10 Year T-Note Beginning Wave C of 2, Ichimoku & HA BearishT-note futures should continue to decline approximately to the 108'26'0 (0.618) or 108'10'0 (0.786) level. Ichimoku Cloud and the Heiken Ashi candlesticks remain bearish on the 5m, 15m, and 1h charts. Shortby epistemophiliacPublished 1
Elliott Wave Intraday View on Ten Year Notes (ZN_F) Looking for Short Term Elliott Wave in Ten Year Notes (ZN_F) suggests that the notes has almost reached the extreme area from 4.25.2024 low. This suggests that the Notes may soon see a 3 waves pullback at least. Up from 4.25.2024 low, wave (1) ended at 109’31. Wave (2) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (1), wave ((a)) ended at 108’3 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 109’1. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 108’16 which completed wave W in higher degree. Bounce in wave X has ended at 108’20 and the bond turned lower. Down from wave X, wave ((a)) ended at 108’02 and wave ((b)) ended at 108’06. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 107’21 which completed wave Y of (2) in higher degree. The Notes has turned higher in wave (3). Up from wave (2), wave ((i)) ended at 109 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 108’25. The Notes then extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 110 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 109’26. Final leg wave ((v)) is expected to end soon which should complete wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from 5.30.2024 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 107’21 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.by Elliottwave-ForecastPublished 0
10yr at important pivot Intraday Update: Major important support today on the 10yr at 109'09' which cause the squeeze (above) earlier this week post CPI. Traders will be laser focused on a close above/below here this week. by ForexAnalytixPipczarPublished 1
Fantastic Signal to buy 10-Year T-Note FuturesHello, We have identified a fantastic current opportunity to buy 10-Year T-Note Futures with a high probability and a favorable risk-reward ratio of over 3 on the 4-hour chart. Our target is set at $110'19'0 within a few days (swing trade). Ibrouri Longby AbdessamadibrouriPublished 0
108' first ZN 115' afterJumping too early is going against the tide... patience ! Shortby olivvUpdated 1
long ZNwas waiting for the 108 area but entered long today at 109'20 will add if we see 108 area this is a swing long for the end of year Longby olivvPublished 1
Zn next weeksI see positive indicators for Zn, and all Treasury bonds in the coming weeks.by HussiiPublished 1
US treausires are showing bullish patternTreasuries are trying to recover after making some nice and deep pullback in last few months as FED decided to wait on more economic data before they may finally cut rates. The pattern on 10 year US notes is looking bullish here after that impulse up since Novemeber, seen as wave (A), so obviously this tells us in which direction market can move after a retracement. Probably up! Well, this retracement in three waves is already visible on the charts below, so speculators can be positioned for more upside into wave (C) in months ahead, especially if FED is really going to cut rates this year, and if maybe NFP data finally disappoints this Friday. In such case, I think metals can explode, while the dollar sells off. Speculation for BOJ rate change in March and possibly"hawkish" ECB tomorrow (compared to FED) can help the dollar to be sold IMO. The only concern is risk-off, but bearish dollar/ bullish stocks correlation hasn't been there for a while anyway. Hope you love the analysis. GHLongby ew-forecastPublished 1
ZN long: Expecting 10Y bond yields to crashI am now expecting that the 10Y yield to crash and thus the trade here will be to long ZN futures. Please note that what this implies is that rates are coming down and there will be a rotation from equities to fix income and that means equity markets WILL CRASH sooner rather than later.Longby yuchaosngPublished 0
The most important chart ahead of tomorrow Tomorrow we will have a lot of information and data given to the market. Everything from the QRA (quarterly refunding announcement) from the Treasury to know what the allocation (or mix) of supply will be for the market between bills/notes/bonds. Then we will have private jobs data from the ADP. Following that we will have the ECI (employment Cost Index), then a few hours later we will hear from the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell and the FOMC. In the meantime, the 10yr notes market looks poised to rally in a "bull flag pattern" setup which does suggest a continuation of note market strength and ultimately US Dollar weakness. However, a break of the 38% retracement at 110'09' would suggest otherwise and in that case we could see the US Dollar really take off to the upside as the bond market nullifies the pattern and looks to correct further below 109'00.by ForexAnalytixPipczarPublished 0
