SHORT US DOLLAR INDEXThe US Dollar daily chart which has been producing lower highs and lower lows with the most recent lower high being a 61.8% retracement, aligning with our descending trendline giving confluence at the area of rejection which price printed a gravestone doji characteristic candlestick. Looking at the 20EMA it looks although further dollar weakness will lead our 20EMA to cross over to the downside with our 200MA. Over the next week we are looking for further Dollar weakness. I have also observed the 200 MA act as support to a now long term resistance.
The US Dollar chart is a very key tool within analysis and should be used to see whether the US Dollar is gaining strength or losing strength.
Take profit has been placed halfway of the next monthly levels below.
Stop loss placed above 0% fibonacci level.
Consolidation may occur however, no fundamentals to move price to the upside this week.
USDOLLAR trade ideas
USDOLLAR - Long - Wave count revision. After what looked to be a completed 5 wave down on my previous analysis I counted wave c as wave 1 - Rookie mistake.
It looks like overthrow of an extended wave 5 of an ending diagonal Wave C of a zig zag either complete or almost complete, looking for a sharp move up to around the start of wave C initially to confirm this.
On the AUDUSD pair you can see the Wave 5 extension of Wave C hit resistance.
On the USDCHF you can see a 1-2 almost complete.
On the EURUSD it's hit resistance with a dark cloud cover with a confirming candle on the daily chart from the reflex rally after the initial thrust from the triangle last year.
Let's see what happens.
USDOLLAR - Important Doji on the 886 FIB - Daily - LongThe Doji has spoken :) - well its a daily candle, lets see how bullish the current finishes up.
Possible entries here are a pullback or wait for a break of TL and buy the break (while losing some of the leading gains)
Nicely structured pattern for confluence.
Nice W shape formation on the 4HR following RSI back in the trading zone.
US DOLLAR INDEX might soon surge upThe chances are very high US DOLLAR INDEX surges up soon. There might be several reasons for that:
1. Price is oversold. It came down fast without any correction.
2. On an hourly chart, the price is forming a pattern which usually features a correction or a complete reversal.
3. Our analysis of major US dollar peers indicates they are losing their ground and might weaken. (See our analysis of GBPUSD, USDCAD, EURUSD)
Fractology recommends covering short positions for US dollar and looking for buying opportunities.