EURUSD trade ideas
Long-term Elliott wavesMy new version!!!
After 2 or 3 years...
I came back..
Big position and big profit in EUR/USD
Don't miss this super buy
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0426
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0343
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Waiting for a Trend line break on EURUSDWatching and waiting for this pair to break this trend line on the H4 time frame.
Reasons I think price will break through:
- RSI was over sold on H4
- Bullish RSI Divergence on H4
- Bearish candles are getting smaller
What do you think?
*Also please remember these are trading ideas and not trading signals. Thank you.
EURUSD in bullish momentum and bearish trend#Technical_Analysis
#EURUSD-4h
With the breakout of the 1.035 level in the 4-hour timeframe, the EURUSD momentum has turned fully bullish. Therefore, we can consider market support levels, such as 1.033, for potential buy positions. A breakout above the 1.044 level would turn the market trend entirely bullish.
#FarXpert
Bullish on $EURUSDConfluence by DXY as its bearish hence bullish for EURUSD
We have CISD on H1
Setup is pyramided on H4 OB+
We have buyside liquidity to purge as the easy draw
EURUSD shortHello everyone
I am looking to sell this trade as price has reached liquidity zones aka retail the double tops that formed.
There was a supply zone above which shows big surge in bearish movement cause by consolidation and a liqudity grab to go lower.
This is how retail traders get caught out so stay alert but also remember the markets are random so I could be wrong as well.
UPDATE ON TRADE EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - This is another piece of analysis that was provided last week and in this Sunday Sessions video, as you can see price played out perfectly.
With recent fundamental news backing our analysis the potential to profit today on this market was crazy, with our TP approaching we could look to take some partials.
This trade is running + 127 pips. (+ 5.7%) 5.7RR
Predicting strength in the EUR this week was pushing for an outcome like this, I even posted some fundamentals this morning to back my analysis.
A big well done to anyone who got involved in buys on this market this morning, again if you guys have any questions or queries with regards to this analysis drop me a message or comment below!
EURUSD rises as tariff fears easeEURUSD is up sharply today as the Wall Street Journal reports that Trump will likely not introduce tariffs from day one. Instead, he plans to direct federal agencies to study trade policies, investigate trade deficits, and evaluate relationships with China, Canada, and Mexico.
In recent months, EURUSD had dropped as markets priced in the possibility of aggressive tariffs. However, Trump’s measured approach has reduced the likelihood of universal tariffs, weakening the dollar and lifting EURUSD.
Despite today’s move, Trump’s focus on tax cuts and boosting the U.S. economy could keep inflation high and support the dollar. The bearish trend remains intact as long as EURUSD trades below $1.0438.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Read The EURUSD MarketLet's Look at EURUSD Chart and Find some Trade Opportunities if it's Possible, Good Luck With Your Trades <3
Short AgainThis could be second attempt to move down.
Again this could be volume based rejection of height.
From this we can experience stronger move down.
Of course, based on close of the current candle.
If it enguld previous or close as strong bearish.
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
How EUR/USD is affected by President Trump's high tariffs ?Comment:
EUR/USD continues its downtrend. On the daily chart (D1), EUR/USD is in a long-term downtrend. Recently, the pair tried to correct higher but met strong resistance at 1.0340, after which it fell back.
On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), the downtrend is also clear. The recent upward correction stopped at the resistance at 1.0335. The trading plan on H1 favors short positions
Currently, the pair is consolidating at 1.0300. The market is waiting for the first policies of the new President D. Trump on Europe
Trump's tariff policy often creates a volatile trading environment for the EUR/USD pair. If D. Trump imposes high tariffs on European goods, the USD may benefit in the short term if investors seek safety. However, in the long run, if trade tensions cause more damage to the US economy than to Europe, the USD could weaken, creating an opportunity for the EUR to rise.
