NASS BERISH IDEEA FLAG + 1 H FVG that's how i think nass is gonna play i ll pay atention how the FVG is gonna be respect and the breakout based on that i ll enter
US100 trade ideas
NAS100 is BullishPrice was in a strong downtrend, and it seems that the bottom is in for NAS100, as a double bottom reversal pattern along with bullish divergence has emerged on four hourly time frame hinting the arrival of bulls to the scene. If previous lower high is broken with volume then we can expect a bullish rally as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI.
Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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Nas100 Weekly BiasBased on how the market ranges are laid out, I am keen to seehow is it that the market will unfold and what is it that the Institutional Orderflow will rea h out for first. Overall I will be trading on internal ranges and keeping my focus narrowed on that. Anything else outside that will not be of my interest. Due to manual intervention I am expecting because of fundamentals.
OVERALL I would like to see a small run on the upside, going for the Premium arrays and then a deep run for shorts for the purpose of purging sell orders below Lows and then buying them prior long term reversals for longs
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up
this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven
gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash
if stocks bounce, panic may price out
if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally
this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge
in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
Navigating NASDAQ: Positioning for a Possible Bounce Next Week
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ is presently facing bearish sentiment with a
potential downturn in the short term. Investors should be aware of oversold
conditions that could lead to a short-term bounce. Cautious optimism
prevails among experts regarding a possible correction, suggesting
monitoring key resistance levels for signs of reversal.
- Price Targets: For investors considering a long position, price targets should
be strategically set.
- Next week targets: T1: 20,200, T2: 21,000
- Stop levels: S1: 19,000, S2: 18,800
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has fallen 12% over the past few weeks,
highlighting a bearish trend. This downturn has been mirrored across major
stock indices, and recent market volatility has exacerbated the decline.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts currently hold a bearish outlook, highlighting a
critical support level near 19,195 amidst broader economic uncertainty
affecting the NASDAQ. However, signs of a potential rally have emerged, with
futures indicating possible movement toward 20,500.
- News Impact: The downturn includes NASDAQ's worst day since 2022, which has
heavily influenced market sentiment. Analysts are monitoring the Nasdaq 100
with plans for possible expansion into the Russell 2000 and S&P 500,
targeting recovery opportunities amidst volatility.
While the NASDAQ is under pressure, the potential for a short-term recovery
remains plausible. Investors should anticipate volatility, making it crucial to
watch key price levels and resistance points for potential market movements next
week.
NAS100Economic Uncertainty and growth, driven by President Trump's tariff policies will affect tech stocks .
nas100 breakout from 4hr descending channel could be seeing bulls return back to tech stocks
NAS100 - Stock Market Enters Downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the channel ceiling will also continue the short-term upward trend in Nasdaq.
According to EPFR data reported by Bank of America, investors withdrew $2.8 billion from equity funds last week, marking the largest outflow of the year so far. Meanwhile, U.S. government bonds saw an inflow of $6.4 billion, the biggest weekly increase since August.
Scott Basnett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, stated in an interview that there are no guarantees to prevent an economic recession. He welcomed the decline in stock markets, viewing it as a sign of a healthy market. Analysts believe this shift in tone—unusual for a Treasury Secretary who typically reassures economic strength—suggests an effort to prepare the public for a possible recession.
According to data from the Polymarket betting platform, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is currently estimated at 41%. Reuters reports that American households are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook. However, the Federal Reserve may be reluctant to respond aggressively to a weakening economy, given growing concerns that the Trump administration’s trade policies could further fuel inflation.
These concerns were reflected in financial markets on Friday, as the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed a decline in consumer confidence for March. Additionally, consumers now expect inflation to reach 3.9% over the next five years, the highest level in more than 30 years.
In an interview with Breitbart, Basnett emphasized the need to remain vigilant against persistent Biden-era inflation and expressed support for deregulation to lower costs. He also stressed that while tackling inflation, the government must also address affordability concerns. Additionally, he backed interest rate cuts to help reduce housing costs and auto loan payments.
This week will be packed with major economic events, creating a high-risk environment for precious metals traders amid ongoing geopolitical developments during Trump’s second term.
Central banks are back in the spotlight, as several key monetary institutions are set to announce their policy decisions in the coming days:
• Tuesday: Bank of Japan
• Wednesday: Federal Reserve
• Thursday: Swiss National Bank & Bank of England
Furthermore, a series of macroeconomic data releases could influence market sentiment, including:
• Monday: Retail sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index
• Tuesday: Housing starts & building permits
• Thursday: Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting. Market participants will closely watch the Fed’s updated economic projections and Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into future monetary policy.
According to a Bloomberg survey, economists anticipate two rate cuts by the Fed this year, likely starting in September. However, despite declining stock indices and rising recession concerns, Powell is expected to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding any rushed rate cuts.
While consumer and business confidence has weakened, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to lower rates due to persistently high inflation indicators.
going long(buying) on US100 US100 (Nasdaq 100) Analysis – Daily & 4H Timeframe
Key Demand Zone: 17,679.0, where buyers are likely to step in.
Liquidity Sweep: Occurred at 17,676.7, indicating possible stop-loss hunting before a reversal.
Expectation: Price is likely to revisit the demand zone and reverse if buyers show strength.
Trade Plan
Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or a break of structure on lower timeframes).
Stop-Loss: Placed below 17,676.7 to avoid further liquidity grabs.
Take-Profit Target: Next supply zone or resistance level based on structure.
Risk Management: Consider scaling in with partial entries instead of going all in at once.
NAS100 1HR // 17 March AnalysisWe can see that the 1 hour downtrend on NAS100 has been broken.
Looking to see if the price can retest the drawn support/resistance zone around the 19500.00 area. Potential buys with 20000.00 being a nice target if we see a nice retest from the marked support/resistance zone.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis:
1- This week, we have major central banks meetings. The most important one is the FED. Market is seeking hints and signals for free money and rate cuts to tackle the manufactured recession created by Trump "policies".
Any signal of free money from the FED will be well received; any other outcome will be translated in a huge sell-off of stocks and equities.
2- Last week, we saw that US equities and European Equities were moving in opposite direction! This tells us that money is fleeing US market. So the sell-off of US equities is not temporary; Investors and corporations seem lost confidence and trust in US Stocks. This has to be confirmed with the FED.
3- Also last week, we saw a huge undershoot of US Consumer Sentiment.
All the above are very bearish US Equities. The FED and tax cuts are the only factors that might save US equities in the ST. The damage in the MT< seem irrevocable.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
NQ provided a weekly bearish close with a large wick. The weekly close was just above a Monthly support (dashed green line).
If we receive positive signals from the FED, price should retest 20315 (the previous higher swing of the Monthly support (circle).
If not, sellers will continue the downtrend.
Daily TF:
NQ provided a green Friday candle, but it was an inside the previous red candle. So no break, no shake from daily perspective.
I mentioned last week that the area 19100-19600 will be the next MT< Support/Resistance area (yellow box). As you can see, this scenario seems correct.
I think price will continue consolidate in this area until the FED.
Trade safely and wish you Good luck!
Bearish drop?USTEC is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 19,857.80
1st Support: 18,725.96
1st Resistance: 20,398.38
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NASDAQ 100 is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking key📍 Entry: Around 19,657.88
📍 Stop Loss: Below 19,499.15 (To minimize risk in case of reversal)
📍 Take Profit: 20,134.84 (Targeting next resistance zone)
🔹 The price is breaking out from consolidation, confirming bullish sentiment.
🔹 Volume and momentum support a continuation move upward.
🔹 Waiting for a slight pullback before entering can provide better risk-reward.
