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SPY trade ideas

SPY at a Critical Reversal! Will Bulls Maintain Momentum? Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY * Trend Overview: SPY recently bounced off a key support level near 582-585, forming a potential reversal zone. * Volume & Price Action: * A strong recovery candle has formed, indicating increased buying activity. * 600.05 is the next major resistance level to watch. * If the price clears 597.5, it could gain momentum toward 610-615. * Indicators: * MACD is crossing bullish, suggesting potential momentum continuation. * Stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling potential resistance. * Support & Resistance Levels: * Key Support: 585, followed by 582.44. * Resistance Zones: 600.05, then 611-615. Options Flow & GEX Analysis for SPY * Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Major Call Resistance: 610-615 (where dealers may start hedging negatively). * Put Support Wall: 585-580, the strongest downside cushion. * If price holds 590+, dealers may shift their hedging and push SPY higher. * IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank: 34.5 (moderate implied volatility). * Put Positioning: 103.3%, suggesting heavy hedging on the downside. Trade Considerations * Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above 597.5, it could test 600-605, with 615 as a stretch target. * Bearish Scenario: If it breaks below 590, it may retest the support at 585-580. * Options Traders: Watch for GEX shifts; clearing 600 could trigger dealer hedging toward 610-615. Final Thoughts & Suggestion: * Short-term traders should watch how SPY reacts at 597.5-600 for confirmation. * Options traders can look for breakout confirmation above 600 before considering bullish positions. * Risk management is key—tight stops are necessary if price rejects resistance. 📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions. 🚀
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend. After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation. Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ. It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends. BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support. This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support. Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place. Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom. Get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report 📊: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February employment report on Friday, March 7. Economists expect an increase of approximately 133,000 nonfarm payrolls, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4%. ​ 🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday, March 6. Markets anticipate a 0.25% rate cut, which would adjust the deposit facility rate to 2.5%. ​ 🇨🇳📈 China's Economic Targets 📈: During the National People's Congress, China is expected to set its economic growth target at around 5% for the year. The government may introduce measures to boost consumption and support growth amid global economic uncertainties. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 3: 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏭: This index measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction.​ 📅 Wednesday, March 5: 🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏢: This index assesses the performance of the U.S. services sector, with readings above 50 indicating expansion.​ Trading Economics 📅 Thursday, March 6: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly data indicating the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.​ 📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦: This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, providing insight into manufacturing demand.​ 📅 Friday, March 7: 👷‍♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) 👷‍♂️: A key indicator of employment trends, reflecting the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.​ 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: The percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.​ 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) 💵: This metric indicates the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 5, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇨🇳📉 China's Manufacturing Activity Contracts 📉: China's official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.9 in February, down from 50.1 in January, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity for the second consecutive month. This downturn raises concerns about global economic growth and could impact markets worldwide.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, March 5: 📄 ADP National Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) 📄: Forecast: +160K jobs​ Previous: +183K jobs​ This report provides a monthly snapshot of private-sector employment, offering insights into labor market trends ahead of the official government employment data. 🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏢: Forecast: 53.0​ Previous: 52.8​ This index assesses the performance of the U.S. services sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction. 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 🏭: Forecast: -0.5%​ Previous: +1.2%​ This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, providing insight into manufacturing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 6, 2025The key support and resistance levels for QQQ today are above. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support!
