MICROHARD?Price recently broke a 2-month trendline today as well as forming a double top at the $275 zone. As of now, I'm looking for a retest of the 261.50 zone and a strong indicator signifying a continuation of this downward movement.
MSFT trade ideas
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. Was expecting price to mitigate the bearish POI at 286.51 before the drop. Price has broken market structure to the downside and I expect a continuation lower.
Microsoft 1H OutlookWide Pattern Coverage and Derived Price Levels:
Keeping in mind the narrative of upcoming FED tightening policy because CPI & PPI figures. Also many longer term investors were disappointed about the financial reports of MSFT CORP. This negative incentive sets general dilation of falling fractal which covers negative market intentions.
Fractal of Falling:
Net BSP (EMA Smoothed):
Constant Time Cycles:
Since a sharp downward movement has occurred I doubt that the market incentive is fully priced in. Unless price holds strong blue and does a little pullback followed by side trend till TimeFib 2.
I expect further fall to shake bears off the market to become bullish. A longer bearish wave would cover report induced sale but not recent negative economic reports.
Microsoft -> It's Now Or NeverHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Microsoft stock just recently created an awesome double bottom and also already broke above the neckline confirming the weekly pattern.
As we are speaking the market is retesting the neckline of the double bottom which is now turned support so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside from here.
On the daily timeframe however the market is currently massively bearish and I definitely don't want to catch a falling knife so I am now just waiting for some bullish structure on the daily timeframe before I will look to enter longs to capitalize on the continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Harmonics & Fibonacci on MicrosoftNASDAQ:MSFT
Harmonics applied on NASDAQ:MSFT showed perfect results.
Still looking bearish from current position until it fills gap around 240-239 and takes support around 232 for further move.
Microsoft Bump and RunBreaking out of long term diagonal down trend and (potentially) turning resistance into support.
Looking for a breakout of cloud next. SL is bottom of cloud $244
MSFT PUTSBase on my View on Microsoft this year will be bumpy..
Not financial advice.
trade base on your own decissions
MSFT, Something interesting about to happenMicrosoft is now waiting for something to happen, specially with this GPT news and integration which makes the fundamental side interesting, adding an extra volatility to the stock. Right now after the breakout of the downtrend line and the MA 200 there was a rejection in the 280 zone, price is heading to the downtrend line and the MA 200 that are now powerful supports. If there is not a breakout of those supports and the WTO gets below the 0 section, the long side will be an appealing option with targets at 273.5, 280 and 293.
However, if price breaks such a powerful supports the decline will be the better option and we assess levels then.
W PatternPrice is falling after a long rally up.
I see a W but it does match up with a pattern I am familiar with.
It appears to have terminated at the 1.272 almost on the dot but the hump of the W did not hit the .786 which is the rule for a butterfly.
There is also a triangle that may provide support.
No recommendation.
Bearish Gartley -> Microsoft ShortI posted this Idea first last Friday
Tuesday we got a reverse candle on daily basis and Wednesday was the perfect chance to go short (@ 270. TP is 220.)
Furthermore there are problems with the new Bing-Bot plus the global tech layoffs (quadrupled since mid.January).
Is it “game over” for Microsoft's Activision acquisition?When two hugely successful companies join forces, the initial market response is not always a bullish one, and traders who follow company mergers and takeovers know the only thing to count on is volatility. But what about the long run? Should traders buy in early and wait for the big picture to move the markets?
What’s happened so far?
Microsoft (MSFT) made headlines in January after announcing a hefty $69 billion bid to acquire Activision Blizzard (ATVI), the largest video game developer of all time. The acquisition is Microsoft's biggest ever.
Despite the huge number, this isn't necessarily a crazy bet for Microsoft. Gaming was already a booming business before the pandemic, and lockdowns further increased its appeal.
Estimates put gaming revenue increases at over 20% in recent years, approaching a staggering $200 billion, which has attracted the attention of tech giants such as Apple, Netflix, Amazon, and, of course, Microsoft.
