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NAS100 trade ideas

US Nas 100 _ Quarter 4 _ Distribution _ Prices: US Nas 100 _ Quarter 4 _ Distribution _ Prices: Trading Venue: OANDA It will go to the following fake prices first: $20,720.5 $20,792.8 $20,810.7 $20,824.3 ( Then will drop to $20,159.7) , ( Unless support is confirmed above $20,880 there is no way it will go higher! ____________________- Once the Retest is done correctly the next distribution price will be: ____________________________ Next Price = $21,075.7 $21,458.4 $21,743.4
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct
Unlocking the Myth of Price Action: A Strategic PerspectiveThe Market’s Telltale Signs: History shows that when markets experience sharp moves—either a dramatic drop or an explosive rally—pullbacks often follow. These pullbacks are driven by strong follow-through candles that signal renewed interest and participation from market players. Such formations act as the market’s way of hinting at a potential reversal or retracement. The Current Scenario: Right now, the price action is falling short of these historical signals. The market has yet to produce the kind of decisive, bullish candle that would suggest a meaningful reversal. The recent candles lack strength, structure, and conviction, leaving the prevailing trend intact. Why It Matters: In trading, patience is a superpower. Jumping into the market without confirmation from strong signals can be costly. At this point, staying on the bearish side is the smarter move. Let the market speak—wait for that bold, unmistakable bullish candle to confirm the tide is turning before considering a shift in strategy. On the Flip Side: However, if the bulls do take charge, we could witness a substantial upside movement. A strong, decisive bullish move would signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a significant rally. This could present an excellent opportunity for those ready to ride the bullish wave when it materializes. The Bottom Line: Stay aligned with the bearish trend for now, but remain vigilant. A strong bullish candle could unlock a major upside, so keep an eye on the market for any signs of a shift. The key is to let the price action confirm the next move before committing to a new direction!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
NAS100 - The Great Pie In The Sky?20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Price still holding below 20967... Anything is possible this time of year. A ton of compressed data releases today, be safe! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
UShort
by ANROC
NASDAQ targeting 25400 in the next 6 months. Don't miss this!!Nasdaq (NDX) hit this month our 20900 long-term Target, a level we called 3 months ago (August 12, see chart below): As you can see, the index has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can determine on which phase of the Cycle we are. Right now we are on the stage where the price has been rejected near the 0.786 Fib and pulled-back to the 0.5 Fib and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is exactly what took place from December 28 2023 to January 05 2024, i.e. during the previous Bullish Phase of the Channel. You can see that with the use of the Time Cycles, we can identify that the first such phase was on February 01 2023. This is the phase that we've just completed and remarkably all 3 within the Channel Up completed a +20.88% rise. This further proves that the symmetry within this pattern is astounding. The larger Bullish Leg was completed on the previous two phases with a +49% and +48% rise respectively, so technically it is natural to assume that the current Bullish Phase (from the August 05 2024 bottom) will be completed on a +47% rise (-1% less than previously) at least. This is why we're expecting to see 25400 as the next Higher High on a 6 month horizon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
NAS100USD Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 20,544.9. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 20,006.6 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SignalProvider
2
Nas100 Bearish IdeaOnly going off of what information the chart has showed and in no way trying to predict anything. This week I'm bearish on Nas100 looking for it to retest the new resistance that was once support to see if it will hold. If price can stay under that resistance I will be looking to enter a trade at that level and targeting previous support. I try to keep trading simple by letting the charts show me the levels they want to go to and me reacting. Any feedback is appreciated :)
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by pippenjr
4
Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The Nasdaq ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: 1. FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. 2. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: - Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. - Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
NAS100 - Nasdaq will stabilize above 21 anytime?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the specified supply zone, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions to target the bottom of the ascending channel. Nasdaq buying positions will be at the bottom of the channel and the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement The housing sector was in the spotlight last week. The market has regained attention following an unexpected surge in mortgage rates, which have risen by nearly 75 basis points since the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut during its September meeting. According to Freddie Mac, the average rate for 30-year mortgages climbed to 6.8% in the week ending November 21, offsetting much of the reductions seen in August and September. Existing home sales increased by 3.4% in October, breaking a two-month decline. However, it’s important to note that October’s data largely reflects homebuying activity from late September, a period when mortgage rates were trending downward. Despite this rise, the annualized sales rate of 3.96 million units in October remains sluggish. By comparison, the 2021 average was about 6.1 million units, with current declines largely attributed to higher yields on mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Consumers remain relatively resilient, continuing to spend at a strong pace. October’s retail sales data exceeded expectations with a 0.4% increase, supported by upward revisions to previous figures. This trend indicates that households are entering the holiday season under favorable economic conditions. In the upcoming week, durable goods orders data is anticipated. This segment, particularly aircraft orders, has experienced significant volatility in recent months. Challenges in the aviation industry are among the main reasons for this instability. While strikes may have impacted production last month, Boeing data reveals that only 63 new aircraft orders were placed in October, roughly matching the prior month’s figure. As a result, conditions in October are expected to have stabilized somewhat. Overall, demand appears to be leveling out, yet uncertainties regarding corporate investment spending persist. Although borrowing costs and interest rates have been decreasing, the extent and intensity of these declines remain uncertain. Federal Reserve officials have recently acknowledged that, due to strong economic data and sticky inflation, rate cuts in the coming months are likely to proceed gradually and at a slower pace. Additionally, even though U.S. elections have concluded, it is still unclear which policies, particularly tariffs, will be implemented. This week, several regional indicators—such as the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index—will be released. Monitoring these data points could provide a clearer picture of the U.S. economy’s health and serve as leading indicators for assessing upcoming economic releases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that both headline and core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) indexes are expected to rise from 2.1% to 2.3% and from 2.7% to 2.8%, respectively, in October. If these projections materialize, the Fed may still proceed with a rate cut in December. Should the PCE report fail to offer clear guidance on the Fed’s next move, investors will turn their attention to the minutes from the November monetary policy meeting, which will be released on the same day. Additionally, other critical data, such as personal income and spending, durable goods orders, and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth, will be published on Wednesday. According to CME data, market participants estimate a 56% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in the upcoming Fed meeting on December 18, while a 44% chance of holding rates steady is also considered. These probabilities could shift with the release of more data ahead of the meeting. Furthermore, the minutes from the November FOMC meeting are also expected this week.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Towards 20890 but what will happen after?!The index retraced to upside once it went down top the daily uptrend line in purple, and is on the way to hit 20890 or a bit more but I would say the safe side is at that level. But what will happen after, I can not predict it as of two reasons, first we are still on pre market time, second, that I can not predict how the investors will react to the Nvidia earnings and revenue report which will be announced tonight, which I expect it will come so positive due to their new smart fast chip! but sometimes the report could be so positive but reaction could be negative though and some other times reaction could be so bullish! third, because I can not tell now if the index will retrace back to the purple daily uptrend and break it down or break the red downtrend line above and settle on then will push up harder to try to retest the weekly top downtrend line! So that day could be so volatile at market opening or one hour after and especially on the second day opening as you could see a daily gap due to the power of that report and how a heavy value stock could influence all AI sector. Good luck all Note! also worth to say that the bullish harami pattern which happened at the purple uptrend line followed by a green candle spinning top are also great support to push Nasdaq to 20890 and they acted as trend reversal. so my target is the high of the last daily bearish candle. but then i will see what could happen at another trade. My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
NLong
by moustafa_marei