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BULLUSD trade ideas

Is this Bitcoins Local TOP?I know you missed CRYPTOCAP:BTC and want to FOMO again. You might have a great chance soon to make great gains with #Altcoins. If you will be patient and follow the plan. Here is what I think will happen soon: 👇 The "OTHERS" indicator (top 100 alts, excluding the big 10) hit a weekly high in October—red line above 80. Since then, it’s been slowly trending down. But the story isn’t over yet... 🚀 Numbers don’t lie. Just look at what played out during the same cycle phase last year: 👇 We’re in a nearly identical cycle now. You choose now. #Altseason #AltcoinGems #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
2
BTC heads up at 97.8k: Genesis fib and Last Stop before 105kShown here is a single fib series in three different time frames. The Genesis Sequence has caught every major turn since 2015. This fib is a "minor" ratio but a big jump from Golden fib below. $ 97,769.44 (Coinbase) is the exact level of concern. It is PROBABLE that we see a pullback from it. It is POSSIBLE that it marks 'a' top or even 'the' top. It is PLAUSIBLE to orbit a few times and then continue. ======================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
4
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical, Order Flow and On-Chain !In this video I will be sharing my BTCUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software, then I will be moving to the on-chain analysis and lastly I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Analysis
3
I just leave it here again! See my years of work!"I've been working on this chart for years, and although it's a bit rough, the timeline is aligning perfectly! It highlights the end of the bear market and the beginning of the bull run. I've also mapped out the key eras for accumulation and projected when BTC will start to gain momentum. So far, everything seems spot on! I’m confident we’ll see a correction after this phase, but even then, the broader crypto market, especially altcoins, will likely shine and challenge BTC's dominance. Exciting times ahead!"
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by jigo011488
3
BTC to the $446 in five years! The biggest capital robbery ever!This is not just for crypto! All assets will lose their value. A theory suggesting an impending depression combined with the idea that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies might have been created as a "trap" to channel capital back to the state is intriguing and raises important questions. While this view is speculative, there are some interesting aspects to your analysis of economic cycles and the role of governments and central banks. 100-Year Economic Cycle Historians and economists recognize that long economic cycles, like the Kondratieff wave, involve alternating periods of economic booms and busts over roughly 40-60 years. While the exact duration and frequency vary, some analyses indicate that we are approaching a phase of debt deflation, or even a potential depression. The exponential growth of debt and the sustained low-interest-rate policies support this outlook. Crypto and the Role of Government Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were originally designed as decentralized, non-government-controlled currencies, independent of banks and states. While it is speculative to claim that governments were behind Bitcoin's creation, it is true that some governments are closely monitoring the crypto market, possibly to manage large capital flows and ensure tax compliance. However, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies do not guarantee protection against economic crashes. Governments could regulate these markets further, affecting their value and accessibility. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), for instance, represent a way for governments to exert greater control over digital money flows, which contradicts Bitcoin's original intent. Fear and the Use of Assets Like Gold and Bitcoin Concerns around CBDCs, inflation, and geopolitical instability can drive people toward "store of value" assets like gold and Bitcoin. Your point about "fear-driven media" is interesting, as both media and governments can at times amplify fear, which increases demand for alternative assets. A Possible Future Depression Many analysts and economists highlight overheated markets and massive debt burdens as warning signs of a financial collapse. Economic cycle downturns are often marked by deflation, rising unemployment, and declining asset prices. The idea that the coming years could be challenging for the global economy is not without basis, particularly if debt burdens become unsustainable or if monetary policy tools are exhausted. Conclusion While the notion that governments might use crypto to "reclaim black money" or that crypto was even designed as a tool for wealth redistribution is difficult to substantiate, it is a theory commonly raised by crypto critics. What is clear, however, is that both governments and central banks are actively seeking ways to control capital flows and maximize tax revenue. All in all, it seems a challenging period lies ahead. We may witness the emergence of new forms of money, like CBDCs, and potentially significant shifts in the economic order.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EvertLenos
9
BTC/USD Head and Shoulders Pattern AnalysisBitcoin is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, signaling potential bearish momentum. If bears hold strong, a break below the neckline could lead to a 60,000 pip drop. This would align with the pattern’s price projection, indicating a deep correction. However, if the price holds above the neckline, we will consider a buy position, especially if candlestick patterns on lower timeframes confirm bullish momentum. Bearish Target: 60,000 pips drop. Bullish Outlook: Long entry if the neckline holds. Stay alert to price action and key levels for confirmation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ForexCollege
6
Quantum Mechanics & Market Behavior At this stage of my research, I would like to share the primary inspirations behind my style of analysis. As you've already noticed, I don’t create forecasts, as they are subjective and inherently disconnected from the objective nature of markets. Instead, I focus on predictions grounded in the captured dynamics of market behavior in order to actually get closer to its causality. "QUANTUM MARKET" In the unpredictable world of trading, price action often mirrors the strange principles of quantum mechanics. Concepts like wave function collapse, entanglement, chaos theory, the multiverse, and even the double-slit experiment provide a unique lens to understand why markets behave as they do—particularly when they defy the majority of forecasts and move in unexpected directions. The Collapse of the Market Wave Function In quantum mechanics, a particle exists in a state of possibilities described by its wave function until it is measured. When observed, the wave function "collapses" into one definite outcome. Similarly, in markets, price exists as a spectrum of probabilities, influenced by fundamental data, sentiment, and technical levels. These probabilities reflect the collective forecasts of traders, analysts, and institutions. The "collapse" of the market wave function can be likened to the moments when price unexpectedly moves against the prevailing sentiment, proving the majority wrong. For instance, when experts predict a bullish breakout, only for the market to reverse sharply, it resembles the moment a quantum system resolves into a state that surprises its observers. This metaphor highlights the fragile relationship between market expectations and actual outcomes. Just as the act of measurement influences a quantum system, the collective observation and positioning of traders directly impact market movements. The Multiverse of Price Action The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics posits that every possible outcome of a quantum event occurs, creating branching universes for each scenario. This offers a useful metaphor for the multiverse of market possibilities, where price action simultaneously holds countless potential paths. Each decision by traders, institutions, and external forces influences which path the market ultimately "chooses," much like the branching of quantum states into separate realities. When the market takes an unexpected turn, it can be thought of as moving into a "branch" of the multiverse that was previously considered improbable by the majority. For example: A widely anticipated bullish breakout may fail, with the price collapsing into a bearish reversal. This outcome corresponds to a "parallel universe" of price action where the market follows a path contrary to the consensus. When they say market has its on path, chances are they're definitely referring to approach from Fractal Market Hypothesis. The moment traders observe the market defy expectations, their reality shifts into this new "branch," leaving the discarded probabilities as theoretical relics. While traders only experience one "reality" of the market—the observed price movement—the multiverse perspective reminds us that all potential outcomes coexist until resolved by market forces. Chaos Theory: The Hidden Order Behind Market Behavior Markets may appear chaotic, but their movements are not entirely random. Instead, they follow principles reminiscent of chaos theory, where complex systems display patterns that arise from underlying order. In trading, this hidden order emerges from the entanglement of price action—the intricate relationship between buyers, sellers, sentiment, and external events. Counter-oscillations of opposing forces, such as bullish and bearish sentiment that has stake in patterns. When these forces reach a critical point, they can produce dramatic reversals or breakouts. A fascinating aspect of this hidden order lies in the measurement of cycle intervals, which can decrypt the path and stops of price action. These intervals, often influenced by Fibonacci ratios, reflect the inherent chaos of the market while maintaining a surprising consistency. In chaotic systems, the ratios of results inherit the domestic chaos properties of the system itself. This means the measured intervals not only explain past behavior but also project future movements, where price has no option but to adhere to the golden ratio in its path, regardless of direction. Tools like Fibonacci Channels on TradingView combine these ratios with the angle of the trend, revealing fractal-based timing measurements that highlight potential trend shifts. These tools demonstrate how price action, driven by the chaotic yet structured forces of the market, aligns with these self-similar patterns over time. Entanglement and the Double-Slit Experiment in Markets Einstein