AUS200 - WHERE DO WE EXPECTTeam, my apologies,
we were long AUS200 earlier with tight stop loss
We should share this earlier because we were focusing on getting our target hit as a result
AUS200 trade ideas
AUS200 in Bullish TrendAUS200 is in bullish trend making HHS and HLs. The chart is in upward trend on daily and hourly chart. I have chosen 4H time frame for analysis. There is a bearish divergence along with bullish hidden divergence and hidden divergence is stronger than regular divergence. Also for confluence sake, the SMA of 10, 20 and 50 are in the trend support and the static support is also very strong as it was a strong resistance and SR flip occurred. It is complimenting the trend line. The Fib retracement for downward trend has also exceeded 0.618 level considering the trend to be a weak one for downward movement.
The Signal is:
EP: 8124.86
SL: 7980.71
TP: 8269.01
ASX200 defies Septembers reputation as a challenging monthThe ASX200 closed out September in style, with the index at record highs after a monthly gain of 2.20%. While the gains at the index level were more a steady march higher, there were fireworks at a sector level as easing measures announced in China last week sparked a tectonic shift from out of the banks and into the big miners.
Provided the ASX200 confirms yesterday's break above 8250 in the sessions ahead, it opens the way for a rally towards 8400. Aware that if the ASX200 returns to the trend channel and then loses support at 8120/00ish, it warns that a deeper pullback towards 7900 is underway.
ASX futures closed 32 points (-0.39%) lower this morning at 8274, indicating that the ASX200 should open lower this morning at 8238.
AUS200 TO FORM DIVERGENCE (Buying to sell)AUS200 has reached a new major high
I'm expecting price to do a correction towards the new high
Before price starts falling again
If price does what I am expecting
I'll buy when a breakout and retest happens
and I will be selling on next key level (Resistance)
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AUS200 WAITNG FOR RETEST AND SHORT - DOUBLE TOPTeam, yesterday we had a beautiful trade with 6/6 all-target hitting.
But every day is another day, let's focus on today.
It looks like AUS200 will be moving in a tight range.
We only trade when the price kicks in our set-up range.
We want to short AUS200 AT 8178-8176.2 - (double top). Yesterday's high may be retested.
Our stop loss would be around 8208
Target 1 at 8159.20 and Target 2 at 8123.20
If it breaks below yesterday's low, will be going into the target 3 at 8105 and 8078 ranges
ASX200 initial signs of upside rejection On Friday, the ASX200 ran head-on into our band of daily and weekly trend channel resistance at 8230/50ish, from which we saw initial rejection.
A loss of support at 8120/00ish is needed for Friday's rejection to become more significant, which would then warn that a deeper pullback towards 7900 is underway. Aware that should the ASX200 break above resistance at 8230/50 it opens the way for the index to rally towards 8350.
ASX futures closed 9 points (-0.11%) lower this morning at 8196, indicating the ASX200 should open lower at 8144.
AUS200 Technical AnalysisWhen the AUS200 daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 8532 level in price movements above the 8257 level, but in price movements below the 8257 level, it is evaluated that it can break the 8111 level and retreat to the 7906 level.
SHORTAUS200 AT MARKET OPEN – current price at 8225Good morning Team; it is Friday, and I hope you have a fantastic week.
We are preparing a short AUS200 at market opening in 30 minutes
Stop loss at 8266 or 8258
TARGET 1 at 8204.5
Once it reaches the 1st target, take 50% partial and bring stop loss to 8247
We are going to target at 8173.3
AU200 remains bullish following its new all-time Following a fresh all time high the index remains bullish above 8120.59, and it is likely that traders will meet declines with support.
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AUS200 - Short TradeOn Monday (manipulation day) price swept the previous week high (PWH) with a great sign of weakness: a market structure break (MSB).
As a target, I prefer the opposite key level
I'm excited to see your opinion in the comments, and I'd like it if you could boost this idea if it was helpful for you!
Australian S&P/ASX 200 Index Hits All-Time HighAustralian S&P/ASX 200 Index Hits All-Time High
As seen on the S&P/ASX 200 chart (Australia 200 on FXOpen), today's candle surpassed the 8200 level, marking a new all-time high.
Positive sentiment was driven by:
→ The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates, which led to a surge in volatility and set historical records for gold prices (XAU/USD), the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), and others.
→ Today's positive news from the Australian labour market, showing that unemployment has not increased, and the number of new jobs created in the month exceeded expectations (actual = 47.5 thousand, forecast = 26.4 thousand).
Technical Analysis
The S&P/ASX 200 chart (Australia 200 on FXOpen) indicates price movement within converging trend lines:
→ The lower line was breached in early August amid widespread panic across financial markets. However, it later resumed its role as support, as indicated by the arrow.
→ The upper line acts as resistance, which today is reinforced by the psychological level of 8200. Despite this, the price's position near the candle's high suggests that bulls are showing persistence, at least for now.
Given that the RSI indicator is at its highest level since early August, it is reasonable to anticipate that current bullish sentiment might face increased selling pressure in the short term. If the S&P/ASX 200 (Australia 200 on FXOpen) follows a correction scenario, support could come from the previously mentioned level of 2400, as well as the 8110 level, which has shifted from resistance to support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
PATIENCTLY WAIT FOR THE AUS200 getting to our SHORT TRAPGood morning everyone.
we are waiting for the AUS200 to get into our position to short.
If the trade does not form into our position, we will focus on the US market opening tonight. It is essential.
We await the AUS fall below 8140-38 to enter our short position.
Our stop loss should be above the all-time high 8186. (Let your stop loss be a bit lengthy to accommodate fake outs which happens most of the times in the market.)
Our first target will be 8126; please note once it hits our first target, please take 50% profit
from our second target, 8103.7, and
third target 8055.7
Bullish AU200: Key Fundamentals & Probability StrategyThe AU200 (ASX 200) index is showing bullish potential due to several key fundamentals. Australia's economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with a strong labor market and low unemployment rate of 3.6% supporting consumer spending. Additionally, the country's resource-rich economy benefits from robust global commodity prices, particularly in key exports like iron ore and coal. The Reserve Bank of Australia's supportive monetary policy, despite recent tightening to combat inflation, further underpins the positive outlook for the AU200.
I'm incorporating probability top-down analysis into my trading strategy for the AU200 to make more informed decisions and improve my chances of success. By using probability tools on my charts, I can assess the probability of price movements reaching specific levels, helping me identify high-probability trade setups.
Now let's get into the top-down process:
12M:
2W:
4H:
What are your thoughts on the AU200? Share your ideas and insights below!
ASX200 eyes a fresh record high The ASX200 is set to open this morning at fresh record highs, seven weeks after striking its previous record high of 8148 back in early August.
From here a sustained close above 8150 would open the way for the rally to extend towards weekly trend channel resistance at 8230/50ish. Conversely, a failure to sustain the break above 8150 would keep the ASX200 range bound with scope for a retest of last week's 7918 low.
ASX futures closed 53 points (+0.65%) higher this morning at 8168, indicating the ASX200 should open higher at ~8175.
PREPARE TO SHORT AUS200 once the price confirmation.Good morning Everyone, look like the AUS200 trying to reach last Week (Friday High) that would be double top. But would doubted to break old time high 8166. We are going to set up a short position once it retest at the price 8131.6-8129.2 with Stop loss at 8173.6
Target 1 at 8089.
Target 2 at 8055.8
Please note: we are not entering yet, until price confirmation
AUS200 - This is what I expect the trend for todayWe have review the market for the AUS200, but we are expecting further downtrend base on the chart which we have set up for AUS200.
PLEASE NOTE: We are not enter this trade today.
We would consider short at 8012.60, with stop loss either at 8030.40 or 8062.7
target would be 7973.60
and target 2 at 7941.50
Sell stop AUS200 at 7920.4 areaAUS200 is under pressure to the downside after failing to establish its upside momentum. The price also broke channel and trend line support indicating its strong bearish momentum. The price also failed to stay above moving averages, and seasonally, September is known as a bad month for the stock market as well.
I set my sell stop below the swing slow to catch bearish momentum and set my stop loss above the swing high on a 4 h timeframe.
Trade safe and manage your risk guys
Happy trading
