BUY NASDAQBeen a while since I last posted about the American market, you can buy and target the same level as mine.
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NAS100 trade ideas
NSDQ100 INTRADAY key trading levels ahead of US NFPKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 18435
Resistance Level 2: 18800
Resistance Level 3: 19580
Support Level 1: 17680
Support Level 2: 17300
Support Level 3: 17000
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Nasdaq chart 4april 2025Based on 4h frame it's on the lower edge of down trend. So it have a little chance to move up for few hours but knowing that today have 2 major events NFP and fed chairperson speak so it's better to avoid this day or at least wait till these events ends.
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18,411.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18,773.6.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US100 Bullish SideUS100 show clear bullish momentum and many indicators shows that US100 in uptrend which are given below:
RSI daily timeframe bullish divergence
Descending parallel channel which show that US100 in a strong uptrend
Strong support zone
All these indicator indicators shows us that US100 in a clear bullish momentum
The Trump's disruption of globalizationHello,
The trump tarrifs are currently creating a perfect storm for long term investors. This is the best time to use the Newsflows & Tradingview news to understand whats going on & how it can impact your trading. Below are some of the things we see:
President Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiation tool is not a new strategy, but his latest approach signals that President Trump is very keen on industrializing America. The president has made it clear that the tariffs have 3 goals
They can be used to raise money for the government just like taxes
They can be used to redistribute money from consumers towards domestic producers since they discourage against imports.
They can be used to realign global growth strategically shifting industries
We do not see a significant amount of money being raised from tariffs to offset taxes. However, as higher tariffs make it costlier for companies to manufacture abroad and export to the U.S., we anticipate a growing number of firms will relocate their production facilities to American soil. This will be great for the American labour force because it accounts for more jobs and will greatly align how global trade will move on going forward.
However, this strategy is not without its complexities. In today’s interconnected world, manufacturing relies on intricate supply chains, with components sourced from multiple countries. Such disruptions will affect the US market as well and trickle down to the end consumer. Below are some of the tariffs imposed on major trade partners
25% on foreign made cars
20% on the European Union
34% on China
26% on India
24% on China
Countries are threatening to strike back with countermeasures of their own. The USA treasury secretary has warned that countries that try to counter the tariffs will be dealt with separately. We see a direct impact on countries that heavily depend on exports to the USA as being the biggest losers in this conversation as they will have to relook at their markets once again. These countries may include China, Mexico and Germany. These countries may need to relook at the rest of the world to fill up the demand that used to go to the USA.
While many analysts predicted that these tariffs would drive inflation higher, we see a different outcome. The economic slowdown caused by retaliatory tariffs could actually put downward pressure on prices. On top of that, oil prices have remained low, further helping to keep inflation in check. In the long term we see a stronger US economy and more opportunities for companies that manufacture in the USA and have greater demand there.
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
All the fundamentals coupled with technicals will give you better entry views and allow you better rest once you deploy your funds.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500.
And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone.
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A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside?
📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower.
📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising.
⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop.
________________________________________
Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term
✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity.
❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down.
While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- Nasdaq-100 index broke support level 18820.00
- Likely to fall to support level 18295.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the key support level 18820.00 (the previous monthly low from the end of March).
The breakout of this support level 18820.00 accelerated the minor impulse wave 1 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from February.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 18295.00 (former monthly low from September) – the breakout of which can lead to further losses to 18000.00.
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure.
It can handle:
the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying"
the pollution and "enshitification" of social media
imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover
partnering with a Russian totalitarian state
overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing
populist politics
unworldly valuations of tech stocks
What it cannot handle is:
Upsetting the world order
Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies
Starting trade wars with your best friends
Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
My Opinion About Small Account 9-5These points come from my heart, I sometimes get overwhelmed by not having money and come with such stress to the markets and end up losing, not focusing on what is clear to see because I would be already overwhelmed. I hope we find some healing and pray for patience, things will be ok soon.
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now.
I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building.
We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
NQ: An ongoing storm after tariffs came into effect!Good day!
Finally tariffs are on! A response from worldwide is imminently expected.
NQ and all US equities, US dollar and Bonds and anything from US are in a free fall!
A definition of a self-inflicted destruction!
Anyhow...Today's plan: A shy bounce (23.6 Fib) during Asian session. Price created a bearish flag that is already broken. A retest around 38.2 fib (19115) is possible if Service data is inline.
Otherwise, price will continue the down move.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook
NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase.
However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support.
Key structural levels to watch:
Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021)
Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023)
If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines.
Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
NAS100 Testing Demand Zone – Major Reversal or More Drops? 📊 Market Overview:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tested a strong demand zone (18,900 - 18,950) and is showing signs of a potential reversal. Can buyers push the price higher, or will bears take control?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 19,568 | 20,160
🔹 Current Price: 18,977
🔹 Key Support Levels: 18,896 (demand zone)
📉 Price Action Breakdown:
1️⃣ Sharp Drop into Demand Zone
Price recently fell from 19,568 after failing to break higher.
Buyers are now defending the 18,900 support zone, which has historically held strong.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Setup?
If the price holds above 18,900, we could see a bullish rally toward 19,568.
A breakout above 19,568 may open the way for 20,160+.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Risk
If the price drops below 18,896, expect further downside towards 18,600 - 18,500.
Sellers would regain control, confirming a bearish continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bullish Case:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 18,900 - 18,950 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could target 19,568, then 20,160.
📍 Bearish Case:
🔹 If price fails to hold 18,896, a short setup targeting 18,600 - 18,500 is possible.
🔹 Wait for a clean break & retest before shorting.
🔥 Will NAS100 bounce back from this demand zone, or will sellers dominate? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
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