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BTC 4-Hour - Looking for the "LONG" set-up.Well the 1-hour TF had my curiosity. There should be an obvious bounce situation here. Bring this onto the 4-hour TF suggests that PA is beginning its' turn around. This can take several days to play out. I have suggested pathways of PA.. (and I know it is nearly impossible to guess future direction). These light green lines are helping to convey my expressed idea that a possible 4-hour set-up is nearing along with price turning around. The major factor in all of this, is... The daily TF. We can all see the MACd on its' way downhill. However the strength of the RSI gives probability to yet another run upwards after a grand 4-hour set-up bounce ... to .. perhaps... that special $111k area that everyone is excepting to reach. On the rebound.. there's that chance that the Daily just keeps PA on a downhill trajectory to levels of -35%, - 50% or -77% from the most recent ATH. It is less of a chance to continue down now, than create a newer high... however keep in mind that the daily will need to reset in the next few months most likely. With all of this said, enjoy the run-chart and lets see if this plays out for the set-up "LONG". You can shrink, expand or enlarge the chart by using the date or price sidebars.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Quartz-
BTC LONG: SHORT SQUEEZEHello all, Currently positioned at $65,000, Bitcoin is on the cusp of a significant shift. The reduction in selling pressure sets the stage for a steady climb to $71,000. This increase is poised to trigger short liquidations of approximately $120 million (data from Glassnode), propelling the price further to reach $75,000 . At this critical point a staggering $3.85 billion in short positions will be liquidated (data from Glassnode), signaling to the market that Bitcoin's ascent is far from tapering off. This realization is expected to lead many to close their short positions prematurely, in anticipation of further gains, setting off a short squeeze that could robustly push Bitcoin's price to at least $85,000. However, the journey does not end there. It is at this juncture that FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is likely to kick in, driving the price even higher as more investors and traders rush to buy Bitcoin, spurred by the fear of missing out on further gains. Nonetheless, it's crucial to consider the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. There's a conceivable scenario where Bitcoin could retract to a lower support zone between $60,000 to $62,000. This potential dip should not be overlooked, as it signifies a strong buying opportunity, buoyed by substantial buying power. The bounce back from this level, depicted as the second projection on my graph, showcases a solid reversal momentum, indicating the resilience of Bitcoin's market value. Both projections, labeled as 1 and 2 on my analysis graph, provide a holistic view of Bitcoin's potential price trajectory. Projection 1 forecasts a bullish scenario driven by a short squeeze, pushing the price towards an ambitious $85,000. In contrast, Projection 2 lays out a strategic recovery from lower support levels, emphasizing the market's potential for rapid recovery and further growth. Together, these insights underscore a period of dynamic and potentially profitable market movements for Bitcoin, highlighting the critical roles of market sentiment, investor behavior, and strategic investment opportunities in determining the future path of Bitcoin's value. In comparing the two projections for Bitcoin's potential price movements, my analysis leans more favorably towards the first projection primarily due to Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience at the $65,000 mark. This resilience is not merely a temporary market fluke but a strong indicator of underlying market confidence and investor support for Bitcoin at this level. $60,000-$62,000 (as outlined in the second projection) remains within the realm of possibilities, the momentum and market sentiment currently favor the bullish trajectory of the first projection. This conviction is rooted in recent market behaviors and the significant buying interest that emerges each time Bitcoin approaches this critical threshold, reinforcing my belief in the first projection's potential realization over the second. "Please note that the information provided in this analysis, including insights from Glassnode and any market predictions, is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. While the data and projections are shared with the intention of offering insight into potential market trends, they are based on current market conditions and assumptions that are subject to change. Investing in cryptocurrencies is inherently risky and should be done carefully after conducting your own due diligence. I am not a financial advisor, and this analysis should not serve as a basis for making investment decisions." Thanks all for hearing out my first idea! -Nathan
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Nathan_Chandra
2
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term. However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation. Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks): Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high. Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase. Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%. Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months): Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences. Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase. Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jpantsjoha
BITCOIN - BTC/USD - 15 min. Technical analysis published 12/12My opinion Bullish above 98,537.51 USD My targets 102,534.81 USD (+1.07%) 103,995.11 USD (+2.51%) All elements being clearly bullish, it would be possible for traders to trade only long positions (at the time of purchase) on BITCOIN - BTC/USD as long as the price remains well above 98,537.51 USD. The buyers' bullish objective is set at 102,534.81 USD. A bullish break in this resistance would boost the bullish momentum. The buyers could then target the resistance located at 103,995.11 USD. However, beware of bullish excesses that could lead to a possible short-term correction; but this possible correction would not be tradeable.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by abouel
BTC POSSIBLE SELLBased on DAILY and 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by WiLLProsperForex
Cup and handle looking like new ath on the way. $120k by xmas.Looking like all time high in progress. Let's go... A cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. This is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by newyorkisheaven
HolderStat | BTC at a crossroads🌍 Bitcoin holds steady at $101,500, reflecting a market in flux. While Microsoft passed on BTC reserves, nations and corporations are exploring Bitcoin reserves, highlighting its financial relevance. 📉 Spot BTC ETF inflows have slowed since November, hinting at cautious sentiment. Broader crypto ETFs and U.S. policy shifts could ignite new institutional interest. 💡 Bitcoin dominance dipped, and while altcoins remain in the wings, a shift feels near. Wallets activity shows balance, with buys at $97,740 and sells near $98,510—traders remain divided. 🔥 With $1.5 billion in long liquidations and neutral funding rates, the market stands at a pivotal moment. Is this the calm before the next bull storm? _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
1