Bearish Look for potential Reversal bearish candlestick formation upon the retest of daily supply zone
GGGermany 40 Cash (E25)
23,416.2EURR
−240.9−1.02%
At close at Jun 13, 20:59 GMT
EUR
No trades
DAX trade ideas
GER40What is GER40?
GER40, commonly known as the DAX 40, is Germany’s premier stock market index that tracks the performance of the 40 largest and most liquid German blue-chip companies listed primarily on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It reflects the overall health of the German economy and is a key benchmark for European equity markets.
The DAX 40 is a market-capitalization-weighted index using a free-float methodology, meaning it only considers shares available for public trading.
It is a total return index, which means dividends paid by constituent companies are reinvested in the index calculation.
The index replaced the previous DAX 30 in September 2021 by expanding the number of constituents from 30 to 40 companies.
Does Bond Yield Affect GER40?
Yes, bond yields do affect the GER40 price movements, as they influence the cost of capital, investor risk appetite, and economic outlook:
Rising German government bond yields typically increase borrowing costs for companies, which can weigh on corporate profits and stock valuations, potentially pressuring the DAX 40 lower.
Higher yields may also make fixed income more attractive relative to equities, causing capital to flow out of stocks into bonds.
Conversely, falling bond yields lower borrowing costs and often signal economic uncertainty, which can support or sometimes depress stocks depending on the context.
The DAX 40’s sensitivity to bond yields is also influenced by broader European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy and global risk sentiment.
Additionally, the US Treasury yields and US Dollar strength indirectly impact the GER40 by affecting global capital flows and export competitiveness of German multinational companies.
Companies That Make Up GER40 (Selected Major Constituents)
The DAX 40 consists of 39 companies (due to share classes) across various sectors. Here are some key members with their sectors and approximate market caps:
Company Ticker Sector Market Cap (Approx.)
Adidas AG ADS Personal Goods €36.5 billion
Airbus SE AIR Aerospace & Defence €122.8 billion
Allianz SE ALV Life Insurance €141.1 billion
BASF SE BAS Chemicals €40.2 billion
Bayer AG BAYN Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology €22.6 billion
BMW AG BMW Automobiles & Parts €44.7 billion
Deutsche Bank AG DBK Banks €45.0 billion
Deutsche Telekom AG DTE Telecommunications €157.0 billion
Infineon Technologies AG IFX Technology Hardware & Equipment €37.8 billion
Mercedes-Benz Group AG MBG Automobiles & Parts €50.8 billion
Siemens AG SIE Industrial Conglomerate (Included in DAX)
SAP SE SAP Software & IT Services (Included in DAX)
Volkswagen AG VOW3 Automobiles & Parts (Included in DAX)
Deutsche Post AG DHL Commercial Transportation €45.4 billion
Munich Re (Muenchener Rueck) MUV2 Reinsurance €80.5 billion
(There are 39 stocks tracked due to share classes; full list includes companies from chemicals, healthcare, insurance, technology, automotive, and industrial sectors.)
Summary
What is GER40? Germany’s main blue-chip index tracking 40 largest companies on Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Bond Yield Impact Rising yields can pressure stocks via higher borrowing costs; falling yields can support stocks depending on context
Key Companies Adidas, Airbus, Allianz, BASF, Bayer, BMW, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Telekom, Infineon, Mercedes-Benz, Siemens, SAP, Volkswagen, Munich Re, Deutsche Post, etc.
The GER40 is heavily influenced by Germany’s economic conditions, ECB policy, global trade dynamics, and bond market movements. Rising bond yields generally create headwinds for the index, while falling yields and accommodative monetary policy tend to support it.
DAX: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 22,904.4 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 22,755.9..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe DAX (GER30) JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,574.39 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 21,780.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,447.57 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX40 INTRADAY supported at 22226The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 22,226.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A corrective pullback to 22,226, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at:
22,804 – Near-term resistance
23,252 – Medium-term resistance
23,475 – Long-term resistance level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 22,226 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward:
21,900 – Immediate support
20,457 – Major downside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bullish above 22,226, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 22,226, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish rise?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,505.00
1st Support: 20,817.80
1st Resistance: 22,723.90
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX: forming the 1st Golden Cross since December!DAX has just turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.773, MACD = 85.200, ADX = 45.497) and tonight will form the first 4H Golden Cross in 5 months (since December 2nd 2024). This comes to compliment a 1D MACD Bullish Cross that was formed last week. The pattern is identical to the November - December rise and as you see both rebounds took palce on the S1 level. We are long, expecting the R1 level to be tested (TP = 23,480).
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DAX: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 22,461.17 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 22,275.67..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bullish momentum to extend?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 22,083.20
1st Support: 21,516.36
1st Resistance: 23,434.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Is this the NEXT big leg up for DAX? It seems like there is stabilisation around in Europe with the markets.
While America is making a mess with its peace with many countries (including Canada).
We are seeing the EURO fly which means there is a safe haven among the CAC, DAX, IBEX and EURSTOXXX...
The charts are looking great for upside, and we might have some optimism around Europe in the next month.
Here are the technicals.
W Formation
Price>20 and 200
Target 25,113
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GER40 TECHNICAL ANALYSISThe GER40 has been on a strong bullish run, but is now stalling just below the 22,444 🔼 resistance zone. Price is showing early signs of hesitation, suggesting potential for either a breakout continuation or a deeper pullback.
Support at: 21,973 🔽, 21,570 🔽, 20,900 🔽
Resistance at: 22,444 🔼, 22,800 🔼, 23,400 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout and retest above 22,444 could fuel a move toward the next major resistance at 22,800. As long as price holds above 21,973, the bullish structure remains intact.
🔽 Bearish: A failure to break above 22,444 combined with a break below 21,973 could trigger a pullback toward the 21,570 support zone.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DAX 40 starts to show neutrality around the 22,000 levelThe German index has posted steady gains, rising nearly 7% over the last four trading sessions, mainly driven by the low interest rates maintained by the ECB at 2.25%, as well as the easing of potential trade war tensions, which has allowed the index’s bullish bias to remain strong in recent weeks. However, buying candles have been gradually diminishing over the last sessions, and it is likely that a selling candle may appear in today’s session, reinforcing short-term neutrality as the index trades above the 22,000 level.
Accelerated Trend: Since April 9, the DAX has shown significant upward movements, resulting in a fairly steep bullish slope and giving way to an accelerated uptrend. If the DAX fails to hold the recent weeks’ highs in the short term, this accelerated price movement could lead to corrective pullbacks. However, the dominant bias in the longer term remains bullish.
ADX: The ADX line has begun to decline and is now facing the neutral area marked around the 20 level. Frequent oscillations around this level indicate that volatility has decreased and could lead to sustained price neutrality in the short term.
MACD: The MACD histogram remains above the indicator’s 0 level but has shown a steady deceleration, which may signal a lack of momentum in the average movement of the moving averages. As the MACD histogram continues to narrow, it could pave the way for slight bearish momentum in the DAX’s daily chart over the short term.
Key levels to watch:
22,000 points: A nearby support area coinciding with an important psychological level, which could act as a significant barrier against potential short-term price pullbacks.
21,400 points: A distant support area aligning with the 100-period simple moving average. Bearish movements reaching this level could threaten the bullish formation currently seen on the chart.
23,000 points: A definitive resistance level coinciding with the area marked by the DAX’s all-time highs. Buying movements returning to this level could trigger a consistent bullish bias and a much more relevant uptrend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Minor reversal before bullrun.Possible minor correction (wick) to fill the previous days gap then complete the started bull run from the OTE retracement. Possible ATH in sight.
Bullish rise off pullback support?GER40 has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 22,032.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 21,497.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 23,476.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DAX WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DAX has been growing recently
And the index seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 22,444
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish reversal?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 22,248.86
1st Support: 21,516.36
1st Resistance: 22,712.27
1st Resistance: 34.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend, recovering itself
From the trade-war lows
And the index is locally
Overbought so after the
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance above at 22,500
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025- DAX broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22500.00
DAX index is under the bullish pressure after it broke the resistance area between resistance level 21500.00 (top of the previous correction A) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward ABC wave (2) from March.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave (3) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, DAX index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 22500.00 (which stopped wave B of the earlier ABC wave (2)).
DAX enters major resistance zone after 3-day rallyThe DAX has enjoyed a very good recovery from its lows made earlier this month, outperforming many global indices. However, even the flying German index could be due a pullback now that it has reached a major resistance area.
As per the chart, the area between 21970 to 22240 marks a major zone. This area was previously a key support zone which gave way during the height of the tariffs uncertainty, paving the way for a sharp drop.
Now, with Trump changing his tone, we have seen European markets regain much of those losses. But the potential for the trade war to drag on is there, which is why we can't rule out the possibility of a fresh drop from around this area.
If the market does turn lower, then some of the key support levels to watch are drawn on the chart, with the first area for the bulls to defend coming in at around 21,500/50 (shaded in light blue).
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DAX: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 21,899.19 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 21,455.49..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX INTRADAY important support at 21118The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,532.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A corrective pullback “Gap Close” to 21,532, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at:
22,276 – Near-term resistance
22,657 – Medium-term resistance
22,903 – Long-term resistance level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 21,532 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward:
21,118 – Immediate support
20,800 – Major downside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bullish above 21,532, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 21,532, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX H1 | Potential bullish bounce?DAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,467.75 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 22,576.90 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
