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DXY topped on the 1-year Channel Down. Strong downside potentialThe U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the October 03 2023 High (13 months) and yesterday got the first red 1D candle after almost touching the pattern's top (Lower Highs trend-line) the day before. As the 1D RSI has dropped significantly after being overbought 2 weeks ago, this is a very similar top formation to the Highs of April 16 2024 and October 03 2023. As a result this is the earliest possible sell entry we can take to target long-term the new Lower Low of the Channel Down. The previous two Bearish Legs priced their Lows after roughly a -6.00% to -6.25% decline, just above the 1.1 Fibonacci extension. As a result, our Target is 99.800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYShort
by TradingShot
How the U.S. Election Outcome Could Shape DXY's pathHey Traders! In today’s trading session, we’re closely watching the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.800 zone. Recently, DXY has been trending downward but managed to break out of that downtrend, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Right now, it’s in a corrective phase and approaching the retracement level near the 102.800 support and resistance zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Election Impact on the Dollar Today’s election could significantly impact the U.S. dollar, with the outcome likely to shape future economic policies. Here’s how each candidate’s policies might influence DXY: If Trump Wins: A Trump victory is expected to strengthen the dollar. Here’s why: Higher Inflation and Interest Rates: Trump’s policies, including potential tariffs and stricter immigration, are seen as inflationary. Tariffs can increase the cost of imported goods, while reduced immigration may create labor shortages, both driving inflation higher. Federal Reserve’s Stance: Higher inflation would prompt the Fed to reconsider future rate cuts and possibly lean toward raising rates to control inflation. Higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive, as investors seek better returns. Tax Cuts and Economic Boost: Trump’s proposed tax cuts are likely to stimulate economic growth in the short term. A booming economy typically supports a stronger dollar as investors favor a robust market. In this scenario, DXY would likely respond positively, and we could see a strong upward movement. If Harris Wins: On the other hand, a Harris victory could weaken the dollar due to different policy priorities: Lower Inflation and More Fed Flexibility: Harris’s policies are expected to focus more on economic support, potentially through spending programs and fewer tariffs. Lower inflationary pressure gives the Fed more room to keep rates low or even consider cuts. Market Reaction: Investors may anticipate a slower economic rebound, favoring a weaker dollar, as demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar could decrease. Your vote is very important! Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
1
Dollar can still go up to 105 levels, before it ...makes any significant pullback. US elections will have very volatile effect on USD and all currencies and actually all the markets. Its great opportunity to earn but also to loose money, be careful. I will be taking trades only if it will A++ setups. You are very welcome to comment with your thoughts, share your charts or questions about COT or how I came to this setup. Just comment below, I like any constructive discussion. If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart. Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution - No liquidity raid = No trade - Never buy high and never sell low “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
TVC:DXY
by Dave-Hunter
8
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.033. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.770 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
2
Elliott Wave View Looking for Dollar Index (DXY) to Rollover to Short Term Elliott Wave View on Dollar Index (DXY) suggests that rally to 104.63 ended wave ((4)). This completed cycle from 9.27.2024 low and the Index should either resume lower in wave ((5)) or pullback in 3 waves at least. The Index has started to turn lower and we are calling the move lower from wave ((4)) high as a diagonal 5 waves. Down from wave ((4)), wave (i) ended at 103.98 and wave (ii) ended at 104.43. Wave (iii) lower ended at 103.82, wave (iv) ended at 104.19, and wave (v) lower ended at 103.68. This completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 104.35. Index resumed lower in wave ((iii)) towards 103.63 and wave ((iv)) ended at 103.83. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 103.57 which completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 rally is in progress with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) is expected to end soon, then it should pullback in wave ((b)), before the Index rallies higher again in wave ((c)). This will complete wave 2 in higher degree before the Index resumes lower. As far as pivot at 104.63 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
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by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 105.42 1st Support: 104.65 1st Resistance: 106.13 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ? H4 08.11.2024💸 Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ⁉️ Looking back to 2016 when Trump first became US President, the dollar index initially reacted with a sharp rise and then a prolonged fall. I wonder if history will repeat itself again or if the market will take his second presidency more calmly in the distance. DXY formed a sellers' zone at 104.80-105.16, but the far resistance zone at 106 remains intact. It's not a sure thing that it will get there, but I keep the option in my head just in case. The priority for me is to fall from the nearest sellers' zone with the targets of 103.30 and lower to 102.30. I will specify in the process. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by KovachTrader