Actionable Nasdaq insights: 17- Dec-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
US100 trade ideas
NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames!
"BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits
Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance
Bull Imbalances all the way!
How far can bulls drive it up, who knows?
All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory!
Keynote!
The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip
of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level.
Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NAS long range snapshotThe NAS continues to follow the long range forecast projection since earlier in 2024.
Nasdaq 100: Sustained Uptrend with Strong Momentum SignalsChart Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 has maintained a steady uptrend after rebounding from its August low, respecting a rising trendline (black) and staying above key moving averages. Here's a breakdown of the key observations:
1️⃣ Trendline Support:
The price has respected the ascending black trendline, acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. This showcases strong bullish commitment.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Projection:
The price is approaching the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (around 22,694), a potential area for traders to watch closely for reaction. Extensions like this often serve as resistance in trending markets.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
The 50-day SMA (blue) remains upward sloping, while the 200-day SMA (red) confirms a long-term bullish structure.
Price action staying well above these averages signals continued strength.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Nearing 70, indicating strong momentum, though traders may watch for overbought signals.
MACD: Bullish crossover continues, with rising histogram bars suggesting increasing buying pressure.
What to Watch:
Whether the price can sustain momentum towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level (~22,694).
A healthy pullback towards the trendline or the 50-day SMA could offer clues for continuation patterns.
Momentum indicators may warrant attention for short-term overbought conditions.
The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly in an uptrend with bulls firmly in control. A break and hold above the Fibonacci extension would signal potential for further gains. Keep an eye on volume and momentum as price nears key levels.
-MW
Toward $20576Here we can see the daily ichimoku levels in the 15-minute timeframe and I think that the price could go down to the daily kijun sen level.
Toward $21828 ?Here is a chart with 2 orange Ichimoku forecast lines, one daily and one weekly.
The price is actually above both of them.
I drawed the fibonacci extensions and I think the price can go up to $21828 that is the 1.618 fibonacci extension.
A first target might be at the 50% between the 1 and 1.618 (1.309 ?) fibonacci level at around $21547.
Us Nas 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
My expectations to Nasdaq!Hello guys,
on the chart you will find my target and it could go higher to 22150 but i would say 20000 due that it broke the downtrend purple line
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
US 100 Index – Fed to Bring Christmas Cheer or Fear?The US 100 has been on a roll over the last 2 weeks adding around 800 points or about 3.5% since its opening level of 20,950 on Monday December 2nd.
This week however, the US 100’s December rally faces a tough test on Wednesday in the form of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (1900 GMT) and the Press Conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell (1930 GMT).
Ahead of these events, it’s not so much the actual interest rate decision that stock index traders are nervous about, as the Fed are widely expected to cut rates another 25bps (0.25%) at this meeting.
Their concerns are focused on whether recent resilient US economic data, sticky inflation readings and Trump taking office are enough for Fed policymakers to feel the need to slow the pace of rate cuts as markets move into 2025.
Constituents of the US 100 index, often known as growth stocks, can be more sensitive to US interest rate changes, so this latest Fed meeting may have important implications for the US 100 index.
This could well determine if the Tech sector is to see Christmas cheer in the shape of a ‘Santa rally’, or if the Fed Grinch is set to install fear and uncertainty into traders during the final 2 weeks of 2024.
Technical Backdrop:
Of course, it has already been a strong advance since the August 5th spike low, but what are the levels we can monitor into and over the announcement?
Resistance Points to Watch
While it has been a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price for the US 100 index, resistance has been found at the trendline connecting highs since August 1st, which continued to limit last week’s attempts at strength. This line starts the new week at 21833, and the daily closing defence of this level will be watched closely.
Successful closing breaks above this level, while not a guarantee of future price strength, may see a further phase of upside moves, once again pushing into uncharted territory of new all-time highs.
Fibonacci extension measurements of the November 11th to November 19th correction, offers a possible first resistance level after the trendline, marked by the 38.2% extension at 22151. This may prove to be a stumbling block to any future advance, but if breached price activity could possibly test 23010, the higher 61.8% level.
Support Levels
If corrective themes emerge either into, or after the Fed announcement, a first support level to focus on could be 21286, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 19th to December 13th strength. While this type of level has in the past limited price weakness, it may not again, but traders could be looking for this area to limit declines once more.
If this first retracement support is unsuccessful in holding any weakness in price, the uptrend connecting the lows since August 5th downside extremes, currently stands at 21111. In the past this level has been able to hold and reverse selling pressure, so daily closes below this level, may be a sign of further price weakness materialising.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 16 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None, FOMC this Wednesday
News - None
Directional bias - BUY, Nasdaq is bullish overall so want to trade with the trend - "The trend is your friend".
Morning analysis:
M TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation
W TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation
D TF - Friday's candle closed in a rough doji candle formation which could signal that bulls are running out of steam to push price higher. But the candle did close green higher than the previous D highest candle close. So bulls did manage to break the resistance of the previous Day's highest close. I took this to be a bullish signal.
4H TF - Price gapped up as extended hours started trading today. Bulls pushed upwards and when I opened my charts there were a few red candles on the 1H TF.
1H TF - Noted a temporary downtrend line formed (marked in turquoise).
