s Health & Human Services Chief Information Officer.
Gregory Barbaccia, Palantir's former Head of Intelligence and Investigations, was hired as Federal Chief Information Officer
Jacob Helberg, a senior advisor to Palantir, was appointed as the Under Secretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment
Shyam Sankar, Palantir’s Chief Technology Officer is reportedly being considered for a high-level Pentagon job guiding research and development
Anthony Jancso, George Cooper and one other engineers have been associated with DOGE recruitment effort ,and they are former Palantir Forward Deployed Engineers
Greg Little, one of the first Pentagon officials to run CDAO, joined Palantir as a senior counselor in August 2023.
David Spirk, who served as chief data officer at the Pentagon and contributed to the creation of CDAO, joined Palantir as senior counselor in July 2022.
Maura Thompson, who held various logistics positions at CDAO and the Joint Chiefs of Staff, is now a deployment strategist at Palantir.
Trevor Austin, who worked as a Palantir engineer early in his career, is now CDAO’s acting chief technology officer.
Will Thibeau, who worked as deployment strategist at Palantir, later did a stint at CDAO as a policy analyst.
Joseph Larson, who headed AI policy and strategy at Palantir, went on to serve as a deputy chief at CDAO.
Matthew Turpin, an advisor to Palantir, served as the director of China for the National Security Council in the first Trump White House and as senior China advisor to Trump’s then-commerce secretary
Wendy Anderson, an executive with Pentagon experience who joined the company in 2020, holds the title of senior vice president of federal and national security.
Alexander Alden, a veteran of the first Trump administration who joined Palantir in 2021. Described as a “Trump loyalist,” Alden served as a special assistant at the Pentagon from 2017 to 2018 before becoming senior director on Trump’s National Security Council, responsible for emerging technologies and defense policy.
Jamie Fly, a former aide to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), Trump’s newly installed secretary of state. Fly served as a foreign and national security affairs advisor to Rubio from 2013 to 2017 and did an earlier stint in the George W. Bush administration at both the Pentagon and National Security Council. He joined Palantir in August 2023.
Geof Kahn, a Central Intelligence Agency veteran who worked on the transition team for the first Trump administration, assisting then-Rep. Mike Pompeo (R-Kan.) during his confirmation process to be CIA director. Kahn later served as senior adviser to Pompeo and the CIA’s chief operating officer. He previously spent five years as policy director for the House Intelligence Committee from 2011 to 2017. Kahn joined Palantir in January 2023.
--Palantir Federal Advisory Board Members
The Honorable Christine H. Fox - Former Acting Deputy Secretary of Defense and Former Assistant Director, Policy and Analysis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.
General Carter F. Ham, USA (Retired) - Former Commander, United States Africa Command, and Former President and CEO of the Association of the United States Army.
The Honorable Deborah Lee James - Former Secretary of the United States Air Force.
Admiral William H. McRaven, USN (Retired) - Former Commander, United States Special Operations Command, and Former Chancellor of the University of Texas.
Vice Admiral Peter V. Neffenger, USCG (Retired) - Former Vice Commandant of the United States Coast Guard, and Former TSA Administrator, United States Department of Homeland Security.
The Honorable Jeh C. Johnson - Former Secretary of Homeland Security at the Department of Homeland Security and Counselor to Palantir.
Dr. Deborah L. Birx - Former Coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, and Former Ambassador-at-Large of the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR).
The Honorable Will Hurd - Former Representative of Texas' 23rd District.
General Gustave F. Perna, USA (Retired) - Former Chief Operating Officer, Operation Warp Speed; Former Commander, Army Materiel Command (AMC), U.S. Department of Defense.
Mr. Greg Simon - Former Executive Director of the White House Cancer Moonshot Task Force and the Biden Cancer Initiative, and Co-Founder of the Melanoma Research Alliance.
Im looking forward to the constructive discussion and also looking forward to the hatters. You are all welcome.
David Perk
PalantirNo change to my analysis. I am expecting price to move higher towards the 0.382 @96.47 for sub-minuette a of minor B. We don't yet have confirmation though so could technically still be the minor A wave of (4). Don't forget my turquoise count suggests that wave (4) is already over, and we're heading higher in (5). I still find this count not very likely due to the structure of how we moved off the recent bottom on 28 Feb.
In short, my primary is that we're currently in wave B with a final target of $107-$118 or even slightly higher to form a flat abc. Secondary is we need a slight low to complete minor A. Third possible outcome is that wave (4) is already over, and we've begun (5) already. Notice that every pattern I am tracking has either bottomed or is extremely close. We should be headed to the upside in very short order, if not tomorrow. MACD and RSI both support this. Let me know if my expectations are unclear.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Technical & Options AnalysisMarket Structure & Price Action
* PLTR is currently trading at $84.82, showing signs of a potential reversal from a previous downtrend.
* The stock found support around $78.58, aligning with a previously identified reversal zone.
* There is early bullish detection as price has broken above the descending channel, potentially signaling a shift in trend.
* Resistance at $90.97 is a key level to watch for a continued move higher.
Supply & Demand Zones
* Support Zone: $78 - $80 (Reversal zone, where buying pressure emerged)
* Resistance Zone: $85 - $92 (Potential rejection or breakout zone)
* Higher Target Zone: $100 - $105 if the bullish momentum continues
Indicator Analysis
* MACD: Showing bullish momentum, but histogram bars are flattening, suggesting consolidation before the next move.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels indicate potential short-term pullback before further upside.
Options Flow & Gamma Exposure (GEX)
* Call Walls: $100 (72.6%) and $105 (55.18%) indicate where significant call option resistance might occur.
* Put Walls: $75 (-47.11%) and $70 (-99.54%) suggest strong put positioning at these levels.
* IV Rank: 87.4, indicating elevated implied volatility, meaning options premiums are high.
* Options Sentiment: 24.1% call positioning suggests a slight bullish sentiment, but caution is warranted.
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case:
* Entry: Above $85.50
* Target: $90 - $92, with extended upside to $100 - $105
* Stop-loss: Below $82
Bearish Case:
* Entry: Below $82
* Target: $78 - $75
* Stop-loss: Above $85
Conclusion
* PLTR is showing early bullish signs, but confirmation is needed with a sustained move above $85.
* Watch for a potential retest of support before a breakout.
* Options data suggests strong resistance around $100 - $105, making it a key decision point for further upside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions.
Palantir’s Uptrend May Be at RiskPalantir Technologies has climbed steadily since the summer, but some traders may think the run is nearing an end.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since early August. The software company is now under that line, which may suggest its uptrend is at risk.
Second, PLTR has made lower highs while holding its February 3 low of $78.47. That descending triangle is potentially bearish.
Third, prices have failed to hold the 50-day simple moving average. Is its intermediate-term direction changing?
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Prices also hit resistance at the 8-day EMA yesterday and MACD is dropping. Those patterns may be consistent with a short-term downtrend.
Finally, PLTR is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (It’s averaged about 1.3 million contracts per day in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That could make some traders look to position for moves with calls and puts.
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PALANTIR: It's a buy but don't expect a rally any time soon.Palantir is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.509, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 35.869) as it's trading under the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that gives a strong buy signal every time it hits its 1D MA100. As a matter of fact, the February 19th High has been a HH for the pattern and last time the price hit that top (July 31st 2023), it entered a lengthy Accumulation period. As in today, the 1D RSI was again on a similar Bearish Divergence. Consequently we believe that every 1D MA100 test is a buy opportunity, but the breakout rally will probably take another 4-5 months to happen. Aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 200.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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