NVDA - Update Update for my latest NVDA post and we can end up seeing a decent pullback sooner than expected as we have a developing distribution pattern in play
Not looking for any trades and waiting for more price development.
NVDA trade ideas
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): Testing Key Levels Amid PullbackNASDAQ:NVDA
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $144.72. A breakout reopens $150 and $153, supported by robust momentum.
🩸 Support: $140. A breakdown could expose $136 and $132 as immediate lower targets.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $144.72, targeting $150 and $153. Wait for confirmation through volume spikes.
🩸 Short: Below $140, aiming for $136 and $132. MACD is signaling cautious consolidation after a sharp pullback.
🩸 NVIDIA remains a long-term leader, boasting a 185% YTD return. Current price action reflects profit-taking, but buyers should watch for signs of renewed strength above resistance. Sellers should remain vigilant if $140 fails to hold.
👑 "Strength lies in patience; opportunities come to those who can read the signs." — LucanInvestor
NVDIA: Is this post-CES correction THE buy opportunity of 2025?NVDIA turned from bullish to marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.243, MACD = 1.190, ADX = 26.850) as despite yesterday's big rise ahead of the CES (Consumer Electronics Show) event, it got sold straight after the opening today. CEO Jensen Huang unveiled the firm's next-generation of gaming chips and pledged the "ChatGPT moment for general robotics is just around the corner".
Fundamentals aside, the technical price action is clear. NVDIA reclaimed the 1D MA50, a key level during both early 2024 and 2023 rallies. Technically we can argue that this is the best opportunity to buy in 2025, despite being so early. The reason is that both in 2024 and 2023, the lowest level to buy was again in early January. In both instances the stock started a rally and never saw lower prices again.
Of course this is to a larget extend due to the long term pattern, which is a Channel Up since the October 2022 bottom. The sequences followed inside this pattern have been identical and so far October 2024 and January 2025 shares the same characteristics: keeping the 1D MA200 intact as the main support and the 1D MA50 contact being a buy signal. The post January rallies scored over a +100% increase, lasting around 95 days. Consequently, if the pattern continues to hold, we can aim for 250.00 by the end of March 2025.
Today's correction may very well be the best buy opportunity for NVDIA for the whole year.
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$NVDA #BullFlag Thru #Resistance Now #ReTesting (150Cs #Soon?!)I noted a bull flag on NASDAQ:TSLA and noticed NASDAQ:NVDA following the same style.
This looks like a strong flagpole through what was previously ATH resistance down trend.
Downtrend has now acted as support twice. Im hoping the 3rd time will be the charm ;)
Looking for NASDAQ:NVDA 150Cs and NASDAQ:TSLA 550Cs on next YUGE green day ie (SPY 2%+)
-Prophecies (Stay Patient)
PS: Apologies if chart isnt as clean as others. I'm trying to incorporate emojis to symbolize what I see as critical points, which set up critical line/levels, which then set up technical pattern. This is the way...
Another Year, Another Ride on the Nvidia Train– Bullish for 2025Bullish Reasons for Nvidia:
AI Growth: Nvidia’s GPUs are the backbone of AI infrastructure, powering the booming AI market and ensuring long-term demand.
Market Dominance: With 80-90% control of the AI chip market, Nvidia’s market share positions it as a dominant player with staying power.
Microsoft’s $80B Investment: Nvidia is poised to reap the rewards of Microsoft’s massive AI data center investment, cementing its role in the AI revolution.
Bank of America’s "Top Pick": As Bank of America’s top pick heading into CES 2025, Nvidia is set for game-changing announcements that could propel growth even further.
Analyst Optimism: With analysts setting a $177 target price, Nvidia’s upside potential is highly regarded by the market.
Impressive YOY Growth: Nvidia has posted 53% YOY revenue growth, driven by 61% growth in data centers and 101% growth in gaming. Its 90% increase in earnings per share showcases its dominance in AI and gaming sectors.
Financial Strength: With a strong balance sheet and solid cash flow, Nvidia is well-positioned to continue expanding its influence in AI and technology innovation.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $147.50 (pre-market price)
TP1: $160 (+8.5%)
TP2: $180 (+22.1%)
Stop Loss: $135 (-8.5%) (Consider for yourself; I'm holding without a stop loss for the long term)
Risk-Reward Ratios:
Risk to TP1: 1:1 (Risk = $12.50, Reward = $12.50)
Risk to TP2: 1:2.6 (Risk = $12.50, Reward = $32.50)
NVIDIA Bullish Continuation ContinuedHi Traders!
On Dec. 5th I wrote an idea where I explained that I was almost interested in taking a long on Nvidia. Over the course of the month, Nvidia retraced into the high 120's creating a failed swing to the upside. However, I also stated that Nvidia was most likely going to fill in that wick at the stop of 150.000 back in November. Now, Nvidia has broken out of the failed swing, and is continuing to the upside filling in that wick.
From here, I would like to see a bit more of a retest filling in the gap to the upside (I am looking at a Daily TF). If this can happen, that area will give me the best position possible to go Long Longterm. However, I did catch a few contracts at 138.000.
Entry Target: 145.000-147.000
Post a comment here if you're bullish on Nvidia 😁
$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary.
The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse.
NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
The King Roars AgainRS Rating of 95
Breaking out of key pivotal zone
Wall of Buyers displaying institution appetite
RTX 5000 Series debuted at a very friendly consumer price
Looking forward shows no signs of decelerating growth prospects for the Wall Street darling
I have reasons to believe this security price can increase in value
NVIDIA 200 BEFORE 2026 !!! CAFE CITY STUDIO
NVIDIA (NVDA) has been at the forefront of technological innovation, particularly in the realms of AI and graphics processing, positioning it well for significant stock price growth. Here are several reasons why NVIDIA's stock might hit $200 by 2025:
Dominance in AI and Data Center Markets:
NVIDIA's GPUs are the backbone for many AI and machine learning applications. Their leadership in this space, especially with the advent of AI-driven technologies across industries, is expected to keep revenue growth robust. The company's data center segment has seen exponential growth, with analysts predicting a continued upward trend due to the increasing demand for computing power in AI applications.📷📷📷
Strategic Product Roadmap:
NVIDIA's product pipeline, including the Blackwell architecture, is anticipated to propel the company forward. The Blackwell chips, expected to launch in 2025, are designed to push performance boundaries for AI applications, potentially capturing more market share and driving revenue. The expectation around these new architectures creates a bullish outlook for
NVIDIA's stock.📷📷
Strong Financial Performance:
NVIDIA's financial results have consistently outperformed expectations. For instance, Q2 FY 2025 saw a revenue increase of 122% year over year, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain high growth rates. Despite a natural slowdown expected due to tougher year-over-year comparisons, the company's growth is still projected to be impressive at around 43% for FY 2026, supporting a narrative of sustained stock price appreciation.📷📷
High Barriers to Entry and Market Moats:
The complexity and performance of NVIDIA's offerings create high barriers for competitors, ensuring NVIDIA's market leadership. Analysts highlight NVIDIA's 24-month technological lead in AI GPUs, with high switching costs for customers locked into NVIDIA's ecosystem. This moat is expected to support premium pricing and market share retention, which could translate into stock value growth.📷📷
Analyst Optimism:
Numerous Wall Street analysts have set price targets for NVIDIA well above its current levels, with some predicting it could hit $200 or more by 2025. These forecasts are based on NVIDIA's strong fundamentals, technological edge, and market position in AI and computing solutions.📷📷
Market Sentiment and Valuation:
Even though NVIDIA's stock trades at a premium valuation (62 times trailing earnings as of recent data), analysts believe that its growth trajectory justifies this price. If NVIDIA continues to meet or exceed growth expectations, its valuation could expand further, driving the stock price towards $200. However, achieving this target would require either a significant earnings surge or a market sentiment favoring even higher multiples for tech growth stocks.📷
Global AI Adoption:
Posts on X highlight the ongoing global shift towards AI, with NVIDIA at the forefront. The demand for NVIDIA's computing solutions is expected to grow as AI becomes more integral to various sectors, from automotive to cloud computing, thereby supporting stock price growth.
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times
But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid?
This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time.
Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions:
1.Company: What does the business do?
2.Economics: How does it generate revenue?
3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides?
4.Risks: What challenges could it face?
5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal?
6.Valuation: Is the price justified?
1.What’s the Business?
- Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need?
- Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings.
- Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history.
2.How Do They Make Money?
- Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky.
- Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from?
- Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends.
3.What Could Go Right?
- Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy?
-Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches.
-Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership.
4. What Could Go Wrong?
-Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations?
-Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks.
- Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble.
5.What Do the Numbers Say?
- Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements.
- Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability.
- Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential.
6.Is the Price Right?
- Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards.
-Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists.
-Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value.
By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation.
What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
NVDA: Buy ideaOn NVDA we see a spring effect on the support line. Indeed, this indicates that we would have a good chance of seeing the market go up. But, this can only be done if certain conditions are met, namely the break of the vwap indicator and the resistance line with force by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume. But, let's be careful because there can also be a reversal of the trend in the event of a strong break of the support line by a large red candle and followed by a large red volume.
Semiconductor Stocks Blast Off as Foxconn's Revenue Takes FlightA perfect storm of positive factors sent semiconductor stocks soaring, with major players experiencing significant gains. Here are the key drivers behind this surge:
1. Foxconn's Record-Breaking Revenue: A 15% year-over-year revenue increase and a 42% rise in December sales ignited investor optimism in the sector.
2. AI Demand Anticipation: Foxconn's strong results underscored ongoing demand for AI technologies, fueling expectations for future growth in the semiconductor space.
3. Microsoft's $80 Billion AI Investment: The tech giant's commitment to AI-enabled data centers further boosted expectations for increased demand for specialized chips, particularly from Nvidia.
The impact on leading semiconductor companies was substantial:
● Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA : Up +3.4%
● Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD : Up +3.3%
● Micron Technology NASDAQ:MU : Up +10.5%
As the demand for AI technologies continues to grow, semiconductor companies are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, driving growth and innovation in the sector.
NVDA Testing a Key Trend Channel! Will the Rally Sustain?30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
* Trend Overview: NVDA is trading within an ascending channel, reflecting bullish momentum after breaking through $146.09. The price is currently consolidating near $150, which aligns with resistance. However, the market can gap up or down at the open, potentially invalidating this setup. Traders should monitor pre-market movement and adapt accordingly.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $146.09 and $140.22 are critical levels to watch for a pullback or gap down.
* Resistance: $152.06 and $157.50 (upper channel boundary) are key levels to break if bullish momentum continues or if there is a gap up.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish but showing signs of potential consolidation. A gap up could strengthen the trend, while a gap down may reverse it.
* Volume: Strong recent volume supports bullish momentum, but declining volume near resistance hints at caution.
1-Hour GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $152.50 and $157.50 are strong call resistance zones. A gap up could lead to a rapid test of these levels.
* Negative GEX: $140 and $135 are key put support levels. A gap down may see these levels come into play.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: Low at 25.3, indicating reduced volatility; traders may find directional trades favorable.
* Calls vs. Puts: Bullish skew with calls at 44.9%, showing optimism but not overly aggressive sentiment.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A gap up above $152.06 could lead to a gamma squeeze toward $157.50 or higher.
* Bearish Scenario: A gap down below $146.09 may activate put support, driving the price lower toward $140.
Trade Scenarios
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $152.06, or after a gap up that sustains above this level.
* Target: $157.50 and $160.00.
* Stop-Loss: Below $149.00.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Breakdown below $146.09, or after a gap down that fails to reclaim $146.50.
* Target: $140.22 and $135.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $148.00.
Important Note for Traders
* Be prepared for gaps at the open, which can drastically change the outlook. Reassess support and resistance levels and adjust your strategy to align with updated price action.
* For additional technical analysis on NVDA or any other ticker, feel free to contact me for personalized insights and detailed analysis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your research and trade responsibly.
Daily Halftime Report: NVDA Continuation Buy-InDaily Halftime Update: NVDA gapped up on this morning's session to retest it's ATHs at $152.89 which was tested back in Nov 21, 2024. Looking for a entry between $149.5-$149.95 (Target: $149.73) and a close above $148.98 for confirmation of Continuation to retest those ATHs in the weeks to come. Looking for a $160 Price Target on the Long Trade here.
Nvidia (NVDA) Bullish Breakout from ConsolidationChart Analysis:
NVIDIA's stock price has decisively broken out of its consolidation channel and is surging higher, reflecting renewed bullish momentum.
1️⃣ Trendline Support:
The long-term uptrend remains intact, with the stock respecting the ascending trendline since October 2023.
2️⃣ Breakout Confirmation:
The breakout above the channel near $140 confirms bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): At $140.03, now serving as dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): At $118.69, underpinning the broader uptrend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 65.56, approaching overbought territory but still with room to run.
MACD: Positive momentum building, suggesting potential for further upside.
What to Watch:
Immediate resistance sits at $155–$160, where the stock might encounter profit-taking.
A sustained close above this zone could pave the way toward new highs near $170 or higher.
Conclusion: NVIDIA's breakout is a strong bullish signal. The trend remains upward as long as the stock holds above the $140 support zone.
-MW
NVDA - NVIDIANVIDIA Corp engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU), Tegra Processor, and All Other. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The All Other segment refers to the stock-based compensation expense, corporate infrastructure and support costs, acquisition-related costs, legal settlement costs, and other non-recurring charges. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
