ES1! Jobs report was good which means less likelihood of rate drop in the near future. This should push markets the other direction, this pump is the best in 20 years so it should be negative on Monday unless orange man starts flapping his jaws with hopium.E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Jun 2016) forum
๏ปฟES1! Jobs report was good which means less likelihood of rate drop in the near future. This should push markets the other direction, this pump is the best in 20 years so it should be negative on Monday unless orange man starts flapping his jaws with hopium.
ES1! 30 min chart this could push
mes! es1!
๐ 5720
๐ 5640
๐ 5720
๐ 5640
ES1! ECONOMY IS F ED. NEWS MEDIA EVEN MORE. One article says china is in talks with w usa futures go up and 10 minutes later another articles comes out saying trump is targeting overseas commerce sites for regulations and market stalls. STOP BUYING MEDIA HYPE! My mom says Costco is not full as it used to be. My dentist fired two employees and is going from full time to part time. My cousin has used car dealer and sold no cars past 3 weeks. Tariff deals wont bring back economy no earlier than a year or so. Retail idiots stop being headless chickens. Its a trap!
SPY ES1! 
QQQ 
VIX This is rising with a purpose. I donโt think even an act of god could save shorts this week but with the way itโs moving, this will peak above the 50/100/200MAs in no time. Previous bear market rallies went to the 75% retracement. It could crash very soon once those levels are tested. Proceed with extreme caution. This could be the ultimate trap.
tradingview.com/x/II2qLrGS
QQQ VIX This is rising with a purpose. I donโt think even an act of god could save shorts this week but with the way itโs moving, this will peak above the 50/100/200MAs in no time. Previous bear market rallies went to the 75% retracement. It could crash very soon once those levels are tested. Proceed with extreme caution. This could be the ultimate trap. tradingview.com/x/II2qLrGS
# S&P 500 Futures Analysis: Technical Patterns, Market Sentiment, and Trading Strategies
The S&P 500 E-mini futures (ESM2025) are currently trading at 5,645.75, up 58.75 points (+1.05%), showing significant recovery following April's volatility. This comprehensive analysis examines both technical patterns and market sentiment indicators to formulate actionable trading strategies in the current market environment.
## Technical Analysis
### Price Action and Elliott Wave Structure
The S&P 500 futures chart reveals a complex Elliott Wave pattern that suggests we're in the early stages of a potential fifth wave impulse. The market appears to have completed a corrective pattern following a significant decline in March 2025, forming what looks like an a-b-c correction[1]. This correction created a bottom near 4,800, from which the market has been steadily recovering.
The five-wave Elliott structure visible on the chart indicates:
1. Wave 1-2 formed in late 2024 through early 2025
2. Wave 3 developed through January-February 2025, reaching approximately 6,200
3. Wave 4 correction took the form of a sharp decline in March-April 2025
4. Currently, we appear to be in the early stages of Wave 5, with a projected target of approximately 6,200.75 (1.618 extension)[1]
### Indicator Analysis
The RSI Divergence Indicator shows the market recovering from oversold conditions in April. Two "Bear" signals were triggered in December 2024 and March 2025, both of which preceded significant market corrections[1]. The current RSI reading is near 56.75, suggesting moderate bullish momentum but not yet reaching overbought territory. This indicates further room for upside before technical resistance becomes significant.
### Support and Resistance Levels
Key support levels are established at:
- 5,400-5,450 (recent breakout area)
- 5,200 (April low consolidation zone)
- 4,800 (Wave 4 bottom)
Important resistance levels include:
- 5,800 (previous consolidation zone)
- 6,000 (psychological level)
- 6,200-6,300 (previous Wave 3 top and projected Wave 5 target)[1]
## Sentiment Analysis
### Put/Call Ratio
The SPX Put/Call Ratio currently stands at 1.21 as of April 29, 2025, showing a decrease from 1.38 one year ago[5]. This reading is above the typical neutral level of 0.7 for equities, suggesting investors remain somewhat cautious despite the recent market recovery. The Put/Call ratio has been gradually declining from its recent high of 1.95 on April 7, 2025, indicating diminishing fear in the market[5].
### Fear and Greed Index
CNN's Fear and Greed Index currently reads 36.29[7], placing market sentiment in the "Fear" territory. This contrarian indicator suggests potential buying opportunities as excessive fear often precedes market rebounds. The relatively low reading, despite recent price strength, indicates that market participants remain skeptical of the sustainability of the current rally.