described quantum entanglement as "spooky action at a distance," where the state of one particle instantaneously influences another, no matter how far apart they are. Markets also mirror another iconic quantum experiment: the double-slit experiment, which demonstrates how particles behave as waves when unobserved but collapse into definitive points when measured. In the double-slit experiment, an electron passes through two slits, existing as a wave of probabilities until observed. Without observation, it creates an interference pattern, suggesting it travels through both slits simultaneously. However, when measured, the electron collapses into a single state, taking a definitive path through one slit and landing at a specific spot on the detector. Price action behaves in a strikingly similar way. Just as an electron "feels" it is being observed and alters its behavior, ongoing price action appears to respond to the collective observation of millions of traders. Despite this intense scrutiny, price action frequently surprises both bulls and bears, defying expectations as if reflecting the duality of probability and definitiveness. When unobserved or in a state of uncertainty, markets exhibit wave-like behavior, oscillating between potential paths. Trends consolidate, creating a balance of opposing forces. However, as traders act on their observations—placing bets, setting stop losses, or predicting breakouts—price "collapses" into a definitive state, choosing a path that often defies the collective expectations of the market. Logical Deductions Understanding the market through the lens of quantum mechanics, chaos theory, and the multiverse offers valuable insights for traders: Expect the Unexpected: Just as a quantum particle's state cannot be precisely predicted, markets are inherently probabilistic. Even the most widely expected outcomes can collapse under the weight of unforeseen variables or simply change of incentive during overheat volatility. Beware of Herd Mentality: When the majority aligns behind a forecast, the market becomes entangled in their collective assumptions. This might create conditions for a dramatic reversal, much like how a quantum system shifts into an unanticipated state. Recognize Counter-Oscillations: Price action is driven by the push and pull of opposing forces. Trends often mask the tension beneath, and understanding these dynamics can help traders anticipate critical turning points. Measure Cycles with Ratios: Fibonacci-based tools, when combined with trend angles, reveal fractal rhythms and the frequency of reversals. These measurements help traders predict price shifts with greater accuracy. Embrace the Multiverse: Just as the Many-Worlds Interpretation suggests all outcomes coexist until resolved, traders should recognize that multiple possibilities are always present in the market. Being prepared for alternative scenarios helps mitigate risk and improve decision-making. General Interconnectedness: Markets are a dynamic interplay of order and chaos, shaped by the entanglement of opposing forces and the constant tension between consensus and contrarian dynamics. The collapse of the wave function—those moments when price defies expert predictions—reminds us of the deep complexities underlying actual behavior of masses. Through the lens of the multiverse, every market outcome can be seen as a branching reality, where the price action we observe is just one of many potential paths. By embracing this perspective, traders can better navigate the intricate dance of probabilities and entanglement, understanding that markets are not linear systems but ever-changing, interconnected realities. This mindset empowered me to thrive in the environment of duality, where adaptability and probabilistic thinking are the actual keys to understanding price mechanism in Financial Markets. Disclaimer: You don’t have to accept these observations as true. Always trust your own judgment and cultivate independent thinking. Personally, I find that the behavior of particles at the quantum scale is the closest phenomenon that mirrors the chaos of the market.
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
2
Bitcoin: the $90K milestone eyeing higher groundsA crypto-supportive new US administration, brought a new fresh dose of optimism on the crypto market. The whole crypto ecosystem benefited from the optimism that the crypto industry and coins will have a certain future in the US, without a legal scrutiny, which was imposed by the SEC during the previous years. A strong funds inflow into the crypto market continues, while BTC is breaking milestones when all time highest levels are in question. During the previous week, BTC reached the level of $92.905 at one moment, which is for the moment treated as its new ATH. Still, during the week BTC was traded modestly below this level, struggling to hold the $90K, current resistance line. The RSI continues to move within the overbought territory. The market is generally oriented toward the upside, in which sense, RSI might continue its move in the overbought side, until the market finally exhausts itself. A short reversal will inevitably come, however, the hype on the market and a strong demand will postpone this moment. During such situations on the market, it could not be predicted the exact timing of a reversal. It would depend solely on a demand for BTC. Moving average of 50 days continues to diverge from MA200, in which sense, any