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US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350. A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900 PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30: Bearish Momentum with CPI-Driven VolatilityTechnical Analysis The price dropped about more than 500 points as we mentioned previously, and is still under bearish momentum because already broken the bearish correction which is 44410. So as long as trade is below 44270 and 44410 it will drop to touch 43900, on the other hand, we have a CPI effect Today that will be expected with more than the previous result, in this case, will support the bearish movement for indices, especially realizing more than 2.7%. due to the high volatility, we have a bullish correction till 44300 or 44410. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44410, 44590, 44750 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43490 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 indicating a bullish move. Look for the Bulls TodayUS30 has finally broken the downward trend above the 43500 support line. The US30 gave us an evening star pattern off of the trend line and support area at 43500. This was an indication to go Long. If you are in a short, you will likely have to wait for a pull back to get out of your trade or you can close in a small loss. If you are in a long. Hold it. This may be US30 returning back to 44500 at least. Good Luck to you traders. Comment below for questions and don't forget to boost this if you like the analysis.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by leslyjeanbaptiste
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out. Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red) The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range. Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend. The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April. The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction. October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure. The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level. We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December. However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0) See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
DJ:DJILong
by Sublime_Trading
Dow Jones ready to go upAnalysts suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for buying the Dow Jones, focusing on sectors showing resilience, such as technology and healthcare. A bullish case relies on sustained support at key technical levels and easing inflation concerns. It’s vital to monitor Federal Reserve signals, as dovish guidance could provide further momentum. Stay alert for any pullback opportunities to align with broader market sentiment. Always consider risk management
OANDA:US30USDLong
by iraza
1
Why is Dow Jones on a losing streak?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (Ticker AT: USAIND) recently experienced its longest negative streak since 2018, racking up eight consecutive sessions of declines. This downtrend began on December 4, when the index closed above 45,000 points for the first time in history. Since then, it has shown a downward trend, reflecting the volatility and fluctuations of the market in the current period. During this period, the DJIA has shown a downward trend, while other indexes such as the Nasdaq have experienced increases, reaching new all-time highs. For example, the Nasdaq rose 1.24% and closed at new all-time highs, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.38%. However, these positive closes were the result of the strong performance of a few stocks, such as Alphabet, Apple and Tesla, which set new all-time highs. The recent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is due to several factors that have generated uncertainty in the markets. Here are the main reasons behind this behavior: 1. Interest Rate Concerns 2. • The persistence of high interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to combat inflation continues to negatively affect sensitive sectors, such as real estate and industrials. • Investors fear that these rates could be prolonged, limiting economic growth. 2.Recession Fears • Mixed economic data, such as a slowdown in consumer spending and industrial production, have fueled concerns about a possible recession in 2024. • Although the labor market remains strong, other indicators, such as the manufacturing index, reflect weakness. 3. Impact of the Industrial Sector • Given that the DJIA is largely comprised of industrial and consumer goods companies, any weakness in these sectors directly impacts its performance. • Key companies in the index, such as Boeing and Caterpillar, have suffered setbacks due to global uncertainty. 4. Strength of the dollar • The strengthening of the dollar against other currencies negatively affects DJIA companies with high international exposure, reducing the competitiveness of their products abroad. 5. Rotation to Other Indices • Investors are favoring indices more exposed to the technology sector, such as the Nasdaq, which has had a positive performance thanks to the momentum of artificial intelligence and other technological advances. 