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BEARUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point This is a continuation of the Weekly Inflection Point. On the daily we're getting close to a crucial area. A downward move here may indicate a large move, correction on the weekly, daily. 16k could easily be hit. There is also the potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg to 77-88k before a final correction. Watch for a break above or below the keltner channel. If the stock market is about to tank because WW3, the debt bubble created in 2008-2020, then Bitcoin will get shocked with it while everyone scrambles for PM's. After maybe bitcoin will be revived when people realize there isn't enough PM's out there, else some world wide digital currency emerges. Either way I have little hope for bitcoin, unless the NWO backs it because of the transparent transactions that can be traced, blacklisted, non fungible- control. Such a currency is a fools hope and will be used against you when tyranny seeks control over you.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Mikhiavelli
1
Bitcoin is on its way to update the highs again!The main liquidation level has risen, but it would be logical to assume a short-term spike near the $100k mark, without reaching it completely, and then a reversal downward. Why? Because a wave of newcomers will rush into the market, gripped by fear of missing out (FOMO), buying up assets on the spot and opening long positions. This will become an easy target. I prefer to trust fibonacci levels as they offer the optimal RR for most traders. The liquidation level at 66k converges with the 1,414 level! It's a magnet. Horban Brothers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by horbanbrothers
BTC TO THE MOONBitcoin had a good consolidation period and now is breaking up again. I can see this run taking us to nearly the 100K mark especially if DXY stays under its key resistance level. Currently leveraging into XAU and BTC. Hoping to see new highs for Gold and continued upward movement for BTC. I would imagine at 100K we will likely see some form of sell off and overflow into other cryptos as investors start securing profits and further diversifying. Overall I have a target of 200K for Bitcoin over the next 5 Years.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Nicholas_k
2
Sell the News into Bear Market LowsCXs conservative target is about $200k. (right now). But the consensus is always wrong. Last cycle everybody was sure about 100k (minimum). What did we get? 69k. So 69% lower than expected. (nice). I unironically think that that's a good metric for estimating tops in crypto. So 69% of 200k would put us at around $138k. Talks about "Supercycle", "Hyperbitcoinization" and "Valhalla" getting louder and will most definitely await us once our crypto savior Trump will be inaugurated. In other words: The biggest Top Signal ever about to hit the market. IMO Perfect Sell the News Event for the big guys. Especially after the psychological 100k is breached and retail panic buys. Macro is also "not looking good bruv"– That's why I think the cycle will be cut short and a painfully long Bear Market awaits us with the lows possibly 20% lower than 2021 ATH hitting around November 26. Before that we might get a second chance to sell high with a Dead Cat Bounce. FYI: I don't short, I don't long, I'm mapping this out for me to not get caught up in euphoria, sell around the highs and to catch the next lows. Good Luck Have Fun !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by brainrotcapital
1
The Hidden Risk of Complacency in TradingWhen markets show strong trends, especially bullish ones, it’s easy to feel reassured that prices will keep going up. This was what we saw in the gold market in October , where traders are confident and optimistic about continued upward movement. Yet this very confidence can mask a significant risk for traders: the risk of complacency. What is Complacency in Trading? In trading, complacency is the state where traders grow overly comfortable with the direction of the market, often assuming that current trends will continue. This mindset can lead to a relaxation of caution and due diligence, causing traders to overlook potential risks. Instead of evaluating trades with a fresh perspective, complacent traders may focus more on profit potential than on risk. Why Complacency Can Be Dangerous Complacency is particularly dangerous in trading because markets are unpredictable and often experience shifts just when traders feel the most comfortable. As the saying goes, “The market takes the stairs up and the elevator down.” When complacency takes hold, traders may enter positions without fully considering risks, increasing the potential for significant losses if a sudden reversal occurs. Take the gold market as an example... However, this positive sentiment could be a setup for a downside reversal. Traders who enter positions at elevated prices may find themselves exposed if the market corrects. The potential rewards for going long at these high levels may not be enough to offset the risks of a pullback. Recognizing Signs of Complacency To avoid falling into the trap of complacency, traders should look for certain behaviors, both in themselves and the market: Over-optimism in Market Sentiment: When traders broadly believe in an upward trend and are unwilling to consider downside risks, it’s often a warning sign. Entering Trades Without Proper Risk Assessment: If the main driver behind a trade is FOMO rather than sound analysis, there’s a chance complacency is at play. Ignoring Key Technical Signals: Complacent traders may disregard signals suggesting a potential reversal, like overbought indicators or failure to sustain new highs. How to Stay Vigilant Against Complacency Prioritize Risk Management: In every trade, evaluate risk first. A key to success is considering what could go wrong and setting stop-loss levels accordingly. Evaluate Reward-to-Risk Ratios: Before entering a position, assess if the potential reward justifies the risk. For instance, entering a long position in a bullish market may appear promising, but it’s vital to ensure that the entry point doesn’t carry excessive downside risk. Watch for Reversal Indicators: Look for technical indicators that might signal an impending reversal. Adopt a Patient, Wait-and-See Approach: When a market shows strong upward momentum, it’s often wise to hold back and look for better entry points rather than rushing in at a peak. Exercising patience can lead to far more rewarding opportunities. The Bottom Line Complacency can be the silent risk in trading, especially when markets show strong trends. By recognizing the dangers of complacency and implementing strategies to guard against it, traders can protect themselves from entering trades with unbalanced risk. Instead of getting swept up in bullish sentiment, stay grounded in a cautious, strategic approach that considers both potential gains and possible setbacks. In this way, you not only preserve your capital but also position yourself to capture more meaningful market moves in the long run.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
7
Bitcoin Set for Explosive Move After 220-Day Consolidation!BTCUSD has been in a 220-day range, similar to a previous consolidation period seen in early 2023. Historically, after such long-range trading, Bitcoin has experienced strong bullish breakouts, as shown by the green arrows. With the current range nearing its end, we could be on the verge of another significant upward move. Keep an eye on a potential breakout, which may signal the start of a new bullish trend. Regards Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
2
BTCUSD | 95K Target 1:1 Move | BullishThis will be the first big trade at the start of the exponential cycle we're about to witness for the 5th time in BTC history. Considering the descending broadening wedge pattern, a 1:1 move into the pattern gives a price target of roughly $95k. It can also been seen as a flag pattern which also reads a $95k impulse target as seen below: If you want to look at more longer-term targets and analysis of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , I've attached 3 of the charts I've made which will satisfy that long term bullish outlook. Best of luck to you all out there involved in this space and remember, manage your risk appropriately.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mt.BFX
2
Bitcoin Long-Term Analysis: Multi-Cycle ProjectionThis chart outlines Bitcoin's multi-year price projection using Fibonacci extensions and accumulation zones. Key highlights include: Primary Accumulation Phases: Detailed in red zones, indicating where BTC has historically built support and provided opportunities for strategic long-term positions. Re-Accumulation and Retesting: BTC's behavior post-breakout, showing support retests before climbing towards new highs. Future Cycle Top Projection: Using Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for the next macro bull cycle have been identified, highlighting the -450% to -550% range as a likely cycle peak. Manipulation Zone: This area suggests potential volatility and market maneuvers that may occur as BTC approaches key resistance levels. Price Targets and Milestones: Important future price levels have been mapped, such as the $250,000 and $400,000 range for potential cycle gains. This comprehensive chart serves as a roadmap for long-term traders and investors to understand potential BTC movements across multiple cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by tedthamel
Could BTC Flash crash to $78k before going to 100k?I've done a deep dive on cup and handle patterns for a while now, but this one just takes the cake. The longer duration a cup and handle pattern takes to develop, the more confirmation we get. This is the Bitcoin 2-day candlestick chart that has been developing for almost 3 years. If this cup and handle pattern plays out the way we should expect due to all the factors of the political environment, we should have at least a $150k bitcoin in the next 6 months. Price has nowhere to go in this scenario. This is the fibonacci extension/forecast where price is expected to hand out around in the next 6-months. Price clings to its' levels like a magnet. It's truly an amazing sight and I have this one drawn perfectly. Price had not choice but to go upwards. Throughout the course of history, we've had these financial cycles that begin with a bear