sort of cross is not expected in the near future. Technical analysis provides solid indications of potential future price moves when the market is functioning within the relatively normal supply and demand environment for one type of asset. However, in situations where there is a general hype for one type of asset, the technical analysis should be taken with precaution. Exactly such a situation is currently with BTC. So, what technical analysis is currently saying is that the short reversal will eventually come, but only at the moment when the demand side is exhausted. Another point is that the $90K is established as a new important S/L line, considering that the majority of price oscillations occurred around this level. How much higher BTC can go in the coming period, nobody knows, but what we know is that the market is currently set toward higher grounds. On the opposite side, we can also expect that the price will continue to test the $90K level in case of a reversal, while a drop to lower grounds would depend solely on a demand for BTC.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
1
WARNING!— The RAID SIREN has Sounded“Traders, I’m putting this prediction out there for Bitcoin in advance. The whales may think I’m too slow to catch on to their tactics, but I see what’s unfolding. We’re witnessing this surge in real time, and here’s my take—don’t quote me, but keep it in mind. When the daily timeframe closes today at 4:00 PM Pacific Time (check your time zone), I believe smart money will move in with a 2-wick candle trap. It’s their silent signal, what I call ‘body language,’ and it means we’re at a pivotal point: the $85K target. This $85K mark has been my target from the start. Months ago, I told many of you that a reachable price level would appear before we see a significant correction. I even predicted that the fall would be severe, but not quite enough to qualify as a crash. Now, the trap at $70K is clear, something I only discovered days ago. This may very well be the level where Bitcoin’s decline could head. Some of you asked for a warning. Here it is—not a warning, but insight. Remember what happened with the $85K target. Price surged, but it didn’t break below the stop-loss. Now we’re looking at a potential target of $90,372. While it could be reached, I’m not banking on it immediately. The price might stay within range, but for now, it doesn’t look like it will fall below $70K—although that’s uncertain. I’m not rushing to post a flashy TradingView idea showing a short target. My PIPS ATR calculation isn’t ready for that just yet. I won’t have confirmation until we see a $3K drop, at which point the path down will reveal itself. I’ve changed my approach. No more jumping the gun. I’ll wait for the signals to align, for the right moment, and that short position will come, even if there’s a delay.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
206
Bitcoin 4th Halving : Get Prepared!Hello Team, Looking at past historic Bitcoin halving events you can see a historic rise in price followed. During previous halving events, the price of Bitcoin significantly declined after the previous run-up and is consolidating & stabilizing allowing good entry points. This is occurring again before the 4th halving. If history repeats after the 4th halving during the estimated March 2024 date we can see another historic rise in the Bitcoin price. Always remember, "This time is different" When Bitcoin was 20K people said, "I wish I bought at 3K!" When Bitcoin was 70K people said, "I wish I bought at 10K!" Now Bitcoin is ~16-25K will people wish they bought here? Time will tell, and history repeats. Invest wisely.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by GenesisGo
3
BTCUSD Bullish Continuation: Rounding Bottom Supports Uptrend!COINBASE:BTCUSD - 4Hr Analysis After analyzing the chart, I believe that price will continue its bullish cycle in the next few hours due to the formation of two key patterns: the Rising Wedge and the Rounding Bottom. Rising Wedge: The Rising Wedge is traditionally a bearish pattern, indicating a potential reversal or breakdown. However, in certain cases, this pattern can break out to the upside in the short term, especially if the price is near the top of the wedge. As seen in this chart, the Rising Wedge could suggest a temporary bullish breakout before the bearish pressure takes over. The breakout from this pattern often occurs due to bullish momentum pushing the price higher for a brief period. Rounding Bottom: The Rounding Bottom is a bullish pattern, indicating that the price has already started a recovery from a period of consolidation or decline. This pattern signals strength and momentum building after a downtrend, making it more likely that the current uptrend will continue. Since the Rounding Bottom is a reliable precursor to a sustained uptrend, it supports the idea that Bitcoin’s price will maintain its bullish cycle. Conclusion: The combination of the Rising Wedge and Rounding Bottom suggests that although there may be short-term price fluctuations, the overall trend is likely to remain bullish. Traders should keep an eye on the breakout from the Rising Wedge for potential entry points, while respecting the longer-term bullish signal from the Rounding Bottom. Follow your risk management and happy trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SpicyPips
3