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Long SPY: Watch Key Levels for Recovery Next Week - Key Insights: The SPY is showing signs of recovery after a substantial decline, bouncing off critical support around $590. Maintaining above this level is crucial for a bullish outlook. Traders should focus on the resistance at $600, as surpassing this could ignite further upward momentum. The external economic factors, including declining oil prices and fluctuations in interest rates, are providing a supportive backdrop for equities. - Price Targets: Next week targets are set at T1=$620 and T2=$630. Stop levels will be S1=$590 and S2=$583, providing a safety net for long positions while aligning with current market conditions. - Recent Performance: SPY recently faced a challenging period with six consecutive days of decline, hitting lows around $585. However, in the last sessions, it has rebounded over 1.5%, reflecting a shift in market sentiment toward a more optimistic outlook. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain mixed on the pace of recovery, with some expecting a V-shaped rebound toward $620 by March. The consensus is that maintaining above vital support levels will be essential for sustaining bullish sentiment, while any breach below $580 could trigger further market pessimism. - News Impact: The broader market dynamics are being significantly shaped by external factors such as interest rates, which have recently declined from 4.5% to 4.23%. Additionally, falling oil prices under $70 a barrel are seen as beneficial for reducing inflationary pressures, further adding to the favorable environment for equities like SPY.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
SPY in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band Entry at $586 Target is upper channel around $612
AMEX:SPYLong
by chancethepug
SPY Holding the Line at $590! Will We See a Bounce or More DownsTechnical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * SPY is trading around $593, attempting to hold above $590 (key support level). * A falling wedge pattern is forming, which could signal a reversal if SPY reclaims $595-$600. * POC (Point of Control) at $594.43 is the key pivot area for direction. 2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $590 (Critical level), $589.56 (Last line of defense), $580 (Major downside risk). * Resistance: $595-$600 (Breakout level), $605 (Strong resistance). * Upside Targets: $610, $615, $620. 3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish, but flattening, suggesting slowing downside momentum. * Stoch RSI: Moving higher, indicating a potential short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity between $590-$595, indicating strong accumulation or distribution. GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $610, $620 → Resistance areas. * Put Walls: $590, $580 → Key downside support. 2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 30.8 (Low) * IVx Avg: 22.7 (Very low volatility, favoring breakouts). * Put Positioning: 102.9% bearish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Very bearish—needs $595+ to shift sentiment. 3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: If SPY reclaims $595-$600, consider long positions targeting $605-$610, with a stop at $590. * Bearish Setup: If SPY fails to hold $590, short setups targeting $585-$580, stop at $595. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $590 or call spreads near $610 resistance. 📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * SPY is sitting at a critical support zone ($590-$593)—holding here could trigger a bounce toward $600-$605. * A break below $590 could lead to accelerated selling toward $580. * Low volatility suggests a breakout move is coming, making long options attractive. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY - support & resistant areas for today Feb 27, 2025** AMEX:SPY : Daily Support and Resistance Levels** Here are the key support and resistance points for SPY for today. These levels are crucial as they define areas where the price may reverse or consolidate. A bounce off these support or resistance zones can signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders. These levels have been calculated using mathematical models and future forecasting techniques, ensuring that they are relevant for the trading day. Please note that these levels are only applicable for today’s trading session and may change in the future. If you find this information helpful and would like me to share these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please show your support by boosting this post and following me. Your engagement helps me understand the value of this content. If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I will reconsider continuing with these daily updates. Thank you for your support!
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top. I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling. Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593). I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern. I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling. BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today. So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
$SPY Bull & Bear Options to End FebruaryThe AMEX:SPY is at a crossroads as we close out February. We’ve had hotter-than expected inflation, talks of tariffs, promises of deregulation, China’s stimulus rollout, and Wall Street’s continuing “soft landing” narrative. This is a time to be cautious. Friday’s PCE inflation data could sway the Fed’s March rate decision. Midterm elections and tax cut debates are heating up. Regardless of the noise, the levels show us the way. We are trading in the range of $591 to $600. For this week, we will be using support over $597 as the entry for calls and a rejection under $600 for puts. Here are this week’s AMEX:SPY options: (15-30 minute candles for confirmation and stop-loss) 📜 $595 PUT 3/10 or $591 3/11 (Cheaper, but higher risk) Entry: Retest & rejection under $600 Target 🎯 : $595, $591.50, (Continuation: $587, $585) 📜 $603 CALL 3/11 Entry: Breakout & retest over $597.70 Target 🎯: $601, $603, $603.44, (Continuation: $606, $608)
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois