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US Tech (NDQ) / US Dollar

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NDQUSD trade ideas

USNAS100 / Key Breakout Levels and Trend ProjectionsTechnical Analysis The price surged approximately 320 pip, as anticipated in our previous analysis. Today, maintaining stability above the All-Time High (ATH) is crucial to achieving further gains, with the next target at 21,360. A confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 21,215 would likely drive the price toward 21,360 and further to 21,500. Conversely, if the price stabilizes below 21,160 with a confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, a decline toward 21,075 and 20,990 is expected. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21160 Resistance Levels: 21220, 21360, 21500 Support Levels: 21075, 20990, 20860 Trend Outlook Bullish: Upon breaking and closing above 21,215. Bearish: Upon breaking and stabilizing below 21,160. PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The Nasdaq index bounced back with a 0.37% gain today, recovering some ground after yesterday’s 0.5% decline. The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **EIA Crude Oil Inventories:** Fell by -1.844M barrels, exceeding the forecast of -1M, signaling tighter supply conditions. - **US GDP Growth (Q3, Second Estimate):** Remained steady at 2.8%, unchanged from the previous estimate, highlighting consistent economic expansion. - **Personal Consumption and Spending:** October’s real personal consumption rose by just 0.1% (forecast: 0.2%), while consumer spending grew by 0.4%, meeting expectations but slowing from revised data of 0.6%. - **Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, falling short of the 0.5% forecast, reflecting weaker demand for long-term goods. - **PCE Price Index (YoY):** Increased to 2.3%, matching expectations but higher than the prior 2.1%, underscoring persistent inflationary pressures. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **70% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. If realized, this could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term effects remain uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Today’s modest gain shows resilience in the Nasdaq as it rebounds from yesterday’s decline. Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
1
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 7Be sure to check my tradingview profile for the latest analysis video for the upcoming week. Last week we saw the completion of the monthly candle, the weekly candle and all other candles below. This brings us to an interesting period of the trading year...the last sprint... I continue to note that the NAS100 is eternally bullish and is still maintaining structure on the largest timeframe...the Monthly. The market is clearly signaling its every move and all I have to do is to trade smartly and capitalize on it. Please note that I am currently not in a buy as I took profits on Friday and I am currently waiting for my next HL... The fact that I say the market is bullish, does not mean that you must just jump in a buy automatically...you must wait for your confirmed setups before trading... Please use your demo accounts if you are not confident in the strategy or your abilities as a trader. What does that mean for this week? 1. Continue to remain consistent and trade the trend 2. TP if the market continues to consolidate on the upper levels by exiting on my LH's 3. Continue to exercise patience as I work on perfecting my entries and exits. Since the market finished at a high point on some of the medium timeframes, I must wait for Low points to enter the market and as such the HL's created will be critical. This week will be loaded with opportunities for trades as long as I keep trading the trend. I hope it will be a successful one for you as well. Have a blessed and successful week. #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
Nasdaq 100: Double Top or Christmas Rally Ahead? The Nasdaq 100 moved higher as expected. The price has now formed a possible double top with a neckline at 21,200 and a target of 21,884. The pattern might morph into an ascending triangle, which would favor the bulls. Tactically, traders have a few options for betting on the trend and a potential Christmas rally. One option is to wait for a decline to the 21,029–20,883 range and turn bullish, targeting the upside. The other is to wait for a breach of 21,200. However, the probability of success increases the longer the market consolidates below this level. A breach today, for example, is unlikely to trigger a strong bullish push, but that could change by the end of the week. What’s your take on the Nasdaq 100? Share your view below! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NLong
by ThinkMarkets
NAS100USD / OVERALL DIRECTION TOWARDS DOWNWARD /4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: • Prices are under downward pressure as they remain below the resistance level of 20,839. • The market appears to be consolidating or stabilizing around this level, preparing for a potential move. Upward Scenario: • If prices remain below 20,839, it is suggested that they may decline further: • First target: 20,666 (support level). • Further decline to 20,451 (next major support). Downward Scenario: • If the price breaks above 20,839 (the resistance level), it could lead to a rally: • Initial target: 21,105. • Further move to 21,249, which is identified as the All-Time High (ATH).
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,946.7. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 20,451.1 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Nasdaq Weekly Outlook Dec 2 (NFP week)The price is consolidating in a higher timeframe inefficiency following the election expansion, which makes market conditions more difficult than usual. Last week, the price consolidated (time distortion), so this week I would expect an upward expansion towards the weekly target. Just above the short-term target, there is a bearish propulsion block on the higher time frame. Depending on the reaction in this area, we will see if the weekly target is reached. This week we have NFP, Powell, and unemployment claims, so I expect volatility.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by NarcotikT
Nas100 1. Understand how the Forex market works, including currency pairs, pips, and leverage. 2. Develop a clear trading plan with specific entry, exit, and risk management rules. 3. Always use stop-loss orders to protect your capital and limit losses. 4. Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade to avoid significant losses. 5. Trade with the trend, as it’s often safer than going against the market. 6. Avoid overtrading; quality trades are better than a high quantity of trades. 7. Use technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. 8. Stay updated on global news that can affect currency values, like interest rates and geopolitical events. 9. Keep emotions in check—fear and greed can lead to poor decisions. 10. Continuously learn and adapt your strategy based on market behavior and personal experience.
FX:NAS100Short
by HavalMamar
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Thanksgiving EditionSo this week is the thanksgiving holidays in United States and we have a lot to be grateful for. However the trades never stop... This week will be more of the same...Bullish momentum...HL's to HH's from the largest timeframes. Last week we saw a bit of consolidation in favor of the bulls and I expect that trend to continue... We will get some help this week from the FOMC minutes if the H23 has not signaled a type of High by Wednesday. As you know by now...I do not trade news as the news only creates volatility within market structure and so I only wait for my entry zones and points. With that being said...you can always get a detailed summary by clicking on the link in my profile to see this weeks video. Have a great week. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #auberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
NASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic DataNASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic Data The NASDAQ index is finding strong support from favorable U.S. economic data and a stable macroeconomic outlook, particularly benefiting from the resilience of technology and growth sectors. Amid signs of moderating inflation and potential easing by the Federal Reserve, **seasonal trends strongly favor the NASDAQ, as December is historically a strong month for equities, especially tech-heavy indices. --- Key Economic Drivers Supporting the NASDAQ 1. ISM Manufacturing PMI – Signs of Stabilization - The **ISM Manufacturing PMI** for November rose to **48.4**, exceeding expectations, though still signaling contraction. This reflects progress toward stabilization in the U.S. manufacturing sector. - Slower input cost inflation and renewed job creation are positive signs for the broader economy, indirectly supporting growth-oriented sectors such as technology. 2. Construction Spending Growth - Construction spending** increased by **0.4% in October, showcasing resilience in the housing and infrastructure sectors. This strength in spending highlights consumer and government investment, which can indirectly benefit tech companies involved in digital infrastructure and smart technologies. 3. ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid – Easing Inflationary Pressures - The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid** index dropped to **50.3**, significantly below the forecast of **55.2**. This is a positive development for inflation control, signaling moderating cost pressures in the manufacturing sector. - Implications: - Positive for equities: Lower inflation reduces the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, a scenario that benefits rate-sensitive growth stocks. - Stable monetary outlook: A gradual shift toward easing monetary policy supports technology stocks reliant on lower borrowing costs. 4. Fed Officials’ Support for Gradual Easing - Recent Fed commentary suggests a balanced approach to monetary policy: - **Christopher Waller** emphasized the possibility of a rate cut in December, citing a balanced labor market and controlled inflation progress. - **John Williams** forecasted GDP growth of **2.5% in 2024** while reiterating that inflation is expected to return to the 2% target. This fosters confidence in growth-oriented sectors like technology. - A potential rate cut would be particularly favorable for the NASDAQ, as tech companies are highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. 5. Consumer and Business Optimism - The **S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI** indicated improving confidence and renewed job creation despite lingering challenges such as reduced international demand. This optimism supports steady sentiment for growth sectors. --- Seasonality and Market Sentiment Seasonality is a critical tailwind for the NASDAQ at this time. December is traditionally a strong month for the tech-heavy index, supported by holiday-driven consumer spending, portfolio rebalancing, and end-of-year tax strategies. The current **Fear & Greed Index**, standing at **64**, indicates a **greed-driven sentiment**, which typically aligns with upward momentum, especially for high-growth sectors. --- NASDAQ Outlook The NASDAQ is well-positioned to capitalize on these favorable conditions: - Easing inflationary pressures reduce the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve tightening, which is particularly supportive for rate-sensitive growth stocks. - Strong GDP growth projections and a resilient labor market provide a stable foundation for tech earnings and innovation-driven sectors. - Seasonal trends, combined with improving macroeconomic sentiment, create additional momentum for the NASDAQ as the year-end approaches. While global uncertainties and international demand challenges remain, the NASDAQ's long-term prospects remain **bullish**. Seasonal strength, positive economic data, and the potential for a more accommodative Fed policy stance are all aligning to favor continued gains for the index.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
US 100 Trade LogUS100 1H Buy Signal: Entry: Target relative discount levels within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Risk Management: 1% account risk, factoring in trading commissions. RRR: 1:2 (Stop-loss placed just below the FVG; take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance). Confirmation: Look for bullish CVD divergence (higher CVD lows against lower price lows), indicating increasing buy pressure. Additional Filters: Ensure alignment with overall trend or key support levels to enhance trade validity.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera-Trading
NAS100 - A Closer Look20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Still finding trend support. Severe 1W overbought divergence is giving me a nosebleed... For me personally, I need BOS in any direction. Patience is key. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
UShort
by ANROC
NEW IDEA FOR NDXUSD The increase in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region can lead to a decrease in risk tolerance By examining the trend in the one-hour time frame, the Nasdaq-100 index has hit the resistance of the upper range of the Bollinger Band indicator, and now, due to the geopolitical risk in the region, there is a possibility of risk aversion and the fall of stock indices. In general, this scenario is reinforced that the Nasdaq-100 index, provided it maintains the resistance of 20955, can decrease in price until the lower range of the Bollinger Band indicator in the range of 20739.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by arongroups