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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EUR/USD Technical AnalysisEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues Within the Descending Channel The EUR/USD pair remains in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, with sellers maintaining control while buyers struggle to break key resistance levels. Below is a detailed analysis of the pair's recent performance: Overall Market Trend The prevailing trend for EUR/USD is bearish, as the price continues to move within a well-defined descending channel. Multiple attempts to break above the upper boundary of this channel have failed, indicating strong resistance from sellers. Key Levels Resistance Levels: The primary resistance is located at 1.0449, which has consistently rejected upward movements. A breakout above this level may signal a potential shift in momentum. Support Levels: The major support lies at 1.0331. If this level is breached, the price is likely to move lower within the channel, further reinforcing the bearish outlook. Technical Indicators Ichimoku Cloud: The price remains below the Kumo Cloud, signaling continued selling pressure and a strong bearish trend. The absence of significant support near the current price suggests a higher probability of further declines. Bollinger Bands: The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, reflecting short-term selling pressure. However, if the market enters oversold territory, a temporary rebound may occur. Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average (blue line) acts as a dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting any bullish attempts and confirming the bearish trend. Possible Scenarios Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 1.0331, further downside movement is expected, potentially attracting more sellers into the market. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the resistance at 1.0449 could lead to a move toward higher levels within the channel, with a potential test of the descending trendline. However, this would require strong buying momentum and a shift in current market conditions. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure, with the downtrend likely to persist in the short term. A breakdown below the key support at 1.0331 could accelerate the bearish move, while a sustained breakout above 1.0449 may signal a potential reversal. Traders should exercise caution, especially given the reduced trading volume and market activity during the Christmas holidays, which could lead to lower volatility and fewer trading opportunities.
Short
by arongroups
Euro / U.S. Dollar Currency Pair | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Euro / U.S. Dollar Currency Pair - Double Formation * Trend Line 1 & 2 | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1 * Pattern Structure | Supply Zone At 1.12000 USD - Triple Formation * Retracement | A+ Set Up | Subdivision 2 * 012345 | Wave Count Completed | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Entry Survey Settings Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
Short
by TradePolitics
1
EUR/USD: Holding Above Support Amidst DowntrendChart Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been in a sustained downtrend, but recent price action suggests stabilization near a key support zone at 1.0340. 1️⃣ Support Level: The horizontal level at 1.0340 has held firm, providing a key area of interest as price consolidates. A break below could lead to further downside, while a bounce may signal short-term recovery. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.0459, acting as a dynamic resistance for price attempts to move higher. 200-SMA (red): Located at 1.0539, reflecting the broader bearish trend and providing additional resistance above. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 44.70, showing bearish bias but holding above oversold territory, indicating a potential consolidation phase. MACD: Bearish momentum remains intact but shows signs of flattening, suggesting waning downside pressure. What to Watch: A decisive break below 1.0340 could signal a continuation of the downtrend, targeting lower levels. If the support holds, the pair may test the 50-SMA resistance near 1.0459. The EUR/USD remains bearish overall, but the current consolidation near key support could lead to a short-term directional move. -MW
by FOREXcom
Season's Greetings and Holiday Trading Tips from OakleyJM.As we approach the festive season, I wanted to take a moment to wish all my followers a very Merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year! This time of year brings joy, celebration, and some unique challenges for traders. Here’s a guide to help you navigate the markets during the holidays and set yourself up for success in 2025. Challenges of Holiday Trading Reduced Liquidity: Many traders and institutional investors take time off during the holidays, resulting in lower trading volumes. This can lead to increased volatility and wider bid-ask spreads. Unexpected Volatility: With fewer participants in the market, price movements can be more unpredictable. Sudden news events or economic data releases can cause significant swings. Market Hours and Closures: Different markets may have shortened trading hours or be closed on certain days. It’s essential to know the trading schedules to avoid unexpected interruptions. Year-End Rebalancing: Institutional investors may engage in portfolio rebalancing and tax-loss harvesting, which can lead to unusual market activity. Tips for Trading Over the Holidays Plan Ahead: Be aware of the holiday trading schedules for the markets you’re involved in. Adjust your trading plan to accommodate potential closures and shortened hours. Manage Risk: Given the increased volatility, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully. Consider using tighter stop-loss orders and reducing position sizes. Stay Informed: Keep up with the latest news and economic data releases, as these can have an outsized impact on low-liquidity markets. Use Limit Orders: To avoid the pitfalls of wider bid-ask spreads, use limit orders to ensure you get the price you want. Focus on Liquidity: Trade assets that are likely to have higher liquidity even during the holidays, such as major currency pairs or blue-chip stocks. Review Your Strategy: The end of the year is a great time to review your trading strategy, analyse your performance, and set goals for the upcoming year. Looking Ahead As we celebrate this festive season, it’s also an excellent time to reflect on the past year and look forward to new opportunities in 2025. The markets may present unique challenges during the holidays, but with careful planning and risk management, you can navigate them successfully. May your holidays be filled with joy, and may the New Year bring you prosperity and successful trading! Warm wishes, OakleyJM.