6. Geopolitical Tensions • Uncertainties in the Middle East, as well as trade tensions between the U.S. and China, have increased risk aversion, especially affecting global companies in the DJIA. On the technical side, the index has had several bearish days that are reaching its last support zone near 43,300 points. If this zone is pierced, it could evolve towards the checkpoint near 42,100 points. On the other hand, the index is currently oversold at 41.72% and its mid-range crosses do not indicate a change in direction. If we look at the MACD if there has been a turn of the trend of the average of 12 crossing below the average of 26, which shows that in the short term this situation does not seem to have changed. It is important to note that the DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that higher-priced stocks have a more significant impact on its movement. Therefore, fluctuations in the prices of high-value stocks can significantly influence the index's performance. For investors and analysts, this negative streak in the DJIA underscores the importance of monitoring market trends and considering factors such as index composition, global economic conditions and monetary policies that can influence stock index performance. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USAIND
by ActivTrades
US30 Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US30. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 43,616.98. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,408.72 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by SignalProvider
1
US30 Maybe Rallying for a reversal to begin a Bullish TrendUS30 rejected the 43300 support and is now above the weaker support of 43500. For potential longs, look for price to retest the upper support of 43500 for a buy opportunity or for price to indicate a buy but to wick out on the trend line only to fall again. For shorts look for price to fall bellow the current support line and retest it or for price to retest the upper area of the trend line. Make sure to send me any comments or questions>
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
1
US30 Short Idea based on monthly-minute breakdownAfter thorough breakdown i see US30 diverging in the weekly & hourly TF, after that I measured the daily-weekly moving average and concluded that it has finished the average pip movement before usual daily retracements. So after deciding it will be bearish I’m looking for a bullish retracement in the 1min-15 min TF to the 45100 area where I’ll be looking to place my SELLS. TP targets have been set from TP1-TP6 (Make sure to set to break even after TP1 hits if deciding to swing trade). Bulls usually control December so I did mark up the possible bullish scenarios from the 1st 4 TPs. Let’s see if US30 can FEED US !!
THINKMARKETS:US30Short
by jcatchinpips
US30 Bearish To Bullish Play for the WeekAfter following US30 on the way down through a beautiful 1hr-4hr TL we might finally be getting to our final target 43,550. Will look for a slight move to the upside touching the sell limit which will then propel back down for another bearish move, after reaching 43,550 I expect sideways movement consolidating for a couple days/weeks hopefully giving us a clear view for a bullish set up in the process. I expect a Major move back up potentially creating new highs into 2025. 43,550 is the end of the daily average move and it will meet with a weekly trendline as it hits the weekly support zone. Let’s see if the streak on US30 continues.. May the markets be w us..! P.s only way I would switch my bearish outlook is if we break through 44,150 following a break through 44,300 into full bullish territory
THINKMARKETS:US30
by jcatchinpips
US30 painting a beautiful downtrendUS30 Technical Analysis Report December 16, 2024 Current Market Overview The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently displaying a significant bearish bias, with multiple timeframe analysis supporting a continuation of the downward momentum. Current price: 43,886 Technical Analysis by Timeframe Daily Timeframe (HTF) Confirmed bearish market structure break at 44,392 (December 10, 2024) Overall Higher Timeframe trend remains bearish This break serves as a key reference point for the current bearish momentum 4-Hour Timeframe (H4) Clear downtrend pattern formation Current price action showing retracement to sweep buy/sell liquidity zones Price action respecting the downward trendline range Suggested entry level identified at 43,809 1-Hour Timeframe (H1) Key resistance level identified at 44,058 Potential for temporary trend interruption if this level is breached Currently operating within Asian session range boundaries Key Trading Levels Entry Target: 43,809 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 43,345 Extended Target (TP2): 42,890 (conditional on market alignment) Key Resistance: 44,058 Previous Structure Break: 44,392 Volume Analysis Current phase: Asian session (characterized by lower volume) Critical observation period: New York session open Anticipating increased volume and potential trend confirmation during NY hours Risk Management Considerations Primary trend remains bearish Watch for potential temporary reversals at 44,058 Monitor NY session volume for trade confirmation Consider partial position closure at TP1 (43,345) Trading Session Context Currently in Asian trading hours Key decision point expected at NY session open Volume expected to increase significantly during NY hours, providing better trade execution opportunities Trade Strategy Summary The overall strategy aligns with the bearish bias across multiple timeframes. Entry opportunities are being monitored at 43,809, with a structured approach to take profit levels. The New York session will be crucial for volume confirmation of the anticipated moves. Note: This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All traders should conduct their own research and risk assessment before entering any positions.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by FXCapitalClub
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ? Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978. Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 % (which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post) traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned. With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow, the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't THE_UNWIND 12/17/24 Woods of Connecticut
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
US30 Intra-Week Analysis DEC 17th 2024US30 continued to make its way down to the 43400 Key Level after retracing from the new All-Time-High and supporting the FUD from an increase in interested rates. From this price point we can expect a decrease in volume resulting in consolidation as we approach Christmas and the new year. If we see a break above 43800 that will help support potential buys back to ATHs otherwise look out for a break below 43250 meaning selling momentum is still there.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Itskaleel
Dow Jones Long & ShortDow Jones MTF Analysis Dow JonesYearly Demand 37779 Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 40077 Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40077 Dow JonesMonthly Demand 43325 Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42491 Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 43381 ENTRY -1 Long 43381 SL 42938 RISK 443 Target as per Entry 44800 Target Points 1,419 If Price Reverse from current level then 44800 Is the First Target Expecting Correction at 44800 ENTRY -2 Short 44800 SL 45073 RISK 273 Target as per Entry 42500 Target Points 2,300
TVC:DJILong
by pradyammm
US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support. Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by KAYCEEFX1
US30 Completed a Stop Loss Hunt twice overnight to fall againUS30 completed two market sweeps to gain liquidity which is a good indication that price is most likely closer to its reversal point. Market makers swept stop losses and buy stop orders at 43700 and 43800 last night only to push price lower. As I mentioned over the last week. Price is likely to go all the way to 43300 at which it will likely begin to reverse. Before it reverses, expect there to be a time of consolidation. Wait for the breakout and retest before deciding to take along trade. While in consolidation look for the range low and range high to set your intraday trades for smaller profits.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
1
The Mystery Of The Dow Index..Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar. Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages while the SPY/SPX remains near ATHs? This divergence is creating the DJI trend trade but the fundamentals behind it need to be understood. Both indices should be behaving similarly as they have for quite a while now but the recent divergence has to be due to a combination of risk factors which are just now aligning that way. Sector composition is different, right? S&P is heavy tech and growth while DJI is traditional large caps. But they should react the same way to the sentiment environment and FED cut expectations so what gives? Maybe it is just tech. Tech is booming again with AI so it stands to reason that the S&P would hold an edge. Still, the environment is the same for traditional stocks and even if there should be a difference in gains, there surely shouldn't be a 100% divergence? Maybe it is investor sentiment? Markets are all in on AI while traditional stocks are seeing pre holiday profit taking? Could be. Is the December H2 Santa rally around the corner and the DJI dip buy is in play? That's a lot of speculation for such a divergence. Then we come to macro and this is where I think things begin to look different. Inflation has been coming in hot. But so has some other macro, macro that favours growth - and the FED cuts do to - so the S&P strength is probably warranted. The DJI is not so much about growth and probably more sensitive to inflationary pressures. I think that the inflation prints coming in hot may have been brushed off by the S&P and broader market, including the FED... but not by interest rate sensitive sectors of the DJI.
BLACKBULL:US30
by WillSebastian
4-hr US30: Can We See a 2000 points Christmas Rally Following the US elections, the Dow Jones surged by an impressive 3300 points in a massive bull rally, generating significant returns. However, a correction is underway as early buyers begin to take profits. We anticipate the US30 could dip another 250 points to retest the critical 50% Fibonacci level. This expectation is supported by the emergence of a Death Cross, a classic bearish signal, indicating strong downward momentum. If the 43,300 zone holds as support, there’s potential for a 2000-point Christmas rally. Buyers looking to capitalize on the broader uptrend might need to exercise patience, waiting for lower entry points to achieve a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This pullback could present an opportunity for strategic positioning in anticipation of the next rally.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Trendsharks
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 43,318.65 1st Support: 42,643.34 1st Resistance: 44,526.39 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets