Dow Jones - Potential short coming upDow Jones approaching a shorting zone
We have an ABC pattern
Within the B wave we have another ABC
We smashed down and are now crawling up, so looking for another short
US30 trade ideas
Is It Over?Today's red Doji candle at the underside of the downtrend line is a high potential short entry point if not already. Despite the rally the past week or so, it is far from convincing...no real conviction to buy this market and who can blame them.
The current wave 2 bounce will be followed by wave 3 down as the most likely scenario, or we are in a wave 4 to be followed by a wave 5 to complete, any firm close below the lows gives us our answer.
Gold is selling off, our $3400 target was met and reversed in a now wave 4 down, this may approach the $3160 area, or a sideways move before another strong wave 5 up.
This is a great opportunity to accumulate physical metals to protect yourself from the coming reset.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading and God Bless you all!
US30 Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle – Bullish Targets EyedUS30 (Dow Jones) has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is occurring after a strong recovery from April lows, with higher lows supporting upward price pressure.
🔹 Chart Structure:
Symmetrical triangle with a clean breakout above descending resistance.
Series of higher lows indicating accumulation.
Bullish breakout confirmed with price pushing above the 40,580 zone.
🔑 Key Levels:
Current Price: 40,586
Breakout Confirmation Level: 40,580
Immediate Resistance/TP1: 42,762
Major Resistance/TP2: 43,924
Support Zone: 38,950
Invalidation/Stop Level: Below 38,950
✅ Bullish Confluence Factors:
Breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern
Higher lows indicate bullish strength and accumulation
Momentum shift visible on lower timeframes
Positive correlation with improving US equity market sentiment
Anticipation of dovish Fed tone could boost equities
🧠 Fundamental Context:
Market is cautiously optimistic ahead of FOMC this week; dovish stance expected due to recent soft economic indicators.
Earnings season tailwinds and lower bond yields support index gains.
Ongoing political and tariff-related headlines may cause volatility, but technical breakout remains in focus.
💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Entry: On successful retest of 40,580 or continuation above 40,600
TP1: 42,762
TP2: 43,924
Stop Loss: Below 38,950
📌 Note: Watch for pullbacks to triangle resistance-turned-support. FOMC and US macro data releases midweek can impact momentum.
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence:
Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700).
• MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels — possible trend reversal.
• RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming.
15-Min Chart:
• Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average.
• MACD crossing positive territory.
• RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels.
3-Min Chart:
• Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 — forming a potential bull flag.
• RSI at 58.89 — mid-level with upward momentum potential.
• MACD histogram shrinking — possible continuation breakout imminent.
⸻
Fundamental Context:
• Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning.
• Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key — bullish bias if they hold or soften tone.
⸻
Trade Details:
• Entry: 40,770
• Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation.
• Stop Loss (SL): 40,350
• Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind.
• Take Profit (TP): 41,450
• Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Potential declineDow Jones is currently struggling to reach 40,872. The index has been rising slowly daily, but the bullish move might decline if it cannot surpass the 40,872 barrier. The bearish move will be fulfilled if price action manages to remain under 40,800, stabilise below the 40,232 and 40,000. This is because of breaking out of the bullish trend and remaining outside and under the mentioned barriers, which will spearhead the likelihood of a downward trajectory.
The potential fall may target 39200 and 38900, which may also lead to the development of the right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulder pattern, potentially for a bullish rise. However, if price action fails to go down and also stabilises above the 40872, the index will likely continue rising into the 41,000 and 42,000s.
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 40360
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 40130
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40420
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 39870
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 39900 – Major support / Key level
➗ 40300 : 40400 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 40200 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 40550 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 40200 – Equal lows
• 40420 – Equal highs
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
BUY US30 nowWe’re seeing a potential breakout and retest setup forming on the US30, with clear market structure and volume confirmation.
🔹 Range Formation
Price recently consolidated in a defined range between ~40,230 and ~40,400. This range was respected multiple times, showing strong participation from both buyers and sellers.
🔹 Volume Profile Insight
The Point of Control (POC) — marked by the red horizontal line — sits just below the current price level. This is the price area where the highest volume was traded, indicating strong interest and potential future support.
🔹 Trade Idea
A bullish breakout was initiated above the range, targeting the 40,683.64 zone:
Entry: Just above the range high
POC (Support zone): Around 40,231
Stop Loss: Below the POC (~40,141)
Take Profit: Next major resistance (~40,683)
🔹 Current Behavior
Price is now retesting the POC — a critical moment. If it holds, we could see another push higher. A clean breakdown below the POC would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest sellers are gaining control.
🧠 Key Watch Levels:
Hold of POC = potential long continuation
Break below 40,141 = reevaluate bias
🎯 Reminder: Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let price confirm your thesis before acting.
DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
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US30 – Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action
The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle — a potential signal that bulls are losing control.