10Y Treasury Bond Is Looking For A Bigger RecoveryTreasury bond - 10Y US Notes came down a lot in the last two years but this cycle can now come to an end as we can see five waves down into 2023 lows ona weekly time frame. In fact, we also see five subwaves completed within wave (5) on a daily chart after prices recovered and break above the trendline resistance. The move is strong, thus we think that more upside can be coming within a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) rally, where first leg (A) can be still in progress or maybe already completed as an impulse. Support on subwave 4 or wave (B) dips are at 110-111.Longby ew-forecastPublished 0
ZNCurrently ZN futures are in the buy zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the sell phase.Longby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissiPublished 0
ZN1! / $TLT Short Idea UpdateUpdating Jan 2 post after jobless claims Surprised we saw such a big move after claims Highlights extreme market positioning for cuts this year Higher crude supports higher rates move. position hedges middle east volatility NFP tmrw is wildcard Remember NFP is wildly volatile Prefer buying Feb puts as defined risk trade ZN currently at technical support and rates at big 4% resistance Look to fade bounce 5ema serving as resistance on various time frames Shortby hodgson42kPublished 0
10 year t-note, ZN IN 30 MINHello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis I see a great opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the chart, greetings and good luck to all.Shortby yassir90Published 0
US 10yr Trend ReversalZN1! Upward Trend Tested Price action breaks trendline, fails to recapture, and settles at support ~112'05 111 next key level Higher oil supports move lower/higher yields Long Feb Expiration Puts define risk thru various economic events (NFP, CPI, Fed)Shortby hodgson42kPublished 0
OPTION SENTIMENTYesterday, a 10-year bond portfolio was created in the market. The goal is to maximize profit when the price is between $109 and $110 by the expiration date of January 17, 2024. This one requires careful observation.Shortby ClashChartsTeamPublished 2
Bond Bears Beware (3+1 reasons)This is a brief video sharing my thoughts why I think T-Notes have bottomed out. It is not a full, detailed analysis, but rather a quick video sharing thoughts on 3 + 1 patterns. Two of these patterns are on the MACD-v , one seasonal and as a "bonus" the historical reaction to changes of Fed Policy. Long06:07by AlexSpiroglouPublished 0
Buy March 10 yr 110.16 limitBuy March 10 yr 110.16 limit Pending Order. Order not triggered yet. Longby Cannon-TradingUpdated 1
forecasting t-note ZN in 15 min Hello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis, I see a great sales opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the graph, greetings and good luck to allShortby yassir90Published 0
T-note ZN1! only billy has the power and glory for god's sake!billy-billy-no, soros, rothschild, blackrock, rockie and the creepy ghost of kissinger are pumping money, printing as fools and ripping the market off. Therefore we see the t-note really overbought. Just do the same like these evils and sell puts on ZN1! january contract at 110,25 strike price and fvckthem. Collect the premium.Longby JorgeCCMMPublished 0
Notes still in a bear market Even though the ZN 10yr notes look like they want to reverse higher (lower yields) we can't forget how bearish this long term trend is. While below 109'05 the bears remain in control Shortby ForexAnalytixPipczarPublished 0
ZN1! only billy has the power and glory for god's sake!billybillyno, soros, rothschild, rockie-feller, larry pink and the rest of pedoyews elites that run the world are pumping the t-note as they print money as fools to later dump it. Do not be silly and buy puts options at 108,50 or sell calls at 110,50 on JAN 2024 contract and fvckthemShortby JorgeCCMMPublished 0
T-Notes rally Looking for T-Notes to continue the rally in coming months: It looks like it ended a 5 waves pattern There is a divergence on the MACD between wave 3 and 5 Their is the 10 year S2 at 105 and an untested demand zone Historical number of shorts on the T-Notes ( COT: Reportable Non-Commercial Net Positions (Futures Only)) Lower inflation and potential economic effects of such a rapid increase in rates should make rates go down December is usually the worst month of the year for treasuries but 2024 should be a good year for bonds.Longby John_8-58Published 0