US30 Next week trading scenarioSome time I trade in US30 , and gets the good profit. DJ was in range since few weeks and now have broken the range down side... i am expecting further drop in the stock.
DDDow Jones Industrial Average Index
42,053.56USDR
+238.07+0.57%
As of today at 03:22 GMT
USD
No trades
US30 trade ideas
US30 Shorts US30 broke below weekly support so I’ll continue looking for sells. I’d look for sells around the 41,800 area to push towards the 40,200-40,000 area.
US30 - Testing Key Resistance.How I see it:
US30 is testing a key confluence of resistance.
A break and hold above key resistance-
Potential "LONG" Targets:
TP 1 = 41948.00
TP 2 = 42349.00
Rejections @ key resistance-
Potential "SHORT" Targets:
TP 1 = 40335.00
TP 2 = 39825.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
$DJI with rear green dayRear green day for the Industrial Average. Weekly charts are at crucial support trend line since 2020 low. The daily chart printed green day on Friday, but the Double Top target is further down. If we don't see a meaningful reversal in the next couple of days, the bleeding will continue
DowJones The Week Ahead 17th March '25Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 200 DMA
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (44200) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 42200 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟣Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong (e.g., 16.9% for S&P 500 proxies)—bullish, but US30 firms face tariff uncertainty.
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, no cuts signaled—real yields ~1% (10-year Treasury 3.8%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: PCE 2.6% (Jan 2025)—persistent inflation supports Fed stance, bearish for stocks.
Growth: U.S. consumer spending wanes (Schwab)—mixed, neutral impact.
Geopolitics: Trump tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—short-term volatility, long-term bullish for U.S. firms.
🟤Macro Economics
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, which has led to a strengthening of the US dollar.
US Economy: The US economy has been showing signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rates decreasing.
Global Economy: The global economy has been experiencing a slowdown, with many countries experiencing recession.
⚪Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~55,000 contracts (down from 65,000)—cooling bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in gains.
Open Interest: ~125,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
🔴Market Sentimental Analysis
Bullish Sentiment: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Sentiment: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42200.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets.
🔵Positioning Analysis
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in US30, expecting a breakout above 45,000.
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in US30, expecting a correction.
🟠Quantitative Analysis
Technical Indicators: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Moving Averages: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 44,404, providing resistance for US30 prices.
🟡Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00—USD softness aids equities—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise signals risk-off, bearish for US30.
NDX: ~20,000, tech softening—correlated pressure on US30—bearish.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year 3.8%—yield stability neutral.
🟢News and Events Analysis
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 15-16, with investors expecting a potential rate hike.
US Economic Data: The US economic data, including the Non-Farm Payrolls report, is being closely watched for its impact on US30 prices.
🟣Next Trend Move
Bullish Trend: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Trend: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
🔴Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Outlook: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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DOW JOUNES WEAK TREND
41600-41300
Support: This is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. For the DJIA, support levels are often identified by looking at previous lows or using technical indicators like moving averages.
Resistance: This is a price level where an uptrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of supply. Resistance levels for the DJIA can be identified by looking at previous highs or using technical indicator
dow up sideDow up side best move ment dow
Support: This is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. For the DJIA, support levels are often identified by looking at previous lows or using technical indicators like moving averages.
Resistance: This is a price level where an uptrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of supply. Resistance levels for the DJIA can be identified by looking at previous highs or using technical indicator
Dow Jones 3-daily OutlookLooks like a confirmed double-top, might turn into a Head/Shoulders even.
Head Shoulders:
A common scenario with these is, it looks like a double top, then has a strong reclaim of the neckline, which is around 41.9k, and then a 2nd loss of it shortly after w/ yet another re-test with failure to reclaim.
Double Top:
Another common scenario is just a re-test and failure to reclaim, and this is a textbook double-top.
50/200 3-daily EMAs and MAs:
After losing the 50 EMA and MA, we keep dropping below the 200 EMA and MA on the 3 daily chart during stronger dips, and then finally recovering back above both.
Recovery or Recession?
Recovery:
If we want to see a recovery, we need to do that again. So, a strong move back above the 200 and 50 EMAs/MAs after losing both, down to around 38.5k and then 37.5k, possibly as low as 36.3ish.
Or, for a more immediate flip to bullish, we need to reclaim ~41.9k during any re-tests, and then head to a new ATH above 45k.
Recession:
If we don't bounce from just below the 200 EMA and MA, we might see an extended move down or even a recession.
Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 41640Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41640
Resistance Level 2: 41956
Resistance Level 3: 42450
Support Level 1: 40650
Support Level 2: 40080
Support Level 3: 39650
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DJI | Price action and what could be coming next.As you can see on the chart, the DJI has broken down from a key support zone as mark. This breakdown is significant because it signals a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Now, what’s next? Based on technical analysis, I’m expecting a short-term pullback — possibly a retest of the broken support, which could now act as resistance. If that happens, we could see the DJI climbing back toward the support zone before continuing its downward journey.
The next leg down could take the index toward target zone around 39,000, with a possible dip even lower to 38,827. This would represent a total decline of approximately 7.31% from the recent breakdown. Also have a longer-term trendline providing some support, but if that breaks, things could get even more bearish, with potential lows near 37,611.
So, what should we watch for? Keep an eye on the retest of the support-turned-resistance zone and the price action around the trendline support. If the price gets rejected at resistance and breaks below the trendline, that would confirm further downside.
See you in the next one!
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉
🔹 Market Bias: Bearish
🔹 Key Zones:
Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 40,500 (First support)
TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone)
TP3: 39,920 (Final target)
🔹 Analysis:
Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure
Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️
🔹 News Event Consideration:
If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉
If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄
🔹 Risk Management:
Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news.
If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias.
🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment!
#US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
Us30 Reversal / Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉
🔹 Market Bias: Bearish
🔹 Key Zones:
Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 40,500 (First support)
TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone)
TP3: 39,920 (Final target)
🔹 Analysis:
Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure
Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️
🔹 News Event Consideration:
If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉
If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄
🔹 Risk Management:
Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news.
If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias.
🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment!
#US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
