German DAX in a 5th wave blowoff peakThe chart posted is that of The DAX . The weakest in the FXE is the Only reason that the Dax has rallied . A low in the euro is due 1/24 to 2/14 Use the rally in Dax to Sell into !!!
GGGermany 40 Cash (E25)
24,135.1EURR
+47.8+0.20%
As of today at 00:32 GMT
EUR
No trades
DAX trade ideas
This is 30 y parallel up channel...the widh of channel is 8900Do you think there is room for further growth?i think that pumping is done ( was resault of biden's administration to help friendly partner germany in its bad economic times and against ukraina war) and its matter of time to crash about 20 %....this pump was fake without economic reason but reality has changed
DAX - Slight correction - short term trade, before we move up?Hi guys, not much to be said, the DAX has been perfoming amazingly the past few weeks, looking to catch a short term selling trade.
Entry: 20,883
Target 20,550
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Thu 2025 01 16 ShortRisky short in H3 at 12pm based on negative morning momentum. It's a trade based on one candle, no confirmations down and no 2nd momentum seen yet, against the trend and at an ath.
Hence $ risk is suggested minimal, sl on ath. R 1:1 as target, unless a 2nd down momentum appears and sets new targets down.
DAX // prepare for both sidesThere are times when it's better to stay out of the market.
But we always have to prepare for the next trade.
The primary scenario is long, since this is the primary trend, and the daily and the H4 is waving north. The recent H4 breakdown is in line with both countertrend lines (daily and H4) , so upon a significant break above the long trigger (green), the H4 target fibo 138.2 is my target.
But if the market turns south, and waves down below the daily breakout (short trigger - red), the countertrend may continue to visit the next H4 and daily breakout that is in line with the H4 target fibo 138.2.
Be patient, and wait for a clear breakout of this neutral zone, then go down to the lower timeframes, and trade the countertrend breaks there.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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GER30 , we see some movements here!we see some movements here! as you see, you have to prepare for it! no?
GER30 - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GER30.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from trendline + LZ.
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DAX: Healthy Channel Up aiming at 21,350DAX is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.832, MACD = 222.700, ADX = 20.758) as it just crossed the previous Resistance of the 5 month Channel Up. This is technically the new bullish wave of the pattern which got further confirmed after Monday's bounce on the 4H MA200. Both 1D MACD wise and relative price structure, it looks much like the previous two bullish waves. The recent HH was on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, thus we're aiming for the top of the pattern (TP = 21,350) yet again.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Slight declineThe Dax managed to push up from 20k reaching 20700 region. The points may alternate between the recent 20700 and 20 000 upon breaking.
However, if the German benchmark stabilises bove 20700 may see the indice to continue upward. However, a bearish outlook is still favourable if it fails to continue up from the recent high.
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax xetra - Neutral and waiting for bears. New ath 20629 and market stayed above 20600, which is very bullish. Bears would need a miracle to reverse this over the next 1-2 days. We are once again at multiple upper bullish trend lines that should be resistance but market could just continue higher. I don’t have any interest in buying this but would need very strong signals to short this right now. I still think the bull wedge is the pattern to trade here and I wait for bears to come around.
comment: What are the odds of 20629 being the high and we go down from here? Low at best. Since the overall markets have been choppy as hell, it’s not entirely out of the question that this could reverse strongly but I highly doubt it.
current market cycle: bull wedge
key levels: 20100 - 20700
bull case: Bulls got a new ath and now what? I have two trend lines that have room to be hit and one would even get us to 21000. Bulls want the obvious follow through and preferably stay above the 15m or 60m 20ema and just continue higher. Buying above 20600 is hard though. Stop would have to be at least 20420 and betting on this getting to 20800 is a stretch but so was making a new ath again. I got two measured move targets 20800 and 21000.
Invalidation is below 20420.
bear case: Bears pretty much did nothing since EU open and we can’t expect them to come around all of a sudden tomorrow. Best bears can hope for here is to stop the advance and go sideways until we get a new impulse. Trading consecutive bear bars below the 15m 20ema is their first target for tomorrow and if a miracle happens, retesting 20420 would be the next target.
Invalidation is above 20650.
short term: Neutral. Bullish if momentum continues and we stay above 15m or 60m 20ema. Bears can only get me below 20420 again.
medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: None - cut my losses on last position. Need to see bigger bear bars first before thinking about it again.
trade of the day: Could have bought anywhere and made money. Most happened due to news, so that’s always tough and I never gamble on it.
DAX - time to get back to business!Hi guys, after a previous very successful trade on the DAX , we are looking into it agian. Even though there is a lot of pressure of the Eurozone I would deffinetely say that the DAX can come out ahead and continue on it's strong growth pannel.We can see that the RSI has formulated an Ascending channel which gives us more confirmations of our trade direction.
Entry: 19,985
Target: 20,500
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
DAX H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceDAX (GER30) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 20,510.80 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 20,800.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 19,831.69 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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DAX – Classic Double Top Formation (Daily & 4H)!!!The DAX index has formed a classic double top on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling a potential reversal.
Setup Details:
Entry: Short position opened now.
Stop Loss: Slightly above the standard resistance zone to avoid stop hunting.
