T/R zonesThis idea is based on transient/recurrent zones
Very high probability (90%+) for the price to hit TP.
Probability was calculated on TF 15min.
UK100CFD trade ideas
FTSE INTRADAY bearish oversold bounce backThe FTSE 100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, as evidenced by the prevailing downtrend. The primary focus remains on the key resistance level at 8638, which corresponds to the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline. This level is critical as it determines the next directional move of the index.
From the current levels, an oversold rally could potentially emerge, leading to a retest of the 8638 resistance. A bearish rejection from this level would reinforce the downtrend, paving the way for a move towards the 8520 support. Further downside momentum could extend losses to the next support levels at 8476 and 8327 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above 8638 on a daily closing basis would invalidate the bearish outlook. In such a scenario, the index is likely to experience renewed buying interest, targeting the next resistance at 8693, followed by a potential rally towards the 8760 level.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment for the FTSE 100 remains bearish unless a decisive breakout above the 8638 resistance occurs. Traders should monitor price action around this critical level for confirmation of either a continuation of the downtrend or a potential bullish reversal.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Overlap resistance ahead?UK100 is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 8,628.83
1st Support: 8,461.16
1st Resistance: 8,745.12
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
FTSE retest of ATH, The Week Ahead 03rd March ‘25Market Sentiment:
The FTSE 100 index maintains a bullish outlook, supported by the long-term uptrend. However, price action is at a key technical level, where market participants will look for confirmation of the next move.
Bullish Scenario:
Key Support: 8709 (20-day moving average, previous consolidation zone, and rising trendline).
A pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm continued strength in the uptrend.
Upside Targets:
8850 (initial resistance)
8900 (next key resistance)
9000 (psychological resistance and long-term target)
A strong bounce from 8709 would reinforce bullish momentum and signal a continuation of the prevailing uptrend.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break below 8709, with a daily close beneath this level, would indicate a potential trend shift or deeper correction.
This could expose the index to further downside risk, targeting:
8650 (next immediate support)
8620, if selling pressure intensifies
A sustained loss of 8709 could weaken bullish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of extended consolidation or correction.
Market Outlook:
The 8709 remains the key pivot level—holding above it supports the bullish case, while a break lower could indicate a shift in momentum. Traders should monitor price action and volume near this level to assess the next directional move in the index.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
THE IMPORTANCE OF TREND FOLLOWINGMost people tend to not check the overall trend not knowing that could potential be a danger to their trades and account
If the overall trend is a downtrend(making lower lows and lower high)- you should look only for selling entries especially if you trade bigger time frames(M15 to upwards). However it's not that simple or everyone would be making millions of dollars lol.
when you check the overall trend you should make sure the swing lows and high are clear, strong and the bearish/bullish pressure(volatility) should also be strong and clear if one of these is missing
then it's best to stay away from the market or you'll become liquidity for other trades😂
so all in all, combine your Trend following with liquidity and market volatility.
UK100 about to drop again?good day traders, our past trades were a success and as you can see UK100 is repeating the same pattern again, meaning we are anticipating another drop, I won't explain much because it's simple and clear analysis that is self-explanatory. all I can say is wait for a candle rejection and enter
Bullish bounce off pullback support?UK100 has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 8,538.25
1st Support: 8,442.68
1st Resistance: 8,743.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
FTSE100 INTRADAY , previous support - new resistance at 8760The FTSE equity index currently shows a bearish sentiment, driven by the breakdown of the long-term prevailing uptrend. The recent oversold bounceback is attempting to retest major resistance at 8760, which marks the intraday swing high and aligns with the falling resistance trendline.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 8760 (intraday swing high and falling trendline resistance)
Resistance Level 2: 8837
Resistance Level 3: 8900
Support Level 1: 8565
Support Level 2: 8476
Support Level 3: 8327
Bearish Scenario
If the oversold rally is met with a bearish rejection at the 8760 resistance level, it would reaffirm the bearish outlook. This could trigger a decline targeting the 8565 support level, followed by further downside movement toward 8476 and 8327 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 8760 resistance and a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish bias. This scenario could set the stage for further rallies, with potential upside targets at 8837 and ultimately 8900.
Conclusion
The FTSE index exhibits a bearish continuation setup, with the 8760 resistance level being crucial. A rejection at this level could prompt a renewed move lower, while a breakout would signal bullish momentum and open the way for further gains. Traders should watch for decisive price action around 8760 to determine the next directional bias.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
A BUY of FTSE at last week's lowHere is why we are buying this pair at 8635.
1) It is well supported by last week's low
2) There was a big pattern last week to buy at the same area. This level is being retested.
3) There is a small pattern to buy right now (Although not clear on this platform)
4) M15 divergence in place.
Stops is about 40 pips.
FTSE 100 OutlookCurrently, I see the FTSE 100 in a short-term bearish phase, having broken the last key demand zone that supported the BOS (Break of Structure) to all-time highs (ATH). This signals that bearish momentum could continue, with price potentially seeking lower liquidity before finding support. However, my long-term outlook remains bullish, with the earliest signs of a potential resumption likely appearing around the green demand zones at the bottom of my chart.
