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Ethereum's Fading Dominance: A 2023 Trend That Could ContinueEthereum's relative strength against Bitcoin has been waning throughout 2023, and technical analysis suggests this trend may persist. A Breakdown in the Making Ethereum (ETH) has been showing signs of weakness relative to Bitcoin (BTC) throughout 2023. This trend and a recent technical breakdown suggest that ETH/BTC could continue its downward trajectory. Key Technical Indicators 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI for ETH/BTC has been declining, indicating a loss of momentum in Ethereum's price action relative to Bitcoin. 2. Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for ETH/BTC have crossed over, forming a bearish "death cross" pattern. This pattern often signals a potential downtrend. 3. Support Levels: ETH/BTC has struggled to hold onto key support levels, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing. Why is Ethereum Losing Ground to Bitcoin? Several factors may be contributing to Ethereum's relative weakness: 1. Network Congestion and High Fees: Ethereum's network has been plagued by congestion and high transaction fees, particularly during periods of peak demand. This has led to a decline in user experience and network adoption. 2. The Rise of Layer-2 Solutions: While Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism have helped alleviate some of the congestion issues, they have also fragmented the Ethereum ecosystem. 3. Competition from Other Smart Contract Platforms: Other smart contract platforms, such as Solana and Cardano, have been gaining traction and challenging Ethereum's dominance. 4. Bitcoin's Growing Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin has been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, who view it as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This increased demand for Bitcoin could be driving capital away from Ethereum. The Potential Impact of the Merge The Merge, a significant upgrade to the Ethereum network, was expected to improve network efficiency and reduce energy consumption. However, the impact of the Merge on Ethereum's price performance has been mixed. While the Merge may have long-term benefits for the Ethereum ecosystem, it has not been enough to reverse the short-term trend of ETH's underperformance relative to Bitcoin. Conclusion Ethereum's relative weakness against Bitcoin is a concerning trend for ETH holders. The technical indicators suggest that ETH/BTC could continue to decline in the coming months. While the Merge was a significant milestone for Ethereum, it may not be enough to offset the challenges facing the network. Investors should closely monitor the price action of ETH/BTC and be prepared for further downside. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by bryandowningqln
ETH ecosystem to fund initial stage of crypto bullrunWhen markets rotate the money has to come from somewhere. Money can move in and out of one sector of the economy into the other, like money moving from industrials into technology or from fiat into precious metals. Money can also move around within a macro system from its constituent sub-systems. In the case of crypto, think we will see the Ethereum ecosystem beggared while money flows out of it into other ecosystems. In order to try and stay ahead of the rotations into and out of crypto and into and out of the various layer one projects within crypto I turn to the best tool I have, which is the charts. Once we have the layer one blockchain we care about we can look at other layer projects that ride on top of the layer one to move up the risk curve for more volatility as we see fit. ETH/Bitcoin Bitcoin is the biggest single slice of the crypto by fame and market cap. The double top threat is pretty clear at this point. The black double top appears to be an eve and eve with the difference between the first and second peak about 3.12% That is about as textbook as we could want to see. We just have to start breaking the neckline of the formation and we should start to see more volatility in the pair. Eth Dominance ETH.D is likewise in a double top but this one is a bit further away from the neckline. The targeting is much the same. Due to the structures of the uptrend I think that 40% draw down is very reasonable and realistic. XRPETH XRP appears to be in a ascending triangle against ETH with a target close to 2x if full performance is reached. Solana/ETH Solana is suppose to be an Ethereum killer and in the long run I think it will live up to its name. I think it has a couple of years for the ecosystem to mature before It does. A major sign of strength will be if this W pattern performs to target. That would have Sol putting up over twice the gains than eth does in the initial stages of this move. Polkadot ETH Dot has been moving sideway for the last 4 months and has created some bullish divergence on the weekly chart. I think we will see it slowly erode share out of eth. Kadena Eth One of my favorite layer ones to watch and maybe trade before I see my long term set up is Kadena. It is poised ot have a W pattern that pops it over 100% against eth. Cronos Eth Cro seems to be another coin in a wedge against eth. The target this cycle is over 300% away from the current level. ADA ETH Oh, look, it is another coin in a bullish falling wedge against ETH. Sure reaching the previous ATH might take a decade or so, but that is a decade to favor ADA over eth. Doge Meme Coin Versus Eth Want to consider something that at first glance seem moronic or hilarious? Doge has the structure to 70x eth over the next couple of years. Final thoughts The Eth team has done a lot to make their system more affordable to use. As price goes down the ease of use goes up and the adoption goes up. Ethereum is in the process of turning itself into a volume trade and not a profit margin trade. That might be a good thing for cryptocurrency as a whole but I am chasing alpha. Crypto gives me more potential alpha than equities so I play here. If the alpha is leaving eth then I am going to leave as well, no matter how good it could be for the world or the ecosystem. Daddy can't pay for his girls food and clothes if he doesn't get that alpha.
