Turning bearish after breakout refusalDown with the overall market, this will keep trending down if they all do. Reversing a new high so quickly looks imminently bearish to me. Selling pressure is too strong
TSM trade ideas
TSM 246 BY 2025 High Demand for Advanced Chips: TSMC is at the forefront of producing chips for AI, 5G, and IoT applications. The increasing demand for these technologies, especially AI chips which power both consumer and enterprise solutions, could drive revenue growth. Posts on X and web results show TSMC's Q3 2024 earnings were significantly up year-over-year due to AI demand, suggesting a strong trajectory for chip sales.
Technological Leadership: TSMC's ability to manufacture chips at smaller process nodes (like 3nm and the upcoming 2nm) gives it a competitive edge over rivals. The company's advancements in semiconductor technology are critical for producing high-performance, energy-efficient chips. Web results discuss the introduction of 2nm chips in 2025, which could further solidify TSMC's market position and justify a higher stock valuation.
Customer Base and Market Share: TSMC services major tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and AMD, giving it a stable and growing customer base. Its dominance in the foundry market (over 50% market share) means it's integral to the success of many tech products. The company's partnerships, particularly with Nvidia for AI chips, as noted in posts on X, could significantly boost its revenue.
Geopolitical Strategy: While there are risks associated with Taiwan's geopolitical situation, TSMC's strategy of diversifying its manufacturing base (e.g., expanding in the U.S., Japan, and Europe) mitigates some of these risks. This expansion could tap into new markets and reduce dependency on its facilities in Taiwan, potentially stabilizing or even increasing investor confidence.
Financial Performance: TSMC has demonstrated strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, impressive profit margins, and substantial free cash flow. According to web results, TSMC's revenue growth rate could reach 20%-25% in 2025, with a gross margin potentially peaking at 50%, which could positively impact its stock price.
Investment in R&D and Capacity Expansion: TSMC's commitment to R&D ensures it remains at the cutting edge of semiconductor technology. The company's plans for capacity expansion, particularly in advanced processes, are designed to meet the growing demand. The increased capacity for CoWoS packaging, as mentioned in posts on X, is expected to address the robust demand driven by AI.
Analyst Forecasts and Market Sentiment: Analysts have been bullish on TSMC, with some predicting that the stock could hit high targets due to its pivotal role in tech supply chains. Web results from financial analysts and stock forecast sites suggest positive sentiment, with some projecting the stock to reach or exceed $246 by 2025 based on current trends and forecasts.
Long-term Growth Prospects: The semiconductor industry is expected to grow due to the proliferation of connected devices, data centers, and the automotive sector moving towards more electrification and automation. TSMC's position in this landscape suggests long-term growth, which could drive its stock price higher.
TSM: Growth and Charts Align for 15%+ Target?Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In....
TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation.
Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA.
Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave.
The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement.
In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend.
Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
TSMC- Expectating Fantastic Earnings Report ,let's capitalize!Hi guys we would be looking at this fantastic company let's dive into the Fundamentals!
A Stellar Year for TSMC: Redefining Excellence in Semiconductor Manufacturing
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has once again solidified its position as a global leader in the semiconductor industry with a truly outstanding financial year. The company's ability to navigate an ever-evolving market landscape and consistently deliver cutting-edge technology is nothing short of remarkable.
Exceptional Financial Performance
TSMC's financial results for the year have been phenomenal, reflecting its unparalleled operational efficiency and strategic foresight. Despite industry challenges, the company achieved record-breaking revenue and profitability, driven by robust demand for its advanced nodes and innovative solutions. TSMC's dedication to staying ahead of the curve has enabled it to maintain a dominant market share while attracting key clients in industries ranging from consumer electronics to automotive.
Commitment to Innovation
The cornerstone of TSMC's success lies in its relentless pursuit of technological excellence. As the pioneer in advanced semiconductor nodes such as 3nm and 5nm, TSMC has continued to set benchmarks for the industry. These advancements not only empower its clients to develop cutting-edge products but also contribute significantly to technological progress on a global scale. The company's commitment to research and development is evident in its consistent rollout of groundbreaking processes and technologies.
