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NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER SUPPLYZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Downward Pressure: Prices are currently trading under a bearish (downward) trend. Supply Zones , Between 20,860 & 20,920 and 21,037 & 21,112: These zones are acting as resistance levels where selling pressure is high, preventing prices from rising further. Demand Zone , Between 20,559 & 20,354: This is identified as a support level where buying interest might increase, potentially halting further price decline. Possible Scenarios: If prices remain below the supply zones, further decline toward the demand zone is expected , If prices break above the supply zones, it suggests an increase toward ,The all-time high (ATH) around 21,260 , A strong supply zone between 21,175 & 21,260. Overall Outlook , The text emphasizes the bearish trend unless resistance levels are broken.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
6
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The Nasdaq index bounced back with a 0.48% gain today. The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **EIA Crude Oil Inventories:** Fell by -1.844M barrels, exceeding the forecast of -1M, signaling tighter supply conditions. - **US GDP Growth (Q3, Second Estimate):** Remained steady at 2.8%, unchanged from the previous estimate, highlighting consistent economic expansion. - **Personal Consumption and Spending:** October’s real personal consumption rose by just 0.1% (forecast: 0.2%), while consumer spending grew by 0.4%, meeting expectations but slowing from revised data of 0.6%. - **Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, falling short of the 0.5% forecast, reflecting weaker demand for long-term goods. - **PCE Price Index (YoY):** Increased to 2.3%, matching expectations but higher than the prior 2.1%, underscoring persistent inflationary pressures. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **66.3% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. If realized, this could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term effects remain uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
3
Critical NASDAQ Breakdown: Major Reversal or Fakeout Ahead?Current Market Structure Overview Key Swing Highs & Lows: The price has formed a weak high around the 21,245.7 level, which indicates potential liquidity above this zone. The recent low at 20,309.1 is protected, suggesting that the market may seek support in this area if downward momentum prevails. Consolidation Phase: The price is currently in a balanced range, with accumulation near the 20,700 region and resistance around 21,138.9. Volume Profile Insights: High-volume nodes (POC - Point of Control) around 21,138.9 and 20,700 provide significant areas for price reaction. A break above or below these areas will guide future direction. Bullish Case 📈 Initial Targets: If price moves above 21,138.9, the weak high at 21,245.7 becomes a primary target for a liquidity grab. Beyond this, any sustained push could result in a bullish breakout toward 21,428.5. Support Levels: Key support lies at 20,700, which aligns with prior accumulation and a possible re-test zone. Failure to break below this zone will likely keep bulls in control for further upward movement. Buy-Side Scenarios: Look for a pullback into 20,700 with strong rejection or bullish momentum signals. A reversal here may trigger buying opportunities targeting 21,138.9 and beyond. Bearish Case 📉 Break of Support: A breakdown below 20,700 could trigger further downside into 20,309.1, where key liquidity resides. Target Zones: If 20,309.1 fails, the next immediate area of interest is the 50% retracement level at 19,772.5. The ultimate bearish target for the week is near 19,500, aligning with broader liquidity and demand zones. Sell-Side Scenarios: A rejection from the resistance zone at 21,138.9 or a failure to sustain above 21,245.7 could offer short-selling opportunities targeting 20,700 and below. Key Management Points Risk Control: Trade with tight stop-loss placements, especially when entering near high-probability zones like 20,700 or 21,138.9. Limit risk to 1-2% per trade. Position Scaling: Scale into trades gradually, especially when price consolidates around significant levels (e.g., 20,700). Avoid over-leveraging in choppy or unclear zones. Patience is Key: Allow the price to react to key levels like 21,138.9 and 20,700. Wait for confirmation candles (rejections, breakouts, or significant volume) before committing to any trades.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by spaceangel
10