Short
by This_Guhy
18
ETH/BTC - The fastest horse in the raceWhile I recently laid out why I think COINBASE:ETHUSD has a bullish setup brewing, I want to turn attention to BINANCE:ETHBTC . While I think both BTC and ETH have bullish setups, a case can be made that ETH is about to begin outperforming BTC and we'll likely see a period of outperformance for ETH. Currently forming on the BINANCE:ETHBTC weekly candlestick chart is a bullish engulfing setup coming off of an RSI divergence. These types of setups can be quite explosive once price breaks above the weekly candle high and starts moving. If this pattern plays out then the next major overhead resistance is in the 0.54-0.56 region. Beyond that the next major resistance is just below 0.08. As always, we need to practice proper risk management, so for this setup the invalidation level is around 0.0345. Also keep in mind that the weekly candle has not yet closed so we are simply watchin for the potential at this point. For a good, solid setup we'd want to see very little upper wick when this weekly candle closes.
Long
by krugman87
3
ETH/BTC - A potential path for the next 9 monthsI think BTC needs to hit 100k before alts need to go up, probably will in 2 weeks or 1 month and a half (I get this forecast from a past post) as my last ideas with BTC pairs, doesn't mean ETH is gonna go down. So yeah probably needs to test that 0.786 at ~0,032 before a nice rebound, and probably this is what gonna happen if BTC hit 100K. That would make ETH at 3200 USD (~+3%) when BTC 100K (~+10%) target are 10-12k for end of the bull run Not financial advice cheers
Long
by Investwine
Unstoppable Alt Season Ahead: Is Eth Ready to Outshine BTC ?The ETH/BTC chart suggests that Ethereum (ETH) is potentially on the verge of a major upward movement, particularly if it follows historical patterns. Currently, Ethereum's price against Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since August 2022, trading within a descending channel. This decline aligns with Bitcoin's growing dominance, largely driven by the interest in Bitcoin ETFs. However, Ethereum has a significantly smaller market cap compared to Bitcoin—roughly one-third—which means that each dollar invested in ETH could have a threefold impact on its price compared to Bitcoin. If the same amount of funds currently flowing into Bitcoin ETFs were to enter Ethereum, ETH's price could experience a much larger percentage increase than Bitcoin. A key feature of this chart is the long-standing blue trendline that has existed since 2015, marking significant support levels for ETH/BTC. Each time ETH has reached this trendline, it has been followed by an "Alt Season," a period where altcoins, including Ethereum, have outperformed Bitcoin. This pattern was observed in both the 2016/2017 and 2020/2021 cycles, where touching this trendline signaled the beginning of substantial gains for Ethereum. As ETH approaches this trendline again in 2024, it suggests that another Alt Season could be on the horizon for 2024/2025, setting the stage for ETH to gain strength against BTC. The chart's implication is that ETH could soon reach a cyclical bottom relative to Bitcoin. With the potential for increased institutional inflows into Ethereum, such as through an Ethereum ETF, each dollar invested in ETH could generate a more pronounced impact on its price. This amplification effect, combined with historical price patterns, supports the idea that Ethereum may be primed for a strong performance in the coming cycle. While the general market sentiment around altcoins is currently low, with many investors losing hope, this chart suggests that this may be an ideal time to be optimistic about altcoins. If Ethereum follows its previous cycles, this period could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence, making it a potentially opportune time for altcoin investments.
Long
by TheCryptoCity
3
ETHEREUM PUTTING IN A BOTTOMAs you know, I’m a long-time ETH bull, and I see its recent underperformance as a major opportunity. BlackRock and other institutions have effectively endorsed Ethereum with the introduction of ETFs and are actively choosing the chain to tokenize real-world assets. Historically, ETH underperforms in this phase of the cycle before making a significant move. We might be seeing the start of that move now. The weekly chart shows oversold RSI levels for only the fourth or fifth time ever, along with bullish divergence for just the second time. This week's candle is a bullish engulfing, and ETH is currently outperforming. This really looks like a bottom forming.
Long
by ScottMelker
BTCETH 1H - Time to BUY ETH?BTCETH 1H - Time to BUY ETH? TRADEX BOT NEWS: We already have an improved version of the autotrading bot. This version allows for scalability of the project. The bot needs much less resources, we have eliminated weak links making the process much more straightforward. As for execution, there is almost no delay, it is immediate at market price. We are now improving the mathematical execution logic to summarize the tests with different strategies. It will be ready very soon :) If you like my AT, and you agree with the approaches, please FOLLOW ME and press BOOST so we can share it with more people. We are working on an automated trading tool so that everyone can apply their strategies VISUALLY and PROFESSIONALLY, as we present in the analysis. Thank you! _______________________________________________________ BTCETH 1H - Time to BUY ETH? The advantage of owning BTC in relation to ETH is turning around. So far, the spread between the price of BTC and ETH has benefited BTC holders, but right now, ETH is experiencing much stronger increases while BTC is trying to consolidate prices above $75,000. ETH, unlike BTC, is still a long way from reaching its all-time highs, so a priori, being the most relevant ALTCOIN, it seems logical that it is very attractive in the eyes of traders. If the downward trend consolidates, many will sell their BTC and position themselves in ETH, giving rise to the starting gun for the ALTS BULLRUN. Good luck in your decision making. ______________________________________________________ Automated Cryptocurrency Trading Bots: All these strategic alternatives can be configured with TradeX BoT, since it will allow you to position in both directions without having to block any amount per position. It will only be necessary for the conditions to be met, either downward or upward, for the orders to be executed in one direction or another, taking the necessary deposits from your portfolio. TradeX BoT (in development): Tool to automate trading strategies designed in TradingView. It works with both indicators and technical drawing tools: parallel channels, trend lines, supports, resistances... It allows you to easily establish SL (%), TP (%), SL Trailing... multiple strategies in different values, simultaneous BUY-SELL orders, conditional orders. This tool is in the process of development and the BETA will soon be ready for testing. FOLLOW ME and I will keep you informed of the progress we make. I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain values ​​that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend anyone to operate based on these indicators. Inform yourself, educate yourself and build your own strategies when investing. I only hope that my comments help you on your own path :)
Short
by DeuXfi
Ethbtc Solid Support and providing evidence of strong upsideHi everyone, Its been long time since i posted any chart as i realised that Crypto market was sideways. After elections, market is founding its base and EThbtc Chart is one of them. EthBtc chart has found strong base around its major horizontal and trend support around .35 area as you can see in the chart Next 6 months, i believe Etherium will get its market share back from Bitcoin. Ethbtc also found its bullish divergence around these level. For a target, i am expecting a target of .5500 as a strong level which is also 6 month closure of multiple candles. Thanks for reading the chart and like and subscribe for more as i will start posting more charts if markets stays in shape
Long
by Yazirazlamtrader
Has the Time for ETH Finally Arrived?After a long period of abysmal performance and having been sufficiently tarred and feathered by the broader crypto community, it appears this is as good a place as any for ETHBTC to be in the area of a major bottom. Rather than go too in depth, let's summarize the key points: Since ETF approval and launch, ETH has underperformed on a relative and absolute basis, with ETHBTC seeing weak and short lived countertrend rallies that have been heavily sold into. Savvy participants have likely used these weak pops to increase short positioning on absolute terms and as a hedge against other longs, primarily versus BTC and SOL. Since the merge, ETHBTC has been in one of the most steady downtrends, providing free money on shorts over 2 years and as a valid way to (correctly) express bullishness on BTC dominance. Open Interest has steadily climbed since ETH began ranging over the summer. Combine this with the context of the above, and