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GOLDMINI trade ideas

GOLD: Correction Likely After Impulse RallyThe 4-hour XAU/USD chart shows a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) reaching the $2,655-$2,660 resistance zone, indicating a potential reversal. A corrective ABC pattern is expected: Wave A: Targeting $2,620-$2,630 (middle support zone). Wave B: Minor retracement below $2,655. Wave C: Extending to $2,600-$2,610 (lower support). As gold prices are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, traders should use proper position sizing and stop-loss levels to mitigate risks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and geopolitical tensions that might affect market volatility. Good luck
TVC:GOLDShort
by me22_
Gold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and DemandGold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and Demand Last week, gold continued its upward trajectory, closing at $2,716 per ounce. The positive momentum in the gold market was driven by several key factors related to geopolitics, the global economy, and structural demand for the metal. Geopolitics and Economic Uncertainty One of the primary drivers of gold prices remains geopolitical uncertainty. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has prompted investors to seek safe havens, with gold, as a traditional "safe haven" asset, attracting significant capital inflows. Additionally, economic uncertainty in the Eurozone and China is boosting demand for gold. In Europe, tensions stem from economic instability, while in China, concerns about a slowdown in key sectors of the economy weigh on market sentiment. Inflation Concerns The rising risk of a global inflation rebound also supports higher gold prices. The tariffs proposed by future President Donald Trump on goods imported into the U.S. could raise production costs and consumer prices, fueling inflation concerns. In such scenarios, gold becomes an attractive hedge against inflation. Monetary Policy and Central Bank Purchases Gold is also benefiting from the ongoing cycle of interest rate cuts around the world. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more appealing investment asset. Moreover, central banks continue to bolster their reserves by purchasing gold at a strong pace, a trend that supports the market amid increasing global uncertainties and inflation risks. Emerging Economies Driving Demand The economic growth of emerging markets, such as China and India, is another factor driving gold prices. These countries traditionally have high demand for gold, driven by cultural and investment preferences. As the wealth of these societies grows, demand for gold, both as an investment and in the form of jewelry, is likely to rise. Conclusion Gold remains a key beneficiary of global uncertainties, both geopolitical and economic. Factors such as escalating conflicts, inflation fears, loose monetary policy, and rising demand from emerging economies are bolstering its upward momentum. Will gold maintain its current growth trajectory? Much depends on the future course of geopolitical and economic developments. For now, gold stands out as an attractive asset for investors seeking safety and inflation protection. What are your forecasts for the gold market? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestMate
1
XAUUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Prices are currently under downward pressure, indicating a bearish sentiment ,The current price movement is attempting to approach a resistance level of $2,630. Scenarios and Levels , If prices stabilize below $2,630, it suggests further declines: • First target: $2,604. • Second target: $2,587. • Breaking the resistance level of $2,630 suggests: • First upward target: $2,661. • Second upward target: $2,678. Conditions for Movement, Stabilization below $2,678 , Suggests prices will likely decline , Stabilization above $2,678 , Indicates a possible continuation of upward momentum. Overall Range , The expected trading range is between $2,716 (upper limit) and $2,542 (lower limit).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GOLD recovered from $2,606, before a series of key weekly dataIn the Asian market on Wednesday (November 27), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is trading around 2,638 USD/ounce. During this trading day, investors will receive many important data such as the US PCE inflation index, which is expected to create great fluctuations in the gold market in particular and the financial market in general. The US will release some headline data ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday today (Wednesday). On Wednesday, the US will release a series of important economic data, with US PCE inflation data expected to receive the most attention. Today, US durable goods orders for October, last week's initial jobless claims and third-quarter real GDP data will be released. Surveys showed the U.S. monthly initial durable goods ordering rate in October was expected to rise 0.5%, compared with a 0.7% decline the previous month. The number of Americans filing seasonally adjusted unemployment claims for the week of November 23 is expected to be 217,000, compared with 213,000 the previous week. Additionally, U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter is expected to grow at an annualized quarterly rate of 2.8%. On the same day, the United States will release the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation report for October. This is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Surveys show that the US PCE price index in October is expected to increase 0.2% monthly and 2.3% annually. Additionally, the US core PCE price index in October is expected to increase 0.3% monthly and 2.8% annually. The core PCE price index could cause a short-term market reaction, with investors expecting core PCE to rise 0.3% month-over-month in October, in line with September's gain. Data Stronger-than-expected data could boost the US Dollar in its initial reaction and drag gold prices lower. On the other hand, a level of 0.2% or lower could have the opposite impact on gold price action. Expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 25bps in December are currently at 63.1%, according to CME group's FedWatch data. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold recovered from the initial support level noted by readers in yesterday's edition at 2,606 USD and is now close to reaching the initial target resistance at 2,644 USD. The recent decline has created a medium-term trend price channel for gold. This price channel is inclined towards the possibility of a decrease in price. Along with that, gold will also be under the current main pressure with the 21-day moving average (EMA21). In the interim, gold still has room to recover as long as it remains above its original price point of $2,600, on the other hand if gold breaks $2,644 it could continue to recover a bit further with a target then around $2,663 The price point of the Fibonacci 0.50% is confluent with the EMA21. However, in case gold falls below the original price point of 2,600 USD, it will be eligible for a new short-term down cycle to open, with a target of 2,591 USD in the short term, more than 2,538 USD. During the day, gold's technical outlook leans towards price reduction along with the above recovery levels, notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2661 - 2659⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2665 →Take Profit 1 2654 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2649 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2575 →Take Profit 1 2586 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2591
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Elliott Wave View: Gold (XAUUSD) Starts Next Leg HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in Gold (XAUUSD) suggests that rally to 2790.07 ended wave ((3)). Pullback in wave ((4)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 2724.6 and rally in wave B ended at 2749.9. Wave C lower ended at 2643.1 which completed wave (W) in higher degree. Rally in wave (X) ended at 2710.61. The metal then turned lower in wave (Y) with subdivision as another zigzag. Down from wave (X), wave A ended at 2589.5 and wave B rally ended at 2618.8. Wave C lower ended at 2537.7 which completed wave (Y) of ((4)) in higher degree. The metal has turned higher in wave ((5)). Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 2577.47 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 2554.34. The metal extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 2641.92 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 2618.7. Expect wave ((v)) of 1 to end soon and the metal to turn lower in wave 2 to correct cycle from 11.14.2024 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 2537.7 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Yesterday we wanted the pullback in order to get the long position to target the higher Excalibur targets, we didn't get it so had to trade it level to level on the boxes using the indicators as a guide. Those targets are complete, however, the bias level targets starting at 2642 are yet to complete. We would say pull backs look limited so it's scalping only at the moment unless we can dip into the lower pool sitting at 2610 before then attempting the longer trade. For now, we'll stick with the daily bias and expect this to make an aggressive turn from higher. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
Gold Price Analysis November 20Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some follow-through buying for the third consecutive day on Wednesday and rose to a one-and-a-half week high, around the $2,641-$2,642 region during the Asian session. Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine continued to boost demand for traditional safe-haven assets, coupled with slowing US Dollar (USD) price action, acting as a bullish driver for the precious metal. That said, overnight comments from Russian and US officials helped ease market concerns about the onset of an all-out nuclear war, which was evident in the generally positive tone in equity markets. Additionally, a healthy rise in US Treasury yields favored USD bulls and warranted some caution before positioning for any further upside moves in Gold prices. Technical analysis The uptrend is clearly shown in the time frames and the important resistance level is at 2660-2662. Today's trading plan is mainly waiting for BUY signals when there are retest beats. Pay attention to the retest price zones noted on the chart to have a good trading strategy for yourself. Those are Fibonacci zones and also psychological zones that the market is respecting. 2622-2613-2597 are the zones to pay attention to.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
4
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold just had its best week in recent times! This video analyzes the key factors driving the price surge – including geopolitical events and the latest US economic data. As Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive demand, this video illustrates my trading idea. Join me as I analyze Gold’s price action, identify critical levels, and share actionable insights for the coming week. Let me know yours! #gold #goldinvesting #marketanalysis #usdata #pmi #consumersentiment #inflation #fed #tradingstrategy #forex Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
5
XAU/USD 27.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, A quick update on gold: Wave Orange A is definitely completed. I’m now looking for bullish momentum, either as a 12345 setup (as I’ve drawn) or potentially as an ABC formation leading to my Orange B. The Fibonacci zones remain consistent regardless of the scenario. At the moment, I already have two buy positions. My current target is the retracement level of Wave B. Once I can confirm whether the structure is forming an ABC to B or a 12345 setup, I’ll adjust my target accordingly to the relevant Fibonacci extension level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
Gold price continues to recoverLast week, gold posted an impressive gain of over $150 per ounce, recovering strongly across all trading sessions. This remarkable performance highlights the unwavering confidence of investors in the precious metal, particularly during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil. From a personal perspective, gold's upward momentum is expected to remain supported by safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. Additionally, the "buy-the-dip" activity during minor corrections has helped sustain gold prices at elevated levels. In the short term, if gold holds above the critical $2,700/ounce mark, the likelihood of it advancing to $2,800/ounce increases significantly. Moreover, optimistic forecasts suggest that gold could reach $3,000/ounce by next year, despite the challenges posed by a strong US Dollar and rising US bond yields. Gold continues to solidify its role as a "safe harbor" during uncertain times. With its current upward trajectory, the precious metal remains a highly attractive asset, drawing robust interest from investors across the globe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Veda_Solomon
2
GOLD is headed for a 5th day of increaseOANDA:XAUUSD rose for a fourth straight day and is headed for a fifth day of gains on Friday (November 22) as safe-haven demand picks up while traders assess the prospect of further policy easing by the Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve and increasingly escalating geopolitical risks. Gold prices recovered above $2,680 and were on track for their best weekly performance since April as the war between Russia and Ukraine escalated. Ukraine says Russia has launched a "new" ballistic missile toward the city of Dnipro, sending a worrying signal to Western supporters of Kiev. Escalating geopolitical tensions often push investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. When the United States vetoed the United Nations ceasefire resolution in Gaza, relations between Russia and Ukraine became tense again, ensuring gold's long-term appeal. Investors have flocked to safe-haven assets during the global crisis and gold prices have hit multiple record highs since conflict in the Middle East erupted last October. Since the beginning of this year, gold prices have risen nearly 30%, supported by solid central bank gold purchases, growing safe-haven demand and a cycle of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Federal. Although the recovery of the US Dollar put pressure on gold prices, safe-haven demand helped gold prices offset this pressure. A stronger US Dollar often makes goods priced in Dollars more expensive and less attractive. Spot gold prices rose 4% this week, their best gain since April, recovering from their biggest weekly drop in more than three years last week. Gold's decline was fueled by a rise in the US Dollar fueled by Trump's victory in the race for the White House. Investors are also focusing on several Fed officials expected to speak this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have weakened significantly, with the probability now at 59.4%, much lower than 82.5% a week ago. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold broke out of the downtrend from the price channel and initially achieved the conditions for a new bullish cycle to be formed with a move above the EMA21 level. In addition, the Relative Strength Index is also pointing up to surpass 50, which is considered a signal for price increases in the near future. In the immediate future, gold will need to test and surpass the original price level of 2,700 USD. Normally, the original price levels are considered resistance or support depending on price position conditions. If gold surpasses 2,700 USD and maintains stability above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be able to continue to increase by more than 30 Dollars to reach the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Currently, gold has the conditions for a bullish cycle, so technically, combined with the escalating geopolitical risk of market shock, the trend of gold is leaning more towards the possibility of price increases. Notable technical points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,684 - 2,668USD Resistance: 2,697 - 2,700 - 2,732USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2711 - 2709⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2715 →Take Profit 1 2704 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2699 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2639 - 2641⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2635 →Take Profit 1 2646 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2651
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 25 - Nov 29]Last week, gold prices continuously recovered from 2,564 USD/oz to 2,716 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices increased sharply this week is because investors are concerned that the war between Russia and Ukraine will take a more serious turn when President Biden allows Ukraine to use long-range ATACMS missiles to fire into Russian territory to in response to Russia's deployment of North Korean troops in the Russia-Ukraine war. Besides, Mr. Biden seems to want to make his mark in the Russia-Ukraine war when he only has about 2 months left in power before handing it over to Mr. Donald Trump. In addition, according to many experts, this move by Mr. Biden may complicate the war between Russia and Ukraine, making it difficult for Mr. Donald Trump to end the hostilities as easily as he announced during the campaign. elect US President... Perhaps most alarming is the nuclear doctrine that Russia emphasizes. It considers any attack by a non-nuclear country supported by a nuclear power to be a joint attack. This means that Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles also means that the US is directly involved in attacking Russia, making the war between Russia and Ukraine no longer a war between these two countries, but could potentially lead to a world war. War III. However, according to many experts, the US may only provide a limited number of missiles to Ukraine, fearing the dire consequences of this move. Therefore, the war between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to drag many other countries, especially NATO member countries, into the war. Furthermore, with only 2 months left until Mr. Trump takes office as President of the United States, the war between Russia and Ukraine will soon subside. The need for refuge in gold may continue to increase in the short term as Russia and the US are still taking tough stances in the Russia-Ukraine war. Therefore, next week's gold price may continue to rise even higher. This week, the US announced two important indicators: third quarter GDP and personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) - an important inflation measure of the FED. If Q3 GDP declines and PCE increases, it will be difficult for the FED to resist further reducing interest rates, further supporting the rise in gold prices next week. On the contrary, if GDP increases and PCE decreases, the FED will have more motivation to delay cutting interest rates, causing gold prices next week to be negatively affected. 📌From a technical perspective, on the H4 chart, a head and shoulders pattern is forming, but a few more up/down cycles are needed to confirm. Specifically, if the gold price has a correction phase to around the support level of 2640, then bounces back to break the resistance level of 2711, then it can be expected that the price will continue to maintain its upward momentum above the 2790 threshold. In case of support area If 2600 is broken, it could trigger another sell-off, causing gold prices to fall to around 2500. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,684 – 2,697USD Resistance: 2,760 – 2,750 – 2,732USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2791 - 2789⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2795 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2639 - 2641⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2635
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading