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Bearish Flag Breakdown in Nifty 50 – A Shorting Opportunity Bearish Flag Breakdown in Nifty 50 – A Shorting Opportunity 🚨 Entry: Sell at 23,645 🚨 Stop Loss: 24,050 🚨 Target: 22,580 🚨 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔍 Analysis: The Nifty 50 has formed a classic bearish flag pattern, signaling potential downside momentum. A breakdown below 23,645 provides an ideal entry point for short-sellers, with a tight stop-loss to limit risk. With a strong confluence of technical indicators pointing toward further downside, the target of 22,580 aligns with the measured move of the flagpole, offering an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. 💡 Tip: Always adhere to your trading plan and risk management strategy. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not SEBI-registered. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trade responsibly! --- What’s your view on this setup? Let me know in the comments below!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by raigvivek
NIFTY S/R for 31/12/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty after multiple efforts not able to close above 23900.Nifty again tried to climb up and made a high of 23915 however there was tremendous selling pressure at that level and not only it could not sustain 23900 but also it failed to sustain 23800 or even 23650 levs. Nifty closed at 23644 levels. This is a closing below the Father line (200 days EMA) which was at 23693. This closing is indicative of weakness. Shadow of the candle has turned negative as of now. There is a strong support at 23567. If this support is broken the door way towards 23273 or even 22800 will open up. Relative strength index is 37.40 and RSI support is at 30 and 27.54 levels. Incase of positive closing tomorrow which looks little difficult as of now the resistances will be at 23650, 23693 (Father Line), 23809, 23961 and finally 24159 and finally Mother line (50 Days EMA) Resistance at 24266. So as of now it looks like we will have a modest close for the year. It has been an year for Nifty which Amplifies with 'what could have been'. Right now we are around 10% of the peak and at 9% yearly gains as compared to yearly closing. Hoping that law of averages catches up next year and we reach new highs next year and close the year robustly. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
#NIFTY50 TRADE SETUP - 30TH DECEMBER !!Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - 1 day Chart VieW NSE:NIFTY Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - Detailed Breakdown Key Observations: 1. Current Price Zone: The Nifty index is trading at 23,832, with the price consolidating near recent lows. 2. Key Resistance Zones: - 24,197.50: A significant resistance level, aligning with prior price rejections and a potential reversal area. - 24,069.95: Intermediate resistance that needs to be cleared for bullish continuation. 3. Key Support Zones: - 23,586.25: A strong support zone where buyers might step in, preventing further downside. - 23,262.15: A deeper support level, marking the lower boundary of the recent bearish structure. 4. Market Sentiment: The price action indicates uncertainty, with equal probabilities of breakout above the resistance or breakdown below support. Price Movement Summary: - Upside Potential: A breakout above 24,197.50 could push the index towards 24,300+ levels. Thiszone has been highlighted in the chart as a bullish target area (marked in red box). - Downside Risk: If the index breaks below 23,586.25, it could test 23,262.15 or lower, as depictedin the bearish target zone. Trading Plan: 1. Bullish Plan: - Entry: Above 24,069.95. - Target 1: 24,197.50. - Target 2: 24,300+. - Stop-Loss: Below 23,961.55 (current pivot zone). 2. Bearish Plan: - Entry: Below 23,586.25. - Target 1: 23,536.60. - Target 2: 23,262.15. - Stop-Loss: Above 23,832.45. Summary: - Nifty is at a critical juncture, with immediate resistance at 24,069.95 and support at 23,586.25. - Traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before initiating positions. - Risk management is crucial as the index approaches year-end volatility. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.The creator is not a SE-BI-registered advisor. Please consult with a certified professional before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by thetradeforecast
1
Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Target in Sight for Nifty 50Elliott Wave Structure and Current Market Context: The Nifty 50 daily chart shows a textbook Elliott Wave corrective pattern, currently in the final leg (Wave 5) of a downward move. Here's how the waves are structured: Wave 1: Initiated the bearish trend with a significant drop. Wave 2: A corrective bounce, retracing to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is typical in Elliott Wave corrections. Wave 3: The strongest and most impulsive leg of the move, extending below Wave 1, with high momentum and volume. Wave 4: A countertrend rally to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, indicating a weakening bullish momentum. Wave 5: The ongoing move, which is expected to extend downward and complete the cycle near key support levels. Technical Insights: Bearish Flag in Wave 5: The consolidation visible on the chart during Wave 5 resembles a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that usually precedes another downward move. A breakdown below the 23,750 level would confirm the flag's bearish potential, paving the way for further declines. Fibonacci Levels and Targets: Wave 5 often aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, placing the primary target around 23,300–23,250. This area also coincides with horizontal support from previous price action, adding confluence to the target zone. In case of stronger bearish momentum, an extended Wave 5 could push prices toward 23,000, which serves as a psychological support level. Wave Invalidation Levels: For the bearish scenario to remain valid, prices must stay below 24,500. A sustained move above this level would signal the start of a new bullish trend or a more complex corrective structure, invalidating Wave 5. Refined Trade Plan: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Entry: Enter short positions on a confirmed breakdown below 23,750, with increased selling volume and momentum. Stop-Loss: Place stops above 24,000, ensuring protection against false breakdowns. Targets: Target 1: 23,300, the expected end of Wave 5. Target 2: 23,000, in case of extended bearish momentum. Bullish Reversal Scenario (Low Probability): If prices break above 24,500, Wave 5 could be invalid. In this case, enter long positions above 24,600, targeting 25,200, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the larger downtrend. Key Indicators to Watch: Volume: A sharp increase during the breakdown would validate the bearish continuation. RSI Divergence: Check for bullish divergence in RSI near 23,300 to identify reversal potential. Candlestick Patterns: Monitor for strong bearish candles during the breakdown or reversal signals near support zones. This analysis provides a clear structure for trading Nifty 50 in the coming week, focusing on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci retracements for precision. The bearish scenario is currently favored, but traders should remain flexible and adapt to price action around key levels.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Rishabh1100
#Nifty50 Outlook for upcoming week 30-3rd Jan 2025The Nifty roared this week, gaining a solid 226 points, closing at a strong 23813! It reached a peak of 23938 before dipping to 23647. As predicted, the Nifty stayed within the 24100-23000 range, forming an interesting inside candle pattern. Excitingly, a bullish "W" pattern has emerged on the weekly chart! If the Nifty can hold above the crucial 23900 level next week, we could see it trading between 24300 and 23400 . However, while a bounce is expected, the bearish Monthly chart might tempt big players to unload their positions. Stay alert! Across the pond, the S&P500 took a 2.5% hit, closing at 5970 after reaching a high of 6049. The 5870-5850 support zone is critical. A breach could trigger a faster selloff, potentially testing the 5637/5551 support levels. For an upward move, the S&P500 needs to conquer 6050, paving the way for resistance levels at 6094/6142/6225. Bottom line: Use any bounce next week as an opportunity to lock in profits. Stay informed and trade wisely!" Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous New Year.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY S/R for 30/12/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty on Weekly chart delicately placed. (Medium Term Outlook)Nifty is placed delicately on a weekly chart. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive but as the closing of the year looms large FIIs and the Bears might again try to sell on rise. On the positive side if FII will be on the buying side for the 2025 beginning and create fresh positive positions we might see a positive rally on the upside. The supports for Nifty remain at 23532, 23271 and 22724. 22724 is a very important support below which we might see a free fall which as of now can range till 21302 or even 20587. However there does not seem any trigger as of now which can bring Nifty to this levels but you never say never. On the positive side if there is a fresh buying trigger and a positive rally overall the resistances on the upper side seem to be near 23901, 24300, 24881 and finally 25409. 25409 is a strong resistance and closing above it will not only open the doors for touching the previous highs 26277 but also push Nifty towards making new highs.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibonacci retracement on Yearly Candle gives us 2025 levels. We will continue out study of reading charts Today we will try to understand how to read the chart with the help of only 1 candle and Fibonacci series we will try to predict the range in which Nifty can move in the year 2025. First thing that one must understand that reading the charts is not a rocket science. What we have done is very simple and anyone can do. The candle stick that we have take in a 12 Month Candle. That means, all movement of Nifty for the full year has been encompassed by a single candle. I have then applied Fibonacci retracement and reverse retracement. Which has given us various zones that determine levels of Nifty. In Case you do not know about Fibonacci Golden ration you may read about it in my previous articles about the subject in Smart Investment. Fibonacci series was seen in ancient Indian Sanskrit and Maths in the works of Pingala and Hemachandra few Thousand years ago. The series derives its name however from Italian mathematician who made it famous in the modern era. Neutral Zone: The results that we got by applying Fibonacci and reverse Fibonacci on 12-month candle tell us that the neutral zone in case of sideways movement throughout the year would see Nifty moving between 21137 to 26277. Candles however seldom repeat on yearly scale but you never say never. These are the highs and lows of the current year. Negative Zone: If something very negative happens in the budget or thereafter on local or global scale we might see Nifty pivot to this range or 21137 to 19922. Where it could find support and reembark its journey upwards. Pessimistic Zone: In case of a catastrophe or some thing very negative on global or local / Macro or Micro economic front the range that we could see will be Nifty deteriorating towards 19922 to 18476. However, this looks unlikely as of now and even if it happens the upward journey might soon begin as PE investors might see a great value buying opportunity. Positive Zone: If things fall in place and economic progress continues, there is no deterioration of GDP or inflation and if Rupee recovers swiftly the zone between 26277 pervious peak and 27880 is possible. We may see a new peak of Nifty in this range. Optimistic Zone: In case the FII return enemas and economy continues to bloom with few elections and political stability / border stability and GDP growth continues it is quiet possible that we may see Nifty reaching new highs which will be in this range between 27880 and 30061. This seems a little distant dream as of now but you can never say never. At least if we hit the sweet spot of economy and Fibonacci golden ration even this ‘Everstsesque’ peak might be summited by Nifty. Here we have given different hypothetical scenarios of Nifty based on Fibonacci and candlestick analytics. For indepth understanding of Techno-Funda investing you can read my book which is The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. This book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. The book contains valuable tips for you to maximise your profits from stock market and wealth creation. It also explains my much coveted Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment