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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EUR/USD Clings to Key Support Ahead of Fed DecisionEUR/USD is holding its breath at a significant support level as the Federal Reserve gears up for tomorrow’s interest rate decision. The market is balancing what feels like a finely poised mix: sticky inflation, resilient US economic data, and the risk of overly aggressive policy easing. In short, the market is jittery, and EUR/USD is reflecting that perfectly. The Technical Picture Let’s take a step back. After the steady decline through the second half of the year, EUR/USD has spent the past month consolidating near the October 2023 lows. This long-term support level has held firm so far, but the price action is far from convincing. We’ve already seen two false breakouts recently. At the end of November, there was a fake dip below support, quickly followed by an equally fleeting move above the range earlier this month. These two extremes set the boundaries of the current consolidation phase and tell us one thing—EUR/USD is coiling up, and something’s got to give. Adding to the tension, the top of the recent range now lines up with the descending trendline that’s defined the pair’s medium-term downtrend. This confluence of technical factors puts EUR/USD in a tight corner just as the Fed is about to weigh in. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zoomed View: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Scenarios to Watch 1. Dovish Cut – The Fed Eases Off the Brakes If Powell and the team deliver a quarter-point cut and hint at a more accommodative stance next year, EUR/USD could finally catch a bid. A clean break above the descending trendline and recent range highs would signal a shift in momentum, with the 200 day moving average quickly coming into focus as the next area of interest. 2. As-Expected but Cautious – Status Quo for Now The more likely scenario is a measured quarter-point cut paired with Powell keeping his cards close to his chest. If the Fed reiterates a gradual approach and avoids overpromising future cuts, EUR/USD could stay stuck in its current range. In this case, the October lows remain the line in the sand, with the pair trudging sideways until there’s more clarity. 3. Hawkish Tilt – The Fed Pushes Back If Powell leans more hawkish—acknowledging the resilience of the US economy and refusing to commit to further easing—EUR/USD could crack. A decisive break below the October lows would clear the way for a fresh leg lower. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UPWARD channel. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
3
EURUSD SELL ZONE URUSD – Key Sell Zone Identified EURUSD is trading near a strong resistance area around 1.05270 – 1.05340, indicating a potential sell opportunity. Trade Setup: Sell Zone: 1.05270 – 1.05340 Support Levels: First Target (TP1): 1.04825 Second Target (TP2): 1.04511 Trade Plan: Entry: Wait for price rejection or bearish confirmation in the sell zone. Stop Loss: Above 1.05340 (safe protection against breakout). Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.04825 (mid-support zone) TP2: 1.04511 (lower support zone) Outlook: Price action suggests a potential downward movement after rejection from the resistance zone. Manage risk carefully and follow confirmation signals for entry.
by FOREXQUEEN_1
9
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0502 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0548 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0476 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
DROP , BASE , RALLY Pattern DROP , BASE , RALLY pattern is my most favorite pattern to identify on charts and take trades accordingly. Simple explanation of this pattern is that '' price drops to a certain level and then starts accumulation or form base level with bit of liquidity hunt to the down side. Bullish rally begins after the liquidity hunt and formation of strong base. In this pattern we can take several trades by managing risk with the stop loss at previous low or high. This Pattern can be identify in any financial market with the accuracy of above 80%. (personal point of view on experience) Not a financial advice, trade on your own risk. Only for educational purpose. Regards: Javed ali nagri
Long
by javedalinagri
1
EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0505 1.0480EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - Bearish pressure by macroeconomic fundamentals and a dovish ECB outlook Technical Analysis Summary D1 (Daily Chart) Trend: Bearish with price trading well below the 200-SMA and stuck below the 20-EMA at 1.0540. Indicators: RSI: At 40.64, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: Bearish crossover below 40, showing potential for further downside. MACD: Negative histogram and signal line, confirming a bearish outlook. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0530 (20-EMA), 1.0560 (near-term swing high). Support: 1.0480, 1.0460, and a broader target of 1.0435. H4 (4-Hour Chart) Trend: Consolidation in a bearish channel, with price unable to break above the 50-SMA. Indicators: RSI: At 42.81, reflecting bearish momentum. Stochastic: Bearish crossover heading down towards oversold levels. MACD: Bearish histogram, confirming bearish continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0515, 1.0535 (50-SMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460. H1 (Hourly Chart) Trend: Bearish, with price below the Ichimoku cloud, 50-SMA, and 200-SMA. Bearish momentum is strong after a recent failed attempt to recover. Indicators: RSI: At 38.13, signaling bearish momentum below 40. Stochastic: Near 10, indicating oversold conditions and suggesting a potential short-term pullback. MACD: Bearish histogram with a downward signal line. ATR: At 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0505 (minor), 1.0530 (20-EMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460, 1.0435. M30 (30-Minute Chart) Trend: Downtrend with price consolidating near support at 1.0485. Indicators: RSI: At 34.85, approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: At 12, suggesting a minor pullback may occur before further declines. MACD: Negative momentum remains intact. Correlated Financial Instruments US Dollar Index (DXY): DXY remains firm above 106, supporting a bearish EUR/USD outlook. USD strength continues as inflation data backs expectations of steady Fed policy. Gold (XAU/USD): Gold remains under pressure, further confirming USD strength. Trade Plan for EUR/USD H1 Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation on Retracement Rationale: Given the clear bearish momentum and inability to break key resistance levels, a retracement toward resistance offers a short-selling opportunity. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0505–1.0510 (near minor resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above the 20-EMA on H1). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0460. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 2: Breakout Short Below 1.0485 Rationale: A clean break below 1.0485 support will confirm a bearish continuation towards the next key levels. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0480 (on breakout). Stop-Loss: 1.0505 (above breakout resistance). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0460. TP2: 1.0435. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 3: Intraday Scalping Short (M30–H1 Levels) Rationale: If a short-term pullback occurs, use M30 chart resistance as an entry. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0500 (psychological level). Stop-Loss: 1.0515. Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0475. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
Short
by napoleon182
9
EURUSD SELL Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
Short
by Tonksovave
Stalking for sell side expansion on EURUSDThe current market condition is bearish, So stalking for sell side expansion is essential for high probability success. The market has recently traded above an old daily high where majority of retail traders will have interest to participate in the market, whether buying or selling in terms of buy stops protecting there're short positions, So they get to suffer both shorting & longing trades. After the market has sweep stops on the buy side it tend to gravitate to the sell side liquidity pool. This is what algorithm does. No indicators needed to read price.
Short
by smcapitals_