DJ30.F trade ideas
Acw us30 bullish case We see price making a new ath and heading towards 46000 in early 2025
Before experiencing a correction around Feb - March 2025
DJIA // Start of CorrectionI've posted some ideas about it, but now we have a lower close on the daily and waves down on H4, so the correction fibo 38.2 seems like a nice target.
Stay Patient, Stay Disciplined!
Dow Jones Wave Analysis 9 December 2024
- Dow Jones reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 44300.00
Dow Jones index previously reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 45000.00 (which has been reversing the index from the end of November), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active minor correction iv of the higher impulse wave 5 from last month.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall toward the next support level 44300.00 (former resistance which stopped wave i at the start of November).
US30 LONG IDEA I’m looking at this long trade on US30 back to the upside to take that external liquidity
Risk wisely if you’re joining me, what do you think?
Follow me for more trade ideas
My expectations for US30 at H4Hi Guys!
We are at US30 H4, I do my trade at M1 or M5 but I wish to share my view point with you about it in H4, Hope it will be useful...
We need to see how the price closes in the 4-hour time frame at point A.
The first scenario:
if it breaks the channel (Channel) with a powerful bearish candle, the possibility of continuing the bearish trend until reaching point B, which is the intersection of the three trend lines (T1, T2, T3) and the bottom of the bearish channel (CH) and also a beautiful number (around of 43000), is very high; There is a gap that the price is very willing to see, so in this scenario it is possible for the downtrend to continue for at least half of the gap.
The second scenario:
if the price touches the bottom of the channel (Channel) and makes weak Bullish or bearish candles in the 4-hour time frame, the possibility of the price returning to the upward trend is very high, in this scenario, the price is likely to complete its second movement size (leg2) and complete the project 3 collisions (1,2,3) move towards the beautiful number of 46,000
Both scenarios are beautiful scenarios that can be easily seen, it should be seen which scenario is not easily seen, the probability of its occurrence will be higher.
Wishing you successful trading
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
US30 Broke another Support Level at 44000 - Over CorrectedUS30 is completely overcorrected with market manipulators going to liquidate buyers who think price is about to rise. If price continues to fall, look for there to be no support until 43362 which is way's away. If that happens there is a big opportunity to maintain short trades but it is very risky because US30 is completely over corrected and may go bullish at any moment. Keep an eye out for further selling for intraday opportunities.
Be Careful Going Short on US30 Wait for Retest of 44156US30 is faking as if its going to sell. This may be the case however the likelihood that this pair is still falling is minimal. What we are seeing is market manipulation. They are going down to take the liquidity from the buyers in the market then going up. If this is the case, look to short only after a retest and ride it down to the next two support levels maximum.
What do you think?
Comment Below
my expectation for Dow Jonseus30 move in Rasing wedge and also, we have Bearish Divergence so i expect that we will down to close gab on 44357.00 then make retest on 44525.00 after that if the price stabilizes below 44525.00, we may see 44015.00 lvl which represents the lower limit of wedge pattern.
US30 Looks like its reversingUS30 Created a evening start at 10 am on the 1 hr chart. This is indication that price is most likely reversing at this point. US30 will most likely continue to be bullish for some time going forward. Let me know your thoughts.
US30- Falling to Fill Gap and Rising SoonUS 30 is currently at a major support line at 44388. Price is likely to stay along this support line until tomorrow morning during high trade times between 9am and 11am. Price will likely continue falling or another day, however because we are at a major support line price may bounce off of the current support line faking a sell just to create a bullish trend. Look for a trend reversal between now and Wednesday.
US30 4H
Dow Jones Analysis :
Introduction:
My previous analysis is here . As noted, while Nasdaq was predicted to be bullish, Dow Jones remained bearish. This contrast reflects the precision of price action analysis combined with a strong strategy that enables accurate market readings.
Main Scenarios:
The current trend remains bearish, and I expect the price to drop to 43530, where a potential reversal may occur.
Invalidation Level: A breakout and consolidation above 44500 will invalidate my analysis and signal a potential trend reversal.
Forecast and Strategy:
Short-Term Targets:
43350
42900
Upon reaching 43530, I will update the analysis to evaluate whether the market continues downward or reverses.
Closing:
As we approach the year-end, risk management becomes even more critical. Avoid entering trades without a solid plan.
For further updates, please like this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments.
US 30 SELLNoticed bearish divergences on the Monthly, Weekly & Daily. Taking a short on US30 also in line with head & shoulder patterns with acceptance that market can change quickly due to fundamentals.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
Dow Jones for buyIf you're trading today, consider the current consolidation pattern and news impact. Higher times are still in pullback so bit caution here ⚠
The 45,000 level is acting as a roadblockGood day to all,
Recent market movements in the DOW and SPY have demonstrated a sharp upward trend without any significant pullbacks. This deviation from typical market behavior suggests the possibility of artificial manipulation rather than organic growth.
One major contributing factor appears to be the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate-cutting policies. By lowering interest rates, the Fed has incentivized borrowing and increased liquidity in the market, creating upward pressure on asset prices. While this move may have been aimed at stimulating economic activity, it has also introduced distortions, pushing equities higher at an unsustainable pace.
This type of rally, driven more by monetary policy than by strong economic fundamentals or corporate performance, increases the risk of a sudden correction. A lack of major pullbacks could indicate overextended positions in the market, as investors chase the momentum fueled by easy money conditions.
In light of this, my strategy is to remain cautious and focus on identifying potential reversal points. With the DOW and SPY showing signs of being overbought, I'll monitor key technical indicators and macroeconomic data for signals of a potential correction or trend reversal.
The Fed’s policy shift highlights the importance of aligning my trades with broader economic factors. This environment underlines the need for discipline in risk management, as artificially driven rallies can be unpredictable and volatile.
PEPPERSTONE:US30 NYSE:DOW
Avoid Betting at the Peak? Here's How Market Breadth HelpWe are Investic Lab, a quant-focused lab dedicated to designing tools that provide clients with actionable insights from quantitative data on global markets. Our tools offer a unique perspective by analyzing market data based on facts—not speculative price predictions.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Key Takeaways:
✅ Quantitative Insights Over Predictions:
Our tools explore the concept of "Peaks" using data-driven approaches, offering a distinct advantage compared to traditional predictive models.
✅ Why Market Breadth and DJIA (US30)?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) serves as a leading indicator for our analysis. By examining market breadth, we aim to identify potential short-term bullish weaknesses.
Market Breadth Analysis: Understanding the Red-to-Yellow Zone Transition
📊 Timeframe: Daily (TF Day)
The transition from the Red Zone to the Yellow Zone signals a shift in market dynamics. This change represents 7 to 24 stocks moving above the 20-day EMA, indicating moderate market strength and the emergence of a positive trend.
🔍 Not Bearish, but Weakening Bullish Momentum:
While this transition does not imply bearish conditions, it often reflects short-term bullish weakness.
🎯 Opportunity at or Near the Peak:
We suggest adjusting your Risk/Reward (R/R) to 3:1 to take advantage of this phase, which may represent the peak or near-peak conditions for the short term.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Minutes (TF m15)
For aggressive traders monitoring intraday price movements, we recommend incorporating Bollinger Bands into your strategy. Focus on the average line of the Bollinger Bands, which can serve as a reliable reference for trade setups.
✅ Use the Average Line for Entry Decisions:
If you're experienced with Bollinger Bands, rely on the average line as your primary guide. Either, If you’re unsure about Bollinger Band parameters, substitute the 39-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line for a clear trend-following signal.
Risk Management Reminder:
⚠️ Trading Against the Trend:
This strategy goes against the prevailing bullish market trend, which inherently carries more risk. If the price doesn’t move as expected, cut your losses and wait for the next trade setup.
💡 Opportunities Always Await:
Missed trades are part of the process. Stay disciplined—there will always be new opportunities ahead!
New ATH Achieved: Price Targets 45,200 Amid Sustained UptrendTechnical Analysis
The price has reached a new all-time high (ATH) and is now advancing toward the 45,200 level.
Currently, a corrective move toward 44,920 is underway, and a sustained position above this level is expected to propel the price further toward 45,200.
For a bearish scenario to materialize, the price must close a 4-hour candle below 44,750, which would likely open the path to a decline toward 44,400.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 45100
Resistance Levels: 45200, 45500, 45600
Support Levels: 44750, 44400, 44270
Trend Outlook:
Uptrend while above 44750 and 44920
DOW JONES High Channel Up symmetry points to 46000.Dow Jones (DJI) easily hit our 45000 Target as suggested on our November 20 idea (see chart below), and immediately turned sideways, consolidating basically for the past 6 days:
This is not the first time that we've come across this consolidation within the 4-month Channel Up as the exact same sequence was last seen during September 20 - October 08. As with today's price action, the consolidation also took place above the 1.0 Fibonacci level and once completed, it gave one final push to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before correcting back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, we now set a new Target for the end of the year at 46000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 - 15 min ( Best buy and sell scalping after Break Out ) ⚡️US30 / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 44960 Area
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 45050 Area
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 44700 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis Not by Number ..
🔖 Announcement Coming After Successful Break
US30 / TRADING A RANGE BETWEEN 45,100 AND 44,468 / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The Dow Jones is trading between 45,100 (resistance) and 44,468 (support) , Prices are under upward pressure, but remain below the all-time high (ATH) of 45,100.
If prices fail to stabilize above 45,100, a decline is expected toward the lower support at 44,468,If prices break below 44,468, the decline could continue further into a demand zone between 43,960 and 43,719.
If prices break and stabilize above 45,100 (ATH), an increase is expected toward a new historical zone between 45,490 and 45,890.
us30 - 15 min ( Best Buy and Sell Area After Break Out ) ⚡️US30 / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 44930 Area
Break Out done
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 44800 Area
Break Out done
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis Not by Number ..
🔖 Announcement Coming After Successful Break
Short then long then short1. Hanging man candle on 1D tf
2. Bearish divergence on 1H and 4H tf
3. The price has broken out of the ascending channel and retested it from below
So it's gonna fall. My targets are on the chart.
Reducing riskiness works in favor of stock indicesIn the recent four-hour chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), the price is moving in a clear ascending channel. This movement shows that the market continues its upward trend.
Currently, the price of the Dow Jones is above the support level of $44,534. This support level is very important to continue the upward movement. If the price manages to maintain this level and continue to move above it, we can expect the price to increase and reach higher resistance levels.
As long as the price remains above the $44,534 support, the next resistance target will be $45,949. Technically, this resistance level is a key target for the continuation of the upward trend, and if the price reaches it and does not cross it, it can start a new wave of buying and increasing the price.
Also, considering the strength of the upward trend and the position of the price inside the channel, this resistance target is considered as a sign of market strength, and its achievement can be an important milestone in the next movement of the market.