Traders have already seen movement on the charts since the announcement, but the deal isn’t done just yet, as competitor Sony raised concerns about the monopolization of the industry. This brings the UK's regulatory commission, Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), into play.
What the CMA says about Microsoft’s acquisition
The CMA is expected to announce its provisional findings soon, which could either clear the way for the mega-deal, or put an unappealable halt to it.
The CMA has expressed concerns that the takeover could lead to competition issues in the console and subscription market, as well as in the growing cloud gaming sector.
Microsoft's goal in acquiring Activision Blizzard is to add popular games like Call of Duty to its portfolio, which already includes the Halo franchise and Minecraft.
Regulators around the world are worried that Microsoft dominance may soon make it harder for rivals to access Activision's popular titles. The CMA's decision is significant, as UK courts rarely overturn CMA merger decisions, and if the deal is blocked, there is little recourse for Microsoft and Activision.
The CMA's ruling will come before decisions from the EU and the US Federal Trade Commission, which has sued to veto the transaction.
In the hopes of greasing the wheels, Microsoft offered to grant a 10-year license for Call of Duty to its rival Sony. But that doesn’t address the issue that all upcoming Activision titles may become XBOX exclusives, leaving Sony’s PS5 catching dust in the corner.
Conclusion
If Microsoft’s Activision acquisition goes through, MSFT stocks probably won’t make much movement. Even though the purchase is $69 Billion, the effect on the company's profitability won’t be seen anytime soon—if ever.
In contrast, Activision stock soared by 25% after the acquisition was announced.
If the deal is blocked, we may see those early investors pulling out, and a rather rapid correction for ATVI. Don’t forget, last year the CMA concluded that Meta's purchase of GIPHY would limit choice for social media users, and Meta was ordered to sell GIPHY, so it’s not such a stretch to imagine the deal getting canceled.
MSFT is an amazing company to trade either way, but consider focusing your research and analysis on ATVI in the coming weeks and months and be ready for the CMA decision.
- By Paul Reid
MSFT: Sell ideaAs you see on the chart we will have a big probability of a downtrend continuity.Thanks!
Microsoft Desc. Triangle ready to pop to $239.96Descending Triangle is forming on Microsoft.
Can we talk about the gaps and liquidity issues? Is it because of the broker TradingView is showing for the company?
It's shocking and one I avoid trading by all means.
Anyway, the bearish signs are there
21>7>200
RSI<50
Bearish bias
Target $239.96
ABOUT
Microsoft is a multinational technology company based in Redmond, Washington that was founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen.
The company's most famous product is the Microsoft Windows operating system, which is used by over a billion people worldwide.
Microsoft also develops and produces a wide range of other software products, including the Microsoft Office suite, the Edge web browser, and the Xbox gaming console.
It's value is over $2 trillion in market cap
And of course the company is a major player in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and is working on a number of innovative projects, including chatbots, speech recognition, and machine learning.
MSFT This one is interesting..
I see two different patterns here..
The bearish pattern is a double top that would take us to 255 or daily 200ema.
The bullish pattern is a falling wedge - that would take us back to 272 gap close.
So which one is it?
If we drop below 260 that would be my entry for 255 target.
Anything above 260 isn't a good entry for a short.
For the bullish scenario any entry should be above trendline breakout. I prefer above 264 but if your a permabull 😉 you can jump the gun with a 260 stop loss.
Overall Msft will go In market general direction at this point but like aapl and tsla , msft sheer market cap can move the nasdaq.
I bought calls earlier on this after swinging short. Got stopped out late in the day
$MSFT breaks out of the major bull flagThe golden uptrend was broken and backtested twice. Now the red bull flag is broken which calls for new all time highs.
MSFT AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis with many gaps recently. Price action is very unclear even on the lower timeframe. However, I do see many fair value gaps lower than the current price. Price could potentially fill these gaps before rallying into the final target for this uptrend.