NAS100USD: Is Bearish Control Taking Over?Greetings Traders! While NAS100USD remains bullish, I see signs of a potential bearish shift for several reasons identified on the chart. Most notably, price has been rejecting a Rejection Block, a significant institutional resistance zone. This rejection has resulted in strong downside displacement, signaling that institutional interest may now lean bearish. Retail vs. Institutional Resistance Institutional Resistance: Price has retraced into heavy premium levels, ideal for selling opportunities (sell in premium, buy in discount). A key difference with institutional resistance lies in its foundation on Rejection Blocks. These order blocks, formed at market turning points, are characterized by large wicks relative to candle closures. They indicate that institutions or smart money entered substantial sell orders, giving confidence to anticipate bearish price action. Retail Resistance: In contrast, retail resistance often serves as engineered liquidity. Here, banks and institutions create the illusion of a resistance zone to entice retail traders into taking trades. These zones, strategically placed at premium levels, enable institutions to sell against retail positions. Understanding this manipulation is critical for aligning with institutional order flow. Trading Plan Confirmation Zone: Monitor price action at the Rejection Block and premium levels for bearish confirmation. Targets: Fair Value: The 50% retracement of the leg. Liquidity Pool: The downside liquidity resting below current levels. Discussion and Insights If you have questions, analysis, or insights, feel free to share them in the comment section. Let’s collaborate, learn, and grow as traders! Kind regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
US100 daily time frameGood morning traders, I have been quiet for a while, I hope everything has been going well. My US100 daily tf analysis. I have posted the daily analysis on this pair before, hoever this is an update on how it is playing out. If you look at the left of the chart, you can see that market reversed after an uptrend(cant be seen) I want to point out the 3 levels that price moved down after this reversal(marked on the chart). After these 3 levels of retest and fall, The market then formed a massive double bottom, which was made up of 2 smaller double bottoms as shown on the chart. We have been buying this pair for over a month now, with sells in between(because market always has to retrace) So as it stands now, market had formed the double bottom on the daily time frame, so we are in for very strong buy, for the next few months if this reversal is respected as analysed. Price at the moment has broken above the 200 and 800 ema resistance, making it a support. Price went down to retest that zone the day before yesterday, and yesterday it began the move up. So I expect buys on this pair, and will wait for the correct signal to enter, as I closed my sell trades yesterday from the day before.
ULong
by faddy
5
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 While the NAS100 has maintained a bullish trend, recent price action shows signs of consolidation within a sideways range. Historically, price has often retraced significantly following strong rallies—could we be on the brink of another pullback? In this video, we delve into the trend, price action, market structure, and a potential trade setup. Disclaimer:* Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can shift rapidly. This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
NShort
by tradingwithanthony
1
US100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US100. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 20,844.8. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,155.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SignalProvider
2
NAS100USD: Is Bullish Momentum Only Temporary?Greetings, Traders! In today’s analysis, NAS100USD is exhibiting bullish institutional order flow, presenting an opportunity to align with the current market narrative. Key Observations Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price has retraced into an FVG, providing a critical area of interest for support. Bullish Order Block: Situated below the FVG, this structure enhances the zone’s strength as an institutional support area. Strategy Look for confirmation entries at this support zone. Target: Liquidity pool above, aligning with the bullish flow. Feel free to share your insights, questions, or analysis in the comments below. Let’s trade and grow together! Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
3
NAS100USD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,946.7. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 20,451.1 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
USNAS100 - Key Levels for Bullish and Bearish MovesTechnically: The price is still consolidating between 20860 and 20990, awaiting stabilization with a bearish volume below the lower range. Bearish Scenario: Stability below 20860, confirmed by a 4-hour or 1-hour candle close beneath this level, could trigger a move towards 20750 and potentially 2060 (confirm the exact level for clarity). Bullish Scenario: Stability above 20990 would indicate a bullish trend, with the next target at 21060, potentially leading to a push toward the ATH around 21250. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21250 Support Levels: 20750, 20670, 20550
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100USD / OVERALL DIRECTION TOWARDS DOWNWARD /4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: • Prices are under downward pressure as they remain below the resistance level of 20,839. • The market appears to be consolidating or stabilizing around this level, preparing for a potential move. Upward Scenario: • If prices remain below 20,839, it is suggested that they may decline further: • First target: 20,666 (support level). • Further decline to 20,451 (next major support). Downward Scenario: • If the price breaks above 20,839 (the resistance level), it could lead to a rally: • Initial target: 21,105. • Further move to 21,249, which is identified as the All-Time High (ATH).
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
USNAS100 - Bullish Momentum and Potential Reversal LevelsTechnically: The price experienced upward momentum on Friday and maintains its bullish trajectory, with stability observed above the critical level of 20,860. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 20,860 could trigger further declines, with potential targets at 20,730 and 20,600. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price remains above 20,860, the bullish outlook remains intact, paving the way toward 20,990. A breakout above this level may propel the price to an all-time high of 21,230. Notably, a retest of the 20,860 level from the current price is a plausible scenario. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21230 Support Levels: 20730, 20660, 20550
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NAS100 I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NLong
by BKTradingAcademy
NAS100 - Updated Market Analysis and Outlook1. Overview of Market Structure and Key Phases Phase A: Establishing the Range Selling Climax (SC): Defined at 20,254.0, marking the exhaustion of selling pressure. Automatic Rally (AR): Price rebounds from SC to approximately 20,650.5, indicating short-term bullish demand. Secondary Test (ST): Price revisits near the SC zone to confirm support. ST is evident just above 20,254.0, validating the lower boundary of the range. Phase B: Consolidation and Cause Building The market is oscillating in a well-defined range, with: Support zone: Between 20,254.0 (SC) and 20,322.1. Resistance zone: Around 20,650.5 and 20,880.0, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels and previous highs. The ST in Phase B indicates continued accumulation, with price preparing for a breakout. Phase C (Anticipated Next Week) LPS (Last Point of Support): Price is expected to retest key levels around 20,322.1 to confirm support before initiating an upward move. Spring Potential: A brief dip below 20,254.0 may occur to trap sellers, followed by a sharp reversal (a bullish signal). 2. Key Price Levels and Volume Analysis Support Levels 20,322.1: Major support and the current accumulation boundary. 20,254.0: Critical invalidation level; a break below signals bearish continuation. 20,219.8: Absolute support and long-term invalidation point (Wave 0 breakdown). Resistance Levels 20,650.5: The 0.382 Fibonacci level and immediate resistance. 20,880.0: Key resistance from the horizontal volume profile, marking the top of the accumulation range. 21,033.5: A breakout level aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. 21,245.7: High-probability target and Wave 1 invalidation level. Volume Profile Point of Control (POC): Centered near 20,257.1, indicating the area of highest trading activity and a magnet for price. Low-Volume Gaps: Between 20,322.1 and 20,650.5, suggesting fast movement if these levels are broken. 3. Elliott Wave Analysis Wave Progression Wave i: Completed upward move from SC to AR (20,650.5). Wave ii: A corrective wave that retested support near 20,322.1. Wave iii: A projected bullish move targeting 20,880.0, with potential to extend toward 21,033.5. Wave iv: Anticipated short correction before final upward move. Wave v: A bullish breakout toward 21,245.7 and above. Invalidation Levels A failure to hold 20,254.0 invalidates the current wave structure. A break above 21,245.7 invalidates bearish momentum and signals a shift to a long-term uptrend. 4. Bullish and Bearish Scenarios Bullish Scenario Price confirms support at 20,322.1 or performs a Spring below 20,254.0, leading to: A rally toward 20,880.0 (resistance). Further bullish breakout to 21,033.5 and 21,245.7. Transition into Phase D (Mark-Up) with sustained higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Scenario Price breaks below 20,254.0 without a recovery, leading to: A retest of 20,219.8 (support). Continuation of the downtrend toward new lows, invalidating the accumulation. 5. Projected Timeline Monday to Wednesday Price likely consolidates between 20,322.1 and 20,650.5. Possible Spring and recovery by midweek. Thursday to Friday Anticipated breakout above 20,880.0, confirming bullish momentum. Potential test of 21,033.5 and beyond. 6. Trading Recommendations Long Positions Entry Zones: Near 20,322.1: On confirmation of support. Spring setup below 20,254.0: Look for reversal signs. Targets: Short-term: 20,650.5. Medium-term: 20,880.0 and 21,033.5. Long-term: 21,245.7. Stop-Loss: Below 20,219.8. Short Positions Entry Zones: Near 20,880.0: On rejection or bearish reversal patterns. Targets: Short-term: 20,322.1. Long-term: 20,254.0. Stop-Loss: Above 21,033.5.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by spaceangel
10
NAS100USD / SAME DOWNTREND YESERDAY / 4HUSNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has already declined by 300 pips (a pip is a standard unit in financial markets, often used in forex trading to measure price changes). The price is currently attempting to reach 20,908 and 20,990. These are likely resistance levels, meaning points where the price might struggle to break through. If the price remains below 20,908–20,990, a further decline is expected. The targets mentioned for this decline are: • 20,668 • 20,451 If the price breaks above 20,990, it could increase to reach 21,105. The price is still below the All-Time High (ATH), and the general expectation is for further declines unless the resistance levels are breached.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi