Ethereum / Bitcoin PERPETUAL CONTRACT
0.030940BTCR
+0.000167+0.54%
As of today at 01:55 GMT
BTC
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ETHBTC.P trade ideas
Ethereum’s Q1 Outlook: Fed’s Role in Shaping ETH’s FateEthereum (ETH) is navigating uncertain waters this Q1, with its price down 4% in January and nearly half of its "Trump pump" gains erased. Historically, Q1 has been a strong quarter for ETH, averaging +80% gains. Yet, the Fed's upcoming rate decision could heavily influence the token’s trajectory.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen highlighted on X:
"One risk for #ETH is if the Fed comes out this week and says no QE, maybe that would cause ETH to finally go home on its USD pair, leading the Fed to reverse course in March 2025 causing a quick recovery."
Despite ETH’s historical strength in Q1, January 2025 might end in the red. February and March are typically pivotal months, with average gains of 20% and 22%, but ETH has had mixed results during these months since 2016.
Currently trading at $3.2K, ETH’s performance will likely depend on the Fed’s guidance. A rebound above the moving average could signal strength, but for now, the altcoin remains in a consolidation phase.
While historical data suggests the potential for a rally in February or March, ETH holders are watching the Fed closely. A dovish shift could reignite bullish sentiment, while hawkish policy might extend ETH’s struggles.
Q1 is shaping up to be a decisive quarter for Ethereum. Will the Fed’s actions spur a rally or further dampen the market?
Bullish Outlook for ETH: Buy Zone AnalysisEthereum (ETH) continues to establish itself within a favorable buy zone, indicating potential strength against Bitcoin in the near term. The buy signal generated by the Script Engine Profit suggests a significant upward move may be imminent. The chart outlines Targets 1, 2, and 3 as key levels to monitor for price action in the upcoming period.
Analysis conducted by TANIKING
Analysis for ETH/BTC Pair:Support Zone:
The price is currently hovering near a significant historical support zone between 0.030 and 0.032.
This zone has previously acted as a major accumulation area, leading to upward moves in the past.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If the support zone holds and buying momentum increases, the price could begin to rebound.
The first target for an upward move is around the 0.048 level, aligning with a previous resistance zone and a key Fibonacci retracement area.
Beyond that, 0.075 could serve as the next major resistance if the bullish momentum persists.
Bearish Case:
If the support zone fails, a downward continuation could push the price toward 0.019.
This level aligns with historical lows and could act as the next significant support.
Market Structure:
The pair appears to be in a long-term downtrend, but the current consolidation within the support zone suggests a potential reversal or continuation decision point.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.030–0.032
Resistance: 0.048 (short-term), 0.075 (long-term)
Breakdown Target: 0.019
Trend Indicators:
Monitor the price action closely around the support zone. A strong bounce with volume could confirm a bullish reversal.
A breakdown below 0.030 with high selling pressure would indicate further downside.
Conclusion:
For Bulls: Focus on maintaining the support zone and breaking above 0.035 for confirmation of a reversal.
For Bears: Watch for a loss of the 0.030 support to target deeper lows.
Keep an eye on BTC dominance and overall market sentiment for further validation of these moves.
ETHBTC Analysis - Time to buy ETH and its tokens?I can understand that the altcoins have lost all the gains, but we took as much profits as possible. ETHERUEM tokens have dropped massively but if u remember those were the coins we made most profit from. It really depends where in the market is your average buy level. Now for those who are trying to build a portfolio for long term knows that at these times, we accumulate good coins. ETHBTC chart is looking great, i expect Ethereum to move first followed by all its underlying tokens.
This chart shows we are in a demand level, which took a while to reach. After a very long time i can say I am bullish for Ethereum and its tokens to perform well.
ETH BTC broke down the multi-cycle support trendline on HTFWe previously expected a reversal on multiple occasions, unsuccessfully each time. Last major prediction is visible in the chart (blurred). There were two major lines of support for ETHBTC, it broke the first one, then it bounced off the multi-cycle support line and we predicted the bottom at that stage and went long.
Unfortunately, that bounce was both short-lived and weak and ultimately it reversed all the bounce and broke down BELOW the multi-cycle support line for ETHBTC.
We will not be shorting this, but the long-time frame for ETHBTC is now in the bearish mode.
Potential key levels to watch are marked below.
