Italian PSV Natural Gas FuturesII

Italian PSV Natural Gas Futures

24.733EUR / MWHD
−0.185−0.74%
EUR / MWH
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Italian PSV Natural Gas Futures forum


NG1! is it good hold it short over weekend till monday for morming bumb i short position?



NG1! $2.95 Post-EIA Surge | Aug 28, 2025

Odds:
30% to $2.40-$2.59 (Cuban lower $2.53; 35% if $2.67 breaks, 1-3 days)

70% to $3.00-$3.08 (50-day EMA $3.11 resistance, pivot $2.78 support, 1-4 days)

Signal:
NG1! at $2.95, above 57 EMA ($2.82), surging post-EIA +18 Bcf (storage ~3.217 Tcf, ~5.9% above norm, below expected +20-25 Bcf). Green volume on 5min/15min/1H/3H/4H/5H/12H/1000-Tick, and hotter weather drive $3.00-$3.08 by Sep 1, with 50-day EMA ($3.11) as key resistance. Red volume on Daily/2D and high production

Trade:
Long (50%): Hold long ($2.80-$2.844), add 20% at $2.70-$2.73 (target $3.00-$3.05, 1-4 days). Stop at $2.65.

Hedge (20%): Short if $2.67 breaks (target $2.53, 1-3 days). Stop at $2.76.

Watch: Price momentum, Daily/2D volume, $3.11 EMA.

Good hunting! #NaturalGas #NG1



NG1! Short-Covering Rally, contract renewal | Aug 27, 2025

Odds:
40% to $2.40-$2.53 (Cuban lower $2.53; 45% if $2.67 breaks, 1-3 days)

60% to $3.00-$3.11 (57 EMA $2.81, 1-4 days)

Signal: NG1! at $2.852, above 57 EMA (Big Beluga $2.65). EIA +13 Bcf, short-covering, and green volume (1000-Tick) eye $3.00-$3.11 by Sep 1, but red volume (12H+) and storage push $2.53 if $2.67 breaks.

Trade:
Long Hold long ($2.80-$2.844), add 20% at $2.86-$2.89 (target $3.00-$3.05, 1-4 days). Stop at $2.65.

Hedge (20%): Short if $2.67 breaks (target $2.53, 1-3 days). Stop at $2.80.

Watch price momentum.
Good hunting! #NaturalGas #NG1
Snapshot

NG1! so far pivot held. Lets see if can get a follow on the gap up
Snapshot

NG1! Rebound Rally | Aug 26, 2025

Odds:
43% to $2.40-$2.50 (Cuban lower $2.53; 48% if $2.67 breaks, 1-3 days)

57% to $3.00-$3.16 (57 EMA $2.82, 1-4 days)

Signal: NG1! at $2.73, at 1D DP (Big Beluga $2.65). EIA +13 Bcf, green volume (5min/15min/1H/3H/1000-Tick), and seasonal strength eye $3.00-$3.16 by Sep 1, but red volume (5H+) and storage push $2.50 if $2.67 breaks.

Trade:
Long: Hold long ($2.80-$2.844), add 20% at $2.67-$2.70 (target $3.00-$3.05, 1-4 days). Stop at $2.65.

Hedge (20%): Short if $2.67 breaks (target $2.50, 1-3 days). Stop at $2.76.

Watch volume, price momentum.
Good hunting! #NaturalGas #NG1
Snapshot

NG1! Mixed Signals, choppy action, gap and crack & fill the gap, | Aug 25, 2025

Odds:
46% to $2.40-$2.55 (Cuban lower $2.55; 51% if $2.67 breaks, 1-3 days)
54% to $3.00-$3.16 (57 EMA $2.84, 1-4 days)

Signal: NG1! at $2.67, at pivot (Big Beluga $2.65). EIA +13 Bcf, green volume (1H/15min), and seasonal strength eye $3.00-$3.16 by Sep 1, but red volume (3H+) and storage push $2.50 if $2.67 fails.

Trade:
Long Hold long add 20% at $2.67-$2.70 (target $3.00-$3.05, 1-4 days). Stop at $2.65.

Hedge (20%): Short if $2.67 breaks (target $2.50, 1-3 days). Stop at $2.76.

Watch volume, price momentum, and heating season shift.

Good hunting! #NaturalGas #NG1
Snapshot