### Investor Sentiment Survey
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey tracks bullish, bearish, and neutral investor outlooks. Historical averages show bullish sentiment typically around 38.0%, neutral at 31.5%, and bearish at 30.5%[6]. Current sentiment readings suggest retail investors have remained more steadfast during recent market turbulence, while institutional investors have reacted with greater alarm to volatility[8].
### Institutional vs. Retail Behavior
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently observed that "retail investors have remained steadfast, while institutional investors have reacted with alarm" amid recent market upheaval[8]. This divergence in behavior suggests that individual investors have been actively buying during April's downturn, potentially providing a floor for the market.
## Trading Strategies
### Short-Term Strategy (1-2 Weeks)
1. **Momentum Play**: With the market seemingly in the early stages of a Wave 5 impulse, traders could consider long positions with tight stops below 5,550.
2. **Options Strategy**: Given the current Put/C
The S&P 500 E-mini futures (ESM2025) are currently trading at 5,645.75, up 58.75 points (+1.05%), showing significant recovery following April's volatility. This comprehensive analysis examines both technical patterns and market sentiment indicators to formulate actionable trading strategies in the current market environment.
## Technical Analysis
### Price Action and Elliott Wave Structure
The S&P 500 futures chart reveals a complex Elliott Wave pattern that suggests we're in the early stages of a potential fifth wave impulse. The market appears to have completed a corrective pattern following a significant decline in March 2025, forming what looks like an a-b-c correction[1]. This correction created a bottom near 4,800, from which the market has been steadily recovering.
The five-wave Elliott structure visible on the chart indicates:
1. Wave 1-2 formed in late 2024 through early 2025
2. Wave 3 developed through January-February 2025, reaching approximately 6,200
3. Wave 4 correction took the form of a sharp decline in March-April 2025
4. Currently, we appear to be in the early stages of Wave 5, with a projected target of approximately 6,200.75 (1.618 extension)[1]
### Indicator Analysis
The RSI Divergence Indicator shows the market recovering from oversold conditions in April. Two "Bear" signals were triggered in December 2024 and March 2025, both of which preceded significant market corrections[1]. The current RSI reading is near 56.75, suggesting moderate bullish momentum but not yet reaching overbought territory. This indicates further room for upside before technical resistance becomes significant.
### Support and Resistance Levels
Key support levels are established at:
- 5,400-5,450 (recent breakout area)
- 5,200 (April low consolidation zone)
- 4,800 (Wave 4 bottom)
Important resistance levels include:
- 5,800 (previous consolidation zone)
- 6,000 (psychological level)
- 6,200-6,300 (previous Wave 3 top and projected Wave 5 target)[1]
## Sentiment Analysis
### Put/Call Ratio
The SPX Put/Call Ratio currently stands at 1.21 as of April 29, 2025, showing a decrease from 1.38 one year ago[5]. This reading is above the typical neutral level of 0.7 for equities, suggesting investors remain somewhat cautious despite the recent market recovery. The Put/Call ratio has been gradually declining from its recent high of 1.95 on April 7, 2025, indicating diminishing fear in the market[5].
### Fear and Greed Index
CNN's Fear and Greed Index currently reads 36.29[7], placing market sentiment in the "Fear" territory. This contrarian indicator suggests potential buying opportunities as excessive fear often precedes market rebounds. The relatively low reading, despite recent price strength, indicates that market participants remain skeptical of the sustainability of the current rally.
### Investor Sentiment Survey
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey tracks bullish, bearish, and neutral investor outlooks. Historical averages show bullish sentiment typically around 38.0%, neutral at 31.5%, and bearish at 30.5%[6]. Current sentiment readings suggest retail investors have remained more steadfast during recent market turbulence, while institutional investors have reacted with greater alarm to volatility[8].
### Institutional vs. Retail Behavior
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently observed that "retail investors have remained steadfast, while institutional investors have reacted with alarm" amid recent market upheaval[8]. This divergence in behavior suggests that individual investors have been actively buying during April's downturn, potentially providing a floor for the market.
## Trading Strategies
### Short-Term Strategy (1-2 Weeks)
1. **Momentum Play**: With the market seemingly in the early stages of a Wave 5 impulse, traders could consider long positions with tight stops below 5,550.
2. **Options Strategy**: Given the current Put/C
ES1! #circuitbreaker
ES1! Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the #ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss ๐:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (5440) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 5730
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธ#ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .โโโ
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐บ
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss ๐:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (5440) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 5730
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธ#ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .โโโ
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐บ
ES1! At the -M level, weโre approaching a significant highโif price breaks above and then rejects, it could signal a shorting opportunity.
