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London Cocoa FuturesLL

London Cocoa Futures

6,210GBPD
+221+3.69%
At close at Apr 11, 15:54 GMT
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C1! trade ideas

Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2542 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2475 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up to retest the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2542 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2475 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up to retest the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
I
by Tickmill
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2542 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2475 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up to retest the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ILong
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2542 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2475 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ILong
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 2500 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2275 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the pivot at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2500, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
I
by Tickmill
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 2500 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2275 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the pivot at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2500, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
IShort
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2577 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2500 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the resistance at 2577, where the previous high is. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down and retest the support at 2500 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ILong
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation Type: Bearish Continuation Resistance: 2454 Pivot: 2597 Support: 2355 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
I
by Tickmill
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation Type: Bearish Continuation Resistance: 2454 Pivot: 2597 Support: 2355 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
IShort
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise Type: Bullish Rise Resistance: 2506 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2280 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing back above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located. Alternative scenario: Price head back down towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ILong
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation Type: Bearish Continuation Resistance: 2454 Pivot: 2597 Support: 2355 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
IShort
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 2506 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2280 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located. Alternative scenario: Price head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
I
by Tickmill
Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 2506 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2280 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located. Alternative scenario: Price head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
IShort
by Genesiv
Short term analisis for cocoa #ccthe current pattern is considered a bearish pattern, volume becomes a key indicator. If volume breaks to the sell side, then there is a sell-off. I doubt such a move on a commodity, would not be surprised if it was a stock. This morning Reuters published how the energy crisis is hurting heavy industries such as BASF and other german companies, this no doubt is a bad sign. The war still rages on and shows more dangerous levels of engagement such as going nuclear. For what seems to be most unbelievable, iodine pills are running out in Europe and in the US. Cocoa depends on the sale of chocolate, and in this context, the grinding of cocoa in the EU and US has been lower reflecting lower consumption of chocolate. I have friends in Europe literally buying wood for the coming winter, this is to show that even in the midst of inflation, and higher prices, people are giving priority to stocking up on other things such as wood logs (energy crisis). Not an easy mood at the moment for these northern countries that are the major chocolate consumers. On the chart, we can now clearly see a bearish triangle forming since February 2022 and holding thin support above 2300 as it has already tested 2250 (STS2). Volume becomes crucial and these last weeks there's been more sell volume than buying volume. What are the odds that consumption goes chocolate crazy in the next coming weeks? Little. On the other hand, major commodity analysts are optimistic about cocoa saying smaller crops from Africa could positively impact price, or that US consumption is not as bad as thought. Bank analysts have a duty to sell and maybe they are being overly optimistic. The one support for optimism is speculators: in this arm of the trading range, it is attractive to go long as the downside can be seen as limited. I still think there can be more downside until we see better levels. El grafico actual se considera un patrón bajista, el volumen se convierte en un indicador clave. Si el volumen se rompe hacia la baja, entonces hay una venta masiva. Dudo que tal movimiento en una materia prima, no me sorprendería si fuera una acción bursatil. Esta mañana Reuters publicaba como la crisis energética está afectando a industrias pesadas como BASF y otras empresas alemanas, esto sin duda es una mala señal. La guerra aún continúa y muestra niveles de compromiso más peligrosos, como volverse nuclear. Por lo que parece más increíble, las pastillas de yodo se están acabando en Europa y en los Estados Unidos. El cacao depende de la venta de chocolate, y en este contexto, la molienda de cacao en la UE y EE.UU. ha sido menor reflejando un menor consumo de chocolate. Tengo amigos en Europa que literalmente compran madera para el invierno, esto es para mostrar que incluso en medio de la inflación y precios más altos, la gente está dando prioridad a abastecerse de otras cosas, como troncos de madera (crisis energética). No es un estado de ánimo fácil en este momento para estos países del norte que son los principales consumidores de chocolate. En el gráfico, ahora podemos ver claramente un triángulo bajista formándose desde febrero de 2022 y manteniendo un soporte delgado por encima de 2300, ya que ya ha probado 2250 (STS2). El volumen se vuelve crucial y estas últimas semanas ha habido más volumen de ventas que volumen de compras. ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades de que el consumo de chocolate se vuelva loco en las próximas semanas? Poco. Por otro lado, los principales analistas de materias primas son optimistas sobre el cacao y dicen que las cosechas más pequeñas de África podrían tener un impacto positivo en el precio, o que el consumo de EE. UU. no es tan malo como se pensaba. Los analistas financieros tienen el deber de vender y quizás estén siendo demasiado optimistas. El único apoyo para el optimismo son los especuladores: en este brazo del rango, es atractivo ir 'en largo' ya que la riesgo puede verse como limitada. Sigo pensando que puede haber más baja hasta que veamos mejores niveles.
IShort
by ejencalada