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Market Breakdown & Trading Plan1. Market Context and Structure Phase and Current Movement: Left Chart (4H): Bitcoin is currently completing Wave 5 of a diagonal structure, showing signs of a potential exhaustion at the upper limits of the trend. Key levels in focus: 96,916.73: 1.618 extension of diagonal Wave 5 (high confidence target). 100,996.81: 1.236 volume divergence by Wave 5; potential fake breakout zone. Right Chart (Daily): The market is within Phase B (distribution) of a larger Wyckoff schematic. Price is approaching UT (Upthrust) in Phase B, signaling a potential liquidity grab before a markdown. Lower supports are aligned for a reversal post-fake breakout or rejection at the resistance zone. 2. Expected Price Movement Bullish Push (Wave 5 Completion): Target Levels: First target: 96,916.73 (1.618 extension, diagonal Wave 5). Primary target: 100,996.81 (1.236 extension; volume divergence zone). Stretch target: 103,266.78 (liquidity grab and trap for retail traders). Invalidation: Failure to break above 94,989.49 indicates early weakness. Correction and Markdown Phase: Key Reversal Zone: Expect reversal between 96,916.73 and 103,266.78 after trapping liquidity at the highs. Projected Downside Targets: Short-term target: 94,157.96 (key Fibonacci retracement of Wave 4). Medium-term target: 84,852.63 (critical support at 0.272 retracement). Extended downside: 80,373.37 (Wave C completion within larger corrective structure). 3. Key Price Levels to Monitor Bullish Resistance Zones: 96,916.73: 1.618 Fibonacci extension; high-probability rejection zone. 100,996.81: Volume divergence by Wave 5; trap zone for breakout traders. 103,266.78: Liquidity grab zone; final stretch for Wave 5 completion. Support Levels: 94,157.96: First retracement target, likely to trigger a short-term bounce. 84,852.63: Strong structural support; reversal zone during markdown. 80,373.37: Deeper support aligned with the resistance line of BC distribution. 4. Trading Plan Scenario 1: Bullish Completion of Wave 5 Setup: Look for a breakout above 94,989.49 with strong momentum. Entry: Enter longs on confirmed breakout above 94,989.49, targeting resistance levels. Targets: First target: 96,916.73. Primary target: 100,996.81. Stretch target: 103,266.78. Invalidation: Reversal below 94,157.96 indicates Wave 5 has already topped. Scenario 2: Correction After Wave 5 Completion Setup: Watch for rejection or fake breakout at 96,916.73–103,266.78. Short Entry Criteria: Look for bearish divergence or strong rejection at resistance. Confirmation via lower highs on lower timeframes. Targets: Short-term target: 94,157.96. Medium-term target: 84,852.63. Extended target: 80,373.37. Stop-Loss: Above 103,266.78 to limit risk. Scenario 3: Failure of Wave 5 Completion Setup: If price fails to break above 96,916.73 or reverses early: Watch for confirmation of markdown below 94,157.96. Short Setup: Enter on bearish breakdown below 94,157.96. Targets: Short-term target: 84,852.63. Medium-term target: 80,373.37. Invalidation: Reclaiming 96,916.73 invalidates bearish markdown bias. 5. Commentary for Your Audience What to Expect This Week: Bitcoin is likely to complete Wave 5 and test the upper resistance zone near 96,916.73–103,266.78, potentially triggering a fake breakout. A strong reversal is expected after this push, leading to a markdown phase targeting 94,157.96, 84,852.63, and potentially 80,373.37. How to Trade: For Long Traders: Look for entries above 94,989.49, targeting 96,916.73 or 100,996.81. Be cautious near upper resistance; exit longs and prepare for reversal. For Short Traders: Watch for rejection at 96,916.73–103,266.78 and enter shorts targeting the markdown phase. Confirm shorts with momentum breakdowns below 94,157.96. Risk Management: Stop-Loss: For longs, place stops below 94,157.96. For shorts, place stops above 103,266.78. Position Sizing: Adjust for volatility, particularly near resistance. Patience: Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by spacedevil
3
For one to buy price has to sell, explain?This idea is for, 1.Time-based traders who respect the market, 2.Early trend catchers who understand in the basic law, SELL HIGH BUY LOW. Simple as it is, this idea only applies to the consistent trader, one who understands the measures required for profitability. For one to win, one has to accept that the odds of losing are the same. Profitability requires a trader to accept that. What are the odds of winning then? By applying low-risk high-reward to every argument, the odds are always 1:_. In every asset class that is ranked highly volatile, this rule is a written. If you listened to traders who turned profitable, they tell of a deep understanding of risk management. I concur or rather argue that if risk is eliminated, then one only needs to understand the truth. What is truth? are we buying or selling. By allowing price to sell first, you increase the odds of buying at a favorable price. It is crucial to save on time when trading, observing the charts at the wrong time hinders one from a sound thinking, especially when the odds are highly against. It also shows you understand economics, the whole world is a market and the only trajectory is up never down, no matter how many fall. This goes for assets like Bitcoin, Gold, US30, SPX500, Nasdaq to highlight but a few. If you stand with giants, the world seems large, however if you walk with one, the world is never small.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by st3ma
4