Descending triangleDescending triangle formed with the possibility to aim at the unfilled gap, higher time frame there's a major resistance.
US30 trade ideas
DOW JONES: Breached the 1D MA200. Tariff War 2018 Recovery aheadDow Jones is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.103, MACD = 203.720, ADX = 34.693) and as it crossed today above the 1D MA200 for the first time since April 2nd, and practically validates the recovery from the Tariff War correction, it draws strong comparisons with the last U.S.-China Tariff War in 2018. Both rebounded after highly oversold 1D RSI levels, and the 2019 recovery almost hit the 0.9 Fibonacci level before turning into a less aggressive recovery. The trade is long, TP = 44,100.
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DowJones INTRADAY key trading level at 41790US stocks point to slightly lower open as traders react to global and economic developments.
Main drivers:
Trump’s Gulf Visit: Markets are watching for any new investment deals or geopolitical tensions. A $600B Saudi investment deal was announced yesterday, and Trump is now heading to Qatar.
Tariff Optimism: Hopes of US-China tariff easing have supported recent rallies and reduced fears of a slowdown.
Rate Cut Expectations Lower: Stronger sentiment has reduced chances of near-term rate cuts by the Fed, ECB, and BoE. This may limit upside for some rate-sensitive stocks.
ECB Outlook: ECB’s Villeroy said a rate cut is likely this summer, keeping some dovish tone in Europe.
US CPI Impact: Markets are still digesting yesterday’s inflation data, which could affect future Fed moves.
Trading Takeaway:
Momentum is supported by global optimism, but fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical risks may keep gains in check. Stay alert for headlines out of the Gulf.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42550
Resistance Level 2: 42910
Resistance Level 3: 43370
Support Level 1: 41790
Support Level 2: 41470
Support Level 3: 41220
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Breaks Out of Wedge – Bulls Eyeing 43,000 Next?Big breakout alert on the Dow Jones Index (US30)!
Key Technical Highlights:
Falling Wedge Breakout: Price broke out of a large falling wedge pattern, often a bullish continuation signal.
Clean Retest: We’ve seen a breakout above the neckline, followed by a minor consolidation – a healthy sign of trend continuation.
Trendline Confluence: Price is now riding the ascending trendline, showing strong bullish structure and momentum.
Next Zone to Watch: Immediate resistance near 43,000 could be the next key level. If bulls maintain momentum, that zone may be tested soon.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish, as long as price stays above 41,500–41,800 area.
Invalidation: A drop below the ascending trendline would invalidate the breakout and shift sentiment to neutral.
What do you think? Is this a bull trap or is the Dow ready to continue higher? Share your analysis below!
Smash that like button, comment your setup, and follow for more clean technical charts.
#us30 #dowjones #indextrading #priceaction #chartanalysis #breakoutstrategy #technicalanalysis #tradingview
US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Updat📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Update 🚨
Price action is consolidating just below 42,200, forming a tight bullish flag/pennant structure after a clean breakout run. The trend remains firmly bullish, with EMAs aligned and curling up 📈.
🔎 Quick Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,185
⏸ Consolidation Zone: 42,000–42,250
🧠 Market is resting after a strong move — textbook bullish continuation setup
🔥 What to Watch:
Break and hold above 42,250 → 🚀 Expansion move possible toward 42,600–42,800
Failure + close below 42,000 → ⚠️ Minor retrace to 41,700 support (EMA catch zone)
Volume is thinning out — breakout may come soon. Stay sharp. 👀
🧠 Mindset Tip:
Markets move in impulse → correction → impulse. This pause is normal.
✅ Wait for confirmation
❌ Don’t chase inside chop
DJI – Ready for the Final ActAfter the breakdown below the last support on March 11th, the price pulled back and formed P2.
A frightening drop followed, reaching P3, then a sharp V-shaped recovery up to point (4)—just a few points shy of the Center Line.
If P2 doesn’t get taken out, things could turn ugly again. Because in that case, my new target lies below the white Lower Median Line Parallel, at P5.
Nothing is certain—never has been. But these days, *everything* feels off balance.
The moves are insane. Governments trading ahead of the news, making hundreds of millions at the expense of ordinary people. It’s like reality has left the building.
Tiny positions. Tight stops. Very high risk-reward ratios. And absolutely zero FOMO.
That’s how these markets must be traded.
Anything else, and we’re bound to get wrecked.
\#backfromcontemplation
Dow Jones set for summer surge? Why a dip could spark a rallyThe Dow is stuck below key resistance. In this video, I explain why a short-term dip could trigger a powerful bullish pattern. We look at the inverse head and shoulders setup and explore how tax cuts and trade deals could fuel a breakout toward 49,000.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification:
Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish reversal from recent lows.
• MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum.
• RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run).
• Price reclaiming key moving averages.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Clear uptrend continuation.
• MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum.
• Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity.
• MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave.
Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context):
• Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts.
• Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations.
• VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment.
⸻
Trade Plan (Long):
• Entry: 42,360
Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes.
• Stop Loss (SL): 41,850
Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk).
• Take Profit (TP): 43,380
Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward).
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DOW JONES WEAK TRENDDOW JONES WEAK TREND
The Dow Jones has been experiencing some fluctuations lately. While it surged over 300 points recently, there are concerns about economic slowdown indicators, such as weak labor market data and declining consumer confidence. Some analysts believe that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in response to these trends. However, strong earnings from big tech companies like Microsoft and Meta have helped offset some of the downward pressure
DJI - 2000 pts already moved out of 8000 pts since last posted?It has already moved around 2000 points since last posted on 22nd April. Expecting around 8000 points moved as per mentioned earlier and the levels are still the same. Introduced additional levels for the better understanding. So, another 6000 points move pending before any reasonable correction? let's see.
Upside: 41240.49, 43084.22, 45025.94 and 46967.67
Downside: 34578.53, 32728.34, 30786.61 and 28844.88
US30 AFTERNOON SESSION MAY 13Damn!! Why price acting up for? Lol let's handle it.
Price, after a very heavy push up seems as if its starting to fall off bit. Its making a head & shoulders pattern and its starting to sell. When price breaks and retests the neckline I'm going to get in for the sell and sell it down to 41970. Trade responsibly and have fun.
US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 42,240.1 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 42,166.6.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 - medium to long term opportunity setting upHello,
The US30 futures are forming a bullish pattern, signaling potential upside. The MACD and moving averages align, presenting a compelling opportunity for buyers.
Investors should note President Trump's aggressive push for Federal Reserve Chair Powell to cut interest rates, including threats to dismiss him if he resists. While this rhetoric could unsettle markets, we believe Trump is unlikely to follow through, as markets have likely found a bottom and he would avoid actions that could trigger a downturn.
Technical analysis supports early entry for bold investors, with a stop-loss placed below the recent low. Proceed with caution and good luck.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 42,479.50
1st Support: 41,294.20
1st Resistance: 43,190.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 Approaching Key Resistance Within Rising Channel:🧠 Chart Context & Overview
Chart Type: Candlestick
Time Frame: Appears to be Daily (based on price action and spacing of dates)
Current Price: ~$40,798.4
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): ~40,065.2
EMA 200 (Blue): ~41,475.6
Trend Structure: Ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows forming since early April.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
📈 Trend Analysis
The price is moving within a rising parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries.
The recent bullish candles indicate momentum building towards a breakout or test of resistance.
🔄 EMA Confluence
Price is above the 50 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum.
EMA 200 is acting as overhead resistance (~41,475), aligned with the top of the channel—a key decision zone.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: ~41,475 (EMA 200 & upper channel boundary).
Support Levels:
~40,065 (EMA 50)
~39,000 (mid-channel support zone)
~38,000 (lower channel boundary)
📌 Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Case:
A clean breakout above the channel and the 200 EMA (~41,475) with strong volume could trigger a trend continuation toward:
42,500 – next psychological and historical resistance
Potentially higher if macro sentiment aligns
⚠️ Bearish Case:
Rejection at 200 EMA or the upper channel could lead to:
A pullback to the mid-channel zone (~39,800–40,000)
Further downside to retest the lower channel support (~38,000)
📅 Outlook
The chart currently supports a bullish bias within an uptrend structure, but the key resistance zone (41,475) must be broken decisively for confirmation. Watch for volume and candle structure near that level to assess breakout validity.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025
- Dow Jones broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 43000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 42000.00, 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February and the resistance trendline from the same month.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 43000.00 (former top of wave 4 from March).
US30 Sell Setup before the BIG MOVE TO THE MOON" US30 has been moonwalking higher like it’s got a VIP pass—thanks to those cozy deals between the US and EU. The bulls are charging like they’ve had one too many energy drinks, and honestly, it’s getting a little too enthusiastic up here.
So, I’m eyeing a sneaky short sale for a quick snack of profit before the long-term feast. But I won’t just dive in like a reckless lemming—oh no, I’ll wait for my trusty confirmations to wave their little green (or red?) flags first.
As for the long game? Once my short-sell shenanigans hit those sweet support levels (and hopefully bounce like a trampoline), I’ll switch teams and ride the buy train. Because why pick a side when you can profit from both?"
Hope that brings a smile while keeping your trading strategy sharp! 😆📈
