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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

Euro in Trouble? EUR/USD Sell Signals Emerge!As we analyze the current market conditions for the EUR/USD currency pair, the signals from the EASY Trading AI strategy indicate a clear selling opportunity. We're looking at an entry price of 1.04151, with a take profit target set at 1.03936333 and a stop loss at 1.04332333. The reasoning behind this sell forecast centers on recent economic data suggesting weakening fundamentals for the Eurozone. Declining manufacturing output and mixed economic indicators have raised concerns about the euro's stability. In contrast, the U.S. economy shows signs of resilience, with positive job growth and a steady consumer sentiment. This disparity creates an environment favorable for a downward trend in the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, technical analysis reveals that the pair is testing a critical resistance level, providing an opportune moment to sell. The alignment of fundamental and technical factors supports a bearish outlook, making the entry point compelling. Traders are encouraged to consider these factors when planning their trades and to stay updated with signals from the EASY Trading AI system, as they adapt strategies dynamically to market changes. As always, ensure you manage your risks while capitalizing on market opportunities.
Short
by ForexRobotEasy
EURUSD The EUR/USD pair drifts lower to around 1.0415 during the Asian trading on Friday. Trading volumes are thin as many traders are on holiday before New Year. Later on Friday, the preliminary reading of the US Goods Trade Balance for November will be releasedAcross the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Boris Vujcic said last week that the central bank will probably cut borrowing costs again if incoming data is in accordance with its projections. The ECB has cut rates four times this year, bringing the deposit rate to 3.0%. Analysts expect policymakers to continue such quarter-point moves until it hits 2.0% in June. This, in turn, might drag the shared currency lower against the US DollarData released on Thursday by the US Department of Labor revealed that the weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropped to the lowest in a month last week. The number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits declined to 219,000 in the week ending December 21, compared to 220,000 in the previous week. This reading came in below the market consensus of 224,000
Short
by KingForex078
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, stated, "The yen has recently exhibited unilateral and rapid movements. Appropriate measures will be taken to curb excessive currency fluctuations." - The U.S. Commerce Department reported that the November Personal Consumption - Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose by 0.1% month-on-month, falling short of market expectations. - Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Federal Reserve, remarked, "U.S. inflation remains on a slowing trajectory toward the 2% target." Major Economic Events + December 23: UK Q3 GDP + December 25: Christmas + December 26: Boxing Day EUR/USD Chart Analysis After breaking out of its previous upward trend, the pair is now in a consolidation range. A rebound from the lower levels suggests potential upside to the 1.06000 line. However, if it fails to break the resistance, there’s a high likelihood of breaching the bottom and exiting the range, potentially extending losses to the 1.01000 level. Conversely, if it breaks above the 1.06000 line, further gains toward the 1.08000 level can be expected. If movements deviate from expectations, we will promptly revise our strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0397 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0456 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Quick technical idea on EURUSDWaiting for a breakout through one of my key areas to consider the next short-term directional move. FX_IDC:EURUSD EASYMARKETS:EURUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Fed Rate Expectations: How Are They Formed?Changes in the Federal Reserve's funds rate have far-reaching implications for nearly all existing assets. When the rate increases amidst moderate inflation, the U.S. dollar TVC:DXY typically strengthens, attracting capital from both the cryptocurrency and stock markets. Conversely, if inflation is rising rapidly and the Fed is compelled to aggressively raise rates to stabilize the economy, investors often interpret this as a sign of underlying trouble, prompting them to shift their assets into TVC:GOLD . However, it is essential to recognize that the Fed’s decisions are reactions to prevailing economic conditions. More crucially, market expectations regarding the Fed's rate movements—shaped by collective sentiment—play a significant role in shaping economic outcomes. This post explores the factors that form these expectations. 📍 Key Indicators Influencing Expectations for the Fed Funds Rate The market tends to respond significantly only when actual changes in the funds rate diverge from expectations. If adjustments align with market forecasts, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar typically remains stable. Thus, accurately predicting the Fed's actions is vital for investors and traders. 1. Labor Market Dynamics The labor market is a primary focus for the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases employment reports every Friday, providing insight into unemployment rates. The Fed maintains a forecast range for acceptable unemployment levels—generally between 4.2% and 4.8%—indicating economic balance. An uptick in unemployment signals economic weakness, often prompting a reduction in the funds rate. Conversely, a decline in unemployment raises concerns about potential economic overheating, which could lead to tighter monetary policy. 2. Inflation Trends The Fed’s target inflation rate is set at 2%. As inflation rises, the Fed typically increases the funds rate to curb borrowing. This was clearly illustrated during the 2022-2023 period, where persistent inflation above 8% led to a series of rate hikes. In contrast, deflation would necessitate maintaining ultra-low funds rates. Additional indicators to monitor include wage trends, inflation expectations, and the consumer price index (CPI). 3. Overall Economic Health Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic health. Although GDP data is often retrospective, it reflects long-term economic trends. A decline in GDP may prompt the Fed to adopt stimulative monetary policies. Analysts often utilize the GDPNow model, developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to obtain real-time estimates of U.S. GDP growth. 4. Treasury Yield Curve The yield curve illustrates the relationship between bond yields of different maturities from the same issuer. A flattening yield curve typically signals economic slowdown, while long-term bonds yielding less than short-term bonds can foreshadow a recession. The Fed could respond to such signs by adjusting funds rates higher depending on the crisis’s underlying causes. 5. Global Economic Influences Economic conditions in other major economies, particularly China and the European Union, can indirectly impact the U.S. economy due to deep economic ties. Monitoring central bank funds rates and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in these regions is essential. 6. The Dollar’s Exchange Rate Against Key Currencies A strong U.S. dollar can adversely affect American exporters. If other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, adopt accommodative monetary policies, the Fed may also consider lowering rates to avoid a detrimental trade balance caused by a strengthening dollar. 7. Market Expectations Investor sentiment creates a feedback loop. With over 50% of Americans investing in equities, a hawkish stance on funds rates tends to increase bond yields and instigate a sell-off in securities, negatively impacting overall economic wealth. Investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts can pressure the Fed to align with these expectations. 8. Communication from Fed Officials The rhetoric from Fed officials often hints at future monetary policy, providing insights into rate expectations based on their communications. Numerous indicators, including analysts’ forecasts and futures trading on key rates, contribute to understanding the Fed's policies. Due to the complexity of these influencing factors, relying solely on fundamental analysis for trading is not advisable for beginners. 📍 Conclusion Forecasting changes in the Fed's funds rate often begins with the first clear signals about the Fed's potential actions. The primary motivations guiding the Fed are the control of inflation and the management of unemployment—making these two indicators crucial for predictions regarding monetary policy. Additionally, it is essential to consider fundamental factors impacting other major currencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
EUR/USD 30-Minute Chart AnalysisEUR/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined upward channel, showing bullish momentum. It recently moved from the support level around 1.0330 to test resistance at approximately 1.0457, with the current price around 1.0429. Key levels to watch include: Resistance: Immediate resistance at 1.0457 and potential higher resistance near 1.0475. Support: Initial support at approximately 1.0384 and stronger support near the previous low at 1.0330. Traders should watch for potential reversal signals from RSI and MACD, as well as volume trends that can confirm market sentiment. Overall, the pair presents opportunities for both long and short positions depending on price action dynamics. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
by David_Josh_Trader
EURUSD H1 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0421, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0373, which is a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0479, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM