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GOLD trade ideas

Interest rate expectations and geopolitics still drive GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD corrected after rising sharply as the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next week increased significantly after the release of US CPI data. CME Group's "FedWatch" tool shows traders see a 98.5% chance the Fed will cut another 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting, a significant increase from the 86% chance before CPI data is released. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year in November, both in line with market expectations. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones previously expected this number to increase an average of 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Excluding food and energy costs, the US core CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year in November and was up 0.3% month-over-month. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones on average expect core CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 3.3% year-over-year. The market is now focusing on today's (Thursday) US Producer Price Index (PPI) data to shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut roadmap. Geopolitical news once again boosted OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold corrected after approaching the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and temporary upside was limited by this technical level. However, in terms of overall structure, the gold price has enough technical conditions to increase after breaking the falling price channel and bringing the main activity above the EMA21 line. Along with that, the Relative Strength Index also rose above 50, which should be considered a positive signal for the bullish outlook of gold prices. On the other hand, gold is likely to open a new bullish cycle when it breaks above the $2,730 level of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement then the target is the Volume profile POC point, more so the $2,761 level and all-time highs. era established earlier. During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish with notable points listed below. Support: 2,700 – 2,693 – 2,676USD Resistance: 2,730 – 2,742 – 2,761USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2745 →Take Profit 1 2734 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2729 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2669 - 2671⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2665 →Take Profit 1 2676 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2681
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Bearish Scenario UnfoldingGold has been showing clear bearish momentum on the 4-hour chart, and the current price action suggests further downside potential. 1️⃣ Rejection from the Strong High: The price was firmly rejected at the $2,740 resistance zone, signaling the dominance of sellers in the market. 2️⃣ Weak Low Target Zones: With the break of structure (BOS) confirming bearish intent, the price is now heading toward key liquidity zones around $2,620 and $2,580. These levels are likely to act as targets for the current downtrend. 3️⃣ Bearish Momentum Accelerating: A series of Change of Character (CHOCH) events and lower highs further indicate that sellers are fully in control, with little evidence of bullish intervention so far. 📌 Bearish Targets: The immediate target is $2,620. If this level breaks, the next zone to watch is around $2,580, which could serve as the final destination for this bearish move in the short term. Let me know if you're tracking this move or if you see additional bearish opportunities!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Charts_M7M
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th December 2024Gold Trading Strategy Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 2662 on a 15-minute chart Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 2636 on a 15-minute chart Risk Strategies: Risk Strategy 1: Sell between 2660-2666 Stop-Loss: 2675 Targets: 2648, 2636, 2619 Risk Strategy 2: Buy between 2621-2617 Stop-Loss: 2608 Targets: 2636, 2648, 2660 Additional Tips: Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital. Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact gold prices. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
The latest technical analysis of gold, enjoy the profitFrom a technical point of view, after Thursday's decline, the daily line closed negative for the first time after three consecutive positive lines, and closed with a large negative line before the upper Bollinger track. This pattern is very obvious, confirming the overall weakening, and there will be continuous room for decline. At least look at the support point of the middle Bollinger track 2660 first, and then look at the support of the lower track 2600 after breaking. Therefore, the actual intraday decline prospect is still very large. Look at the recent intraday changes, and try to focus on rebounding high altitudes. After the decline of the small cycle H4, the Bollinger is also in a closing state. It rebounded at 2675 at midnight, but the downward space is not enough. The support of the lower track is near 2660. Therefore, the intraday rebound can still be shorted. First see whether the price of 2660 breaks. If it does not break during the day, it will be regarded as a slow decline. If it breaks, it can form an opening of the lower Bollinger track and get out of the unilateral decline. Therefore, the recent decline of gold in this cycle has just begun. Don't think that you can go long after a wave of decline. In the short-term performance, gold has rebounded, and the intraday suppression should be around 2695. If it rebounds in the Asian and European sessions, you can short it. The intraday downside targets are 2675 and 2660. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds, supplemented by buying on dips. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2695-2700 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2660-2655 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
Gold fell sharply, and the market reversed?The 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn. If the moving average begins to turn downward, or even forms a dead cross, then the space for gold shorts will be opened. Gold will continue to short when it rebounds in the US market. After gold falls and breaks, it will rebound under pressure at 2,700 and fall directly. Gold will continue to short when it rebounds below 2,700 in the US market. This is the market of gold, which changes rapidly. It may be a carnival for gold bulls in the last second, and a feast for gold bears in the next second.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
1
GOLD - Price can correct and then continue to grow in channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price bounced from $2710 resistance level and in a short time declined to $2536 points, breaking $2615 level. Price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $2615 level one more time and rose to resistance area. But then, price corrected to support level, after which some time traded near it and then continued to grow. In a short time, Gold rose to resistance level and then entered to resistance area, but later bounced down. Thereby price makes a fake breakout of $2710 level, so, now I think that XAU can decline a little more. After this, price can turn around and then rise to $2760, breaking resistance level inside a rising channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
4
Gold is ready to test resistance for reversalGold has no clear trend. Globally, the price is in a sideways flat. It cannot be called an accumulation, but just a range. There is news ahead, which can generally set some tone for the market. Recently, the price has been growing exclusively on geopolitical nuances: the Middle East, problems in Europe, China started buying metal again. The negative background is created by Trump's policy towards the dollar and inflation. Scenario: This resistance was last tested in the middle of last month and there is no potential for a breakout. Unless the CPI comes out very positive for gold. Idea: False break of resistance and fall to 2666
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
Lingrid | GOLD Correction and Path to ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It reached target. OANDA:XAUUSD is currently pulling back toward lower levels. The market has formed equal lows, and the price may drop below these equal lows before pushing into higher zones. I believe if the price rejects the support zone around 2665 and the upward trendline, there is a good chance the market will bounce back. This support level has been respected multiple times, as it acted as the top of the consolidation zone before. I expect the price to move lower, potentially testing the equal lows and the previous day's low, followed by a bullish reversal. My goal is resistance zone around 2700 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
3
XAUUSD - possible outcomes today?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. Since our last in-depth analysis on XAUUSD posted on November 27th , it has followed the projection and reached 2714 . Right now we have a few opportunities on our hands. Looking at XAUUSD we have possible buys if we break above 2720 and break today’s highs. On the other hand we could see pullbacks down to our PBA 1 (Pullback Area) sitting at around 2700 flat, and we could enter into more safe buys . If we break below 2700 (PBA 1) , we could see some sells in play. To write this in detail, here are the possible outcomes. Scenario 1: BUYS from 2720 We broke above 2720 . That would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on the breaks of today’s highs. Scenario 2: BUYS from 2700 We made the pullback down to 2700 and are trading above it. That would give us a nice and safe area to enter into buys targeting today’s highs or possibly higher. Scenario 3: SELLS from 2700 We broke below 2700 , and are now targeting breaks of 2690 and re-visits of 2675. Personal opinion: The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking above 2720 would confirm buys. - XAUUSD failing to break below 2700 would confirm buys. - Breaks below 2700 would result in sells, down to 2690 and 2675. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
Gold can hit 2750 before continuing it's bearish reversal trend?Gold prices climbed further, driven by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions and a Wall Street selloff boosting safe-haven demand. China likely acquired over five tonnes of gold in Nov, according to the PBoC report. Upcoming central bank decisions in Canada, the EU, Switzerland, and the Fed are expected to heighten gold price volatility as investors await key economic signals. XAUUSD firmly broke above its sideways range, with higher swings and diverging bullish EMAs indicating its bullish momentum. If XAUUSD surpasses the previous high at 2720, the price could rise toward its resistance at 2750 before a potential bearish reversal. Conversely, if XAUUSD retraces, the price may dip to 2680 before continuing its uptrend. 1M liquidity found on 2720 and 1M+ liquidity found on 2750 so move is confirm
TVC:GOLDLong
by GoldPipsPredictor