Get started

Bitcoin / TetherUS

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC Update: stuck between the Fibs 11 jan 2024.📉 BTC Update: Between the Fibs 🎯 BTC is currently trading at 94.5k, stuck between two Fibonacci levels: 0.886 Fib = 97,765 0.786 Fib = 88,477 This range is a critical decision zone for the market. Consolidation here suggests indecision, but here's what might happen: ➡️ Odds of Hitting 0.786 (88,477): If the selling pressure increases, the price could test the 0.786 level, which can act as a key support for the next season. ➡️ Reversal and Move Back to 1 Fib (Origin): A bounce from 0.786 could signal a strong bullish reversal, with the price potentially climbing back toward the 1 Fib (full retracement). This would require strong buying volume and confidence returning to the market. 🛑 Key Zone to Watch: The 94.5k level is a battleground. A breakout above 0.886 (97,765) increases the odds of continuing the uptrend. A breakdown below 0.786 (88,477) might lead to further bearish momentum. If BTC doesn't touch the 0.786 Fib level, it signals that buyers stepped in early, showing strength and confidence in the uptrend. 📈 Skipping 0.786 suggests strong demand, reducing the need for deeper retracement. Higher Low Formation: The price might establish a higher low above 0.786, confirming the bullish structure. 🚀 Stay sharp—confirmation above 0.886 Fib is crucial before we go anywhere further! P.S. Once a new high is made, the current setup will be automatically invalidated and the fib structure will reset! 🚨
Long
by Expate
Is This the Bullish Bounce or a Bearish Trap?The H4 chart for BTC/USDT continues to reflect a trading range dynamic, with the price holding near 94,350 after a bounce from the critical support at 93,000 (last week’s low and key range floor). New Low (92,950) was formed on January 9, triggering an overshoot below the support. The subsequent recovery has led to a Higher Low (93,500) and a weak attempt to create a Higher High (94,700). However, the price failed to break above the EMA convincingly, keeping the bearish pressure intact. This scenario still aligns with a range-bound market, but the strength of the next few candles will determine whether the bulls can shift the narrative. For the Bulls Arguments: The bounce from New Low near 93,000 suggests buyers are defending the range. The Higher Low at 93,500 indicates a potential accumulation phase. A confirmed Higher High above 94,700 would likely drive the price toward the next resistance at 96,000. Probability: 60% chance for continued range movement or a retest of 96,000. For The Bears Arguments: Price is struggling to stay above the EMA, which remains sloped downward—often a sign of bearish momentum. Without a clear breakout, the bounce risks becoming a Bear Flag or a weak pullback. A failure to hold above the Higher Low at 93,500 could open the door for a new leg down, retesting the New Low (92,950) or even 90,000. Probability: 40% chance for a breakdown below 93,500. Higher Highs vs. New Lows: When bulls create Higher Lows and Higher Highs, it signals strength. However, without confirmation, this could be a trap. Always wait for follow-through. Bear Flags: These form after sharp declines when price consolidates upwards, only to resume the downtrend. Watch how the price behaves around the EMA—failure to break above it increases the likelihood of continuation. EMA as a Pivot: In trending markets, the EMA acts as dynamic support/resistance. Breakouts above it often signal trend reversals. What’s your take—are we gearing up for a breakout or another fake-out? Drop your comments below and share your setups! Don’t forget to hit the like button if you find this analysis helpful! 🚀
by PriceActionHero
CAUTION: BTC may drop and will have some news to facilitate thatWhat if I tell you Price may reach 75k range before continuing bull trend. I have been posting ideas since mid Dec 24 cautioning everyone and wait for confirmation before Yoloing (Check my other ideas). Don't get caught in influencers game. on Daily TF, I am seeing H&S pattern and weakness in market to break structure for a month. We may see BTC price touching 200 daily MA. This will invalidate if daily close above 108.5k. I am not bearish, its just temporary pullback. Even if you miss small rally to wait for confirmation, that's fine. you are reducing your risk.
by The_Ash_Hub
Bitcoin medium-term price targetsKey points of this forecast: Potential Bitcoin drop to 87,000: Based on Fibonacci analysis, Bitcoin is expected to decline to this level. This price drop could be due to a price correction after a rapid growth or external factors such as changes in monetary policy or global events. Significant decline and high volatility in the altcoin market: Altcoins typically have higher volatility compared to Bitcoin. During market corrections, altcoins are often affected more than Bitcoin. Bitcoin reversal and targeting higher levels: After the end of the correction period, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trend and reach levels of 99,600 and 131,000. These levels are considered short-term and medium-term price targets. Recommendation to be cautious in investing: Given the expected high volatility, it is recommended that investors exercise caution during this period and make investment decisions more carefully. Points to consider: Technical analysis is a forecasting tool, not an exact science: Fibonacci patterns and other technical analysis tools can help better understand price movements, but there is no guarantee that forecasts will be realized. External factors can affect the market: Global events, regulatory changes, news, and market sentiment can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices. Risk management is essential: Investing in cryptocurrencies is highly risky. Always allocate a portion of your capital for investment and use risk management tools such as stop-loss orders. Personal analysis and consultation with experts: Before making any investment decisions, conduct your own personal analysis and consult with financial experts if necessary. Ultimately, the decision to invest is up to you. This text is only a forecast and should not be considered as definitive investment advice.
