US30 LongsWe see price rejecting off a15m demand but we expect price to go deeper into the zone, which will give us a rejection off the trendline support. for safe longs we wait for price to cross and close above 37190
US30 trade ideas
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 38600 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 39610
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 37750
Strong Rejection from 39280 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 37700 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 38300 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 38000
💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 37600
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?DJ30 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 37,602.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36,538.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 39,559.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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#US30 – Bearish Breakdown from Rectangle Pattern | 1D AnalysisThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has completed a breakdown from a rectangle consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The index is currently trading around 41,790, with downside momentum increasing.
Technical Analysis:
Rectangle Pattern Breakout – Bearish continuation after range-bound movement
Double Top Formation – Confirmed rejection near 45,000 resistance
Projected Target: 38,000 (as per the pattern breakdown)
Immediate Resistance: 42,000 - 43,200
Fundamental Outlook:
Market sentiment affected by interest rate policy & economic uncertainty
Weak earnings reports and recession fears could add further downside pressure
If DJIA remains below resistance, we could see further declines toward 38,000. However, a break back above 43,200 could invalidate the bearish setup. Watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic developments!
TRADE IDEA: US30 LONG ( BUY LIMIT )
Daily Chart:
• RSI: At 24.33, it’s in oversold territory — potential for a reversal.
• MACD: Strong bearish momentum, but the histogram may be bottoming out, signaling a potential bullish divergence forming.
• Price Action: Testing key support zone near 38300, which was previously a resistance-turned-support area.
15-Minute Chart:
• RSI: At 60.68, indicating early bullish momentum.
• MACD: Bullish crossover recently occurred; histogram rising — confirming short-term upward trend.
• Price Action: Clear bounce from recent lows with higher highs and higher lows forming.
3-Minute Chart:
• Momentum clearly shifting up.
• Price moving above short-term moving average, showing intraday strength.
⸻
Fundamental Context:
• US economic data has recently shown mixed signals, but dovish Fed tone and potential rate cuts in the near future favor equity indices recovery.
• No major bearish macro headlines present at this time to sustain the steep drop.
⸻
Trade Parameters:
• Entry: 38,390 (current price zone, confirming strength above local consolidation)
• Stop Loss (SL): 38,000 (below recent lows and psychological level)
• Take Profit (TP): 39,190 (previous supply zone, daily EMA resistance area)
• Risk: 390 points
• Reward: 800 points
• RRR: 2.05:1
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40617
Resistance Level 2: 42165
Resistance Level 3: 44073
Support Level 1: 37555
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
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DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst
With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ?
The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
US30 Outlook – 08/04/25The Dow Jones (US30) has shown a strong recovery from the recent low at 36,743, bouncing nearly 1,900 points after a steep selloff. Price is now consolidating just under the 38,800 level — a key short-term resistance zone.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ EMA crossover on the 1H suggests a shift in short-term momentum to the upside
❗️38,800–39,200 is the immediate resistance zone to clear
📉 Macro trend remains bearish unless bulls reclaim 40,000+
🔻 Below 38,000, bears may regain control and retest 37,300 → 36,743
🧭 Bias:
Neutral-Bearish in the macro view
Bullish short-term if price holds above 38,400 and breaks 38,800 cleanly
📌 Levels to Watch:
Support: 38,400 / 37,300 / 36,743
Resistance: 38,800 / 39,200 / 40,000
🧠 Summary:
This bounce looks strong, but it's still a relief rally within a bearish structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above 39,200 to flip the narrative. Until then, treat rallies with caution and keep an eye on momentum shifts at resistance.
UPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJIUPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJI
Here is a revised analysis compared to the one from January this year. In that earlier analysis, I was still anticipating a sharp drop to 6,500 points. However, it now seems that the 6,500 level will not be reached. I do expect the DJI to decline to 17,000 points through an ABCDE structure. This structure could potentially take 15 to 20 years to unfold.
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 37,575.10
1st Support: 36,424.90
1st Resistance: 39,614.90
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DOW JONES Will the 1week MA200 save the day?Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded.
Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022.
The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market.
The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom.
As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023.
Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High.
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Intraday entry 1Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself.
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US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37,395.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 MELTDOWN! – 07/04/25🔥 US30 MELTDOWN! – April 7, 2025 🔥
📉 Historic Drop: Dow Jones tanks nearly 3,000 points in just days, crashing through all major support levels!
📉 Low Tagged: Price wicked into the 36,743 support zone before catching a small bounce.
🧠 What’s Happening?
This looks like panic selling—likely triggered by macroeconomic data or unexpected news. Volume is up, and structure is clearly broken.
Just In: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip 1,300 PointsOverview
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the DJIA or simply the Dow, is a market index frequently used to gauge the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. Indexes like the DJIA track the prices of a group of securities.
The Consumer index saw a downtick of 1300 points representing a 5.5% dip. This was days after Donald Trump declared a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading allies.
Tariffs Concern
The US stocks are poised to continue their bloodbath as futures signaled more fear over President Donald Trump's tariffs. Administration officials and Trump himself signaled on Sunday that they won't back down from their aggressive decisions. Meanwhile, an inflation report is due later this week as well as bank earnings.
Wall Street remained in fear mode over President Donald Trump's tariffs on Sunday evening as futures pointed to more steep losses.
The S&P 500 futures also sank 3.9% and Nasdaq futures dived 4.9%. That follows a devastating week that saw the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Similarly, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.906%, and US crude oil prices fell 3.7% to $59.72 a barrel.
Countries affected by the tariff rates are:
China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
In an X post on Sunday, Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers cautioned, saying there's a very good chance of more market turbulence similar to what was seen on Thursday and Friday.
Those sessions represented the fourth largest two-day drop in the last 85 years, Summer said. The selloff wiped out about $6 trillion in market cap.
“A drop of this magnitude signals that there’s likely to be trouble ahead, and people ought to be very cautious,” Summers wrote.
Meanwhile, Trump administration and the president himself defended the tariffs.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, the The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip index point is down 5.5% trading in tandem with the support point that aligns with the 38,000 points. On a bearish case scenario, a break below this axis could be canning for the stock market as it will lead to panic selling in the industries concerned.
Similarly, should the bulls manage to thrust the DJI points up to the 42,000 points, we should experience a respite from the bears and possibly increased momentum might sent the stocks soaring higher. With the RSI at 23, this is hinting to a weak momentum with more downside ahead.
Dow Jones - Pivotal moment for the bulls and bears!The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently approaching a critical juncture, as it risks breaking below and staying under the neckline of a potential double top pattern. A double top formation is typically a bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal after the price tests a key resistance level twice, failing to break higher. The neckline, which forms the base of this pattern, is the level that traders will be watching closely to determine the strength of this bearish signal.
If the Dow breaks below and stays under the neckline, it could trigger further downside momentum as liquidity is swept from the market. However, it's essential to note that this initial breakdown could just be a "liquidity sweep," a move designed to trigger stop-loss orders and shake out weaker hands. For the Dow to maintain its bullish potential, it must quickly recover and hold above the neckline after this sweep. If it can do so, the market may find stability and begin to look for higher prices again, as the double top formation would then be invalidated, and a more bullish outlook could emerge.
In summary, while the Dow Jones is at a pivotal moment, the key to higher prices will be whether it can hold above the neckline after sweeping liquidity. A failure to do so could signal further downside, but a strong recovery above the neckline would leave the door open for a potential rally.
For now the Dow jones swept the liquidity under the neckline. However, it needs a quick recovery to maintain and find support on the neckline again. The risk that it now faces is the resistance of the 50, 100 and 200-day MA. Staying above the neckline and reclaiming these MA could be a massive bullish signal on the Dow Jones.
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