Get started
USD Index (USX) / US DollarUSD Index (USX) / US DollarUSD Index (USX) / US Dollar

USD Index (USX) / US Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

USXUSD trade ideas

Levels discussed on Livestream 15th Jan 202515th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating below 109.40, price stays below 109.40, could trade down to 108.75 (bottom of the channel and 61.8%) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5580 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Buy 0.6210 SL 20 TP 40 (IHS) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2140 SL 30 TP 80 (watch out at 1.2110) EURUSD: Sell 1.03 SL 40 TP 110 USDJPY: Sell 156.95 SL 30 TP 80 EURJPY: Sell 161.25 SL 35 TP 105 GBPJPY: Nothing for now, possibly lower to 188 USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.91 USDCAD: Sell 1.4345 SL 20 TP 40 XAUUSD: Look for price to trade up to 2697, previous swing high
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
The Axis of RESISTANCEI have drawn an imaginary ascending parallel channel. The midline of this ascending channel seems to be acting and a giant Resistance at the moment. Breaking above this resistance level is going to send the DXY flying to the moon, which can drown the stock and the crypto market. On the other hand DXY is struggling to break above this resistance level and it is forming a divergence in the 4H RSI chart. The EMA 150 on the daily chart is pointing to a support at around 105-106 level. The interesting part is that the price chart also agrees that 105-106 level is a strong support area to study. DXY has been crushing the crypto market specially the alt coins for the past few weeks. A break below the ascending channel and a visit to the 105-106 support area will give the stock market and the crypto market the chance to breathe.
TVC:DXY
by Se7enSkies
DXY Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 17h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 109.631. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 107.871 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !? TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle. YES the markets will still go to Valhalla. LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP. Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield. Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down. THE SETUP We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office. M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY. Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded. To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES. This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long. In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years. As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018. THE PLAYBOOK M2 Global Money Supply: Higher Dollar: Lower Fed Funds Rates: Lower 10YY: Lower Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral Inflation: Neutral TOOLS Tariffs Deregulation Tax Cuts Tax Reform T-Bills HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR? Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS. Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar. The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing. The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE. At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation. Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting. WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY? In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt. THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt. In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T. That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense. The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt. As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa. It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)… hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting. HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING? We’ve seen this before. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook. In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations. Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity. Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply. We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world. The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US. Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks. Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities. Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity. Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING ! That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
TVC:DXYLong
by jonnieking
DXY - 2025 Yearly Outlook - Bearish..."When" not "If"This is a rough yearly outlook for the DXY. I will be updating this as the year goes on (I'll update this idea monthly as I check it). Right now there is TONS of sell side liquidity open on the DXY, and price may want to attack it. It's important to monitor its behavior around the 110-112 mark. I'm bearish on this index overall (1-4 year outlook), but it could definitely have a semi bullish 2025. SCENARIOS -If we get a strong breach above that would imply a new 10-year high potential. -If we hit the 110-112 mark and reverse down under 108 within 30-days of hitting that mark, we are probably going to make a run for sell side liquidity, with the first target being 99.50. That's all for now. -Gio ... P.S. If anything I say in this sounds like a different language to you, or you want to learn my techniques, give me a follow. I'm launching a community this summer to help new and struggling traders with market techniques and personal development. It will be free. If you follow me now, I'll notify you, or shoot you a message when it becomes available.
TVC:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
DeGRAM | DXY bearish takeover from the resistance levelDXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price is moving from the dynamic resistance, which previously acted as a pullback point. The chart has formed a harmonic pattern, and upon reaching the resistance it formed a bearish takeover twice. On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate a hidden bearish divergence. We expect a pullback. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYShort
by DeGRAM
8
Levels discussed on Livestream 14th Jan 202514th January 2025 DXY: Test support of 109.40, if below 109.30 can trade down to 108.75 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5580 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6190 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2180 SL 25 TP 75 or Sell 1.23 SL 30 TP 100 EURUSD: Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 120 USDJPY: Sell 156.90 SL 30 TP 80 EURJPY: Buy 162.00 SL 40 TP 80 GBPJPY: Sell 191.80 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Buy 0.9155 SL 25 TP 60 USDCAD: Sell 1.4350 SL 20 TP 45 XAUUSD: If price stays below 2675 could trade down to 2645
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Today, I want to share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you. Based on what I see on the chart, I expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to reach the resistance zone of 110.668 to 110.877 . After a small pullback, I anticipate it will start its bullish movement upwards. If the 107.750 level breaks downward and consolidates on the 1H timeframe, a further decline could follow. 📈 Expectation: After a minor pullback, the DXY is likely to initiate a bullish movement and continue its upward trend. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 110.668 - 110.877 💬 What’s your view on the Dollar Index this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
TVC:DXYLong
by PouyanTradeFX
DXY (INDEX) analysis This chart shows the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key observations: 1. **Support Zone**: The shaded grey area around 108.800–109.000 is acting as a strong support zone, with multiple rejections visible. 2. **Rounded Retest**: There seems to be a rounded retest pattern forming, suggesting bullish momentum might build if the price sustains above this level. 3. **Structure**: Break of structure (BOS) and change of character (ChoCh) markers indicate recent shifts in momentum. The latest BOS suggests the potential for bullish continuation. 4. **Key Resistance**: Immediate resistance is visible near 109.400–109.600. A breakout above this could lead to further upside. 5. **Strategy**: Watching for bullish confirmation above the support zone or at breakout levels could be prudent. Alternatively, failure to hold this zone may lead to bearish pressure.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
"Awaiting Bearish Confirmation at Key Resistance Zone on DXY"Based on the chart of the U.S. Dollar Index: 1. **Trend Analysis**: The index is currently within an upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The price is oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel. 2. **Recent Movements**: There’s a noticeable price peak around the upper boundary, suggesting potential exhaustion. The recent downward movement indicates the possibility of a reversal. 3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The note emphasizes waiting for bearish confirmation before executing any trades. This suggests that it's prudent to look for signs of trend reversal or weakening momentum before making a bearish move. 4. **Strategy**: The advice is clear: without confirmation of a bearish trend, no trading should occur, highlighting a cautious approach. 5. **Key Levels**: Watch for key support around the mid-channel and resistance near the upper boundary, which could signal entry or exit points. Overall, the chart indicates a cautious approach is necessary, focusing on confirmations before taking any trading actions.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY Long-Term Roadmap🧭 Roadmap Overview: The DXY (US Dollar Index) moves in multi-decade cycles of bull and bear runs, reflecting changes in global economic conditions, monetary policies, and investor sentiment. In this chart, I’ve mapped out a long-term roadmap based on historical cycles that indicate where we are now and what to expect in the future. I’ve also included how crypto adoption and stablecoins could potentially impact the DXY in the coming years. 🔎 Historical Cycles & Trends: 1️⃣ 1980-1985 Bull Run: Driven by Federal Reserve rate hikes to combat inflation. The DXY reached a peak around 160, marking a major bull run. 2️⃣ 1985-1995 Bear Run: The Plaza Accord in 1985 led to a devaluation of the dollar. The DXY dropped significantly during this period. 3️⃣ 1995-2002 Bull Run: The dot-com boom and a period of economic expansion saw the DXY rally once again, reaching highs above 120. 4️⃣ 2002-2008 Bear Run: Post-9/11 and the housing bubble crash triggered a major decline in the DXY. 5️⃣ 2008-2022 Bull Run: The global financial crisis in 2008, combined with Fed tightening policies, triggered a long bull run in the DXY, peaking around 114 in 2022. 🧩 Where We Are Now: Currently, the DXY is at a critical inflection point. Based on historical cycles: The next bear run is expected to start soon, driven by a potential Fed pivot to lower interest rates and increasing global de-dollarization efforts. After this bear run, I expect another multi-year bull run, starting around 2030, as the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency. ⚡ How Crypto Could Impact the DXY: 🔵 1. Bitcoin as a Hedge Against USD: Bitcoin is often seen as digital gold, offering investors a way to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. If Bitcoin adoption grows globally, it could reduce demand for USD and put downward pressure on the DXY. 🟢 2. Stablecoins Competing with USD: Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and DAI are pegged to the USD and used globally as digital dollars. However, if crypto-native stablecoins start to replace traditional banking systems, it could challenge the dominance of the USD in global trade. For example: USDT has a higher daily transaction volume than PayPal. Crypto transactions across borders bypass traditional banking systems, reducing the need for USD reserves. 🟡 3. De-Dollarization & Crypto Adoption: Countries like Russia, China, and BRICS nations are pushing to reduce reliance on the USD. If they adopt crypto or blockchain-based settlement systems, it could accelerate the decline of the DXY. Example: Russia is exploring digital currencies to settle international trade. China’s digital yuan (CBDC) aims to reduce reliance on the USD for cross-border payments. ⚡ Key Risk: The more crypto adoption grows, the more demand for traditional USD may decline, which could negatively impact the DXY in the long term. 🎯 Predicted Cycles: 📉 Bear Run: 2025-2030 📈 Bull Run: 2030-2040 💬 What are your thoughts on how crypto adoption could impact the future of the DXY? Let me know your thoughts below! 👇 #DXY #USD #Crypto #USDT #Stablecoins #Bitcoin #DeDollarization #Forex #Trading #MacroAnalysis #BTC
TVC:DXY
by Ehsanzh
DXY can still growI am seeing that on a daily basis the strength of $ against Rials is increasing the only option that iran has is a strong attempt to bolster production at all lines of industry at leat to 300 to 600% of the current status. only in this way we will be able to slow down or halt this currency weakness against the US dollar. it has bee alleged that iran can absorb around 2 trillion dollars in foreign investment to boost its economy. after the start of the revolution there has been a downtrend in investment.
TVC:DXYLong
by loginmusa