Long
by alireza1432
btc usd UPDATE In the latest analysis, I highlighted the potential for a drawdown due to the completion of the last three months' bullish phase and the looming liquidation of over $1 billion around the 100K level. I initially forecasted a strong likelihood of the price reaching 100K, driven by a breakout from the range that had held the price in equilibrium since December 20th. Key Levels and Targets: First Target: As per the December 28th analysis, the price successfully bounced within the 91K–100K range, followed by a bullish phase that reached 101K–102K. This area was significant as it coincided with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the daily sell and the 0.27 extension of the last daily long position, forming a key resistance zone. This intersection of levels reinforced the likelihood of a trend reversal. Second Target: The price respected the 91K support, marking the lower bound of the previous range. However, we saw a notable shift in market behavior, indicating a potential change in trend. The price broke the range with a strong-bodied candle, followed by an opposite candle that triggered a corrective phase. This price reaction, following the liquidation, suggests the possibility of a reversal in the daily trend, with the longer-term bullish trend still intact on higher time frames. Market Behavior and Sentiment: The volatility index is stabilizing and remains below the second percentile, indicating lower market volatility. Despite this, I anticipate a bearish phase, which would be somewhat unexpected in the first quarter of the year. The 100K level, while psychologically significant, now appears to be a key point where market participants, including whales and institutional players, are reacting strongly. Updated Forecast: Given the recent price action, I now expect the price to test the 88K–86K support zone, with a critical focus on the 78K–74K region. These levels will be important to watch for any potential reversal signals or continuation of the bearish trend.
Short
by itsmcasalinii
BTC next few daysThis is what I see for BTC in the next few days. PA has pulled back nicely to the median line on the 4h pitchfork and is reacting to it now. Overall the local downtrend which is a wave 4, is a flat or simply an ABC correction taking us to 86.2k. With this continued drop I would imagine BTC will drag most all the alts down with it. Shorts would be the plan for now. I'm in a BTC short now entering at 102k and is honestly my best trade ever. In addition, the total drop looks like a 20% drop which matches what I said in my BTC Longterm Cycles post about there being a drop prior to the parabolic phase of the bull cycle.
Short
by wildboar8
Broke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the ConfederacyBroke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the Confederacy - The $500 Million Gamble That Failed Back in 1863, when the Confederacy was on its last legs, financially speaking, they had one ace up their sleeve - cotton. This wasn't just any cotton; it was the lifeblood of the global economy, the white gold Europe couldn't get enough of. The South, desperate and broke, decided to play a high-stakes game with this precious commodity. They issued bonds, not backed by gold or silver, but by cotton. It was a bold move, promising investors they'd get paid back in cash or raw cotton. Imagine that, betting the farm, literally, on a crop. These bonds were sold through big European banks like Emile Erlanger & Co., and they managed to raise a staggering £3 million, which is about $500 million today. The plan was genius in its simplicity. The South supplied 75% of the world's cotton, and Europe's textile mills were starving without it. British and French factories were practically begging for Southern cotton. The Confederacy thought, 'Let's use what we've got to get what we need.' But there was a catch, a big one. These bonds were only good if the South won the war. If they lost, they'd be as worthless as Confederate paper money. The South was gambling not just with their own fate, but with the fortunes of European investors. The Union, though, had other plans. With a stronger navy and a tight blockade, they choked off the South's ability to ship cotton abroad. Without cotton exports, the value of those bonds started to look shaky. Come 1865, the South was defeated, and those cotton-backed bonds? Worthless. European investors were left holding the bag, losing millions. It was a hard lesson learned - funding wars with commodity-backed bonds can be a risky business. This story isn't about winning or losing; it's about the audacity to bet everything on one card. The Confederacy showed us that in desperate times, you play the hand you're dealt, even if it's cotton. It's a reminder that in the game of war and finance, sometimes your best move can still leave you broke.
Education
by FortuneAI
BTC/USDT: Range Reversal in Play or More Bearish Traps Ahead?Market Structure Update BTC/USDT showed a reaction from the 92,000 support level, as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. The price has bounced but is now stalling near 94,000, just under the EMA on the H4 timeframe. This reflects a typical range-bound market dynamic, where bulls defend the lows, but bears remain active near the moving average. We’re still within the 91,000–102,000 range, suggesting a balance of buyers and sellers. The lower boundary's defense aligns with the 80% probability of range reversals, but the absence of strong bullish momentum hints at indecision. For the Bulls: The rejection at 91,000 confirms support remains intact. The pullback could establish a higher low above 92,500, signaling an attempt to retest the 96,000–98,000 zone. A break above 94,500 and a close above the EMA could strengthen bullish sentiment. Probability: 70% for a continued range-bound move toward 96,000. For the Bears: The bounce lacks conviction, with small-bodied candles and limited follow-through. The EMA remains a dynamic resistance, curbing bullish attempts. A failure to hold above 91,000 would open the door to a test of 90,000 or lower. Probability: 30% for a breakdown below the range if 91,000 is breached. Insights: Ledges and Probabilities in Ranges: The price often oscillates within a trading range, with edges like 91,000 and 102,000 acting as key inflection points. Understanding these zones helps traders anticipate reversals or breakouts. EMA as Resistance: In a bearish environment, the EMA acts as a barrier. A breakout above it often signals that bulls are regaining control. Reading Candle Clarity: Watch for larger-bodied bars or gaps as signs of strength or weakness. Do you think the bulls can reclaim control, or are we heading for a deeper pullback? Let’s hear your thoughts—share your setups and market perspectives in the comments! Don’t forget to like and follow if you enjoy these price action breakdowns! 🚀
by PriceActionHero