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US Tech 100UU

US Tech 100

20,064.7USDR
−2.6−0.01%
At close at May 9, 20:59 GMT
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US100 trade ideas

NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CLong
by InvestingScope
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Break at 19715 We are watching this zone closely. ——— 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20100 – Proven resistance
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by Path_Of_Hanzo
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction - Its implicationWhen Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure? Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
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by konhow
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bearish Break – Next Move is Confirmed 🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19870 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
FShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
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by Path_Of_Hanzo
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop. While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline: Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100. Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers. Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions. Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
PShort
by technicaltrader18
Nasdaq 100 off lows on Bessent remarksUS stocks trimmed their earlier losses after the Trump administration delivered the latest dose of jawboning. This time it was trade secretary Scott Bessent, saying trade negotiations with several partners are going well and that there is a possibility of “substantial reduction” in tariffs on US goods. He added some deals could be announced as early as this week. That was enough to trigged dip-buying, causing major indices like the Nasdaq to bounce off their earlier lows. The Nasdaq has found a bit of resistance in the last couple of days from the area shaded on the chart between 20,000 to around 20,150 where it had previously encountered support. See area shaded on the chart. A closing break above here is what the bulls would be eying this week, although for that to happen, some trade deals may well have to be announced first. By Fawad Razaqzada market analysts with FOREX.com
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by FOREXcom
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential ReversalGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming. Key Observations: 1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence: We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building. 2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block: Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions. Trading Plan: We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones. Invalidation Level : This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low. Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework. Kind regards, The Architect
OLong
by The_Archi-tect
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline. 🔍 Likely scenario: If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5. Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance. 🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive: A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction. A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond. 🟢 Key Zones: 📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000 📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215 📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5 📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups. Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
CLong
by JAG_Trader
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ? Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it ! Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics! There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable. 6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it). Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns. As usual, please DYODD
TLong
by dchua1969
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CShort
by Ali_PSND
NASDQhe image shows a daily chart (1D) of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) on TradingView, with a detailed technical analysis suggesting a possible continuation of the long (bullish) trend, supported by various price levels, trendlines, and visual cues. Here's a description based on the chart: 🟦 Current Context The price has recently broken above a key resistance area around 20,016 – 20,038, which may now act as support. The current candle is bullish (green) and closes above this range, showing buyer strength. There is a clear upward trend starting mid-April, with higher lows and consecutive bullish candles. 📈 Key Technical Elements A target is marked at 21,009.5, highlighted by an orange horizontal line. A light blue rectangle represents a potential projected move range, starting around the 20,000 zone and aiming toward 21,000. A red box below the current price likely indicates the invalidation area or stop-loss zone. Intermediate support levels include: 19,756.0 (blue line) 19,226.9 (orange line) 18,304.8 (deeper support) 🔁 Potential Long Continuation Scenario If price holds above the 20,000 – 20,038 zone, we may see an acceleration toward the 21,009 target. The overall pattern suggests a breakout from a consolidation phase, followed by a retest of the broken level (now support), and a potential upward continuation. The diagonal trendlines indicate the formation of a broad ascending channel. 📅 Timing The projected target may be reached within the coming weeks: a vertical black line is marked on May 21, 2025, possibly indicating the expected timeframe for the move. ✅ Conclusion There is a clear bullish market structure, with a resistance breakout and well-defended supports. Unless there’s a false breakout or negative macro news, the long projection toward 21,009 appears technically valid.
CLong
by Alessiocalabretta
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed. Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close. By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action. Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
PShort
by UNDR8TD_FX