Education
by OakleyJM
Euro can rebound up from buyer zone to 1.0460 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago bounced from the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and entered a triangle. After this, the rice turned around and made a strong impulse down to the support line of this pattern, breaking the resistance level with the support level. But soon, EUR turned around and made an impulse, making a first gap, after which it rose to the seller zone, where it later made a second gap. Next, the price some time traded near the 1.0540 level and later dropped to the support line of the triangle, after which rebounded and rose to the resistance line of this pattern. Later, EUR turned around and started to decline and soon exited from the triangle, thereby breaking the resistance level again and continuing to fall. A few moments later, the price started to trades inside another one triangle pattern. In it, EUR dropped to the buyer zone, but a not long time ago backed up and now trades close support line of the triangle. In my mind, the price can fall to the buyer zone and then rebound up, thereby exiting from triangle pattern. That's why I set my TP at 1.0460 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
1
EURUSD short-term trading set-upThe EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the September 25 High and remains on a bearish course below the 4H MA200 (red trend-line) since October 01. The 1D RSI is displaying a huge Bullish Divergence, being on Higher Lows against the Lower Lows of the Channel Down, so long-term a strong bullish break-out is expected. On the short-term though, we can take advantage of this Lower Lows fractal that has been formed another 2 times on this pattern and rebounds towards the 4H MA200. You can short towards the RSI's Higher Lows trend-line, take the profit and switch to buying just before it touches it and then target 1.04200 (expected course of the 4H MA200). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone. FX:EURUSD is coming out of a prolonged consolidation. As part of counter-trend correction, the price is testing the previously broken support and trying to consolidate in the selling zone. The fundamental background has become sharply negative since last week, which generally determines the medium-term potential for the currency pair. The rate cuts in the US have slowed down, but in Europe they are going to continue to cut rates. Trump's policy with his tariff system will also put negative pressure on the EURO. Technically, against the background of a strong rallying dollar, the euro has almost no chance. If the bears keep the defense below 1.0448 and focus on breaking the support, the currency pair may head towards 1.022 in the medium term. Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.022 At the moment, the focus is on the two nearest resistances. It is possible to retest these zones and try to defend their borders from the buyer's side, but there are not many chances. A breakdown and fixing of the price in the selling zone will strengthen further decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
EURUSD: Fed spoiled Holiday seasonThe FOMC cut interest rates by 25 bps at their December meeting, which was expected by the markets. Still, in an after the meeting address to the public, Fed Chair Powell provided some not-so welcomed projections for the following year. At this moment, Fed is expecting fewer rate cuts in 2025, from initially projected, with a 50 bps current baseline. This change comes from expectations of a higher inflation in 2025. The PCE indicator is expected to end next year at 2,5%, versus 2,2% previously forecasted, while its targeted 2% is expected to reach in 2027. The US Retail Sales increased in November by 0,7% for the month, above market expectation of 0,5%. Retail sales increased by 3,8% on a yearly basis. The Industrial Production was down by 0,1% in November, which was lower from market estimate of +0,3%. The IP on a yearly basis was down by -0,9%. Building Permits preliminary for November were higher by 6,1%. The GDP Growth rate final for Q3 is 3,1%, higher from market estimate of 2,8%. The PCE Prices final for Q3 were higher by 1,5% for the quarter, in line with market expectations. The PCE index was up by 0,1% in November for the month, while core PCE reached also 0,1% in November. Personal Income was up by 0,3% in November, while Personal Spending reached 0,4% for the month. The PCE index stands at 2,4% for the year, which was lower from market estimate at 2,5%. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for December was published, reaching the level of 74,0, and the five year inflation expectations of 3%. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for Germany in December was standing at 42,5, lower from market forecast of 43,1. At the same time, the same indicator for services stands better at the level of 51,0, higher from market estimate of 49,3. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany for December was 84,7, again a bit lower from estimated 85,6. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Germany in December exceeded market expectations with a value of 15,7, while the forecasted figure was 6,5. Inflation rate in the EuroZone, final for November, was standing at 2,2%, a bit lower from estimated 2,3%. The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for January is -21,3, lower from market estimate of -22,5. It was a challenging week on financial markets. The Fed projections for the year 2025 was something that the market did not expect, so the currency pair reacted in a pretty volatile way. The eurusd started the week around 1,05 level and moved all the way down to lowest weekly level at 1,035. Still, at Friday's trading session, the currency pair reverted a bit, ending the week at 1,0430. The RSI reached an oversold territory, but ended the week at the level of 40. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA200 counterparty, indicating that no cross should be expected in the near term. The following week is a Holiday week on the Western markets. This means finally some less volatility, although this was a very challenging year-end. As seen during the previous week, the 1,04 support line might continue to be under pressure in the following period. Still, due to the Holiday, it should not be expected that this level is going to be breached till the year-end. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Holiday season starts from Wednesday, and no significant data is scheduled to be published. USD: Although Holiday season starts from Wednesday there will be only a few macro data published: Durable Goods Orders for November are due on December 24th.
by XBTFX
#EURUSD 4HEURUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Pattern Identified: Trendline Resistance: Price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating selling pressure and a bearish outlook in the short term. Forecast: Sell Now: The price is currently near the trendline resistance, providing an opportunity for a short position as the trend remains bearish. Buy Opportunity: If the price drops and touches the identified support level, a potential buying opportunity may arise, expecting a bounce from support. Key Levels: Sell Entry: Near trendline resistance. Stop Loss (Sell): Above the trendline resistance to limit risk. Take Profit (Sell): At the next support level. Buy Entry: At the support zone, once a bullish confirmation is observed. Stop Loss (Buy): Below the support level in case of a breakout. Take Profit (Buy): Towards the trendline resistance or next resistance level. Market Sentiment:* Short-Term Bearish: Dominated by sellers under trendline resistance. Reversal Potential: Watch for support zone reactions to switch to a buy setup.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER