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UNDER ARMOURDRNUU

UNDER ARMOURDRN

36.95BRLD
+0.32+0.87%
At close at Mar 6, 19:51 GMT
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U1AI34 trade ideas

it not dead yet jim. $UAUA today set investor expectations that future growth would not be as large as the last two years. It made its rounds in the news and lead to an 8 hour sell off. However, if you look over the pure financials, UA has consistently met or beat earning expectations. The talking heads were quick to calls this a "junk stock" but one mans trash is another mans treasure.. Today's sell off stopped exactly on top of local low order block If more bad news doesnt come out of UA and christmas number look reasonable , i could easily see this retaking the ~38 level. Also still above the 2 year ascending trendline. I would watch and wait.. Another nice thing is the overall dollar flow for past 2 years has been most good to bullish. Also this stock tending to follow the common "buy rumor , sell news" models of the earnings. So this is not unusual. (with the exception i noted on a previous chart) The 3d stochastic is about as low as it can be. Since this is my "divining rod" in all markets, i would look to see something above 20 because taking a 'real' position. a break of the current order block signal it may want to test the regional low of 28.34
NYSE:UA
by IamNomad
Under Armour at support, but will it hold?Technically Speaking So far, support at 30/32.50 is holding. As you can see we have not had a weekly close below the 200 week moving average, since..., well, the chart does not show it has been so long. Fundamentals From the CEO-" While we expect to continue to significantly outpace the apparel industry, the growth rate going forward will be less than expected from our Investor Day in 2015". In other words, expectations from a year ago are not going to be met. What to do? In my opinion, this stock will be priced based on how they do going forward from a lowered base of expectations. Maybe they surprise to the upside next quarter? Technically it looks like a good place to buy, but when expectations are not met, things can get messy. Have an exit plan.
N
by CalebDismuke
$UA - Wave 5 initiation as we approach earnings on July 26, 2016Ever since UA had a 2/1 split early April, prices have been gradually dropping and it seems as though a a halt has initiated a reversal preventing us from touching ur Jan. 2016 lows of ~$31, and I believe that was the end of our Wave 4 ABC correction. Looking back to 2014-15 we see a healthy wave 3 which can be subdivided into 5 smaller waves. Wave 5 (in wave 3 marked green) is an impulse wave further divided into 5 waves. Interestingly enough the wave 5 extension is very similar in size to our original wave 1. All in all I believe that wave 4 correction has come to an end and we are starting our last wave 5 which should be approaching the $53-$56 range. Earnings will be reported later on this month and think we should have a nice bullish trend if earnings are impressive. A little bit about the company: Under Armour has recently shown signs of dominance in the sports apparel industry pushing Nike off its thrown. Signing professional superstar athletes (Curry, Harper, etc.) and collaborating with Universities (UCLA NCAA sponsorship) UA has tapped into a new crowd of customers. Endorsing Steph Curry alone UA's basketball shoe sales have increased by 350%. This company has a future and is growing fast and I see a nice bullish trend continuing for quite a while.
NLong
by AndoKhachaturov
UA turn around after earning sell off ?Friend asked me to look at UnderArmour for a possible buy opportunity Based on weekly and 3d support/resistance , stoch position and the fact that UA always fades the high after earning, i think 36.5-34.5 is probably a a good entry. it might be a quick scalp to 40 though. the idea becomes invalidated if the entire index sell off ,dragging it down with it. Or more directly if support at 33 doesnt survive a test Note. i dont usually trad retail based stocks and may not take this trade. use your own judgement.
NLong
by IamNomad
4
UA Longer Term Trading IdeaUA has been in a long term uptrend since the breakout from 2012. Notice the trendline starts after resistance becomes support and tests multiple times confirming the baseline. The long term trend was recently retested around $32. As price is continuing to drop this trendline is possibly going to be retested. A good long setup idea is setting up in this area. Depending on the speed of the fall, $36.50 support area may be the area as that area was tested twice as resistance before it broke through. However, as shown by the trendline retest, $36.50 was not strong enough to hold when the price dropped almost parabolic like. If this happens again, the trendline is going to catch up to price near $34. Below that, you will have previous trendline lows near $32 and then ultimately the multiple tests at $30 plus the psychological level make a hard stop at $29 very prudent. Long Idea 1--Buy at 36.50 on a slow pullback, buy at 34 on an aggressive pullback, only buy when the shorter timeframe shows this area is holding. Hard stop at $29. Long Idea 2--Sell 34 Puts equivelant to the shares you wish to buy looking out no more than 1 month. If price drops below 34 you are put the stock and essentially buying the stock but for a cheaper price than the 34 because you were paid option premium. Hard stop still to $29. Note--With idea number 2--do not sell more puts that what you wish to buy. Each put is equivelant to 100 shares. If you want to buy 500 shares, sell 5 puts at the price you wish to buy on the pullback. If price closes at expiration below that price, you are filled and are long the stock. If price does not, you collected roughly 1-5% of the price of the stock for the month and you try again the following month. This allows you to make a very strong return over the year simply trying to get filled on a rising stock during pullbacks--but ONLY to the extent you can afford. Selling more options than you can afford to buy in stocks will destroy your account at some point. Note 2--If price closes below $29 before option expiration--buy to close your puts and move on. The trade has failed, you do not want to be long at this point. If you want to be overly protective, you may also buy the 29 put to protect your downside at that point but you are severly crippling your profit potential of selling puts to buy the stock. All trading is a risk tradeoff--simply decide what works best for you. Long term UA is going no where and if they pay a dividend as well (not sure if do) this is a great nest egg type stock as long as price doesn't get below 30 and shift sentiment from a long term uptrend to a failed uptrend. No matter what--keep a permanent hard stop under 30. This market is very top heavy--you must be protected.
NLong
by carson5016