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
Euro bullish sentiment prevails, consider long positions next we
- Key Insights: The euro has shown significant strength against the US dollar,
driven by renewed investor confidence, especially with several African
nations re-entering the Eurobond market. This reflects a positive sentiment
and growing faith in European financial assets. However, caution is
warranted in trading Euro AUD due to expected declines. Focus on less
volatile pairs for more stable trading strategies.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are set as follows - T1 at 1.04135, T2 at
1.05135. For stop levels, S1 is 1.025 and S2 is 1.020. This positioning
allows for a strategic long play given the current valuation of 1.03135,
maintaining alignment with market trends.
- Recent Performance: The euro has demonstrated resilience and bullish momentum
against the dollar over the past week. This positive movement is reinforced
by external developments, particularly in the Eurobond market, signaling
growing confidence towards the eurozone's financial standing.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts express optimism about the euro's potential to
continue strengthening, particularly against the US dollar. While caution is
recommended for Euro AUD, traders remain focused on pairs like EUR/USD,
guided by favorable technical assessments and support/resistance levels
identified for trading strategies.
- News Impact: The return of several African nations to the Eurobond market
signifies renewed investor confidence, positively influencing euro sentiment
in the long term. However, potential rate cuts from the ECB present
challenges, necessitating close monitoring of monetary policy shifts
affecting the euro's valuation and market trajectory.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD: short term stop before the parityEURUSD: short term stop before the parity
The US inflation data was in the market focus during the previous week. It was a missing puzzle for the current period, for the investors' sentiment in terms of the next Feds move. Inflation rate in December was standing at 0,4% for the month, in line with market expectations, same as inflation on a yearly level at 2,9%. The core inflation in December was 0,2% for the month and 3,2% on a yearly basis. As for other macro indicators posted during the previous week, the Producers Price Index in December was standing at 0,2% for the month and 3,3% for the year. Both figures were below market expectations. Retail sales in December were higher by 0,4% compared to the previous month, a bit lower from market estimate of 0,5%. The number of building permits in the US was lower by 0,7% on a monthly basis in December, while housing starts were higher by 15,8% for the month. Industrial production increased in December by 0,9% for the month and 0,5% on a yearly basis.
The full year GDP growth in Germany is -0,2% in line with market expectations. Industrial Production in the Euro Zone was standing at 0,2% in November, bringing total IP at -1,9% on a yearly basis. Inflation rate final for December in Germany is 0,5% for the month and 2,6% for the year. Figures were in line with market expectations. Inflation rate final in the Euro Zone in December was 0,4% for the month.
Supported by lower than expected inflation figures, the US Dollar continued to strengthen during the previous week. The lowest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,018 on one occasion. However, the majority of deals were conducted around the level of 1,028 level, while the highest weekly level reached was at 1,034. The RSI continues to move modestly above the oversold market side, since November last year. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of potential slowdown.
In a week ahead, there is no scheduled release of currently significant macro data which could potentially move the market toward one side. However, it should be considered that the market will closely monitor the inauguration of the new US Administration, where some volatility might emerge. In this sense, Monday, January 20th should be closely watched. As per potential eurusd moves, charts are showing potential for a short term support line at 1,20 to be tested in the coming period. This level does not represent a significant one, when looking at the longer chart frame, but only a short term stop before the eurusd parity.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Producers Price Index for December in Germany, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for January in Germany, HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for January in Germany, and the Euro Zone;
USD: Existing Home Sales for December, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for January,
Short IdeaHere we can see short idea develop right before our eyes.
The top marked by start of arrow down shows rejection in high price zone based on volume.
From there we see move down.
Trigger can be strong candle closed in or below bottom shadow of previous candle.
Lets see.
EURUSD BUY AT DEMAND ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Eurusd price is try to move up after making demand around level of 1.02885 and is likely to continue moving up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 1.04961 and 1.07087 . Use money management
Trade Idea: EUR/USD ShortEUR/USD is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently retested a key resistance zone near 1.0310 and shown signs of rejection, indicating potential for further downside movement.
Entry: 1.0310
Stop Loss (SL): 1.0398
Take Profit (TP): 1.0104
As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:3, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Lingrid | EURUSD complex PULLBACK. Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD has been moving sideways for the past couple of days. The market is pulling back toward the resistance zone after a fake breakout of the support level. It appears that the price is forming an ABCD pullback, as it has not moved significantly lower than the resistance zone at 1.03500. Additionally, a doji candle has formed on the weekly timeframe, which suggests indecision. I believe the market may move above the previous weekly high to take liquidity. I expect that this pullback will be followed by a continuation of the downward trend. My goal is support zone around 1.02520
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EUR/USD: Pre-Inauguration OutlookThis video is educational and not an analytical report. I share my perspective on the market, explain what to focus on, and provide a brief outlook on the future price movement.
Today, EUR/USD continues its range-bound movement for the fourth day in a row. I believe this range may persist until the inauguration, or we might see a strong breakout precisely during that event.
Watch the video, enjoy it, and feel free to ask questions — I’ll be happy to share more insights and discuss your ideas!
#EURUSD #Forex #MarketAnalysis #Inauguration #Trading #Forecast #Finance #TradingEducation
Eurogroup and Trump: Economic challenges in 2025The Eurogroup has kicked off the year with a strategy meeting in Brussels, coinciding with the inauguration of Donald Trump for his second term as president of the United States. The meeting, chaired by Paschal Donohoe, seeks to address the Eurozone's main economic challenges, including climate change, disruptive technologies and geopolitical uncertainties, with a special focus on transatlantic relations. Spain, represented by Minister Carlos Cuerpo, sees this meeting as key to strengthening European unity in the face of possible changes in U.S. policy. In addition, the forum will discuss innovations in wholesale payments and advances in the digital euro, reflecting its commitment to financial modernization. On the other hand, although outside the official agenda, France's fiscal deficit assessment will be highlighted, as it seeks to reduce it to 5.4% of GDP by 2025.
The Eurogroup starts the year balancing internal and external priorities in a context of high global uncertainty. The Eurogroup meeting and Donald Trump's inauguration may have a significant impact on the EUR/USD pair, as both events generate uncertainty and expectations in financial markets.
1. Transatlantic relations and geopolitics: Trump's policies could influence U.S.-European trade and economic relations. If there is a perceived protectionist stance or increased tensions, this could weaken the euro against the dollar as investors seek safer assets in the US.
2. Technological innovations and the digital euro: Developments discussed at the Eurogroup, such as the digital euro, could build confidence in the modernization of the European financial system. This, in the medium and long term, could strengthen the euro if markets interpret that Europe is making progress in its financial competitiveness.
3. Fiscal policy in Europe: The lack of consensus on fiscal plans, as in the case of France, could raise concerns about economic stability in the Eurozone. This could put downward pressure on the euro if markets perceive that fiscal policies are not sufficiently sound.
4. Market sentiment: If the Eurogroup meeting shows unity and defines clear strategies in the face of global challenges, the euro could strengthen against the dollar. However, any sign of internal disagreement could be interpreted negatively, affecting the EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis EUR/USD
1. Trend: Sideways consolidation with possible breakout.
2. Supports: 1.02603 and 1.1809 (key).
3. Resistances: 1.03303, 1.03524 (key).
4. Indicators:
o RSI at 60.99% slight oversold.
o MACD has crossed Signal softened at 2am.
o 50 moving average has crossed with the 100 today at 6am. On track to cross with the 200 to indicate possible uptrend.
5. Scenarios:
o On the upside: Breaking 1.0900 may lead to 1.1000.
o Down: Losing 1.0800 points to 1.0730.
6. Key: In summary, the impact on EUR/USD will depend on expectations about Trump's policy and the markets' perception of the Eurogroup's ability to address economic and geopolitical challenges.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
London Open(sell)During the London open price filled a fair value gap on a 5min chart and the bears have taken over as a result. The price might be biting the dust all the way to 1. 02777 or below the equal lows.
