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Soybean Oil Futures (Mar 2019)Soybean Oil Futures (Mar 2019)Soybean Oil Futures (Mar 2019)

Soybean Oil Futures (Mar 2019)

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ZLH2019 trade ideas

GoldMonday I talked about a number of markets here but I focused on the gold market because it took a $9000 reversal lower. this really is not a big deal but there are ways that you can spend your time efficiently make trade decisions that will be beneficial for you..... in this particular case if you'd use the 2 bar reversal Not only would you have gotten out of a long trade but you might even consider a long trade..... depending on whether or not you think like a buyer or a seller. I ran out of time on this video and it was a little sloppy at the end of the video.... I will try to make amends for that when I have time.
CBOT:ZLF2025
by ScottBogatin
Soybean Oil’s Red Pill Moment: The Short Signal Just Hit"You’ve been waiting, watching, wondering when the veil would lift. Today is that day." Soybean oil just crossed a threshold, one that turns theory into action. This isn't just a hint anymore; it’s a red pill moment. Today, we got the confirmation we needed: a Daily bearish momentum divergence trigger has sealed the deal. If you've been waiting for a sign, here it is—the entry point is here. Decoding the Signs from the Commitment of Traders (COT) "What if I told you that the market leaves clues? And only the most discerning see them." Our strategy isn’t based on surface-level movements but on patterns and signals that tell the deeper story. Soybean oil is primed for a down move. Let’s break down the intel: Commercials’ Short Stance Relative to their positioning over the last 26 weeks, commercials have positioned themselves heavily short. Last time they were this committed was December 2023, a setup that spelled trouble for the long side. Overvaluation Across Key Metrics Against gold and treasuries, soybean oil is flashing overvalued based on our WillVal indicator. This isn’t random; the market is overextended and vulnerable to the downside. Bearish “Pinch” Confirmation Two weeks ago, a Bearish Pinch formed on ADX/Stochastic—one of the most reliable indicators of an impending pullback. Today’s momentum divergence confirms it. The alignment is uncanny, if you’re paying attention. Seasonal Trends: Down to December True Seasonal points down, favoring the bears. It’s as if time itself is backing this move. Supplementary Indicators Are Aligned Insider Acc/Dis, %R, and Stochastic are all signaling in unison: the tide is turning. Each of these alone is meaningful, but together, they mark a rare convergence that few recognize. "The trigger is pulled, and now we walk the path." This isn’t a drill. Today’s bearish momentum divergence confirmation is the daily trend trigger we needed, a line in the sand between potential and execution. For those who see beyond the surface, this is your sign to take action. To uncover more of these market signals and gain the insights no one else is sharing, follow @Tradius_Trades. Because once you’re in on the code, everything changes.
CBOT:ZLZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
Soybean Oil Futures The price is in a downtrend in the recent days, indicated by the series of lower highs and lower lows from the last peak around $45. Current price level: $41.90, which marks a significant drop of -3.30% on the last candle. There seems to be support around $41, which has been tested multiple times (mid-August and today). A break below this level could signal further downside. The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that it may be in an oversold condition. Historically, the price tends to revert back towards the mean (the middle band) after touching the lower band. The bands are not extremely wide, suggesting low volatility during the last period. Recent days have shown higher volume on down candles, which could indicate strong selling pressure. The largest red volume bar appears in the last session, showing intense selling interest. Short-term: The price has been trending downward after a rejection near $44. The downward momentum is increasing, and the next major support is around $41. If it holds, there may be a bounce, but breaking it could lead to further downside. Medium-term: The chart shows that after a rally from June to July 2024, the price failed to sustain the uptrend and reversed in mid-August. Currently, the trend favors the bears. For bulls: Look for a bounce at $41 or a break above the 20-day moving average with increasing volume to confirm a reversal. For bears: Watch for a confirmed break below the $41 support for further downside, possibly targeting the next support level near $38.
CBOT:ZLZ2024Short
by Sahrin
ZL. Zigzag for wave 2.Working on the idea of a Zigzag pattern for Wave ((2)) in the soybean oil market. In Elliott Wave Theory, a Zigzag pattern is a corrective wave pattern that usually consists of three waves: Wave A: This is the initial decline from 42.68 in 5 wave sequence, setting the stage for the corrective pattern. Wave B: 3 wave corrective rally that follows Wave A. Wave C: This is the final leg of the Zigzag pattern, typically extending beyond the end of Wave A. Wave C is always either an impulse or a diagonal. My interpretation of the current structure is that Wave C has developed into an expanding diagonal and may possibly end at 3956. Invalidation for this idea = 3956
CBOT:ZL1!Long
by pengiran-
1
ES gold soybean oil8 28. 24 in this video there was a 2-bar reversal moving lower on the ES and I think this could be a good short trade with a small stop and potentially a real good Target or a substantially real good Target lower and I explained that. I don't think it will take a large stop to stay in the trade. gold has been Trading in a Range it was predictable early in that pattern.... and it's a good example of how markets can make new highs and you would think that that would be easy Trading but it really isn't that easy unless you can frame it and also realize that markets that make new highs frequently don't go a lot higher or lower.. the range and you want to judge the market that way if the range is significant enough to give you short-term trades as a buyer and or a seller. the last Market was Soybean Market and it could be one of those examples where you get out of your trade if you were long at the bottom and now it's getting a little tougher to stay long without Corrections.... and you want to think about those decisions because if it doesn't go much lower it can go higher than we have so far. I think it's tough to hold trades like this where the market had a great reversal point to go higher but the market didn't give it as much of a reward as you would like.... and that can influence you to think that the market is at high risk of making new lows and that you should take your profit. I talk about that a little bit.
CBOT:ZLZ2024
by ScottBogatin
1
Long trade in soybean oil8 19 24 soybean oil just generated a long trade during this video. it was not a long trade last night because it was too late to go long... but it ended up going just a little higher and then going lower to a support area a little after 10:00 in the morning..... and it's worth looking at the differences in the pattern to avoid what would have been a losing trade versus getting into a trade a little bit later when it corrected to a support and gave you much better opportunity with essentially very little risk compared to the reward. dxy, oil, ES, gold, Tesla we're also discussed in this video
CBOT:ZLZ2024
by ScottBogatin
soybean oil8.6.24 soybean oil went a little bit lower today to a measured move and a possible reversal with a fairly small stop. I do not trade this Market. it but it is probably a good Market to look at. I showed you how you could have found the short trade, where you should have taken your profit, that you have the beginning of a long trade to go higher. it's a good exercise in knowing and consciously thinking about where the buyers and the sellers are on the way down and on the way up.
CBOT:ZL1!
by ScottBogatin
1
Is Soybean Oil Heating Up? Of the grains and oilseeds, soybean oil has been the clear laggard. Corn, wheat, soybeans, and even soybean meal have seen notable rallies over the course of the last 4-6 weeks. However, there are indications that may soon change. As ingredient buyers know, soybean oil typically trades at a significant premium to its rival palm oil. The chart below overlays a 5-year continuous chart of front month soybean oil futures prices along with a 5-year continuous chart of Malaysian palm oil futures. As displayed by the chart, in each instance over the past 5 years in which SBO’s premium has eroded relative to palm oil, we’ve seen soybean oil prices rally in excess of 15%. Fund Positioning : Extreme fund positioning is typically viewed as a contrary indicator. As such, managed money funds holding their largest net-short position in soybean oil futures of any point in the last 5-years adds to the bullish case in the immediate term. Per the last CFTC Commitment of Traders report, managed money was holding a net-short position of 58,748 contracts. In the instance that prices grind higher, short-covering on behalf of managed money could accelerate a move to the upside. Technicals : Lastly, the technical landscape of soybean oil also looks constructive. There is significant bullish divergence between the two most recent lows, and a standard 14-day RSI. In other words, the most recent successive lows came on less conviction. A break and close above the most recent swing high of 50 should lay the groundwork for a test of the swing-highs observed last July between 64 and 66. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition. With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500 Performance Disclaimer Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
CBOT:ZL1!Long
by Blue_Line_Futures