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Canadian Dollar Futures (Jan 2025)Canadian Dollar Futures (Jan 2025)Canadian Dollar Futures (Jan 2025)

Canadian Dollar Futures (Jan 2025)

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6CF2025 trade ideas

Smart Money Positioned to SHORT CAD - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Canadian Dollar (6C) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6C if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal OI Analysis: Upmove in price has seen Commercials aggressively move to the short side - bearish. Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October. COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: %R Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6CU2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
3
High Timeframe Analysis for Canadian DollarDISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. There are significant risks involved with trading. Do your due diligence. MULTI-TIMEFRAME STRATEGY. This approach is great for traders that don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. This strategy can easily be managed with a few minutes a night. If you have kids, or are busy with another profession, this strategy is excellent. HTF: 12 Month ITF: 2 Week ETF: 12 Hour CANADIAN DOLLAR ANALYSIS: I am looking for the Canadian Dollar to trade up to 2023 highs. My bias is due to the "swing low" we put in over the last few years, suggesting that overall there is some bullish momentum. The intermediate timeframe is in flow with my htf objective. I want to see CAD trade down into the 2W fair value gap &/or 2 week orderblock, and then give an entry (cisd, 18 period ma entry, 10-8 mac entry). The target is 2023 highs. These trades can last a fairly long time due to the high timeframe objective. I will either roll over into next contract, or utilize spot forex market for these positions. To be clear, this does not mean I blindly long. What this means is this market has a setup, which means we wait for the trigger/timing tool to get me in. Until then, I do nothing. If you want to learn more about the PD (Premium/Discount) arrays, I suggest you study ICT (Inner Circle Trader). My application of his work is unique, but to learn the fundamentals, there is no better place than his YouTube. If you have questions, feel free to shoot me a message. Have a great week.
CME:6C1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
1
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 2-6 : USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 2-6th. In this video, we will cover: USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6C1!
by RT_Money
1
Canadian Dollar Historic Long(Futures) This is the CoT index of Commercials(Blue) and Retailers(Green). As you can see, Commercials are in the high extreme and Retailers are in low extreme of the index. The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations which ended up in big rallies. Plus, when the retailers net position(green area) is around -8000 (the dotted green line) resulted in rallies also. On top of that Commercials net positions(the blue area) is close to the all time high (since 2001). the last time Commercials net positions were this high was May 2017 which ended up in a BIG rally. Besides, the 15-year seasonality shows bottom of the market around the end of June and top of the market around the end of July. Keep in mind that this is the Canadian Dollar futures chart which is the inverted of USDCAD of Forex chart.
CME:6C1!Long
by XardasX
2
Canadian Dollar Futures Trading Plan and ExplanationAfter analyzing options trades on CME, we found a promising opportunity to short Canadian Dollar. The option contract is for April with an expiration date of April 5, 2024. We noticed an interesting option portfolio on March 22 that aligns with the trigger level on the futures chart (refer to chart). A trigger level is a graphical pattern on the underlying asset that prompts traders to take or avoid specific trading actions. For the Canadian futures chart, the trigger level is the price breakdown of the local resistance at 0.7403-0.07406. Opening long positions at the breakdown point was encouraged by the bullish shape and intensity of the candlestick with minimal shadows. This level was attractive for making purchases for both chartists and adepts of candlestick analysis. The study of options trading has revealed that these levels are useful for opening counter positions when the price reaches them. To execute this strategy, smart traders use naked options in advance, specifically PUT options with a strike of 0.74. By utilizing the leverage effect of options, traders can create substantial short positions on futures contracts while maintaining a risk-free position for a limited time. IMPORTANT! We do not expect the price to move towards the strike level. Instead, we recommend using the obtained exchange data and analyzing it to gain an edge when opening a trade, providing a better starting point and improving the risk/reward ratio.
CME:6CM2024
by ClashChartsTeam
CAD - Futures - 24/4/2024 CAD Futures - Last week we had a very strong price rejection which created a weekly pin bar. but we needed more evidence to support this. This evidence came in a form of Commercials changing positions which is at 91,572 net positions. This is the highest net position in the last 26 weeks. Also in another weeks time we will have the NFP and CPI reports coming out and CAD is now showing strength against the Dollar prior to these reports coming out
CME_MINI:MCD1!Long
by insanemalin
Long CAD futuresPossible long trade on Canadian dollar futures (short USDCAD, same setup upside down) 30min uptrend formed with 200 ema confirming trend direction Recent swing HH acting as support zone along with 61.8% fib retracement Volume profile POC closing higher for 4 consecutive days. Yesterdays volume profile closed with POC at the high of day and as a double distribution. Price filling in the volume cave at the level of support. Trigger: Break out counter trend LH or Break of counter trendline Stop loss below range low Target at recent swing high
CME:6C1!Long
by ElGore18
Potential Reversal in the Canadian Dollar: Analyzing Supply and Overview: In recent trading sessions, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has displayed weakness, particularly since encountering weekly supply levels. However, there are indications that the CAD might be poised for a turnaround, especially as it approaches a daily demand zone. Analyzing the charts, we observe a potential opportunity for CAD strength, with key technical factors hinting at a shift in momentum. Technical Analysis: Weekly Supply Impact: The CAD has experienced a period of weakness following its interaction with weekly supply levels. This suggests significant selling pressure in the market, impacting the currency's performance. Daily Demand Zone: Presently, the CAD is situated within a daily demand zone, which often serves as a crucial area for potential reversals. Traders typically monitor such zones closely for signs of price action indicating a shift in sentiment. H4 CHoCH Signal: On the H4 timeframe, We have a change of character (CHoCH) is signaling a potential turnaround. This indicator can provide insights into buying or selling pressure within the market, potentially indicating a shift in momentum favoring the CAD. Target Levels: If the CAD manages to find support within the daily demand zone and the CHoCH signal confirms bullish momentum, we could anticipate a retracement back towards the 0.7400 levels. Longer-Term Outlook: A break of the prevailing downtrend line, coupled with the removal of opposite supply, could pave the way for a sustained upward movement in the CAD. Such a scenario could signal a longer-term shift in market sentiment towards CAD strength. Conclusion: While the Canadian Dollar has encountered resistance at weekly supply levels, the presence of a daily demand zone and favorable technical indicators suggest the potential for a reversal in CAD fortunes. Traders should closely monitor price action, particularly around the identified support levels and the CHoCH signal, for confirmation of bullish momentum. A break of the downtrend line could mark the beginning of a longer-term upward trajectory for the CAD, offering trading opportunities for those positioned accordingly. However, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies in response to evolving market conditions.
CME:6C1!
by Mike_SnD
Exploring the Impact of CBDC on Forex Trading in CanadaI am reaching out to discuss an intriguing topic that has been gaining significant attention in the financial realm: the potential impact of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on forex trading in Canada. As you may be aware, the introduction of CBDC has sparked numerous discussions and debates among forex traders. The purpose of this idea is to delve into the concerns raised by these traders and shed light on how the implementation of CBDC could potentially affect their trading strategies, market liquidity, and overall dynamics of the forex market. Forex traders have expressed several apprehensions regarding the introduction of CBDC. Firstly, they are concerned about the potential disruption to their trading strategies. Since CBDC would be a digital representation of the national currency, traders fear that its introduction could alter the existing forex market dynamics, making their current strategies less effective or even obsolete. Moreover, market liquidity is another aspect that traders are closely monitoring. The introduction of CBDC could potentially impact the liquidity of the forex market, as it may attract a significant portion of trading volume towards this new digital currency. This shift in liquidity could have implications for traders who rely on the current market conditions and liquidity levels to execute their trades effectively. Furthermore, the overall dynamics of the forex market might experience some changes with the introduction of CBDC. Traders are concerned about potential shifts in exchange rates, volatility, and the relationship between different currency pairs. These changes could create uncertainties and challenges for traders who have built their strategies based on the existing market dynamics. In conclusion, the potential implications of CBDC on forex trading in Canada have raised valid concerns among traders. The impact on trading strategies, market liquidity, and overall forex market dynamics are critical factors that need to be carefully considered. Understanding these concerns and their potential consequences is crucial for traders and policymakers alike. cointelegraph.com
CME_MINI:MCD1!
by bryandowningqln
Last Dance of the Loonie and WTI? The correlation between WTI and Canadian Dollar seems to be breaking down, at least in the short term. Not sure the reasons for this, but posting to hear thoughts. For those unfamiliar with the WTI/CAD correlation, I have added some context. The Correlation: How Are They Connected? Commodity-Driven Economy : Canada is known for its abundant natural resources, including oil. The Canadian economy is heavily reliant on its energy sector, which includes the production and export of oil. When WTI crude oil prices rise, Canadian oil exports become more valuable, leading to an influx of foreign capital into Canada. This increased demand for the Canadian dollar can result in its appreciation against other currencies. Economic Health : The Canadian economy's overall health is closely tied to the energy sector's performance. When WTI prices surge, it often indicates increased economic activity, which can benefit Canada's economy and, consequently, the loonie. Conversely, when oil prices plummet, it can have a negative impact on the Canadian economy and lead to a weaker Canadian dollar. Risk Appetite : Like many commodity currencies, the Canadian dollar tends to strengthen during periods of risk appetite. When global economic conditions are stable, investors often flock to assets like oil, which can lead to higher oil prices and, in turn, boost the loonie.
CME:6C1!
by LonnieMSP
CAD FUTURES, Bear-Flag-Formation, Upcoming BREAKOUT!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about the CAD FUTURES on the weekly timeframe perspective. The index recently continued with bearish developments after printing several lower highs. Now important further determinations need to be made as such an bearish price action can activate further continuations if there are no main reversal signs to consider. Within this case I detected important developments with the CAD FUTURES which could signal a potential bearish price action and long-squeeze on the road. When looking at my chart you can watch there the CAD FUTURES continued to print these several lower highs always pulling to the downside off the descending trend-line marked in red. Furthermore, the CAD FUTURES have the 65-EMA marked in red as a main resistance within the already established downtrend. Within this downtrend the index formed a wave-count towards the downside with the waves A and B already formed and with the wave B actually forming this crucial bear-flag-formation likely to complete in the next times. Once the breakout below the lower boundary of the flag-formation has shown up this means that CAD FUTURES are going to set-up the origin of the wave C extension and are going to continue with the extension till the main targets marked in my chart have been reached. Once the targets have been reached it will be important how the index continues from there on because if the bearish momentum increases massively in this case there is an increased possibility for the index to continue within the bearish-continuation-zone. In the next times the final breakout-determination will indicate the further price action. In any case, it will be an important development to consider. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
CME:6C1!
by VincePrince
8