Gold is changing trend.Gold has been doing previous lower lows. Just hit 3210.00
Expecting change of trend.
QOZ2025 trade ideas
Session Realtime BarJust an idea for better visuals, use 2 of the SessionBar indicator on the chart use the spacing setup with the active bar to the left of the overnight bar in the other indicator...
One indicator for the Active Session Bar: indicating the current session bar.
2nd indicator for the Overnight Session Bar: indicating the overnight session bar.
Gold Should complete the Retrace before giving another DirectionWas expecting the pullback. Now I just need to wait for it to finish before trying to buy it. Price should give us a solid confirmation when its finally ready. want to see them take out some lower levels first. If price gives up a entry during Asia session we could see a nice short.
Retrace Complete...but we need 1 more Sweep on Gold!This pullback is what I waited for and it took all week for it to happen. Not sure if I will get the bullish move today being that it is Friday. But if they hit the level I'm looking for I will try at least once. Keeping expectations low since its the end of the week. but things are shaping out for us to have a STRONG bullish week next week.
Price currently Bullish...But will it continue for the week?This is bullish price action i was expecting. Im just now waiting for a solid area for entry. Just have to wait for the killzones and things to line up inside of the killzone. cause outside of the killzones its nothing but chop and impulsive action that can throw you off.
Gold- at the CUSP of making history!!Chart Analysis:
Instrument: Gold Futures (1-hour timeframe)
Key Patterns Identified:
Flag & Pole Pattern: A sharp upward move (pole) followed by a consolidation (flag) indicating potential continuation.
Rounding Bottom: A gradual rounding formation indicating accumulation and potential upward movement.
Sloping Trendline Resistance: Marked as a diagonal dashed line indicating an area where price might face resistance.
Key Levels:
97,579: A horizontal resistance level that is crucial for breaking upward.
99,999: A major resistance level, with a note that closing above it could push prices to 106,000.
Gap Zone: Indicated with a query if it will be filled, implying a possible pullback before a further move.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI is around 53, indicating a neutral momentum.
The RSI-based moving average is around 47.43, suggesting that the price might still consolidate before a directional move.
Summary:
The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation if Gold Futures close above the 99,999 mark.
The presence of a rounding bottom supports a bullish bias, but the gap highlighted raises caution about a potential retracement.
Traders might watch for a breakout above the sloping trendline or a gap fill before positioning.
Bearish Price Action for GoldThe risk on trade is putting further downward pressure on gold. Combine that with the bearish technical setup( multiple divergences, triangle pattern break, Trendline pattern break, bearish evening star candlestick pattern) and the charts suggest this move has room to extend to the downside. Conservative pattern targets suggest the PML(previous monthly low) is in play which is 2970. That seems reasonable as it is a conservative target. As I write this gold is testing 3240 which is a PWL(previous weekly low) and it is acting as support. Gold is below its monthly pivot of 3266 so the bears and bulls will probably fight this one out for a day or two and then the picture will get clearer if this move wants to extend or it is simply a correction in a longer term uptrend.
Gold Futures 15-Minute Timeframe Analysis15-minute timeframe, upper range boundary at 3247.4, lower range boundary at 3220.7.
You could consider trading within this range by selling near the top and buying near the bottom (high-probability mean reversion). However, I recommend waiting for a breakout or breakdown of the range and then trading the trend on the 5-minute timeframe.
15分钟周期，区间上沿3247.4，区间下沿3220.7。可以考虑做该区间内的高抛低吸，但我建议等待突破或跌破区间后，在5分钟周期做趋势单子
GOLD LONG IDEA for next week - targeting growth**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $3280**
- **T2 = $3320**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $3220**
- **S2 = $3190**
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Gold.
**Key Insights:**
Gold has continued as a refuge for capital amidst macroeconomic uncertainties, maintaining a strong bullish momentum due to increasing inflationary pressures and global geopolitical tensions. Market experts suggest the Federal Reserve's dovish monetary tone may further fuel demand for Gold, coupled with a weakening US dollar that enhances attractive price levels. The recent trend shows heightened levels of institutional buying, signaling potential for upward movement. Favorable seasonality and demand during market risk cycles enhance its appeal.
Recent supply dynamics, driven by mining constraints and costly extraction levels, contribute to a limited Gold supply market scenario. With central bank reserves gradually accumulating Gold to hedge risks, we anticipate robust demand levels supporting prices. Analysts highlight that hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds show extreme interest towards additional Gold allocation—advising LONG strategies with focus...
Gold Setup: Range or Rip? Here's the PlaybookGold’s been on a tear lately — driven by safe haven demand as real yields soften and global uncertainty lingers.
But here’s where things get interesting...
We’re now watching what could be a textbook head and shoulders pattern start to take shape.
📊 Current Range:
Right now, price is stuck between 3380 and 3280 — and it’s acting like it knows it.
⚡ Possible Scenarios:
🔁 Scenario 1: Range Play
Short near 3380
Long near 3280
Let it ping-pong and catch the edges.
📈 Scenario 2: Breakout Long
Confirmation above 3380
Look for momentum follow-through into 3420+
📉 Scenario 3: Breakdown Short
Break below 3280
Eyes on the 3220s for a potential flush
🧠 The key? Drop to the lower time frames near these zones and wait for clean setups during active sessions — especially NY open or post-data volatility.
💬 How are you playing this? Breakout or bounce? Drop your take 👇
#gold #tradingview #futures #technicalanalysis #metals #xauusd #tradingstrategy #macro
Trade Plan – MGC (Micro Gold Futures) | Sunday, May 4Trend Bias (Multi-Timeframe Analysis):
• 1W: Bullish – Strong macro uptrend with pullback off all-time highs.
• 1D: Bearish – Lower highs and lower lows forming after topping out at $3,509.
• 4H: Bearish – Clean downtrend continuation forming.
• 1H: Bearish – Price rejected lower highs, now curling down again.
• 15M: Bullish – Short-term bounce from $3,210 low, but corrective in nature.
Trade Setup:
• Direction: Short
• Entry Zone: $3,250 – $3,260
• Price has retraced to a lower-high zone under supply; aligns with hourly resistance.
• Stop Loss: $3,270
• Just above 1H structure and 15M failed high.
• Take Profit: $3,210
• Prior swing low and liquidity zone.
Gold Hourly & 4H Analysis UpdateGold CMP 3290
Yesterday on the Hourly chart , Gold gave a Buy Signal at 3257 , and today it rallied up to 3395 — a clear momentum of 138 points . It also gave a fresh breakout on the 4H time frame , indicating strong upward momentum.
Currently, resistance is seen at the 3420 levels .
If Gold breaches 3420 , we could see further upside toward 3450–3465+ levels .
However, failure to breach 3420 may trigger a reversal .
Positional traders can continue to Hold Gold positions with a Stop Loss at 3355 levels
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