Technical Outlook:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 – 41,020
Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger
Demand Target Zone: 39,938 – 40,000 (orange block)
Observations:
Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone
A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance
Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon)
Trade Idea (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 40,486
Target: 39,938
Stop Loss: Above 41,020
Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level.
Invalidation:
If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table.
Fundamental Alert:
US data/events may trigger volatility soon — watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below!
Like & follow for more clean price action setups!
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
Potential Formation of a Triangle Pattern ObservedOn the daily timeframe, the Dow Jones movement currently presents two possible scenarios.
Under the black label, there is a potential formation of a triangle pattern, suggesting that the Dow Jones may enter a prolonged consolidation phase to complete wave B, with an expected range between 38,200 and 40,400.
However, under the red label (alternative scenario), a bearish triangle could be forming as part of wave X.
US30 – Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction.
Chart Breakdown:
Supply Zone: 41,000 – 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction).
Current Price: 41,089
First Support: 40,971 – the last breakout zone.
Next Support: 39,703 – major structure break level.
Demand Zone: 38,735 – 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node).
Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum.
Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues.
Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs.
Upcoming Volatility Alert:
Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) – could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert!
Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management.
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Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
DowJones INTRADAY at pivotal zone Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
US30 Trading Into Major Resistance - Look For Dow Jones Retrace🔍 US30 Analysis: At the moment, I'm watching the US30 as it looks overextended 📈 and is trading into previous highs. 🧱 If you look left on the chart, it's approaching a key resistance level on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
I’m expecting a potential retracement 🔁 and monitoring for a bearish break of structure on the 30-minute timeframe ⏱️ as a possible setup for a counter-trend short 📉 — aiming for the imbalance zone visible on that timeframe.
📏 Drawing a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high, the 50% equilibrium 🔄 lines up perfectly with the imbalance area, adding confluence to the idea.
📚 This is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice 💼.
DJIA H4 | Pullback resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe DJIA (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 41,305.11 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,743.85 which is a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 39,324.35 which is an overlap support.
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US30 – Chop or Fakeout?🔴 US30 – Chop or Fakeout? 🔴
May 2, 2025 – 1H Chart Update
After the bullish breakout above 40,700 yesterday, US30 surged to 41,051, but we’re now seeing price stalling just under that level, forming a potential double top or distribution pattern ⚠️
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🧱 Price rejected at ~41,050 (previous swing high zone)
📉 Small pullback forming after strong bullish leg
📍 Key short-term support still at 40,700
🧠 Market could be consolidating post-FOMC run or prepping for a deeper pullback
🎯 What to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Setup:
✅ Needs a 1H candle close above 41,050
🎯 Target: 42,000 → 42,359 resistance zone
Bearish Scenario:
🔻 Break below 40,700 flips structure short
🎯 Downside targets: 40,260 → 39,775
Neutral Bias If:
Price consolidates between 40,700 – 41,050 = no clear trend → stay flat
US30: Potential Bullish BreakoutUS30: Potential Bullish Breakout
US30 hit a low of 36,500 on April 7th. Since then, the price has been climbing steadily, forming a triangle pattern.
While a breakout could happen in either direction, I’m focusing on the bullish potential.
If US30 breaks above the triangle pattern, a strong upward wave could follow, possibly pushing the price toward 44,000.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
A deeper pullback will occur soon!Hello, traders
Based on the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, there appears to be a significant probability of a deeper correction from the current resistance levels. The index has formed what looks like a double top pattern near the 40,400 level, with notable resistance zones highlighted in blue on the chart. After recovering from the early April selloff that took the index down to around 36,600, the Dow has been unable to reclaim previous highs, instead facing rejection at these resistance levels. This price behavior, combined with the technical setup shown on the chart, indicates that we could see a more substantial pullback in the coming sessions if these resistance levels continue to hold.
US30 - Signs Point to Deeper Correction AheadBased on the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, there appears to be a significant probability of a deeper correction from the current resistance levels. The index has formed what looks like a double top pattern near the 40,400 level, with notable resistance zones highlighted in blue on the chart. After recovering from the early April selloff that took the index down to around 36,600, the Dow has been unable to reclaim previous highs, instead facing rejection at these resistance levels. This price behavior, combined with the technical setup shown on the chart, indicates that we could see a more substantial pullback in the coming sessions if these resistance levels continue to hold.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart (Macro View)
• Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000.
• MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence.
• RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal.
• Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000.
15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone)
• Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000.
• MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero.
• RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
• White MA shows clear upward curvature.
3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry)
• Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced.
• RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend.
• MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation.
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Fundamental Context
• Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices.
• Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps.
• Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities.
• Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding.
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Trade Setup
• Position: Long US30
Entry
• Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum)
Stop Loss (SL)
• SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level)
Take Profit (TP)
• TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