one can infer that a large amount of that OI is likely short positioning that is about to be entirely offsides if we breakout from this range to the upside. The combination of short covering with the recognition that the market is heavily underweight the #2 asset in crypto - the only altcoin with a functional ETF onboarding mechanism amidst a highly positive incoming regulatory backdrop - will provide fuel for what I believe to potentially be the strongest and most parabolic rally in ETH post-FTX. On a technical level, while it may be a meme, we have a 3 drives RSI bullish divergence on the daily showcasing increasingly weak sell-offs. Swing longing into the inverse of that has historically been a mistake (see BTC spring 2021 top). The bullish view is also contingent on ETH breaking out from the multi-month range on the USD pair, closing above $2670 on the daily and holding is needed for initiation. Hated assets tend to catch people offsides. "Scams pump the hardest" is the crypto credo. SOL at $15-20 was the last time I remember an asset as hated and forgotten as ETH, the only other broadly hated coin of interest currently being TIA for which I'm even more optimistic. While it likely continues to underperform select alts or SOL, its a compelling trade on a risk-adjusted basis that can comfortably be taken on with leverage via ETHT or similar vehicles. It is an excellent expression for the time in which we find ourselves, both in the market cycle as well as the regulatory and narrative backdrop. A major profit target of interest is at the confluence of the 2024 POC and 2022 lows around 0.052. If this thesis is correct than the most significant alt season post-FTX has possibly either begun or is upon us. This makes sense cyclically and psychologically for a variety of reasons. It takes about 2-3 years for the market to completely forget and shake off the fears and phobias picked up from the destruction of the last bear. Their amnesia unfortunately returns just as it is most warranted. 2025 is likely the year to be gradually exiting the crypto markets back into fiat. Position aggressively early and DCA to fiat on the way up. If the rally fails to materialize and ETH continues to underperform, I think this would be a major warning sign from the market that it's #2 spot is in jeopardy and it doesn't have the moat assumed. A counterpoint to all of the above is that we are in a steady downtrend, and I'm usually not one to catch a falling knife. I've just begun positioning in ETHT and will use this as a proxy for my more significant non-ETH altcoin exposure. Let's see what happens, and open to hearing thoughts on all sides. Happy trading and wishing great success to all!
Long
by CalmCapital
1
ETH/BTC Weekly - Ascending Trendline Support and Potential RebouThe ETH/BTC weekly chart shows a strong ascending trendline acting as long-term support. ETH/BTC is currently near this support level, where it has historically shown bullish reactions. The recent drop to the trendline suggests a potential bounce, with a green arrow indicating the possible upward trajectory if the trendline holds. I'm personally considering this level for a potential long position, with a target near 0.08 BTC, aligning with prior resistance. However, if the price closes below the trendline on the weekly chart, I’ll reevaluate this setup for further downside possibilities. This is my personal trade setup and not financial advice
Long
by CryptoTraces
Ethereum vs BitcoinAfter three years of downtrend ETH/BTC ratio has arrived at long-term support at approximately 0.035. Bitcoin is in the process of breaking out from the consolidation and Ethereum is starting to show some signs of bullishness. The current weekly candle ( not closed yet ) looks like a bullish hammer so far. Weekly RSI is oversold and Stochastic RSI is below 20 for a long time since the first week of August. Actually, look at these indicators on higher timeframes: 2W, 3W, 1M, 2M! Stochastic RSI is below 20 and potentially ready for a cross up. It is very early because the candle is not closed yet. We want to see it closing in a bullish way: bullish hammer, dragonfly doji etc. We then should wait for another week for confirmation. This will suggest that the downtrend is probably over and it is going to be more profitable to hold Ethereum instead of Bitcoin because Ethereum will outperform Bitcoin in the coming months. PROTIP: smaller altcoins will outperform Ethereum!
by function_mechanic
Upcoming altcoins season factors We should track Bitcoin Dominance and basically BINANCE:ETHBTC chart Ill cut all noise and check Monthly timeframe ➡️Check how previously on a M tf altcoins react after money inflow ➡️We see same money inflow in alts at this current moment by my Money Power indicator ➡️Can we drop lower again? Of course. But I think it will not happen because of timing. ➡️Also I dont think so this alt season will be amazing like previous one and shorter ➡️Would like to see test buy line of my Trade On indicator M tf ➡️The same level will be full fill M fvg ➡️Bounce and end of altseason will be around take profit or exit line marked on a chart (same time I think bitcoin dominance will be around 45%) Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light
6