Resilience and Sustainability
TSMC's financial triumph is also a testament to its resilience and adaptability. In the face of global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties, the company demonstrated remarkable agility, ensuring seamless operations and timely delivery to its partners. Moreover, TSMC has taken proactive steps toward sustainability, aiming to achieve carbon neutrality and reinforce its leadership as a responsible corporate entity.
Partner of Choice
One of TSMC's greatest strengths is its ability to forge strong, long-term partnerships with some of the world's most influential tech companies. By offering unparalleled manufacturing capabilities and a collaborative approach, TSMC has become the trusted partner for industry giants. This mutual trust and cooperation have been instrumental in driving its financial and operational success.
Entry : 200
Target: 255
As always my friends happy trading!
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(TSM) Taiwan Semiconductor Set for a Bullish Surge!Technical Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade)
We entered a long trade on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) at 204.25 after a clear bullish signal. The trade is currently in progress, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 204.25 – The long position was initiated here following a strong upward signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 195.45 – Positioned below support to manage risk and protect against downside movement.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 215.12 – The first target we are eyeing as the bullish momentum unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 232.71 – A further upside target, marking a significant rally if the momentum continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 250.30 – A potential target if the bullish trend remains strong.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 261.17 – The ultimate target, signaling a substantial upside move.
Trend Analysis
The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upward movement is supported by a solid breakout, and we are now watching for the targets to be met.
The long trade on TSM looks promising, with a clear entry at 204.25. We are now monitoring the price as it approaches the first target at 215.12, expecting further upside momentum.
TSM Showing Solid Support At The 20 Day Moving AverageTSM with support off the 20 day but can it hold?
You can start a position here if you like low risk/high reward trades. A stop at the low of the day is <1% risk.
If I was taking this trade I'd wait for it to take out the high of the day and I'd open a 1/4 full size position. Or better yet I'd wait to see if it holds support today and then buy on a follow through tomorrow.
Current market conditions are gloomy so I'm not taking this entry. Let's see what happens tomorrow.
TSM Formed A VCP With A Tight EntryWith solid support on Friday off the 20 day moving average and a quick above average volume recovery form the sell-off on the 18th, TSM is my top candidate going into the new week.
At about 10 weeks old with 4 tightening price contractions it looks ready to go here and offers a low risk entry. Looking forward to Monday to see what direction it and the general market trade in.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)Taiwan Semiconductor is currently testing the resistance level at $206.61. A breakout above this level could propel the stock toward testing its previous major peak and all-time high at $212.60. Breaking above this critical level would confirm a major uptrend, paving the way for further gains toward $218, $222, and $230.30 in the short term.
The stop-loss level is set below $200.90.
Technical indicators are trending positively, supporting the outlined bullish scenario.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or commercial advice or recommendations.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) AnalysisCompany Overview:
TSMC NYSE:TSM is the world's leading semiconductor foundry, driving innovation in advanced chip manufacturing for critical technologies like AI, 5G, and emerging tech markets.
Key Growth Catalysts:
Strategic U.S. Expansion 🇺🇸
Arizona Fab: TSMC’s first 12-inch wafer fab begins 4 nm chip production this month, solidifying its North American presence.
$40 Billion Investment: Demonstrates TSMC's long-term confidence in U.S. chip demand and geopolitical supply chain security.
Production of 3 nm chips by 2028 highlights TSMC’s roadmap for next-gen leadership.
Rising Global Chip Demand 📈
Surging demand from AI, 5G, and cloud computing is driving industry-wide growth.
Key Clients: Apple, Nvidia, and AMD rely heavily on TSMC’s advanced node production capabilities.
Technological Leadership 🚀
4 nm Mass Production (Q1 2025): Positions TSMC at the forefront of advanced node production.
Continued R&D investments strengthen TSMC’s competitive edge in next-gen chip technologies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Stance: We are bullish on TSM above $172.00-$174.00, underpinned by its global dominance, strategic U.S. investments, and demand for advanced nodes.
Upside Target: Our price target is $255.00-$260.00, reflecting robust revenue growth, margin expansion, and rising semiconductor demand in AI and 5G markets.
🔹 Taiwan Semiconductor—Powering the Future of Tech! #TSM #Semiconductors #AI #5G
TSM - Bullish Inverse Head & Shoulder SetupSummary: TSM has been a semi-industry leader (along with NVDA) last 3 months and it is forming and inverse head & shoulders pattern on the longer time frames (you could also call this right shoulder just a bull flag setup but it's bullish either way) and I am expecting a breakout in the next few trading sessions. Will look for calls on the confirmed break above 205.5 with SL of 203.5 in mind.
Possible Contracts:
205C for 1/3/2025 (currently $6.40)
210C for 1/3/2025 (currently $4.45)
P&L Assuming 205.5 Entry
Profit: $9
Loss: $1.5
Risk v Reward: 6:1
$TSM textbook bull flag breakoutI originally entered calls at 181 when TSM wicked off of the bottom trendline and 100 Sma with nearly all momentum indicators signaling a reversal to the upside. I closed my positions at the top trendline as TSM continued to move upwards breaking out of the bull flag, intending to reenter when price retested this level. Well, we got that opportunity yesterday (Dec 6) and so I sized back in accordingly. Although the momentum indicators are at or close to overbought levels, I believe TSM has significant legs to push higher on this textbook bull flag. I intend to scale out at 205 and sell at 212 with a stop loss at 199.
Yet Another Shot at ATHWith the gap filled, and prior highs showing support, and demand for chips not decreasing even the slightest, I think we got a clear show at ATH from here.
I've taken a started position on this 50d ema test that coincides with prior highs. See the 2 day timeframe on the left, that pullback from ATH was nothing. Compared to the hourly on the right it sure seems like they were big moves.
Always have to zoom out. I'll add more to my long position so long as we establish support on the way up.
Taiwan Semiconductor - Riding the Nvidia bullish waveNYSE:TSM has been on an uptrend and the recent correction has been a weak bearish downside, forming a bullish flag instead. Yesterday's bullish bar break above the flag has been confirmed and long-term MACD has been rising, supporting the long-term uptrend.
We believe that the stock is likely to continue to edge up higher in the longer-term. SHort-term target is at 230.00 while long-term we are eyeing beyond 280.00-300.00
TSM upward channels. trade the channels going upTaiwan Semiconductor. up ward channels. Trade the channels going up ward. find the pattern and trade the pattern going up. History repeats itself. these are the things i use to trade stocks. use at a risk. informational purpose only. if the stock closes on the floor it will probly make a new low. just saying.
TSM INV H&S- Weekly CallsNYSE:TSM - 4h showing an inverse head and shoulder patterns signaling a flip from sellers in control to buyers in control leading me to believe she can see more continuation throughout the week if 4h can continue to hold up healthy bullish price action. Will be looking ot take intraday breakouts to the upside throughout the week. Not so much interested in shorts at all UNLESS 4h happens to flip back bearish and begins to head for that GAP below.
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Shares Rise by Nearly 10%Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Shares Rise by Nearly 10%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) posted quarterly results that exceeded analyst expectations, driven by strong demand for AI-related chips:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.95, Expected = $1.79;
→ Revenue: Actual = $23.6 billion, Expected = $23.3 billion.
According to the Wall Street Journal:
→ The company expects its revenue from servers and AI processors to triple this year, representing about 15% of its total revenue.
→ TSMC forecasts Q4 revenue between $26.1 billion and $26.9 billion.
→ Citi analysts believe TSMC's gross profit could continue growing next year.
→ Morningstar analyst Felix Lee noted that TSMC is well-positioned against competitors like Samsung and Intel.
TSMC shares surged following the report. Today's stock chart shows: → A 10% increase, reaching an all-time high;
→ The stock surpassed the psychological $200 level;
→ Year-to-date price growth is around 100%.
Technical analysis of the TSM stock chart indicates:
→ The price has been rising within an ascending channel since 2024 (marked in blue), with yesterday’s move pushing it into the upper half of the channel, surpassing the median resistance.
→ On strong news, a bullish gap formed between $190-$200, potentially acting as support.
→ The RSI indicator entered overbought territory, with a long upper wick on the candle suggesting a possible correction.
Optimistic forecasts could sustain long-term bullish sentiment, although short-term corrections may occur from the overbought zone towards support levels like the channel's median or the bullish gap area.
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