Risk-to-Reward: Great 1:4+ ratio, making this setup attractive.
Why This Setup?
The pattern is clear and aligns across multiple timeframes.
Strong resistance zone held twice, confirming the double top.
Stop and target are strategically placed for a disciplined approach.
Good luck to everyone!
Small pullback and potential bearish confirmation Dax managed to touch 20500, but pushed down as it is around 20000 or 19800 region. The price may push to retest the 20300, 20400, and 20500 marks and if it rejects with stability under any of the highs, it may fall down as a potential bearish confirmation.
If the price action declines from the top, a possible range and target can be between the highs and possibly 19620. However, establishing above 20500 may see a continued upside outcome. Failure to find a small pullback from 20000 and 19800 may also lead to the downward trajectory.
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
Analysis
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Germany 40 continues its bullish correction phase, currently trading at 20,061, just below the VWAP (20) level of 20,100. Key support lies at 19,751, while resistance is identified at 20,427. The RSI at 50 suggests neutral momentum, matching the pause in market direction.
UK 100 remains neutral within its consolidation phase, trading at 8,214, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 8,190. With support at 8,083 and resistance at 8,322, the RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum, maintaining a range-bound outlook.
Wall Street is on the cusp of a bearish reversal but for now we are assuming it is just a correction within the broader bull market. The index is priced at 41,817, below the VWAP (20) of 42,658. Support is positioned at 41,810, and resistance is at 43,496. The RSI at 28 indicates oversold conditions, which could mark the end of the correction.
Brent Crude has made a swift transition into a bullish impulsive phase, trading strongly at 8049, well above the VWAP (20) of 7533. Support is set at 7031, and resistance is at 8040. The RSI at 76 points to overbought momentum, adding confirmation to the bullish trend.
Gold is looking more bullish but holds a neutral stance for now, trading at 2,686, pushing above the VWAP (20) of 2,640 and into the upper band. Support and resistance are at 2,586 and 2,690, respectively. An RSI of 60 highlights the slightly bullish momentum, in line with the price action.
EUR/USD persists in its bearish impulsive trend, trading at 1.0218, below the VWAP (20) of 1.0352 - a fresh multi year low. Support is around current levels, and resistance is identified at 1.0489. The RSI at 31 suggests near oversold conditions, signaling little evidence of any bullish turnaround.
GBP/USD is falling like a rock - continuing its bearish impulsive move, trading at 1.2130, significantly below the VWAP (20) of 1.2453. Support stands at 1.2180, while resistance is found at 1.2726. The RSI at 30 reflects oversold momentum, aligning with continued bearish sentiment.
USD/JPY is trading in a tight correction within its bullish trend, trading at 157.36, aligned with the VWAP (20) of 157.40. Support is noted at 156.58, and resistance is at 158.27. The RSI at 56 indicates flat momentum.
DE40 "German DAX 40" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 20,800 (or) escape Before the Target.
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The DE40 (German DAX 40) index is expected to move in a bullish trend. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
Reasons for Bullish Trend:
Strong Economic Growth: Germany's economy is expected to continue growing, driven by strong consumer spending and investment.
Low Unemployment: Unemployment rates in Germany are at historic lows, which is expected to support consumer spending and economic growth.
Positive Earnings: Many German companies are expected to report positive earnings, which could boost investor sentiment and drive the index higher.
Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy, which could support the economy and drive the index higher.
Fundamental Analysis:
GDP Growth Rate: 1.5% - 2.0% expected for Q4
Inflation Rate: 1.2% - 1.5% expected for January
Unemployment Rate: 3.2% - 3.5% expected for January
Earnings Growth: 5% - 7% expected for Q4
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Could the price reverse from here?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 20,260.59
1st Support: 20,041.10
1st Resistance: 20,490.67
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German Index DE40/DE30 Analysis - January 13, 2025German Index DE40/DE30 Analysis - January 13, 2025
Today, we’ll discuss the German Index (DE40/DE30) on a 30-minute time frame. Currently, the momentum remains bullish, and the price recently tapped into a significant resistance zone at 20,191. However, following this interaction with the resistance, there are indications of bearish momentum forming, which could signal a potential move to the downside.
Logical Analysis and Predictions:
Resistance Interaction: OANDA:DE30EUR
The level of 20,191 has historically acted as a strong resistance, which often leads to retracements. The initial rejection observed suggests the possibility of a bearish correction.
Expected Downside Targets:
The first potential target is 19,950, where the price could pause briefly as it interacts with this minor support level.
A stronger downside move could take the price to 19,761 or even as low as 19,750, aligning with a key support zone.
Confirmation of Downside Momentum:
Before taking any position, conduct multi-timeframe analysis.
Watch for a change of character (CHoCH) or a break of structure (BOS) on the 30-minute or lower time frames, confirming a bearish bias.
Ensure the trade setup provides a low drawdown by identifying precise entry points with clear stop-loss levels.
Risk Management and Reminder:
Trading is reactive, not predictive. This analysis provides a possible scenario, but it’s crucial to validate with your own strategy and methodology. Protecting your capital is more important than chasing profits.
This concludes today's analysis. Trade smart, use proper risk-to-reward ratios, and we’ll see you in the next update.