Noted 2 x interest areas / areas of confluence (marked in green highlight):
1. Top green area = 1H + D + 4H fib levels + Day pivot point. This represents time frame confluence and a great area of reversal.
2. Bottom green area = 4h EMA (at some point this morning, it has now moved due to passage of time) + 4H + D 0.618 fib level.
4H fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.
1H fib drawn from swing low at C to swing high at D.
As the day progressed:
Price started reacting to the top highlighted green area, until a DB formed on the 15min TF, signalling that price was ready to move up.
Entered in the green candle close at the hand icon, which represents a nice momentum candle + breaking the temporary downtrend line.
Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - DB on the 15min TF = reversal pattern in the direction I want
2. S&R - DB formed above the pivot point + 1H EMA providing dynamic support
3. Trend - Temporary downtrend line broken and trade is in the overall direction of the market
4. Fib - Price reacting to 1H + 4H + D fib levels representing strong TF confluence
5. Candlesticks - DB neckline broken with a strong momentum candle on the 15min TF
Mental SL placed at half the height of the 15min DB (marked with the think pink line).
Price moved up nicely and I took partial profits at the top hand icon at 1'725 pips, which represented the TP1 of the 4H / D fib extension (as shown).
Holding the rest until candles give the indication to close eg. DT forming on the 15min TF, with neckline broken down.
Easy peasy day at my trading desk - wish every day was this easy! :)
Hope you had a good day!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NasdaqThis is what I think about Nasdaq in the next few week's and months: I believe a %10-15 correction is ahead. If you find this work useful hit the like button please.
nasdaq 100 for buyThe NASDAQ is showing a bullish outlook with continued upward potential, driven by tech sector performance. Analysts favour long positions in key components like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon
NAS100 - Possible Outcome20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
NASDAQ VERY bullish, so I believe LONG 1st.
Resistance between 21965 - 22000
If it gets that far, and if resistance holds,
Possible correction back to 21750
Keynote!
Alot of data this week. Trade safe as the year is coming to an end.
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NASNAS is making higher highs and higher lows. A long position can be considered on the break of last high.
NAS100 BUY 15 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG DEMAND ZONE
Price has to feel gap up above Expecting a 3:1 Risk Reward Let's see:)
USNAS100 / Bullish Momentum...Technical Analysis
The price still trades at the bullish area, it seems to continue in the bullish area toward 22020 especially if it closes 1h candle above 21900.
So as long as trades above 21770 and 21900, it will be bullish to get 22020 and 22200.
Otherwise, it should break 21770 to be a bearish trend till 21630.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21900
Resistance Levels: 22020, 22200, 22450
Support Levels: 21770, 21620, 21520
Trend Outlook:
- Consolidation between 21770 and 21900
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 21530
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 21900
NAS100 SELL 15 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Countertrend
Expecting a 2:1 Risk to Reward Let’s see!
Still searching for a topThe Bubble of Overvaluation: When Rich Daydreams Burst
In the glittering world of tech, valuation often feels less like a science and more like an act of fantasy. Companies are valued not by their earnings or tangible impact, but by the whimsical projections of the ultra-rich who see tomorrow’s unicorns in today’s fledgling startups. This isn’t new. But the scale at which tech valuations have spiraled into the stratosphere is staggering—and unsustainable.
Take a step back and ask: why is a social media company, with no profits and dwindling relevance, valued higher than the GDP of a small nation? The answer is simple—it's speculation. The wealthy elite, drunk on dreams of infinite growth, pour money into anything that promises to reshape the future. The result? Tech companies inflated to absurd proportions, their stock prices propped up by hype rather than substance.
But daydreams don’t last forever. Reality has a way of intruding, and it’s coming with a vengeance. As economic inequality reaches breaking points, and as crises like hunger, housing, and climate change become impossible to ignore, the priorities of even the richest will have to shift. What happens then? Those dizzying valuations will come crashing down, because they were never built on anything solid to begin with.
The irony is that the resources squandered on inflating tech bubbles could solve many of the world’s most pressing problems. Feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, funding education, and building sustainable infrastructure—these are investments with real, tangible returns. Instead, we’re caught in a cycle of hoarding and speculation, where the richest cling to dreams of domination instead of learning what it means to share.
Eventually, they’ll wake up. And when they do, the crash will be spectacular. But maybe, just maybe, that reckoning will usher in a world where resources are allocated not to feed fantasies, but to feed people. Until then, the tech world remains an overvalued dreamscape, poised for a rude awakening.
NASDAQ rally still has lots of upside before is tops.Nasdaq (NDX) is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
As you see, the previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg already had a strong pull-back early on (August 26 - September 02 1W candles), it may continue to rise up to its target without another correction, assuming the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) holds.
If however it has another pull-back similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), then it should rise some more near the 0.236 Fibonacci level and then pull-back.
In any event, the current level is technically a solid long-term buy entry and since both previous Bullish Legs have been around +48%, we expect to see 25300 before the current one tops.
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NASDAQ been looking for sells all this time, nice entry i have a order block then a doji then price cam back to ssame area to take out liq then one last time to retest a order block
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index.
The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends.
This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains.
The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips.
The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact.
Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy.
Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published.
Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025.
The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
NASDAQ100 / US100 / US TECH Indices Market Bullish Heist PlanHello!! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist NASDAQ100 / US100 / US TECH Indices Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 22400.0
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support, Like and follow our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
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