From a macro perspective, slowing/stalling UK economic growth (with a projected GDP m/m from 0.4% to 0.1% 14/03/25 ) could put downward pressure on the index and provide a more clearer outlook for the month
FTSE 100 OutlookCurrently, I see the FTSE 100 in a short-term bearish phase, having broken the last key demand zone that supported the BOS (Break of Structure) to all-time highs (ATH). This signals that bearish momentum could continue, with price potentially seeking lower liquidity before finding support. However, my long-term outlook remains bullish, with the earliest signs of a potential resumption likely appearing around the green demand zones at the bottom of my chart.
From a macro perspective, slowing/stalling UK economic growth (with a projected GDP m/m from 0.4% to 0.1% 14/03/25 ) could put downward pressure on the index and provide a more clearer outlook for the month
FTSE100 (UK100) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 8760, followed by 8910 and 9000.
Support: Key support is at 8620 followed by 8536 and 9000.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish drop?UK100 has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support level which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 8,701.78
1st Support: 8,536.52
1st Resistance: 8,783.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
FTSE 100 setting itself for a 600 point Crash?As I did an analysis on downside to potentially come for the S&P500 yesterday, looks like the FTSE is following suit.
If they don't sort out these issues, we could see a 600 points crash for the FTSE...
Here are some reasons...
New U.S. Tariffs:
President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and increased tariffs on Chinese goods to 20%, sparking fears of a global trade war.
Oil Price Drop:
OPEC+ announced plans to boost oil output in April, leading to a 3% decline in the oil and gas sector.
Weak UK Construction Data:
The UK construction sector faced its most significant downturn since 2020, with the PMI dropping to 44.6 in February, indicating contraction.
Corporate Disappointments: Companies are reporting worse than expected results which is resulting in a lack of confidence in investors.
Melrose – Weak revenue forecast
WPP – Revenue decline, flat 2025 outlook
Quilter – £76m compensation hit, loss reported
Glencore – Lowest profits in 4 years
Shell – Weaker-than-expected annual profits
JD Sports – Multiple profit warnings, stock drop
And the technicals speak for themselves.
We see an M Formation, with the price reaching the neckline. If it breaks below, we could first see the price head to 200MA along with a further crash to 7,992.
We are seeing a pattern with these indices and either this will play out or something drastic will shock the world and will go back to all time highs.
Right now, it's not looking good.
FTSE 100 INTRADAY trend reversal below 8760 levelKey Trading Levels:
Resistance: 8760, 8850, 8910, 8990
Support: 8616, 8536, 8460
Market Sentiment:
Bearish intraday bias following a corrective pullback from overbought conditions.
Bearish Scenario:
The FTSE 100 has broken below the rising trendline and the previous consolidation range, establishing 8760 as a key resistance level.
An oversold bounce from current levels could face rejection at 8760, reinforcing bearish momentum.
A failure to reclaim 8760 may accelerate selling pressure, targeting downside support at 8616, followed by 8536 and 8460.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained breakout above 8760 with a daily close higher would negate the bearish outlook.
A bullish continuation could drive the index toward 8850, with further upside targets at 8910 and 8990.
Conclusion:
Intraday sentiment remains bearish unless FTSE 100 reclaims 8760. A rejection at this level could intensify selling pressure toward lower support levels. Conversely, a breakout above 8760 and a strong close would indicate a resumption of the broader uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 (FTSE)-Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
8380.25 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 8611.20 on 02/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 8854.99, 9000.00, 9100.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
8664.21
8765.00
8854.99
9000.00
9100.00
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FTSE100 H4 | Approaching pullback supportFTSE100 (UK100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 8,784.89 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 8,658.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 8,985.37 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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UK100 - Short - Limit Order @8856.3Looking for a counter trend setup here
Smaller time frames have shows a confirmed CHoCH, we are within our swing range and we are looking to take our Buy side Liquidity before plummeting down into the 61.8% level where we have seen price react alot within the past few days
FTSE Bullish trend continuationThe FTSE 100 (UK100) index continues to trade within a prevailing long-term uptrend, indicating a bullish bias. However, near-term price action suggests potential volatility around key levels, requiring confirmation of directional momentum.
Bullish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 8708, which represents the bull flag breakout level.
A successful retest and rebound from 8708 could reinforce the bullish outlook, targeting 8910 as the first upside resistance.
Sustained momentum above 8910 could extend gains toward 8950, with 8990 acting as a longer-term resistance level.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 8708 on a daily close could signal weakness, leading to a deeper retracement.
In this scenario, the next support levels to watch are 8680, followed by 8630, where buyers may attempt to regain control.
Further downside pressure below 8630 could weaken the broader uptrend structure, increasing the risk of extended corrective moves.
Conclusion:
The FTSE 100 remains within a bullish trend, but short-term movements depend on price action around 8708. A successful retest and rebound would reaffirm the uptrend, while a confirmed breakdown could introduce further corrective downside risks. Traders should monitor price reactions at these key levels to assess momentum shifts.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