market, a consolidation and then end with a bull market that reaches all time highs. This event is what we call a cycle in our financial system and the feds that control the interest rates make up a large factor that motivates this cycle; so many other political circumstances Basically our government is controlling periods of growth. The important thing to know is that this occurs basically every 4 years. We call it a cycle in the Crypto Currency world and in other financial markets. The price of bitcoin has to get rejected at the 93k mark again today to have a higher probably of dropping to $78k, but that is what we should expect in volatility. We are in a clear bull market now with Bitcoin in and out of Price Discovery Mode. The top according to the history of Crypto should be late 2025, but I think we are on the verge of potentially mass adoption. How many new hundreds of thousands of dollars of all time highs when the Dow Jones has only 5x in 20 years before the masses start to pay attention? Will it be so subtle to the average non-educated person won't realize what's happening until the price of one bitcoin is over $1000? Satoshi was a smart man and gave us this gift and halving cycles every 4 years intentionally that coincide with the elections changes and uncertainty that comes along with change that In case you haven't noticed, Trump just appointed Elon Musk to the Department of Goverment Efficiency, (DOGE) and as a result, has caused the price to explode on the DOGE Coin. Elon Musk was able to do with $400 million from the sale of paypal, what no govment has ever been able to achieve. I do believe that we are on the cusp of a potential breakout of mass adoption and as a federal reserve asset and I am going to predict that if that happens, a domino effect/chain reaction would occur that would put Bitcoin at potentially $3 million one day. I'm expecting a breakout to occur today again propelling it to $100k or $108k. Don't think the $78k scenario will play out, but if it does, it'll be a great dip to buy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EMJ123
1
November 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no separate Nasdaq indicator announcement. Bit's short-term pattern is broken, and I kept the $89,271 long position last week, and I brought the same strategy. *When the red finger moves, Long position strategy 1. $91,337 long position entry section / green support line breakaway, stop loss price 2. $93,817.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd If the strategy is successful, use the last 1st section long position re-entry Purple finger at the top This is a navigation and autonomous short operation section, but if it comes down right away without touching this section, it is the final long waiting in section 2. (91.3K strong when touched) Movement within the 1st and 2nd sections at the top is a sideways market The 3rd section is where the 4+6 pattern is restored Please check the simultaneous touch of the real-time 4-hour support line + 6-hour center line. If the 1st section is broken today The bull market including Bitcoin may continue again And if it moves sideways within the 1st section The cyclical pumping will continue in the major and minor altcoins. Up to this point, please use my analysis articles only for reference and use I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cuts. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
1
BTC 2025 Pi-Cycle Top Prediction I predict we see ~100% increase from prior all time high (ATH) and the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top sometime in early 2025 (March or April-ish). This puts bitcoin at roughly $140,000 with the better case scenario being 158k. I would like to note that bitcoin has continuously surprised me over the years. I have drawn some hypothetical paths leading towards the next profit zone. The blue is the best case scenario, yellow follows previous structure, and red what I would consider conservative. - Previous Cycle Structures: Each BTC market cycle, subsequent peaks from prior ATH have topped out two rainbow regression bands lower than the previous cycle. This pattern has formed over the past 3 major tops in Dec 2013, Dec 2017, and Nov 2021 - Best Case Scenario: -1.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 - Natural Scenario: -0.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 The Fibonacci Retracements taken from prior cycle low to breakout past prior ATH. This approximately resembles what the prior cycles did and where they saw consolidation. I'm also taking the cyclical nature of BTC in the beginning life-cycle as halvings affect the supply and hash rates. We have typically seen the peak occur between 150-300 days after breakout. Furthermore, if you average out the month over month ROI since August 2010, we find that April and November have historically seen the best returns at an average of 40% for lower bound and 110% as upper bound. I also took into consideration the low volume we have seen compared to prior peaks. Finally, with the change in administration, I cannot ignore the media and social attention crypto will see in as we head into 2025 and more. ~ hope i'm right ~
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by austunutsua