GOS trade ideas
Short on #GSAfter a triple top pattern, the stock did unexpected pullback. This caused negative divergence with Stochastic oscillator and it is confirmed by MACD.
The support and resistance are set to buy Fibonacci retracement & Fibonacci projection.
.80% exit on 0.786
.20% on 1
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Always do your own analysis before entering a trade.
Stock of the Week: Goldman Sachs Group (GS)Local Breakout after Bullish Behaviour Suggests Further Advance
WYCKOFF STORY
Upsloping price structure of higher highs and higher lows suggests accumulation that happens on diminished supply signature.
Last bar acts as a local breakout which is confirmed by increased demand signature.
Up trending OBV suggests that institutions are actively getting into this position. Relative Strength is improving.
Trading Target $180 Count Line + (21 boxes * 3 reversal * $2 box size)= $306
Pattern Confirmation Continuation of rally above $230
Pattern Failure Close below $190
GS shortThe daily candle for today rejected at a previous resistance. We also see the lagging span reject the same area as last time.
The previous two times when the price closed under the $219.25 price level, it continued downwards.
I am planning to short until $215.72-ish, which is where I will be watchful waiting since I expect a bit of resistance there. It is still possible for GS to continue its upward trend, which I will be watching for carefully.
Goldman Sacks warns that buybacks are ‘plummeting,’Goldman warns that buybacks are ‘plummeting,’ ending a big source of buying power for the market
Corporate buybacks are “plummeting” as companies tighten their purse strings, and it could have a big impact on the market, Goldman Sachs warned in a note to clients.
In the second quarter, S&P 500 share buybacks totaled $161 billion, about 18% less than the first quarter, the firm found. The amount spent on buybacks this year is down 17% from a year earlier, although it is on track to be the second highest total on record, Goldman said.
The firm anticipates that this trend will continue, saying “early indications suggest second-quarter weakness in buybacks may persist.”
For 2019, total buybacks will drop 15% to $710 billion, and in 2020 they see a 5% decline to $675 billion, the firm predicted.
Share repurchases have been a key element during this bull market, the longest on record. By repurchasing shares, a company reduces the number of shares outstanding. It can have the effect of boosting the stock price and lifts earnings per share figures.
It’s a frequent, but not always popular, move for companies. Some argue that instead of using buybacks, companies should invest more in capital investments. And Washington is taking note. The House Financial Services Committee, for instance, is looking at ways to reform buyback spending laws.
All spending is slowing
The slowdown in buybacks is part of a larger trend of spending cuts, Goldman found, as trade uncertainty and stalling global growth weigh on the market.
Total cash spending fell by 4% year over year in the first half of the year, according to the firm. It anticipates cash spending for the entire year will decline by 6%, making it the sharpest yearly decline since 2009.
During the third quarter “CEO confidence plummeted to the lowest level since the Global Financial Crisis,” Goldman said. It cited a recent study from Duke University that found a majority of CFOs expect the U.S. will be in a recession within the next year.
“Companies spend less cash when policy uncertainty is high. During August, global economic policy uncertainty registered the highest level in at least 20 years. Historically, growth in aggregate S&P 500 cash spending has been weaker during periods of high policy uncertainty. The combination of an ongoing trade conflict and next year’s US presidential election will likely result in lingering uncertainty,” Goldman’s David Kostin wrote
$GS Long Goldman Sachs into earningsEntry level $206 = target price $222 = Stop loss $201
Bullish indicators and price action.
Support has held on numerous occasions, limiting downside.
222 remains very strong resistance.
P/E 8.59 which is extremely low.
very reasonable 2.44 yield.
Average price target $233 | Overweight.
Company profile
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. engages in global investment banking, securities, and investment management, which provides financial services. It operates through the following business segments: Investment Banking, Institutional Client Services, Investing and Lending, and Investment Management. The Investment Banking segment gives financial advisory services and help companies raise capital. The Institutional Client Services segment serves clients who come to buy and sell financial products, raise funding, and manage risk. The Investing and Lending segment includes investing and relationship lending activities; and making investment. The Investment Management segment involves in investment and wealth advisory services. The company was founded by Marcus Goldman in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