ETH/BTC Weekly Chart AnalysisThe ETH/BTC pair showcases a repeated pattern of breaking key support levels, followed by a price dump, and then a recovery rally that often targets the breakout level. Historical observations suggest the following behavior:
Key Chart Pattern:
Each major breakdown from horizontal support (marked with dashed lines) is followed by significant downward momentum.
After finding a bottom, the price tends to consolidate and stage a recovery rally, often revisiting the previous breakout point.
Bullish Divergence:
The RSI indicator at the bottom highlights bullish divergences (price forming lower lows, while RSI forms higher lows).
These divergences have historically signaled trend reversals and the start of a recovery rally.
Current Outlook:
ETH/BTC has once again broken support, with a bullish divergence forming on the RSI.
If history repeats, a potential recovery rally could see the price returning to the breakout level (~0.04), with a longer-term trajectory towards higher levels.
Key Levels:
Support: ~0.0315
Resistance: ~0.04, 0.06
RSI Levels: Watch for sustained movement above 37.5 for bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
This pattern could be a lucrative opportunity for swing traders, especially if the bullish divergence plays out as expected. Watch for a confirmed trend reversal before entering long positions.
ETH/BTC Monthly Chart Analysis: Zigzag Swing Levels & ATR-Based This analysis focuses on the ETH/BTC pair using advanced Zigzag logic, ATR-based volatility metrics, and moving averages to uncover key market trends, reversal points, and risk management insights. Let’s break down the chart and what it tells us.
Chart Observations
Swing Levels Indicating Reversal Points:
Green 'B' Labels: These indicate significant swing lows, signaling potential bullish reversals or accumulation zones.
Red 'S' Labels: Highlight key swing highs, marking potential resistance or distribution areas.
The most recent green 'B' suggests that ETH/BTC could be forming a bottom after a prolonged downtrend. However, confirmation is required for a bullish trend reversal.
Moving Averages and Trend Analysis:
The 20-period MA (blue) and 50-period MA (orange) are trending downward, and the price is trading below them. This signals continued bearish momentum.
The absence of interaction with the 200-period MA (purple) confirms that the long-term downtrend remains dominant.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume remains relatively muted, suggesting low participation. This could indicate indecision among traders or insufficient demand to push the price higher.
Oscillators like RSI and custom indicators show oversold conditions, hinting at a potential short-term rebound.
ATR-Based Risk Management:
ATR (Average True Range) analysis highlights elevated volatility, which is reflected in the displayed ATR% and calculated stop-loss levels.
These metrics can guide traders in setting appropriate stop-loss levels to protect against unfavorable market moves.
Trend Direction (Background Highlights):
The light red background reflects bearish scanning, consistent with lower highs and lower lows in the price action.
Key Insights and Trade Ideas
Bullish Opportunity:
If ETH/BTC holds above the recent swing low (green 'B') and begins to climb above the 20-period MA, this could be an early sign of a bullish reversal.
Watch for confirmation through increased volume and momentum indicators turning bullish.
Bearish Continuation:
If the price breaks below the most recent swing low, it could trigger further downside. Use the red 'S' levels to identify potential resistance zones for short entries.
Risk Management:
Utilize the ATR-based stop-loss metrics to define your risk parameters. For long positions, stops should be placed just below the swing low (green 'B'). For shorts, place stops above the swing high (red 'S').
Conclusion:
The ETH/BTC pair is showing signs of nearing a potential bottom, but the trend remains bearish. Traders should stay cautious and look for confirmations before entering long positions. The integration of Zigzag logic, moving averages, and ATR-based risk management ensures that this framework is not only analytical but also practical for executing trades with a calculated risk.
ETH HITS KEY SUPPORTEthereum has reached a long-awaited key support level on the weekly ETH/BTC chart, around 0.03090 BTC. I am buying more - a lot more.
This level has been marked on my chart dating back to early 2021, and its retest is a crucial moment for the pair. This is where the liquidity lives. The recent price action shows Ethereum declining steadily to this region, suggesting a test of buyer strength.
The descending volume during this downtrend hints at decreasing selling pressure, a potential signal that a reversal or bounce may occur. However, if this support breaks decisively, the next logical support zone lies much lower, around 0.02750 BTC, making this level critical for bulls to defend.
For traders, this key level presents an attractive entry point for long-term accumulation, provided the support holds. Watching for bullish divergence on lower timeframes or a decisive weekly bounce with strong volume could confirm a reversal. Caution is warranted, as the ETH/BTC pair remains in a broader downtrend.
Trump’s team has aggressively been buying Ethereum the past few days.
